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Premier League · Matchday 11

Liverpool vs Manchester United: Match Preview & Stats

Anfield, Liverpool

Our picks

Model predictions are published 48 hours before kick-off

To take in the latest form and rest days, the predictions for this match come out on . (If either team plays another match in between, they come out once that match is over.)

See today's ready predictions →

Our record

  • Liverpool: 7 of 8 right
  • Manchester United: 4 of 8 right

Our result picks in each club's earlier matches on this site.

Match facts

Competition
Premier League, Matchday 11
Kick-off
Venue
Anfield, Liverpool
Since last match
Liverpool: 14 days (Premier League) · Crystal Palace (1‑3) Manchester United: 14 days (Premier League) · Aston Villa (4‑4)
Next match
Liverpool: 3 days (Champions League) later · Club Brugge Manchester United: 3 days (Champions League) later · Sporting CP

Last starting XI

Liverpool 4-2-3-1

  1. 1 Becker
  2. 33 Araujo
  3. 22 Jacquet
  4. 4 van Dijk
  5. 6 Kerkez
  6. 8 Szoboszlai
  7. 10 Mac Allister
  8. 18 Gakpo
  9. 7 Wirtz
  10. 12 Barcola
  11. 9 Isak

Coach: Andoni Iraola at Crystal Palace, 3-1 · Premier League · 8 Nov

Manchester United 4-2-3-1

  1. 1 Lammens
  2. 3 Mazraoui
  3. 17 Yoro
  4. 5 Maguire
  5. 2 Dalot
  6. 8 Tielemans
  7. 37 Mainoo
  8. 16 Diallo
  9. 8 Fernandes
  10. 10 Cunha
  11. 19 Mbeumo

Coach: Michael Carrick vs Aston Villa, 4-4 · Premier League · 8 Nov

Our predicted line-ups come with our picks, 48 hours before kick-off. Until then: each club's last starting XI.

Injuries and suspensions

Liverpool

  • DF Conor BradleyInjured · Early January 2027
  • DF Jeremie FrimpongInjured · Mid November 2026
  • DF Virgil van DijkInjured · Doubtful
  • MF Ryan GravenberchInjured · Doubtful
  • FW Hugo EkitikéInjured · Early January 2027
  • – Giovanni LeoniInjured · Late November 2026

Manchester United

  • DF Luke ShawInjured · A few days
  • MF Carlos BalebaInjured · Late November 2026
  • MF Manuel UgarteInjured · Early April 2027
  • FW Benjamin ŠeškoInjured · Early January 2027
  • FW Marcus RashfordInjured · A few days

Players listed as injured, suspended or away with their national team, with their expected return.

Missing Players Impact

Liverpool

Moderate impact
Missing attack share 9.0%
Missing minutes share 13.0%
6 players out 2 regular starters out
Key absences:
  • DF Virgil van Dijk 3% attack · 8% mins
  • DF Jeremie Frimpong 4% attack · 1% mins

Manchester United

Moderate impact
Missing attack share 7.0%
Missing minutes share 8.0%
5 players out 1 regular starter out
Key absences:
  • MF Carlos Baleba 3% attack · 4% mins
  • FW Marcus Rashford 3% attack · 2% mins

Share of team playing time and attacking output over the last 9 matches accounted for by unavailable players.

Tactical Profile & Play Quality (0–100)

Liverpool Manchester United
Box & Territory Pressure 75 53
Set-Piece & Corner Threat 73 43
Finishing Efficiency 61 27
Defensive & Goalkeeper Wall 35 41
Underlying Play Power 62 37
Liverpool Balanced (results match underlying play)
Manchester United Playing above results (positive regression candidate)

OptimaGoal 0–100 performance indices built from the last 9 matches before kick-off.

Game-State Scenarios & Goal Timing

Liverpool

When scoring first 71% won · 86% unbeaten (7 matches)
When conceding first 71% points rescued · 43% won (7 matches)
1st Half: 41% 2nd Half: 59%
First 15': 7% Last 15' (76-90'): 10%

Manchester United

When scoring first 40% won · 100% unbeaten (5 matches)
When conceding first 40% points rescued · 20% won (10 matches)
1st Half: 36% 2nd Half: 64%
First 15': 0% Last 15' (76-90'): 32%

Reaction to scoring or conceding first and goal distribution across the last 15 matches.

Key Attacking Threats

Liverpool

  1. 1. FW Bradley Barcola 3G · 3A
    Team attack 14.0% Team shots 11.0%
  2. 2. FW Florian Wirtz 2G · 3A
    Team attack 13.0% Team shots 14.0%
  3. 3. FW Alexander Isak 5G · 0A
    Team attack 11.0% Team shots 11.0%

Manchester United

  1. 1. MF Bruno Fernandes 2G · 1A
    Team attack 16.0% Team shots 16.0%
  2. 2. FW Matheus Cunha 3G · 1A
    Team attack 14.0% Team shots 12.0%
  3. 3. FW Bryan Mbeumo 2G · 0A
    Team attack 13.0% Team shots 14.0%

Top available players by share of team attacking production and shot volume over the last 10 matches.

Scoring trends Liverpool Manchester United
Over 1.5 goals 8/10 10/10
Over 2.5 goals 6/10 5/10
Over 3.5 goals 4/10 4/10
Both teams scored 6/10 7/10
Clean sheet 2/10 0/10
Failed to score 2/10 3/10
Goals per match (scored / conceded) 2.1 / 1.6 1.3 / 2.3

Last 10 matches, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Form guide

Liverpool

  • W 3-1 at Crystal Palace (A) Premier League · 8 Nov
  • L 2-3 at Fenerbahçe (A) Champions League · 4 Nov
  • L 0-1 vs Arsenal (H) Premier League · 1 Nov
  • D 1-1 vs Chelsea (H) EFL Cup · 28 Oct
  • W 2-0 vs Brighton & Hove Albion (H) Premier League · 25 Oct

Manchester United

  • D 4-4 vs Aston Villa (H) Premier League · 8 Nov
  • W 3-2 vs Roma (H) Champions League · 3 Nov
  • L 0-2 at Chelsea (A) Premier League · 31 Oct
  • L 0-3 vs AFC Bournemouth (H) Premier League · 25 Oct
  • L 1-4 at Como (A) Champions League · 21 Oct

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

When the goals come

ScoredConceded

Liverpool

  • 1-15 minutes: 2 scored, 1 conceded
  • 16-30 minutes: 2 scored, 2 conceded
  • 31-45 minutes: 1 scored, 1 conceded
  • 46-60 minutes: 4 scored, 1 conceded
  • 61-75 minutes: 2 scored, 3 conceded
  • 76-90 minutes: 3 scored, 2 conceded

Manchester United

  • 1-15 minutes: 0 scored, 2 conceded
  • 16-30 minutes: 1 scored, 2 conceded
  • 31-45 minutes: 3 scored, 3 conceded
  • 46-60 minutes: 2 scored, 5 conceded
  • 61-75 minutes: 3 scored, 3 conceded
  • 76-90 minutes: 5 scored, 4 conceded

Goals in each 15-minute period, Premier League this season. Stoppage time counts with its half.

Top scorers

Liverpool

Player G A
Alexander Isak 7 0
Víctor Muñoz 2 0
Cody Gakpo 1 3
Florian Wirtz 1 3
Dominik Szoboszlai (1 pen) 1 1

Manchester United

Player G A
Bruno Fernandes (2 pens) 4 2
Bryan Mbeumo 4 0
Matheus Cunha 1 2
Patrick Dorgu 1 2
Youri Tielemans 1 1

Goals and assists in the Premier League this season.

Corners and yellow cards

Liverpool Manchester United
  • 5.2 Corners won 6.3
  • 4.1 Corners conceded 3.8
  • 2.5 Yellow cards 2.1
  • 2.2 Opponents' yellow cards 2.1

Per match in the Premier League this season. Average per club and match: 4.7 corners, 2.0 yellow cards.

Attack and defence ratings

LiverpoolManchester United
Attack 95 58 1.4 goals per match this season1.4 goals per match this season
Defence 84 26 1.0 conceded per match this season1.9 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Premier League clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.

2148Elo #7 Elo rating 2040Elo #20

Head-to-head

12Liverpool wins
12draws
15Manchester United wins

39 meetings since 2010, results after 90 minutes.

  • 3 May 2026 · Premier League Manchester United 3-2 Liverpool
  • 19 Oct 2025 · Premier League Liverpool 1-2 Manchester United
  • 5 Jan 2025 · Premier League Liverpool 2-2 Manchester United
  • 1 Sep 2024 · Premier League Manchester United 0-3 Liverpool
  • 7 Apr 2024 · Premier League Manchester United 2-2 Liverpool

Table

Premier League: Table
#Team PWDLGoalsGDPts
1 Arsenal 10 901 15:5 +10 27
2 Brighton & Hove Albion 10 712 26:7 +19 22
3 Manchester City 10 703 21:13 +8 21
4 Liverpool 10 532 14:10 +4 18
5 Chelsea 10 514 19:16 +3 16
6 Everton 10 442 12:10 +2 16
7 AFC Bournemouth 10 433 16:14 +2 15
8 Brentford 10 352 16:11 +5 14
9 Leeds United 10 352 10:8 +2 14
10 Aston Villa 10 343 14:17 -3 13
11 Tottenham Hotspur 10 334 10:11 -1 12
12 Newcastle United 10 334 13:16 -3 12
13 Hull City 10 253 11:11 0 11
14 Ipswich Town 10 325 15:20 -5 11
15 Fulham 10 244 10:12 -2 10
16 Nottingham Forest 10 235 9:13 -4 9
17 Coventry City 10 307 10:19 -9 9
18 Manchester United 10 154 14:19 -5 8
19 Sunderland 10 226 8:17 -9 8
20 Crystal Palace 10 217 10:24 -14 7

Our table from the results; the two clubs of this match are highlighted. Full table

Season projection

Members

Where these two clubs are projected to finish in the Premier League: average points, likely range and chances.

ClubPts Avg ptsLikely TitleTop 4Relegated
Liverpool 18
Manchester United 8

For members

Every club's chance of every place, from our simulated seasons, updated daily.

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Times are UTC.