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Europa League · League phase, matchday 5

NEC Nijmegen vs Rennes: Match Preview & Stats

Goffertstadion, Nijmegen

Our picks

Model predictions are published 48 hours before kick-off

To take in the latest form and rest days, the predictions for this match come out on . (If either team plays another match in between, they come out once that match is over.)

See today's ready predictions →

Our record

  • NEC Nijmegen: 2 of 8 right
  • Rennes: 4 of 8 right

Our result picks in each club's earlier matches on this site.

Match facts

Competition
Europa League, League phase, matchday 5
Kick-off
Venue
Goffertstadion, Nijmegen
Since last match
NEC Nijmegen: 5 days (Eredivisie) · PSV Eindhoven Rennes: 4 days (Ligue 1) · Lorient
Next match
NEC Nijmegen: 2 days (Eredivisie) later Rennes: 2 days (Ligue 1) later

Last starting XI

NEC Nijmegen 3-4-3

  1. 1 Crettaz
  2. 73 Brás
  3. 14 Kaplan
  4. 24 Fonville
  5. 34 Kers
  6. 6 Nejašmić
  7. 20 Lebreton
  8. 5 Bakker
  9. 9 Chery
  10. 30 Linssen
  11. 10 Tadić

Coach: Dick Schreuder at FC Utrecht, 3-2 · Eredivisie · 8 Nov

Rennes 3-5-2

  1. 30 Samba
  2. 48 Aït Boudlal
  3. 4 Cresswell
  4. 5 Oliveira
  5. 14 Reynolds
  6. 28 Thomasson
  7. 21 Rongier
  8. 45 Camara
  9. 18 Nagida
  10. 12 Mayenda
  11. 22 Dia

Coach: Franck Haise vs Lille, 1-2 · Ligue 1 · 8 Nov

Our predicted line-ups come with our picks, 48 hours before kick-off. Until then: each club's last starting XI.

Injuries and suspensions

NEC Nijmegen

  • DF Bram NuytinckInjured · Late November 2026
  • MF Dennis GeigerInjured · Late November 2026
  • MF Emre MorInjured · Day to day

Rennes

  • DF Przemysław FrankowskiInjured · Doubtful
  • FW Estéban LepaulInjured · About 1-2 weeks

Players listed as injured, suspended or away with their national team, with their expected return.

Missing Players Impact

NEC Nijmegen

Low impact
Missing attack share 3.0%
Missing minutes share 3.0%
3 players out
Key absences:
  • MF Dennis Geiger 3% attack · 2% mins

Rennes

Moderate impact
Missing attack share 16.0%
Missing minutes share 7.0%
2 players out 2 regular starters out
Key absences:
  • FW Estéban Lepaul 13% attack · 3% mins
  • DF Przemysław Frankowski 3% attack · 3% mins

Share of team playing time and attacking output over the last 10 matches accounted for by unavailable players.

Tactical Profile & Play Quality (0–100)

NEC Nijmegen Rennes
Box & Territory Pressure 70 61
Set-Piece & Corner Threat 53 58
Finishing Efficiency 70 86
Defensive & Goalkeeper Wall 60 31
Underlying Play Power 42 54
NEC Nijmegen Balanced (results match underlying play)
Rennes Playing above results (positive regression candidate)

OptimaGoal 0–100 performance indices built from the last 10 matches before kick-off.

Game-State Scenarios & Goal Timing

NEC Nijmegen

When scoring first 60% won · 100% unbeaten (5 matches)
When conceding first 50% points rescued · 10% won (10 matches)
1st Half: 43% 2nd Half: 57%
First 15': 13% Last 15' (76-90'): 22%

Rennes

When scoring first 83% won · 100% unbeaten (6 matches)
When conceding first 29% points rescued · 14% won (7 matches)
1st Half: 54% 2nd Half: 46%
First 15': 23% Last 15' (76-90'): 27%

Reaction to scoring or conceding first and goal distribution across the last 15 matches.

Key Attacking Threats

NEC Nijmegen

  1. 1. MF Tjaronn Chery 3G · 2A
    Team attack 15.0% Team shots 15.0%
  2. 2. FW Bryan Linssen 4G · 0A
    Team attack 12.0% Team shots 15.0%
  3. 3. MF Clement Bischoff 3G · 1A
    Team attack 12.0% Team shots 9.0%

Rennes

  1. 1. FW Boulaye Dia 7G · 0A
    Team attack 13.0% Team shots 6.0%
  2. 2. FW Mousa Tamari 1G · 1A
    Team attack 9.0% Team shots 10.0%
  3. 3. DF Mahamadou Nagida 1G · 2A
    Team attack 9.0% Team shots 9.0%

Top available players by share of team attacking production and shot volume over the last 10 matches.

Scoring trends NEC Nijmegen Rennes
Over 1.5 goals 9/10 8/10
Over 2.5 goals 6/10 8/10
Over 3.5 goals 6/10 5/10
Both teams scored 8/10 6/10
Clean sheet 0/10 3/10
Failed to score 2/10 3/10
Goals per match (scored / conceded) 1.7 / 1.8 1.7 / 1.9

Last 10 matches, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Form guide

NEC Nijmegen

  • W 3-2 at FC Utrecht (A) Eredivisie · 8 Nov
  • W 3-1 vs Omonia Nicosia (H) Europa League · 5 Nov
  • L 0-1 at SC Heerenveen (A) Eredivisie · 31 Oct
  • D 2-2 vs FC Groningen (H) Eredivisie · 25 Oct
  • W 4-2 at Dinamo Zagreb (A) Europa League · 22 Oct

Rennes

  • L 1-2 vs Lille (H) Ligue 1 · 8 Nov
  • D 0-0 vs Olympiacos (H) Europa League · 4 Nov
  • L 2-5 at Nice (A) Ligue 1 · 30 Oct
  • W 3-0 vs Strasbourg (H) Ligue 1 · 25 Oct
  • D 2-2 at Juventus (A) Europa League · 22 Oct

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

When the goals come

ScoredConceded

NEC Nijmegen

  • 1-15 minutes: 0 scored, 1 conceded
  • 16-30 minutes: 1 scored, 2 conceded
  • 31-45 minutes: 1 scored, 4 conceded
  • 46-60 minutes: 2 scored, 0 conceded
  • 61-75 minutes: 2 scored, 1 conceded
  • 76-90 minutes: 2 scored, 1 conceded

Rennes

  • 1-15 minutes: 1 scored, 2 conceded
  • 16-30 minutes: 0 scored, 0 conceded
  • 31-45 minutes: 1 scored, 0 conceded
  • 46-60 minutes: 0 scored, 0 conceded
  • 61-75 minutes: 0 scored, 1 conceded
  • 76-90 minutes: 2 scored, 0 conceded

Goals in each 15-minute period, Europa League this season. Stoppage time counts with its half.

Top scorers

NEC Nijmegen

Player G A
Bryan Linssen 4 0
Clement Bischoff 2 1
Tjaronn Chery 2 1

Rennes

Player G A
Abdelhamid Aït Boudlal 1 0
Boulaye Dia (1 pen) 1 0
Mahamadou Nagida 1 0
Mousa Tamari 1 0

Goals and assists in the Europa League this season.

Corners and yellow cards

NEC Nijmegen Rennes
  • 3.5 Corners won 6.2
  • 2.0 Corners conceded 4.5
  • 1.2 Yellow cards 1.0
  • 0.5 Opponents' yellow cards 1.2

Per match in the Europa League this season. Average per club and match: 4.7 corners, 1.9 yellow cards.

Attack and defence ratings

NEC NijmegenRennes
Attack 37 86 2.0 goals per match this season1.0 goals per match this season
Defence 14 51 2.3 conceded per match this season0.8 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Europa League clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.

1731Elo #197 Elo rating 1909Elo #56

Head-to-head

NEC Nijmegen and Rennes have not met in our records since 2010.

Table

Europa League: Table
#Team PWDLGoalsGDPts
1 Benfica 4 400 13:3 +10 12
2 AFC Bournemouth 4 400 11:2 +9 12
3 Ferencváros 4 400 11:3 +8 12
4 Union St.Gilloise 4 310 10:2 +8 10
5 Juventus 4 310 11:4 +7 10
6 Olympiacos 4 310 4:1 +3 10
7 Bayer Leverkusen 4 301 8:1 +7 9
8 Beşiktaş 4 211 11:8 +3 7
9 Dinamo Zagreb 4 211 5:4 +1 7
10 Levski Sofia 4 211 4:3 +1 7
11 Sunderland 4 211 4:4 0 7
12 NEC Nijmegen 4 211 8:9 -1 7
13 Lyon 4 211 6:7 -1 7
14 AZ Alkmaar 4 202 7:4 +3 6
15 Anderlecht 4 202 6:3 +3 6
16 OFI Crete 4 202 5:4 +1 6
17 Rennes 4 130 4:3 +1 6
18 Omonia Nicosia 4 202 6:7 -1 6
19 Torreense 4 202 7:9 -2 6
20 Real Sociedad 4 121 9:4 +5 5
21 Crystal Palace 4 121 9:6 +3 5
22 Hoffenheim 4 112 6:6 0 4
23 Sparta Prague 4 112 6:6 0 4
24 Sturm Graz 4 112 3:6 -3 4
25 NK Celje 4 112 5:9 -4 4
26 Salzburg 4 112 3:8 -5 4
27 Celta Vigo 4 103 4:6 -2 3
28 Jagiellonia Białystok 4 103 4:7 -3 3
29 Milan 4 103 4:7 -3 3
30 Viktoria Plzeň 4 103 3:7 -4 3
31 Marseille 4 103 2:6 -4 3
32 Celtic 4 103 6:11 -5 3
33 Hapoel Beer Sheva 4 013 1:8 -7 1
34 Lillestrøm 4 013 2:10 -8 1
35 Lech Poznań 4 013 2:12 -10 1
36 Ararat Armenia 4 004 4:14 -10 0

Our table from the results; the two clubs of this match are highlighted. Full table

Season projection

Members

Where these two clubs are projected to finish in the Europa League: average points, likely range and chances.

ClubPts Avg ptsLikely Top 8Play-off round Win it
NEC Nijmegen 7
Rennes 6

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