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Conference League · League phase, matchday 4

Jablonec vs Lugano: Match Preview & Stats

Jablonec crest Jablonec
vs
Lugano crest Lugano
Stadion Střelnice, Jablonec nad Nisou

Our picks

Model predictions are published 48 hours before kick-off

To take in the latest form and rest days, the predictions for this match come out on . (If either team plays another match in between, they come out once that match is over.)

See today's ready predictions →

Our record

  • Jablonec: 1 of 3 right
  • Lugano: 2 of 3 right

Our result picks in each club's earlier matches on this site.

Match facts

Competition
Conference League, League phase, matchday 4
Kick-off
Venue
Stadion Střelnice, Jablonec nad Nisou
Since last match
Jablonec: 5 days (1. Liga) · Riga FC (1‑1) Lugano: 5 days (Super League) · FK Kauno Žalgiris (3‑0)
Next match
Jablonec: 2 days (1. Liga) later Lugano: 2 days (Super League) later

Last starting XI

Jablonec 3-5-2

  1. 99 Mihelak
  2. 18 Cedidla
  3. 15 Pavlović
  4. 15 Sláma
  5. 7 Tchanturishvili
  6. 24 Hollý
  7. 13 Sedlácek
  8. 25 Nebyla
  9. 21 Polidar
  10. 9 Růsek
  11. 17 Alioum

Coach: Luboš Kozel at Riga FC, 1-1 · Conference League · 5 Nov

Lugano 3-5-2

  1. 16 von Ballmoos
  2. 6 Papadopoulos
  3. 17 Mai
  4. 26 Marques
  5. 2 Karimov
  6. 21 Cimignani
  7. 14 Kendouci
  8. 25 Bislimi
  9. 7 Alioski
  10. 9 Ajeti
  11. 27 Dos Santos

Coach: Mattia Croci-Torti vs FK Kauno Žalgiris, 3-0 · Conference League · 5 Nov

Our predicted line-ups come with our picks, 48 hours before kick-off. Until then: each club's last starting XI.

Injuries and suspensions

Jablonec

  • GK Jan HanušInjured · Late November 2026
  • FW Kevin-Prince MillaInjured · Late November 2026

Lugano

  • GK David von BallmoosInjured · About a week
  • DF Hannes DelcroixInjured · About 1-2 weeks
  • FW Dereck MoncadaInjured · Doubtful
  • – Claudio CassanoInjured · Return unknown

Players listed as injured, suspended or away with their national team, with their expected return.

Missing Players Impact

Jablonec

Moderate impact
Missing attack share 0.0%
Missing minutes share 5.0%
2 players out 1 regular starter out
Key absences:
  • GK Jan Hanuš 0% attack · 5% mins

Lugano

Moderate impact
Missing attack share 9.0%
Missing minutes share 16.0%
4 players out 2 regular starters out
Key absences:
  • FW Dereck Moncada 8% attack · 2% mins
  • GK David von Ballmoos 0% attack · 8% mins

Share of team playing time and attacking output over the last 3 matches accounted for by unavailable players.

Game-State Scenarios & Goal Timing

Jablonec

When scoring first No matches in sample
When conceding first 50% points rescued · 0% won (2 matches)
1st Half: 33% 2nd Half: 67%
First 15': 0% Last 15' (76-90'): 33%

Lugano

When scoring first 100% won · 100% unbeaten (6 matches)
When conceding first 60% points rescued · 40% won (5 matches)
1st Half: 62% 2nd Half: 38%
First 15': 19% Last 15' (76-90'): 23%

Reaction to scoring or conceding first and goal distribution across the last 15 matches.

Key Attacking Threats

Jablonec

  1. 1. MF Sebastian Nebyla 1G · 0A
    Team attack 19.0% Team shots 16.0%
  2. 2. FW Antonín Růsek 1G · 0A
    Team attack 13.0% Team shots 13.0%
  3. 3. FW Dominik Hollý 0G · 1A
    Team attack 12.0% Team shots 16.0%

Lugano

  1. 1. FW Albian Ajeti 3G · 0A
    Team attack 17.0% Team shots 17.0%
  2. 2. MF Daniel Dos Santos 1G · 2A
    Team attack 14.0% Team shots 12.0%
  3. 3. MF Yanis Cimignani 2G · 1A
    Team attack 14.0% Team shots 12.0%

Top available players by share of team attacking production and shot volume over the last 10 matches.

Jablonec Lugano
Over 1.5 goals 7/10 10/10
Over 2.5 goals 4/10 10/10
Over 3.5 goals 3/10 8/10
Both teams scored 5/10 6/10
Clean sheet 3/10 3/10
Failed to score 4/10 1/10
Goals per match (scored / conceded) 0.9 / 1.6 3.0 / 1.5

Last 10 matches, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Form guide

Jablonec

  • D 0-0 vs Mladá Boleslav (H) 1. Liga · 8 Nov
  • D 1-1 at Riga FC (A) Conference League · 5 Nov
  • L 0-5 vs Slavia Prague (H) 1. Liga · 31 Oct
  • W 2-1 at Hradec Králové (A) 1. Liga · 25 Oct
  • D 0-0 vs Brighton & Hove Albion (H) Conference League · 22 Oct

Lugano

  • L 0-5 at St. Gallen (A) Super League · 8 Nov
  • W 3-0 vs FK Kauno Žalgiris (H) Conference League · 5 Nov
  • W 2-1 vs Basel (H) Super League · 1 Nov
  • W 3-2 at Thun (A) Super League · 25 Oct
  • W 5-2 at Getafe (A) Conference League · 22 Oct

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

When the goals come

ScoredConceded

Jablonec

Lugano

Goals in each 15-minute period, Conference League this season. Stoppage time counts with its half.

Top scorers

Jablonec

Player G A
Antonín Růsek 1 0
Garang Kuol 1 0
Sebastian Nebyla 1 0

Lugano

Player G A
Albian Ajeti 3 0
Yanis Cimignani 2 1
Daniel Dos Santos 1 2
Dereck Moncada 1 1
Anto Grgic (1 pen) 1 0

Goals and assists in the Conference League this season.

Corners and yellow cards

Jablonec Lugano
  • 2.7 Corners won 3.7
  • 5.7 Corners conceded 6.7
  • 3.0 Yellow cards 2.7
  • 1.0 Opponents' yellow cards 2.3

Per match in the Conference League this season. Average per club and match: 5.0 corners, 1.9 yellow cards.

Attack and defence ratings

JablonecLugano
Attack 26 51 1.0 goals per match this season3.7 goals per match this season
Defence 29 51 1.3 conceded per match this season1.3 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Conference League clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.

1649Elo #297 Elo rating 1814Elo #119

Head-to-head

Jablonec and Lugano have not met in our records since 2010.

Table

#Team PWDLGoalsGDPts
1 Lugano 3 300 11:4 +7 9
2 Panathinaikos 3 300 9:3 +6 9
3 FC Twente 3 300 8:2 +6 9
4 Monaco 3 300 7:1 +6 9
5 Brighton & Hove Albion 3 210 5:0 +5 7
6 FC København 3 210 7:3 +4 7
7 Brann 3 210 7:3 +4 7
8 Universitatea Craiova 3 210 6:2 +4 7
9 Mjällby 3 210 5:1 +4 7
10 St.Truiden 3 210 4:1 +3 7
11 Ajax 3 201 9:3 +6 6
12 Trabzonspor 3 201 6:3 +3 6
13 Hajduk Split 3 201 3:2 +1 6
14 Freiburg 3 201 4:5 -1 6
15 FK Crvena Zvezda 3 111 6:6 0 4
16 Atalanta 3 111 4:4 0 4
17 Braga 3 111 2:3 -1 4
18 Gent 3 111 1:2 -1 4
19 Thun 3 102 3:3 0 3
20 Riga FC 3 030 3:3 0 3
21 Borac Banja Luka 3 102 3:4 -1 3
22 Lincoln Red Imps FC 3 102 3:6 -3 3
23 Jablonec 3 021 3:4 -1 2
24 AGF 3 021 1:2 -1 2
25 Nordsjælland 3 021 3:5 -2 2
26 Egnatia 3 021 2:4 -2 2
27 Kairat Almaty 3 021 3:7 -4 2
28 CSKA Sofia 3 012 4:6 -2 1
29 Iberia 1999 3 012 2:5 -3 1
30 Pafos FC 3 012 3:7 -4 1
31 Getafe 3 012 3:7 -4 1
32 KuPS 3 012 2:6 -4 1
33 Heart of Midlothian 3 012 2:6 -4 1
34 FC Midtjylland 3 012 2:8 -6 1
35 Inter Club d'Escaldes 3 003 2:7 -5 0
36 FK Kauno Žalgiris 3 003 1:11 -10 0

Our table from the results; the two clubs of this match are highlighted. Full table

Season projection

Members

Where these two clubs are projected to finish in the Conference League: average points, likely range and chances.

ClubPts Avg ptsLikely Top 8Play-off round Win it
Jablonec 2
Lugano 9

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Every club's chance of every place, from our simulated seasons, updated daily.

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