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Champions League · League phase, matchday 5

Sporting CP vs Manchester United: Match Preview & Stats

Estádio José Alvalade, Lisboa

Our picks

Model predictions are published 48 hours before kick-off

To take in the latest form and rest days, the predictions for this match come out on . (If either team plays another match in between, they come out once that match is over.)

See today's ready predictions →

Our record

  • Sporting CP: 4 of 7 right
  • Manchester United: 4 of 8 right

Our result picks in each club's earlier matches on this site.

Match facts

Competition
Champions League, League phase, matchday 5
Kick-off
Venue
Estádio José Alvalade, Lisboa
Since last match
Sporting CP: 4 days (Taça de Portugal) · Moreirense (1‑0) Manchester United: 3 days (Premier League) · Liverpool
Next match
Sporting CP: 4 days (Liga Portugal) later Manchester United: 2 days (Premier League) later

Last starting XI

Sporting CP 4-3-3

  1. 30 Pereira
  2. 22 Fresneda
  3. 72 Quaresma
  4. 25 Inácio
  5. 20 Araújo
  6. 4 Andersen
  7. 5 Altimira
  8. 15 Doumbia
  9. 31 Guilherme
  10. 97 Suárez
  11. 19 Irankunda

Coach: Paulo Fonseca vs Moreirense, 1-0 · Liga Portugal · 7 Nov

Manchester United 4-2-3-1

  1. 1 Lammens
  2. 3 Mazraoui
  3. 17 Yoro
  4. 5 Maguire
  5. 2 Dalot
  6. 8 Tielemans
  7. 37 Mainoo
  8. 16 Diallo
  9. 8 Fernandes
  10. 10 Cunha
  11. 19 Mbeumo

Coach: Michael Carrick vs Aston Villa, 4-4 · Premier League · 8 Nov

Our predicted line-ups come with our picks, 48 hours before kick-off. Until then: each club's last starting XI.

Injuries and suspensions

Sporting CP

  • DF Zeno DebastInjured · Day to day
  • MF Nuno SantosInjured · Day to day

Manchester United

  • DF Luke ShawInjured · A few days
  • MF Carlos BalebaInjured · Late November 2026
  • MF Manuel UgarteInjured · Early April 2027
  • FW Benjamin ŠeškoInjured · Early January 2027
  • FW Marcus RashfordInjured · A few days

Players listed as injured, suspended or away with their national team, with their expected return.

Missing Players Impact

Sporting CP

Low impact
Missing attack share 1.0%
Missing minutes share 1.0%
2 players out

Manchester United

Moderate impact
Missing attack share 7.0%
Missing minutes share 8.0%
5 players out 1 regular starter out
Key absences:
  • MF Carlos Baleba 3% attack · 4% mins
  • FW Marcus Rashford 3% attack · 2% mins

Share of team playing time and attacking output over the last 9 matches accounted for by unavailable players.

Tactical Profile & Play Quality (0–100)

Sporting CP Manchester United
Box & Territory Pressure 66 53
Set-Piece & Corner Threat 35 43
Finishing Efficiency 17 27
Defensive & Goalkeeper Wall 69 41
Underlying Play Power 74 37
Sporting CP Balanced (results match underlying play)
Manchester United Playing above results (positive regression candidate)

OptimaGoal 0–100 performance indices built from the last 9 matches before kick-off.

Game-State Scenarios & Goal Timing

Sporting CP

When scoring first 67% won · 92% unbeaten (12 matches)
When conceding first 67% points rescued · 67% won (3 matches)
1st Half: 47% 2nd Half: 53%
First 15': 19% Last 15' (76-90'): 12%

Manchester United

When scoring first 40% won · 100% unbeaten (5 matches)
When conceding first 40% points rescued · 20% won (10 matches)
1st Half: 36% 2nd Half: 64%
First 15': 0% Last 15' (76-90'): 32%

Reaction to scoring or conceding first and goal distribution across the last 15 matches.

Key Attacking Threats

Sporting CP

  1. 1. FW Luis Suárez 8G · 0A
    Team attack 23.0% Team shots 24.0%
  2. 2. DF Maxi Araújo 0G · 1A
    Team attack 10.0% Team shots 9.0%
  3. 3. FW Geny Catamo 1G · 1A
    Team attack 9.0% Team shots 11.0%

Manchester United

  1. 1. MF Bruno Fernandes 2G · 1A
    Team attack 16.0% Team shots 16.0%
  2. 2. FW Matheus Cunha 3G · 1A
    Team attack 14.0% Team shots 12.0%
  3. 3. FW Bryan Mbeumo 2G · 0A
    Team attack 13.0% Team shots 14.0%

Top available players by share of team attacking production and shot volume over the last 10 matches.

Scoring trends Sporting CP Manchester United
Over 1.5 goals 8/10 10/10
Over 2.5 goals 5/10 5/10
Over 3.5 goals 3/10 4/10
Both teams scored 6/10 7/10
Clean sheet 4/10 0/10
Failed to score 0/10 3/10
Goals per match (scored / conceded) 1.7 / 1.0 1.3 / 2.3

Last 10 matches, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Form guide

Sporting CP

  • W 1-0 vs Moreirense (H) Liga Portugal · 7 Nov
  • W 1-0 at Shakhtar Donetsk (A) Champions League · 3 Nov
  • W 2-0 at Casa Pia AC (A) Liga Portugal · 30 Oct
  • W 2-1 vs Marítimo (H) League Cup · 27 Oct
  • L 1-2 vs Académico Viseu (H) Liga Portugal · 25 Oct

Manchester United

  • D 4-4 vs Aston Villa (H) Premier League · 8 Nov
  • W 3-2 vs Roma (H) Champions League · 3 Nov
  • L 0-2 at Chelsea (A) Premier League · 31 Oct
  • L 0-3 vs AFC Bournemouth (H) Premier League · 25 Oct
  • L 1-4 at Como (A) Champions League · 21 Oct

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

When the goals come

ScoredConceded

Sporting CP

  • 1-15 minutes: 1 scored, 2 conceded
  • 16-30 minutes: 2 scored, 0 conceded
  • 31-45 minutes: 0 scored, 0 conceded
  • 46-60 minutes: 2 scored, 0 conceded
  • 61-75 minutes: 2 scored, 2 conceded
  • 76-90 minutes: 1 scored, 0 conceded

Manchester United

  • 1-15 minutes: 0 scored, 3 conceded
  • 16-30 minutes: 1 scored, 1 conceded
  • 31-45 minutes: 2 scored, 0 conceded
  • 46-60 minutes: 1 scored, 2 conceded
  • 61-75 minutes: 1 scored, 0 conceded
  • 76-90 minutes: 3 scored, 2 conceded

Goals in each 15-minute period, Champions League this season. Stoppage time counts with its half.

Top scorers

Sporting CP

Player G A
Luis Suárez (2 pens) 4 0
Issa Doumbia 2 0
Geny Catamo 1 0
Rodrigo Zalazar 1 0

Manchester United

Player G A
Matheus Cunha 3 0
Bruno Fernandes (1 pen) 2 0
Benjamin Šeško 1 0
Joshua Zirkzee 1 0
Lisandro Martínez 1 0

Goals and assists in the Champions League this season.

Corners and yellow cards

Sporting CP Manchester United
  • 3.2 Corners won 4.8
  • 5.2 Corners conceded 1.5
  • 1.2 Yellow cards 2.0
  • 2.8 Opponents' yellow cards 1.5

Per match in the Champions League this season. Average per club and match: 4.7 corners, 1.7 yellow cards.

Attack and defence ratings

Sporting CPManchester United
Attack 69 74 2.0 goals per match this season2.0 goals per match this season
Defence 69 54 1.0 conceded per match this season2.0 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Champions League clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.

2057Elo #16 Elo rating 2040Elo #20

Head-to-head

Sporting CP and Manchester United have not met in our records since 2010.

Table

Champions League: Table
#Team PWDLGoalsGDPts
1 Paris Saint-Germain 4 400 20:5 +15 12
2 Real Madrid 4 400 13:7 +6 12
3 Arsenal 4 310 8:3 +5 10
4 Como 4 301 19:6 +13 9
5 Barcelona 4 301 14:6 +8 9
6 Aston Villa 4 301 12:6 +6 9
7 Manchester City 4 301 12:7 +5 9
8 Liverpool 4 301 14:10 +4 9
9 Club Brugge 4 301 11:7 +4 9
10 Sporting CP 4 301 8:4 +4 9
11 Real Betis 4 301 8:6 +2 9
12 Borussia Dortmund 4 301 7:5 +2 9
13 Bayern München 4 220 12:5 +7 8
14 VfB Stuttgart 4 211 7:4 +3 7
15 Inter 4 202 8:6 +2 6
16 LASK 4 202 10:9 +1 6
17 Manchester United 4 202 8:8 0 6
18 Galatasaray 4 202 8:9 -1 6
19 Fenerbahçe 4 121 6:11 -5 5
20 Roma 4 112 10:8 +2 4
21 Shakhtar Donetsk 4 112 4:4 0 4
22 Viking 4 112 9:10 -1 4
23 Atlético Madrid 4 112 4:5 -1 4
24 PSV Eindhoven 4 112 3:4 -1 4
25 Bodø/Glimt 4 112 4:9 -5 4
26 FC Porto 4 103 6:7 -1 3
27 Napoli 4 103 6:11 -5 3
28 Villarreal 4 103 8:14 -6 3
29 AEK Athens 4 103 5:11 -6 3
30 RB Leipzig 4 103 5:11 -6 3
31 Sabah FK 4 103 4:10 -6 3
32 Feyenoord 4 103 4:11 -7 3
33 Lens 4 103 4:16 -12 3
34 Slavia Prague 4 013 5:9 -4 1
35 Lille 4 013 4:10 -6 1
36 Slovan Bratislava 4 004 1:17 -16 0

Our table from the results; the two clubs of this match are highlighted. Full table

Season projection

Members

Where these two clubs are projected to finish in the Champions League: average points, likely range and chances.

ClubPts Avg ptsLikely Top 8Play-off round Win it
Sporting CP 9
Manchester United 6

For members

Every club's chance of every place, from our simulated seasons, updated daily.

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Times are UTC.