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Champions League · League phase, matchday 5

Lille vs Bayern München: Match Preview & Stats

Lille crest Lille
vs
Bayern München crest Bayern München
Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Villeneuve d'Ascq

Our picks

Model predictions are published 48 hours before kick-off

To take in the latest form and rest days, the predictions for this match come out on . (If either team plays another match in between, they come out once that match is over.)

See today's ready predictions →

Our record

  • Lille: 2 of 8 right
  • Bayern München: 4 of 8 right

Our result picks in each club's earlier matches on this site.

Match facts

Competition
Champions League, League phase, matchday 5
Kick-off
Venue
Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Villeneuve d'Ascq
Since last match
Lille: 4 days (Ligue 1) · Lyon Bayern München: 5 days (Bundesliga) · 1. FC Köln
Next match
Lille: 2 days (Ligue 1) later Bayern München: 2 days (Bundesliga) later

Last starting XI

Lille 4-3-3

  1. 23 Özer
  2. 15 Ngoy
  3. 23 Nianzou
  4. 4 Ribeiro
  5. 24 Verdonk
  6. 17 Mukau
  7. 6 Bentaleb
  8. 21 André
  9. 8 Mbappé
  10. 10 Haraldsson
  11. 35 Diaoune

Coach: Davide Ancelotti at Rennes, 2-1 · Ligue 1 · 8 Nov

Bayern München 4-2-3-1

  1. 1 Neuer
  2. 27 Laimer
  3. 4 Upamecano
  4. 4 Tah
  5. 2 Stanišić
  6. 6 Kimmich
  7. 45 Pavlović
  8. 11 Olise
  9. 42 Karl
  10. 11 Brown
  11. 9 Kane

Coach: Aaron Danks at Mainz 05, 2-1 · Bundesliga · 7 Nov

Our predicted line-ups come with our picks, 48 hours before kick-off. Until then: each club's last starting XI.

Injuries and suspensions

Lille

  • DF Tiago SantosInjured · Late June 2027
  • FW Ayase UedaInjured · A few weeks
  • FW Hamza IgamaneInjured · Late November 2026

Bayern München

  • GK Manuel NeuerInjured · Early January 2027
  • MF Ismael SaibariInjured · Early February 2027
  • MF Jamal MusialaInjured · Late November 2026
  • MF Serge GnabryInjured · Early January 2027
  • FW Luis DíazInjured · Late November 2026

Players listed as injured, suspended or away with their national team, with their expected return.

Missing Players Impact

Lille

Moderate impact
Missing attack share 10.0%
Missing minutes share 4.0%
3 players out
Key absences:
  • FW Ayase Ueda 6% attack · 3% mins
  • DF Tiago Santos 4% attack · 2% mins

Bayern München

High impact
Missing attack share 20.0%
Missing minutes share 15.0%
5 players out 3 regular starters out
Key absences:
  • MF Ismael Saibari 7% attack · 3% mins
  • FW Luis Díaz 7% attack · 3% mins

Share of team playing time and attacking output over the last 10 matches accounted for by unavailable players.

Tactical Profile & Play Quality (0–100)

Lille Bayern München
Box & Territory Pressure 42 83
Set-Piece & Corner Threat 40 67
Finishing Efficiency 72 57
Defensive & Goalkeeper Wall 44 53
Underlying Play Power 50 87
Lille Balanced (results match underlying play)
Bayern München Playing above results (positive regression candidate)

OptimaGoal 0–100 performance indices built from the last 10 matches before kick-off.

Game-State Scenarios & Goal Timing

Lille

When scoring first 67% won · 89% unbeaten (9 matches)
When conceding first 20% points rescued · 0% won (5 matches)
1st Half: 61% 2nd Half: 39%
First 15': 22% Last 15' (76-90'): 22%

Bayern München

When scoring first 91% won · 100% unbeaten (11 matches)
When conceding first 100% points rescued · 0% won (3 matches)
1st Half: 34% 2nd Half: 66%
First 15': 9% Last 15' (76-90'): 19%

Reaction to scoring or conceding first and goal distribution across the last 15 matches.

Key Attacking Threats

Lille

  1. 1. FW Soriba Diaoune 3G · 2A
    Team attack 13.0% Team shots 11.0%
  2. 2. FW Dilane Bakwa 1G · 1A
    Team attack 11.0% Team shots 12.0%
  3. 3. FW Ethan Mbappé 2G · 0A
    Team attack 9.0% Team shots 8.0%

Bayern München

  1. 1. FW Harry Kane 6G · 9A
    Team attack 21.0% Team shots 22.0%
  2. 2. FW Michael Olise 5G · 3A
    Team attack 16.0% Team shots 16.0%
  3. 3. DF Konrad Laimer 2G · 1A
    Team attack 7.0% Team shots 6.0%

Top available players by share of team attacking production and shot volume over the last 10 matches.

Lille Bayern München
Over 1.5 goals 7/10 10/10
Over 2.5 goals 4/10 9/10
Over 3.5 goals 1/10 8/10
Both teams scored 5/10 8/10
Clean sheet 4/10 2/10
Failed to score 2/10 0/10
Goals per match (scored / conceded) 1.1 / 1.2 3.5 / 1.3

Last 10 matches, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Form guide

Lille

  • W 2-1 at Rennes (A) Ligue 1 · 8 Nov
  • D 0-0 at Bodø/Glimt (A) Champions League · 3 Nov
  • W 1-0 vs Lens (H) Ligue 1 · 30 Oct
  • D 1-1 at Monaco (A) Ligue 1 · 25 Oct
  • L 2-4 vs Galatasaray (H) Champions League · 21 Oct

Bayern München

  • W 2-1 at Mainz 05 (A) Bundesliga · 7 Nov
  • W 2-0 at Atlético Madrid (A) Champions League · 3 Nov
  • D 2-2 vs Borussia Dortmund (H) Bundesliga · 31 Oct
  • W 6-1 vs Magdeburg (H) DFB Pokal · 28 Oct
  • W 3-1 at Freiburg (A) Bundesliga · 25 Oct

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

When the goals come

ScoredConceded

Lille

Bayern München

Goals in each 15-minute period, Champions League this season. Stoppage time counts with its half.

Top scorers

Lille

Player G A
Soriba Diaoune 2 0
Alexsandro Ribeiro 1 1
Ayase Ueda 1 0

Bayern München

Player G A
Harry Kane (2 pens) 4 3
Michael Olise 2 1
Alphonso Davies 2 0
Konrad Laimer 1 1
Lennart Karl 1 1

Goals and assists in the Champions League this season.

Corners and yellow cards

Lille Bayern München
  • 3.0 Corners won 7.0
  • 4.5 Corners conceded 4.8
  • 1.5 Yellow cards 1.0
  • 1.5 Opponents' yellow cards 1.5

Per match in the Champions League this season. Average per club and match: 4.7 corners, 1.7 yellow cards.

Attack and defence ratings

LilleBayern München
Attack 11 97 1.0 goals per match this season3.0 goals per match this season
Defence 63 91 2.5 conceded per match this season1.3 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Champions League clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.

1955Elo #44 Elo rating 2259Elo #2

Head-to-head

0Lille wins
0draws
2Bayern München wins

2 meetings since 2010, results after 90 minutes.

  • 7 Nov 2012 · Champions League Bayern München 6-1 Lille
  • 23 Oct 2012 · Champions League Lille 0-1 Bayern München

Table

#Team PWDLGoalsGDPts
1 Paris Saint-Germain 4 400 20:5 +15 12
2 Real Madrid 4 400 13:7 +6 12
3 Arsenal 4 310 8:3 +5 10
4 Como 4 301 19:6 +13 9
5 Barcelona 4 301 14:6 +8 9
6 Aston Villa 4 301 12:6 +6 9
7 Manchester City 4 301 12:7 +5 9
8 Liverpool 4 301 14:10 +4 9
9 Club Brugge 4 301 11:7 +4 9
10 Sporting CP 4 301 8:4 +4 9
11 Real Betis 4 301 8:6 +2 9
12 Borussia Dortmund 4 301 7:5 +2 9
13 Bayern München 4 220 12:5 +7 8
14 VfB Stuttgart 4 211 7:4 +3 7
15 Inter 4 202 8:6 +2 6
16 LASK 4 202 10:9 +1 6
17 Manchester United 4 202 8:8 0 6
18 Galatasaray 4 202 8:9 -1 6
19 Fenerbahçe 4 121 6:11 -5 5
20 Roma 4 112 10:8 +2 4
21 Shakhtar Donetsk 4 112 4:4 0 4
22 Viking 4 112 9:10 -1 4
23 Atlético Madrid 4 112 4:5 -1 4
24 PSV Eindhoven 4 112 3:4 -1 4
25 Bodø/Glimt 4 112 4:9 -5 4
26 FC Porto 4 103 6:7 -1 3
27 Napoli 4 103 6:11 -5 3
28 Villarreal 4 103 8:14 -6 3
29 AEK Athens 4 103 5:11 -6 3
30 RB Leipzig 4 103 5:11 -6 3
31 Sabah FK 4 103 4:10 -6 3
32 Feyenoord 4 103 4:11 -7 3
33 Lens 4 103 4:16 -12 3
34 Slavia Prague 4 013 5:9 -4 1
35 Lille 4 013 4:10 -6 1
36 Slovan Bratislava 4 004 1:17 -16 0

Our table from the results; the two clubs of this match are highlighted. Full table

Season projection

Members

Where these two clubs are projected to finish in the Champions League: average points, likely range and chances.

ClubPts Avg ptsLikely Top 8Play-off round Win it
Lille 1
Bayern München 8

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Times are UTC.