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Conference League · League phase, matchday 4

Brann vs AGF: Match Preview & Stats

vs
AGF crest AGF
Brann Stadion, Bergen

Our picks

Model predictions are published 48 hours before kick-off

To take in the latest form and rest days, the predictions for this match come out on . (If either team plays another match in between, they come out once that match is over.)

See today's ready predictions →

Our record

  • Brann: 2 of 3 right
  • AGF: 1 of 3 right

Our result picks in each club's earlier matches on this site.

Match facts

Competition
Conference League, League phase, matchday 4
Kick-off
Venue
Brann Stadion, Bergen
Since last match
Brann: 4 days (Eliteserien) · St.Truiden (1‑1) AGF: 5 days (Superligaen) · Braga (0‑0)
Next match
Brann: 2 days (Eliteserien) later AGF: 2 days (Superligaen) later

Last starting XI

Brann 4-3-3

  1. 12 Nilsen
  2. 2 Cornic
  3. 3 Knudsen
  4. 23 Pedersen
  5. 15 Torsvik
  6. 10 Ingason
  7. 21 Kasanwirjo
  8. 25 Wassberg
  9. 14 Mathisen
  10. 29 Holm
  11. 9 Castro

Coach: Eirik Horneland at St.Truiden, 1-1 · Conference League · 5 Nov

AGF 3-4-2-1

  1. 21 Christiansen
  2. 14 Mølgaard
  3. 25 Rösler
  4. 33 Callø
  5. 29 Carstensen
  6. 10 Arnstad
  7. 4 Knudsen
  8. 11 Links
  9. 8 Jørgensen
  10. 18 McCowatt
  11. 27 Tchamche

Coach: Jakob Poulsen vs Braga, 0-0 · Conference League · 5 Nov

Our predicted line-ups come with our picks, 48 hours before kick-off. Until then: each club's last starting XI.

Injuries and suspensions

Brann

  • DF Nana BoakyeInjured · Out for the season
  • MF Eggert GuðmundssonInjured · Late November 2026
  • MF Jacob Lungi SørensenInjured · A few weeks
  • MF Sondre TronstadInjured · Late November 2026

AGF

  • DF Frederik TingagerInjured · Out for the season
  • FW Janni SerraInjured · Late November 2026
  • – Kevin YakobInjured · Day to day

Players listed as injured, suspended or away with their national team, with their expected return.

Missing Players Impact

Brann

Moderate impact
Missing attack share 11.0%
Missing minutes share 11.0%
4 players out 2 regular starters out
Key absences:
  • MF Eggert Guðmundsson 8% attack · 5% mins
  • MF Jacob Lungi Sørensen 3% attack · 6% mins

AGF

Low impact
Missing attack share 1.0%
Missing minutes share 4.0%
3 players out

Share of team playing time and attacking output over the last 3 matches accounted for by unavailable players.

Game-State Scenarios & Goal Timing

Brann

When scoring first 100% won · 100% unbeaten (3 matches)
When conceding first 44% points rescued · 11% won (9 matches)
1st Half: 38% 2nd Half: 62%
First 15': 6% Last 15' (76-90'): 38%

AGF

When scoring first No matches in sample
When conceding first 50% points rescued · 0% won (2 matches)

Reaction to scoring or conceding first and goal distribution across the last 15 matches.

Key Attacking Threats

Brann

  1. 1. FW Noah Holm 3G · 0A
    Team attack 20.0% Team shots 24.0%
  2. 2. FW Niklas Castro 3G · 0A
    Team attack 18.0% Team shots 10.0%
  3. 3. MF Kristall Ingason 0G · 1A
    Team attack 12.0% Team shots 16.0%

AGF

  1. 1. FW James Bogere 1G · 0A
    Team attack 18.0% Team shots 15.0%
  2. 2. FW Sebastian Jørgensen 0G · 1A
    Team attack 15.0% Team shots 19.0%
  3. 3. MF Kristian Arnstad 0G · 0A
    Team attack 11.0% Team shots 7.0%

Top available players by share of team attacking production and shot volume over the last 10 matches.

Scoring trends Brann AGF
Over 1.5 goals 10/10 8/10
Over 2.5 goals 7/10 3/10
Over 3.5 goals 5/10 1/10
Both teams scored 8/10 4/10
Clean sheet 0/10 3/10
Failed to score 2/10 4/10
Goals per match (scored / conceded) 1.7 / 1.8 1.1 / 1.0

Last 10 matches, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Form guide

Brann

  • D 2-2 at Fredrikstad (A) Eliteserien · 8 Nov
  • D 1-1 at St.Truiden (A) Conference League · 5 Nov
  • W 3-2 vs Molde (H) Eliteserien · 1 Nov
  • L 2-3 at Lillestrøm (A) Eliteserien · 25 Oct
  • W 4-1 at FK Kauno Žalgiris (A) Conference League · 22 Oct

AGF

  • W 2-0 vs AC Horsens (H) Superligaen · 8 Nov
  • D 0-0 vs Braga (H) Conference League · 5 Nov
  • L 0-2 at Brøndby IF (A) Superligaen · 1 Nov
  • W 2-1 vs Viborg (H) Superligaen · 25 Oct
  • D 1-1 vs Egnatia (H) Conference League · 22 Oct

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

When the goals come

ScoredConceded

Brann

  • 1-15 minutes: 1 scored, 1 conceded
  • 16-30 minutes: 1 scored, 0 conceded
  • 31-45 minutes: 1 scored, 0 conceded
  • 46-60 minutes: 0 scored, 2 conceded
  • 61-75 minutes: 1 scored, 0 conceded
  • 76-90 minutes: 3 scored, 0 conceded

AGF

  • 1-15 minutes: 0 scored, 1 conceded
  • 16-30 minutes: 0 scored, 0 conceded
  • 31-45 minutes: 0 scored, 0 conceded
  • 46-60 minutes: 1 scored, 0 conceded
  • 61-75 minutes: 0 scored, 0 conceded
  • 76-90 minutes: 0 scored, 1 conceded

Goals in each 15-minute period, Conference League this season. Stoppage time counts with its half.

Top scorers

Brann

Player G A
Niklas Castro (1 pen) 3 0
Noah Holm 3 0
Ulrik Mathisen 1 0

AGF

Player G A
James Bogere 1 0

Goals and assists in the Conference League this season.

Corners and yellow cards

Brann AGF
  • 9.3 Corners won 3.0
  • 2.3 Corners conceded 7.3
  • 1.3 Yellow cards 1.7
  • 2.0 Opponents' yellow cards 2.7

Per match in the Conference League this season. Average per club and match: 5.0 corners, 1.9 yellow cards.

Attack and defence ratings

BrannAGF
Attack 57 43 2.3 goals per match this season0.3 goals per match this season
Defence 40 46 1.0 conceded per match this season0.7 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Conference League clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.

1725Elo #204 Elo rating 1738Elo #187

Head-to-head

Brann and AGF have not met in our records since 2010.

Table

Conference League: Table
#Team PWDLGoalsGDPts
1 Lugano 3 300 11:4 +7 9
2 Panathinaikos 3 300 9:3 +6 9
3 FC Twente 3 300 8:2 +6 9
4 Monaco 3 300 7:1 +6 9
5 Brighton & Hove Albion 3 210 5:0 +5 7
6 FC København 3 210 7:3 +4 7
7 Brann 3 210 7:3 +4 7
8 Universitatea Craiova 3 210 6:2 +4 7
9 Mjällby 3 210 5:1 +4 7
10 St.Truiden 3 210 4:1 +3 7
11 Ajax 3 201 9:3 +6 6
12 Trabzonspor 3 201 6:3 +3 6
13 Hajduk Split 3 201 3:2 +1 6
14 Freiburg 3 201 4:5 -1 6
15 FK Crvena Zvezda 3 111 6:6 0 4
16 Atalanta 3 111 4:4 0 4
17 Braga 3 111 2:3 -1 4
18 Gent 3 111 1:2 -1 4
19 Thun 3 102 3:3 0 3
20 Riga FC 3 030 3:3 0 3
21 Borac Banja Luka 3 102 3:4 -1 3
22 Lincoln Red Imps FC 3 102 3:6 -3 3
23 Jablonec 3 021 3:4 -1 2
24 AGF 3 021 1:2 -1 2
25 Nordsjælland 3 021 3:5 -2 2
26 Egnatia 3 021 2:4 -2 2
27 Kairat Almaty 3 021 3:7 -4 2
28 CSKA Sofia 3 012 4:6 -2 1
29 Iberia 1999 3 012 2:5 -3 1
30 Pafos FC 3 012 3:7 -4 1
31 Getafe 3 012 3:7 -4 1
32 KuPS 3 012 2:6 -4 1
33 Heart of Midlothian 3 012 2:6 -4 1
34 FC Midtjylland 3 012 2:8 -6 1
35 Inter Club d'Escaldes 3 003 2:7 -5 0
36 FK Kauno Žalgiris 3 003 1:11 -10 0

Our table from the results; the two clubs of this match are highlighted. Full table

Season projection

Members

Where these two clubs are projected to finish in the Conference League: average points, likely range and chances.

ClubPts Avg ptsLikely Top 8Play-off round Win it
Brann 7
AGF 2

For members

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