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Champions League · League phase, matchday 5

Paris Saint-Germain vs Roma: Match Preview & Stats

Paris Saint-Germain crest Paris Saint-Germain
vs
Roma crest Roma
Parc des Princes, Paris

Our picks

Model predictions are published 48 hours before kick-off

To take in the latest form and rest days, the predictions for this match come out on . (If either team plays another match in between, they come out once that match is over.)

See today's ready predictions →

Our record

  • Paris Saint-Germain: 7 of 8 right
  • Roma: 7 of 9 right

Our result picks in each club's earlier matches on this site.

Match facts

Competition
Champions League, League phase, matchday 5
Kick-off
Venue
Parc des Princes, Paris
Since last match
Paris Saint-Germain: 4 days (Ligue 1) · Nice Roma: 4 days (Serie A) · Parma
Next match
Paris Saint-Germain: 2 days (Ligue 1) later Roma: 3 days (Serie A) later

Last starting XI

Paris Saint-Germain 4-3-3

  1. 39 Safonov
  2. 18 Zaïre-Emery
  3. 6 Zabarnyi
  4. 51 Pacho
  5. 21 Hernández
  6. 8 Mayulu
  7. 17 Vítinha
  8. 8 Ruiz
  9. 20 Doué
  10. 7 Torres
  11. 22 Godts

Coach: Luis Enrique vs Troyes, 1-0 · Ligue 1 · 7 Nov

Roma 3-4-2-1

  1. 32 Vásquez
  2. 26 Balerdi
  3. 5 N'Dicka
  4. 22 Hermoso
  5. 20 Molina
  6. 4 Cristante
  7. 17 Koné
  8. 43 Wesley
  9. 18 Soulé
  10. 86 Mora
  11. 14 Malen

Coach: Gian Piero Gasperini vs Sassuolo, 3-0 · Serie A · 7 Nov

Our predicted line-ups come with our picks, 48 hours before kick-off. Until then: each club's last starting XI.

Injuries and suspensions

Paris Saint-Germain

  • DF MarquinhosInjured · A few weeks
  • DF Nuno MendesInjured · A few weeks
  • FW Khvicha KvaratskheliaInjured · Out for the season
  • FW Maghnes AklioucheInjured · About 1-2 weeks
  • FW Ousmane DembéléInjured · A few weeks

Roma

  • GK Mile SvilarInjured · Late November 2026
  • GK Pierluigi GolliniInjured · About 1-2 weeks
  • MF Devyne RenschInjured · Late November 2026
  • MF Lorenzo PellegriniInjured · Late November 2026
  • MF Paulo DybalaInjured · Back in training

Players listed as injured, suspended or away with their national team, with their expected return.

Missing Players Impact

Paris Saint-Germain

High impact
Missing attack share 24.0%
Missing minutes share 16.0%
5 players out 4 regular starters out
Key absences:
  • FW Maghnes Akliouche 7% attack · 5% mins
  • FW Ousmane Dembélé 8% attack · 2% mins

Roma

Moderate impact
Missing attack share 6.0%
Missing minutes share 13.0%
5 players out 1 regular starter out
Key absences:
  • MF Paulo Dybala 3% attack · 2% mins
  • GK Pierluigi Gollini 0% attack · 6% mins

Share of team playing time and attacking output over the last 10 matches accounted for by unavailable players.

Tactical Profile & Play Quality (0–100)

Paris Saint-Germain Roma
Box & Territory Pressure 74 71
Set-Piece & Corner Threat 61 51
Finishing Efficiency 91 89
Defensive & Goalkeeper Wall 81 61
Underlying Play Power 81 69
Paris Saint-Germain Results above play quality (running hot)
Roma Results above play quality (running hot)

OptimaGoal 0–100 performance indices built from the last 10 matches before kick-off.

Game-State Scenarios & Goal Timing

Paris Saint-Germain

When scoring first 90% won · 90% unbeaten (10 matches)
When conceding first 100% points rescued · 40% won (5 matches)
1st Half: 40% 2nd Half: 60%
First 15': 14% Last 15' (76-90'): 26%

Roma

When scoring first 64% won · 82% unbeaten (11 matches)
When conceding first 100% points rescued · 67% won (3 matches)
1st Half: 51% 2nd Half: 49%
First 15': 12% Last 15' (76-90'): 20%

Reaction to scoring or conceding first and goal distribution across the last 15 matches.

Key Attacking Threats

Paris Saint-Germain

  1. 1. FW Désiré Doué 4G · 3A
    Team attack 13.0% Team shots 15.0%
  2. 2. DF Achraf Hakimi 3G · 3A
    Team attack 11.0% Team shots 10.0%
  3. 3. FW Ferrán Torres 2G · 1A
    Team attack 9.0% Team shots 11.0%

Roma

  1. 1. FW Donyell Malen 6G · 3A
    Team attack 20.0% Team shots 20.0%
  2. 2. MF Matias Soulé 2G · 4A
    Team attack 13.0% Team shots 13.0%
  3. 3. MF Rodrigo Mora 3G · 2A
    Team attack 9.0% Team shots 7.0%

Top available players by share of team attacking production and shot volume over the last 10 matches.

Paris Saint-Germain Roma
Over 1.5 goals 8/10 9/10
Over 2.5 goals 7/10 8/10
Over 3.5 goals 6/10 7/10
Both teams scored 6/10 6/10
Clean sheet 4/10 4/10
Failed to score 0/10 1/10
Goals per match (scored / conceded) 3.1 / 0.8 2.8 / 1.6

Last 10 matches, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Form guide

Paris Saint-Germain

  • W 1-0 vs Troyes (H) Ligue 1 · 7 Nov
  • W 6-0 at Villarreal (A) Champions League · 3 Nov
  • W 5-1 at Le Havre (A) Ligue 1 · 30 Oct
  • W 2-0 vs Lyon (H) Ligue 1 · 26 Oct
  • W 4-2 vs Barcelona (H) Champions League · 20 Oct

Roma

  • W 3-0 vs Sassuolo (H) Serie A · 7 Nov
  • L 2-3 at Manchester United (A) Champions League · 3 Nov
  • W 5-2 at Udinese (A) Serie A · 31 Oct
  • W 4-2 vs Cagliari (H) Serie A · 27 Oct
  • D 3-3 at Napoli (A) Serie A · 24 Oct

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

When the goals come

ScoredConceded

Paris Saint-Germain

Roma

Goals in each 15-minute period, Champions League this season. Stoppage time counts with its half.

Top scorers

Paris Saint-Germain

Player G A
Fabián Ruiz 4 1
Ousmane Dembélé 3 3
Désiré Doué 3 2
Ferrán Torres 3 0
Vítinha 2 1

Roma

Player G A
Donyell Malen (2 pens) 4 2
Matias Soulé 1 2
Bryan Cristante 1 0
Mario Hermoso 1 0
Marten de Roon 1 0

Goals and assists in the Champions League this season.

Corners and yellow cards

Paris Saint-Germain Roma
  • 4.8 Corners won 4.2
  • 5.0 Corners conceded 3.5
  • 0.5 Yellow cards 2.0
  • 1.8 Opponents' yellow cards 2.8

Per match in the Champions League this season. Average per club and match: 4.7 corners, 1.7 yellow cards.

Attack and defence ratings

Paris Saint-GermainRoma
Attack 91 60 5.0 goals per match this season2.5 goals per match this season
Defence 97 60 1.3 conceded per match this season2.0 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Champions League clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.

2194Elo #5 Elo rating 2028Elo #23

Head-to-head

Paris Saint-Germain and Roma have not met in our records since 2010.

Table

#Team PWDLGoalsGDPts
1 Paris Saint-Germain 4 400 20:5 +15 12
2 Real Madrid 4 400 13:7 +6 12
3 Arsenal 4 310 8:3 +5 10
4 Como 4 301 19:6 +13 9
5 Barcelona 4 301 14:6 +8 9
6 Aston Villa 4 301 12:6 +6 9
7 Manchester City 4 301 12:7 +5 9
8 Liverpool 4 301 14:10 +4 9
9 Club Brugge 4 301 11:7 +4 9
10 Sporting CP 4 301 8:4 +4 9
11 Real Betis 4 301 8:6 +2 9
12 Borussia Dortmund 4 301 7:5 +2 9
13 Bayern München 4 220 12:5 +7 8
14 VfB Stuttgart 4 211 7:4 +3 7
15 Inter 4 202 8:6 +2 6
16 LASK 4 202 10:9 +1 6
17 Manchester United 4 202 8:8 0 6
18 Galatasaray 4 202 8:9 -1 6
19 Fenerbahçe 4 121 6:11 -5 5
20 Roma 4 112 10:8 +2 4
21 Shakhtar Donetsk 4 112 4:4 0 4
22 Viking 4 112 9:10 -1 4
23 Atlético Madrid 4 112 4:5 -1 4
24 PSV Eindhoven 4 112 3:4 -1 4
25 Bodø/Glimt 4 112 4:9 -5 4
26 FC Porto 4 103 6:7 -1 3
27 Napoli 4 103 6:11 -5 3
28 Villarreal 4 103 8:14 -6 3
29 AEK Athens 4 103 5:11 -6 3
30 RB Leipzig 4 103 5:11 -6 3
31 Sabah FK 4 103 4:10 -6 3
32 Feyenoord 4 103 4:11 -7 3
33 Lens 4 103 4:16 -12 3
34 Slavia Prague 4 013 5:9 -4 1
35 Lille 4 013 4:10 -6 1
36 Slovan Bratislava 4 004 1:17 -16 0

Our table from the results; the two clubs of this match are highlighted. Full table

Season projection

Members

Where these two clubs are projected to finish in the Champions League: average points, likely range and chances.

ClubPts Avg ptsLikely Top 8Play-off round Win it
Paris Saint-Germain 12
Roma 4

For members

Every club's chance of every place, from our simulated seasons, updated daily.

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Times are UTC.