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Conference League · League phase, matchday 4

Heart of Midlothian vs Monaco: Match Preview & Stats

Heart of Midlothian crest Heart of Midlothian
vs
Monaco crest Monaco
Tynecastle Park, Edinburgh

Our picks

Model predictions are published 48 hours before kick-off

To take in the latest form and rest days, the predictions for this match come out on . (If either team plays another match in between, they come out once that match is over.)

See today's ready predictions →

Our record

  • Heart of Midlothian: 2 of 3 right
  • Monaco: 3 of 8 right

Our result picks in each club's earlier matches on this site.

Match facts

Competition
Conference League, League phase, matchday 4
Kick-off
Venue
Tynecastle Park, Edinburgh
Since last match
Heart of Midlothian: 5 days (Premiership) · Thun (3‑1) Monaco: 4 days (Ligue 1) · Auxerre
Next match
Heart of Midlothian: 2 days (Premiership) later Monaco: 3 days (Ligue 1) later

Last starting XI

Heart of Midlothian 5-4-1

  1. 1 Reus
  2. 64 Fagan-Walcott
  3. 17 Findlay
  4. 5 McCart
  5. 23 Altena
  6. 3 Kingsley
  7. 29 Kerjota
  8. 78 Mendy
  9. 19 Guendouz
  10. 15 McPake
  11. 10 Braga

Coach: Wouter Vrancken at Thun, 1-3 · Conference League · 5 Nov

Monaco 4-2-3-1

  1. 1 Hrádecky
  2. 2 Vanderson
  3. 72 Sané
  4. 15 Dier
  5. 20 Nazinho
  6. 6 Zakaria
  7. 8 Camara
  8. 28 Coulibaly
  9. 10 Golovin
  10. 7 Detourbet
  11. 11 Abline

Coach: Filipe Luís at Le Mans, 1-1 · Ligue 1 · 8 Nov

Our predicted line-ups come with our picks, 48 hours before kick-off. Until then: each club's last starting XI.

Injuries and suspensions

Heart of Midlothian

  • DF Christian Dahle BorchgrevinkInjured · Mid November 2026
  • DF Harry MilneInjured · Out for the season
  • DF Oisin McEnteeInjured · About 1-2 weeks
  • DF Stephen KingsleyInjured · Late November 2026
  • MF Tómas MagnússonInjured · About 1-2 weeks
  • FW Calvin MillerInjured · Early January 2027
  • FW Rogers MatoInjured · Doubtful
  • – Blair SpittalInjured · Mid November 2026
  • – Craig HalkettInjured · Late November 2026

Monaco

  • FW Ansu FatiInjured · Late December 2026
  • FW Stanis IdumboInjured · About 1-2 weeks

Players listed as injured, suspended or away with their national team, with their expected return.

Missing Players Impact

Heart of Midlothian

High impact
Missing attack share 29.0%
Missing minutes share 24.0%
9 players out 2 regular starters out
Key absences:
  • DF Oisin McEntee 10% attack · 3% mins
  • FW Calvin Miller 8% attack · 5% mins

Monaco

Low impact
Missing attack share 8.0%
Missing minutes share 3.0%
2 players out
Key absences:
  • FW Ansu Fati 5% attack · 2% mins
  • FW Stanis Idumbo 3% attack · 2% mins

Share of team playing time and attacking output over the last 10 matches accounted for by unavailable players.

Game-State Scenarios & Goal Timing

Heart of Midlothian

When scoring first 50% won · 100% unbeaten (2 matches)
When conceding first 29% points rescued · 14% won (7 matches)
1st Half: 50% 2nd Half: 50%
First 15': 0% Last 15' (76-90'): 25%

Monaco

When scoring first 67% won · 89% unbeaten (9 matches)
When conceding first 50% points rescued · 17% won (6 matches)
1st Half: 54% 2nd Half: 46%
First 15': 17% Last 15' (76-90'): 17%

Reaction to scoring or conceding first and goal distribution across the last 15 matches.

Key Attacking Threats

Heart of Midlothian

  1. 1. FW Joshua McPake 0G · 0A
    Team attack 11.0% Team shots 22.0%
  2. 2. DF Jamie McCart 0G · 1A
    Team attack 10.0% Team shots 4.0%
  3. 3. FW Cláudio Braga 0G · 0A
    Team attack 9.0% Team shots 11.0%

Monaco

  1. 1. FW Paris Brunner 4G · 1A
    Team attack 15.0% Team shots 17.0%
  2. 2. FW Matthis Abline 2G · 2A
    Team attack 13.0% Team shots 14.0%
  3. 3. MF Aleksandr Golovin 0G · 1A
    Team attack 9.0% Team shots 8.0%

Top available players by share of team attacking production and shot volume over the last 10 matches.

Heart of Midlothian Monaco
Over 1.5 goals 10/10 9/10
Over 2.5 goals 6/10 5/10
Over 3.5 goals 5/10 2/10
Both teams scored 7/10 7/10
Clean sheet 2/10 2/10
Failed to score 1/10 1/10
Goals per match (scored / conceded) 1.6 / 2.3 1.5 / 1.1

Last 10 matches, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Form guide

Heart of Midlothian

  • L 2-5 vs Falkirk (H) Premiership · 8 Nov
  • L 1-3 at Thun (A) Conference League · 5 Nov
  • D 2-2 vs Rangers (H) Premiership · 28 Oct
  • W 2-0 at Motherwell (A) Premiership · 25 Oct
  • L 0-2 at Trabzonspor (A) Conference League · 22 Oct

Monaco

  • D 1-1 at Le Mans (A) Ligue 1 · 8 Nov
  • W 2-0 vs Nordsjælland (H) Conference League · 5 Nov
  • L 1-3 at Paris FC (A) Ligue 1 · 1 Nov
  • D 1-1 vs Lille (H) Ligue 1 · 25 Oct
  • W 3-0 vs Freiburg (H) Conference League · 22 Oct

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

When the goals come

ScoredConceded

Heart of Midlothian

Monaco

Goals in each 15-minute period, Conference League this season. Stoppage time counts with its half.

Top scorers

Heart of Midlothian

Player G A
Oisin McEntee 1 0
Stuart Findlay 1 0

Monaco

Player G A
Paris Brunner 2 1
Ansu Fati 2 0
Mathys Detourbet 1 1
Matthis Abline 1 1
Lamine Camara 1 0

Goals and assists in the Conference League this season.

Corners and yellow cards

Heart of Midlothian Monaco
  • 4.0 Corners won 3.7
  • 5.7 Corners conceded 8.7
  • 2.3 Yellow cards 1.7
  • 2.7 Opponents' yellow cards 2.0

Per match in the Conference League this season. Average per club and match: 5.0 corners, 1.9 yellow cards.

Attack and defence ratings

Heart of MidlothianMonaco
Attack 34 97 0.7 goals per match this season2.3 goals per match this season
Defence 20 89 2.0 conceded per match this season0.3 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Conference League clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.

1663Elo #283 Elo rating 1954Elo #45

Head-to-head

Heart of Midlothian and Monaco have not met in our records since 2010.

Table

#Team PWDLGoalsGDPts
1 Lugano 3 300 11:4 +7 9
2 Panathinaikos 3 300 9:3 +6 9
3 FC Twente 3 300 8:2 +6 9
4 Monaco 3 300 7:1 +6 9
5 Brighton & Hove Albion 3 210 5:0 +5 7
6 FC København 3 210 7:3 +4 7
7 Brann 3 210 7:3 +4 7
8 Universitatea Craiova 3 210 6:2 +4 7
9 Mjällby 3 210 5:1 +4 7
10 St.Truiden 3 210 4:1 +3 7
11 Ajax 3 201 9:3 +6 6
12 Trabzonspor 3 201 6:3 +3 6
13 Hajduk Split 3 201 3:2 +1 6
14 Freiburg 3 201 4:5 -1 6
15 FK Crvena Zvezda 3 111 6:6 0 4
16 Atalanta 3 111 4:4 0 4
17 Braga 3 111 2:3 -1 4
18 Gent 3 111 1:2 -1 4
19 Thun 3 102 3:3 0 3
20 Riga FC 3 030 3:3 0 3
21 Borac Banja Luka 3 102 3:4 -1 3
22 Lincoln Red Imps FC 3 102 3:6 -3 3
23 Jablonec 3 021 3:4 -1 2
24 AGF 3 021 1:2 -1 2
25 Nordsjælland 3 021 3:5 -2 2
26 Egnatia 3 021 2:4 -2 2
27 Kairat Almaty 3 021 3:7 -4 2
28 CSKA Sofia 3 012 4:6 -2 1
29 Iberia 1999 3 012 2:5 -3 1
30 Pafos FC 3 012 3:7 -4 1
31 Getafe 3 012 3:7 -4 1
32 KuPS 3 012 2:6 -4 1
33 Heart of Midlothian 3 012 2:6 -4 1
34 FC Midtjylland 3 012 2:8 -6 1
35 Inter Club d'Escaldes 3 003 2:7 -5 0
36 FK Kauno Žalgiris 3 003 1:11 -10 0

Our table from the results; the two clubs of this match are highlighted. Full table

Season projection

Members

Where these two clubs are projected to finish in the Conference League: average points, likely range and chances.

ClubPts Avg ptsLikely Top 8Play-off round Win it
Heart of Midlothian 1
Monaco 9

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