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Conference League · League phase, matchday 4

Ajax vs Thun: Match Preview & Stats

Ajax crest Ajax
vs
Thun crest Thun
Johan Cruijff ArenA, Amsterdam

Our picks

Model predictions are published 48 hours before kick-off

To take in the latest form and rest days, the predictions for this match come out on . (If either team plays another match in between, they come out once that match is over.)

See today's ready predictions →

Our record

  • Ajax: 4 of 8 right
  • Thun: 3 of 3 right

Our result picks in each club's earlier matches on this site.

Match facts

Competition
Conference League, League phase, matchday 4
Kick-off
Venue
Johan Cruijff ArenA, Amsterdam
Since last match
Ajax: 4 days (Eredivisie) · ADO Den Haag Thun: 5 days (Super League) · Heart of Midlothian (3‑1)
Next match
Ajax: 2 days (Eredivisie) later Thun: 2 days (Super League) later

Last starting XI

Ajax 4-3-3

  1. 1 ter Stegen
  2. 2 Rosa
  3. 30 Bouwman
  4. 15 Baas
  5. 5 Wijndal
  6. 24 Mokio
  7. 28 Bissouma
  8. 36 Janse
  9. 18 Klaassen
  10. 99 Arokodare
  11. 10 Gloukh

Coach: Míchel at FC Twente, 2-2 · Eredivisie · 8 Nov

Thun 4-4-2

  1. 1 Steffen
  2. 37 Dähler
  3. 19 Bamert
  4. 23 Bürki
  5. 2 Mambwa
  6. 70 Reichmuth
  7. 16 Roth
  8. 14 Käit
  9. 30 Maier
  10. 96 Labeau
  11. 9 Dursun

Coach: Gian-Luca Privitelli vs Heart of Midlothian, 3-1 · Conference League · 5 Nov

Our predicted line-ups come with our picks, 48 hours before kick-off. Until then: each club's last starting XI.

Injuries and suspensions

Ajax

  • DF Anton GaaeiInjured · Late November 2026
  • MF Julian BrandtInjured · Late November 2026
  • FW Kasper DolbergInjured · Out for the season
  • FW Simon AdingraInjured · Day to day
  • FW Viktor TsigankovInjured · Late November 2026

Thun

  • – Mats SeilerInjured · Return unknown

Players listed as injured, suspended or away with their national team, with their expected return.

Missing Players Impact

Ajax

Moderate impact
Missing attack share 21.0%
Missing minutes share 11.0%
5 players out 2 regular starters out
Key absences:
  • MF Julian Brandt 12% attack · 6% mins
  • FW Viktor Tsigankov 3% attack · 3% mins

Thun

Low impact
Missing attack share 0.0%
Missing minutes share 0.0%
1 player out

Share of team playing time and attacking output over the last 10 matches accounted for by unavailable players.

Game-State Scenarios & Goal Timing

Ajax

When scoring first 69% won · 100% unbeaten (13 matches)
When conceding first 0% points rescued · 0% won (2 matches)
1st Half: 39% 2nd Half: 61%
First 15': 12% Last 15' (76-90'): 22%

Thun

When scoring first No matches in sample
When conceding first 0% points rescued · 0% won (2 matches)
1st Half: 67% 2nd Half: 33%
First 15': 0% Last 15' (76-90'): 0%

Reaction to scoring or conceding first and goal distribution across the last 15 matches.

Key Attacking Threats

Ajax

  1. 1. MF Oscar Gloukh 2G · 6A
    Team attack 17.0% Team shots 16.0%
  2. 2. FW Tolu Arokodare 8G · 2A
    Team attack 15.0% Team shots 17.0%
  3. 3. MF Jorthy Mokio 2G · 1A
    Team attack 8.0% Team shots 11.0%

Thun

  1. 1. FW Brighton Labeau 1G · 0A
    Team attack 23.0% Team shots 17.0%
  2. 2. MF Nils Reichmuth 0G · 1A
    Team attack 20.0% Team shots 25.0%
  3. 3. FW Furkan Dursun 1G · 0A
    Team attack 15.0% Team shots 11.0%

Top available players by share of team attacking production and shot volume over the last 10 matches.

Ajax Thun
Over 1.5 goals 9/10 7/10
Over 2.5 goals 7/10 7/10
Over 3.5 goals 5/10 6/10
Both teams scored 8/10 7/10
Clean sheet 2/10 0/10
Failed to score 0/10 3/10
Goals per match (scored / conceded) 2.7 / 1.2 1.9 / 2.3

Last 10 matches, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Form guide

Ajax

  • D 2-2 at FC Twente (A) Eredivisie · 8 Nov
  • W 6-1 at FC Midtjylland (A) Conference League · 5 Nov
  • W 1-0 vs AZ Alkmaar (H) Eredivisie · 31 Oct
  • W 2-1 at Sparta Rotterdam (A) Eredivisie · 25 Oct
  • W 2-0 vs Atalanta (H) Conference League · 22 Oct

Thun

  • D 3-3 vs Basel (H) Super League · 8 Nov
  • W 3-1 vs Heart of Midlothian (H) Conference League · 5 Nov
  • W 5-4 at Lausanne (A) Super League · 1 Nov
  • L 2-3 vs Lugano (H) Super League · 25 Oct
  • L 0-1 vs Hajduk Split (H) Conference League · 22 Oct

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

When the goals come

ScoredConceded

Ajax

Thun

Goals in each 15-minute period, Conference League this season. Stoppage time counts with its half.

Top scorers

Ajax

Player G A
Tolu Arokodare 3 2
Davy Klaassen 2 0
Oscar Gloukh 1 2
Abdellah Ouazane 1 1
Owen Wijndal 1 1

Thun

Player G A
Brighton Labeau 1 0
Furkan Dursun 1 0

Goals and assists in the Conference League this season.

Corners and yellow cards

Ajax Thun
  • 7.0 Corners won 2.3
  • 4.7 Corners conceded 4.7
  • 0.7 Yellow cards 2.3
  • 1.7 Opponents' yellow cards 1.3

Per match in the Conference League this season. Average per club and match: 5.0 corners, 1.9 yellow cards.

Attack and defence ratings

AjaxThun
Attack 89 63 3.0 goals per match this season1.0 goals per match this season
Defence 71 11 1.0 conceded per match this season1.0 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Conference League clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.

1873Elo #73 Elo rating 1680Elo #259

Head-to-head

Ajax and Thun have not met in our records since 2010.

Table

#Team PWDLGoalsGDPts
1 Lugano 3 300 11:4 +7 9
2 Panathinaikos 3 300 9:3 +6 9
3 FC Twente 3 300 8:2 +6 9
4 Monaco 3 300 7:1 +6 9
5 Brighton & Hove Albion 3 210 5:0 +5 7
6 FC København 3 210 7:3 +4 7
7 Brann 3 210 7:3 +4 7
8 Universitatea Craiova 3 210 6:2 +4 7
9 Mjällby 3 210 5:1 +4 7
10 St.Truiden 3 210 4:1 +3 7
11 Ajax 3 201 9:3 +6 6
12 Trabzonspor 3 201 6:3 +3 6
13 Hajduk Split 3 201 3:2 +1 6
14 Freiburg 3 201 4:5 -1 6
15 FK Crvena Zvezda 3 111 6:6 0 4
16 Atalanta 3 111 4:4 0 4
17 Braga 3 111 2:3 -1 4
18 Gent 3 111 1:2 -1 4
19 Thun 3 102 3:3 0 3
20 Riga FC 3 030 3:3 0 3
21 Borac Banja Luka 3 102 3:4 -1 3
22 Lincoln Red Imps FC 3 102 3:6 -3 3
23 Jablonec 3 021 3:4 -1 2
24 AGF 3 021 1:2 -1 2
25 Nordsjælland 3 021 3:5 -2 2
26 Egnatia 3 021 2:4 -2 2
27 Kairat Almaty 3 021 3:7 -4 2
28 CSKA Sofia 3 012 4:6 -2 1
29 Iberia 1999 3 012 2:5 -3 1
30 Pafos FC 3 012 3:7 -4 1
31 Getafe 3 012 3:7 -4 1
32 KuPS 3 012 2:6 -4 1
33 Heart of Midlothian 3 012 2:6 -4 1
34 FC Midtjylland 3 012 2:8 -6 1
35 Inter Club d'Escaldes 3 003 2:7 -5 0
36 FK Kauno Žalgiris 3 003 1:11 -10 0

Our table from the results; the two clubs of this match are highlighted. Full table

Season projection

Members

Where these two clubs are projected to finish in the Conference League: average points, likely range and chances.

ClubPts Avg ptsLikely Top 8Play-off round Win it
Ajax 6
Thun 3

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