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Ligue 1 · Matchday 11

Lorient vs Rennes: Match Preview & Stats

Lorient crest Lorient
vs
Rennes crest Rennes
Stade du Moustoir - Yves Allainmat, Lorient

Our picks

Model predictions are published 48 hours before kick-off

To take in the latest form and rest days, the predictions for this match come out on . (If either team plays another match in between, they come out once that match is over.)

See today's ready predictions →

Our record

  • Lorient: 1 of 5 right
  • Rennes: 4 of 8 right

Our result picks in each club's earlier matches on this site.

Match facts

Competition
Ligue 1, Matchday 11
Kick-off
Venue
Stade du Moustoir - Yves Allainmat, Lorient
Since last match
Lorient: 14 days (Ligue 1) · Le Havre (0‑2) Rennes: 14 days (Ligue 1) · Lille (1‑2)
Next match
Lorient: 6 days (Ligue 1) later Rennes: 4 days (Europa League) later · NEC Nijmegen

Last starting XI

Lorient 3-4-2-1

  1. 38 Mvogo
  2. 32 Adjei
  3. 3 Talbi
  4. 95 Touré
  5. 20 Sylla
  6. 8 Cadiou
  7. 62 Avom
  8. 43 Kouassi
  9. 17 Makengo
  10. 33 Bernardeau
  11. 15 Tosin

Coach: Alexandre Dujeux at Le Havre, 2-0 · Ligue 1 · 8 Nov

Rennes 3-5-2

  1. 30 Samba
  2. 48 Aït Boudlal
  3. 4 Cresswell
  4. 5 Oliveira
  5. 14 Reynolds
  6. 28 Thomasson
  7. 21 Rongier
  8. 45 Camara
  9. 18 Nagida
  10. 12 Mayenda
  11. 22 Dia

Coach: Franck Haise vs Lille, 1-2 · Ligue 1 · 8 Nov

Our predicted line-ups come with our picks, 48 hours before kick-off. Until then: each club's last starting XI.

Injuries and suspensions

Lorient

  • MF Bandiougou FadigaInjured · Mid November 2026
  • MF Panos KatserisInjured · Mid November 2026
  • FW Ibrahima BaldéInjured · A few weeks
  • FW Mohamed BambaInjured · About 1-2 weeks

Rennes

  • FW Estéban LepaulInjured · About 1-2 weeks

Players listed as injured, suspended or away with their national team, with their expected return.

Missing Players Impact

Lorient

Moderate impact
Missing attack share 13.0%
Missing minutes share 5.0%
4 players out 1 regular starter out
Key absences:
  • FW Ibrahima Baldé 6% attack · 3% mins
  • MF Panos Katseris 6% attack · 2% mins

Rennes

Moderate impact
Missing attack share 13.0%
Missing minutes share 3.0%
1 player out 1 regular starter out
Key absences:
  • FW Estéban Lepaul 13% attack · 3% mins

Share of team playing time and attacking output over the last 10 matches accounted for by unavailable players.

Tactical Profile & Play Quality (0–100)

Lorient Rennes
Box & Territory Pressure 42 61
Set-Piece & Corner Threat 26 58
Finishing Efficiency 24 86
Defensive & Goalkeeper Wall 73 31
Underlying Play Power 54 54
Lorient Balanced (results match underlying play)
Rennes Playing above results (positive regression candidate)

OptimaGoal 0–100 performance indices built from the last 10 matches before kick-off.

Game-State Scenarios & Goal Timing

Lorient

When scoring first 75% won · 88% unbeaten (8 matches)
When conceding first 20% points rescued · 0% won (5 matches)
1st Half: 37% 2nd Half: 63%
First 15': 5% Last 15' (76-90'): 32%

Rennes

When scoring first 83% won · 100% unbeaten (6 matches)
When conceding first 29% points rescued · 14% won (7 matches)
1st Half: 54% 2nd Half: 46%
First 15': 23% Last 15' (76-90'): 27%

Reaction to scoring or conceding first and goal distribution across the last 15 matches.

Key Attacking Threats

Lorient

  1. 1. MF Jean-Victor Makengo 2G · 1A
    Team attack 16.0% Team shots 17.0%
  2. 2. FW Mamadou Koné 1G · 1A
    Team attack 11.0% Team shots 13.0%
  3. 3. MF Arsène Kouassi 0G · 2A
    Team attack 10.0% Team shots 4.0%

Rennes

  1. 1. FW Boulaye Dia 7G · 0A
    Team attack 13.0% Team shots 6.0%
  2. 2. FW Mousa Tamari 1G · 1A
    Team attack 9.0% Team shots 10.0%
  3. 3. DF Mahamadou Nagida 1G · 2A
    Team attack 9.0% Team shots 9.0%

Top available players by share of team attacking production and shot volume over the last 10 matches.

Lorient Rennes
Over 1.5 goals 5/10 8/10
Over 2.5 goals 3/10 8/10
Over 3.5 goals 1/10 5/10
Both teams scored 3/10 6/10
Clean sheet 6/10 3/10
Failed to score 3/10 3/10
Goals per match (scored / conceded) 0.9 / 0.8 1.7 / 1.9

Last 10 matches, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Form guide

Lorient

  • W 2-0 at Le Havre (A) Ligue 1 · 8 Nov
  • L 0-2 vs Brest (H) Ligue 1 · 2 Nov
  • D 0-0 at Angers (A) Ligue 1 · 25 Oct
  • W 1-0 vs Monaco (H) Ligue 1 · 18 Oct
  • W 1-0 vs Paris FC (H) Ligue 1 · 10 Oct

Rennes

  • L 1-2 vs Lille (H) Ligue 1 · 8 Nov
  • D 0-0 vs Olympiacos (H) Europa League · 4 Nov
  • L 2-5 at Nice (A) Ligue 1 · 30 Oct
  • W 3-0 vs Strasbourg (H) Ligue 1 · 25 Oct
  • D 2-2 at Juventus (A) Europa League · 22 Oct

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

When the goals come

ScoredConceded

Lorient

Rennes

Goals in each 15-minute period, Ligue 1 this season. Stoppage time counts with its half.

Top scorers

Lorient

Player G A
Jean-Victor Makengo 2 1
Mamadou Koné 1 1
Gabin Bernardeau 1 0
Ibrahima Baldé 1 0
Isak Steiner Jensen 1 0

Rennes

Player G A
Estéban Lepaul (4 pens) 7 0
Boulaye Dia (1 pen) 6 0
Sebastian Szymański 3 1
Adrien Thomasson 2 2
Przemysław Frankowski 1 2

Goals and assists in the Ligue 1 this season.

Corners and yellow cards

Lorient Rennes
  • 3.3 Corners won 5.7
  • 5.2 Corners conceded 5.4
  • 1.3 Yellow cards 2.1
  • 1.8 Opponents' yellow cards 2.5

Per match in the Ligue 1 this season. Average per club and match: 4.5 corners, 1.7 yellow cards.

Attack and defence ratings

LorientRennes
Attack 29 82 0.9 goals per match this season2.1 goals per match this season
Defence 53 29 0.8 conceded per match this season2.1 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Ligue 1 clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.

1845Elo #93 Elo rating 1909Elo #56

Head-to-head

11Lorient wins
5draws
9Rennes wins

25 meetings since 2010, results after 90 minutes.

  • 24 Jan 2026 · Ligue 1 Rennes 0-2 Lorient
  • 24 Aug 2025 · Ligue 1 Lorient 4-0 Rennes
  • 3 Mar 2024 · Ligue 1 Rennes 1-2 Lorient
  • 22 Oct 2023 · Ligue 1 Lorient 2-1 Rennes
  • 27 Jan 2023 · Ligue 1 Lorient 2-1 Rennes

Table

#Team PWDLGoalsGDPts
1 Paris Saint-Germain 10 721 22:10 +12 23
2 Lille 10 631 14:7 +7 21
3 Paris FC 10 622 17:10 +7 20
4 Marseille 10 604 22:14 +8 18
5 Lyon 10 523 15:9 +6 17
6 Nice 10 523 15:12 +3 17
7 Monaco 10 442 13:11 +2 16
8 Rennes 10 514 21:21 0 16
9 Brest 10 433 18:12 +6 15
10 Lorient 10 433 9:8 +1 15
11 Lens 10 415 17:15 +2 13
12 Toulouse 10 343 15:14 +1 13
13 Strasbourg 10 316 18:22 -4 10
14 Auxerre 10 316 13:24 -11 10
15 Le Mans 10 154 12:19 -7 8
16 Angers 10 226 9:19 -10 8
17 Troyes 10 226 7:17 -10 8
18 Le Havre 10 028 9:22 -13 2

Our table from the results; the two clubs of this match are highlighted. Full table

Season projection

Members

Where these two clubs are projected to finish in the Ligue 1: average points, likely range and chances.

ClubPts Avg ptsLikely TitleTop 4Rel. play-offRelegated
Lorient 15
Rennes 16

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Every club's chance of every place, from our simulated seasons, updated daily.

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