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Premier League · Matchday 11

Aston Villa vs Sunderland: Match Preview & Stats

Villa Park, Birmingham

Our picks

Model predictions are published 48 hours before kick-off

To take in the latest form and rest days, the predictions for this match come out on . (If either team plays another match in between, they come out once that match is over.)

See today's ready predictions →

Our record

  • Aston Villa: 3 of 8 right
  • Sunderland: 3 of 8 right

Our result picks in each club's earlier matches on this site.

Match facts

Competition
Premier League, Matchday 11
Kick-off
Venue
Villa Park, Birmingham
Since last match
Aston Villa: 12 days (Premier League) · Manchester United (4‑4) Sunderland: 13 days (Premier League) · Chelsea (1‑0)
Next match
Aston Villa: 3 days (Champions League) later · Galatasaray Sunderland: 5 days (Europa League) later · Jagiellonia Białystok

Last starting XI

Aston Villa 4-2-3-1

  1. 1 Suzuki
  2. 4 Harwood-Bellis
  3. 3 Lindelöf
  4. 14 Torres
  5. 22 Maatsen
  6. 8 Kamara
  7. 27 Goretzka
  8. 47 Edward
  9. 7 McGinn
  10. 44 Manzambi
  11. 11 Jackson

Coach: Unai Emery at Manchester United, 4-4 · Premier League · 8 Nov

Sunderland 4-2-3-1

  1. 22 Roefs
  2. 12 Meunier
  3. 20 Mukiele
  4. 13 O'Nien
  5. 17 Reinildo
  6. 34 Xhaka
  7. 27 Sadiki
  8. 32 Hume
  9. 28 Le Fée
  10. 7 Talbi
  11. 9 Brobbey

Coach: Régis Le Bris vs Chelsea, 1-0 · Premier League · 8 Nov

Our predicted line-ups come with our picks, 48 hours before kick-off. Until then: each club's last starting XI.

Injuries and suspensions

Aston Villa

  • DF Matteo RuggeriInjured · Mid December 2026
  • MF Amadou OnanaInjured · Mid April 2027

Sunderland

  • DF Daniel BallardInjured · Mid December 2026
  • MF Granit XhakaInjured · Late November 2026
  • MF Habib DiarraInjured · Late November 2026
  • FW Brian BrobbeyInjured · Late November 2026
  • FW Romaine MundleInjured · Early January 2027

Players listed as injured, suspended or away with their national team, with their expected return.

Missing Players Impact

Aston Villa

Low impact
Missing attack share 1.0%
Missing minutes share 1.0%
2 players out

Sunderland

Moderate impact
Missing attack share 23.0%
Missing minutes share 12.0%
5 players out 2 regular starters out
Key absences:
  • FW Brian Brobbey 12% attack · 4% mins
  • MF Granit Xhaka 8% attack · 7% mins

Share of team playing time and attacking output over the last 9 matches accounted for by unavailable players.

Tactical Profile & Play Quality (0–100)

Aston Villa Sunderland
Box & Territory Pressure 57 58
Set-Piece & Corner Threat 54 69
Finishing Efficiency 86 15
Defensive & Goalkeeper Wall 57 16
Underlying Play Power 51 57
Aston Villa Results above play quality (running hot)
Sunderland Playing above results (positive regression candidate)

OptimaGoal 0–100 performance indices built from the last 9 matches before kick-off.

Game-State Scenarios & Goal Timing

Aston Villa

When scoring first 75% won · 100% unbeaten (8 matches)
When conceding first 33% points rescued · 17% won (6 matches)
1st Half: 54% 2nd Half: 46%
First 15': 21% Last 15' (76-90'): 11%

Sunderland

When scoring first 80% won · 100% unbeaten (5 matches)
When conceding first 22% points rescued · 11% won (9 matches)
1st Half: 43% 2nd Half: 57%
First 15': 14% Last 15' (76-90'): 14%

Reaction to scoring or conceding first and goal distribution across the last 15 matches.

Key Attacking Threats

Aston Villa

  1. 1. FW Nicolas Jackson 8G · 1A
    Team attack 21.0% Team shots 23.0%
  2. 2. MF Johan Manzambi 3G · 3A
    Team attack 14.0% Team shots 16.0%
  3. 3. FW John McGinn 2G · 3A
    Team attack 13.0% Team shots 6.0%

Sunderland

  1. 1. MF Enzo Le Fée 2G · 1A
    Team attack 14.0% Team shots 9.0%
  2. 2. FW Nilson Angulo 0G · 2A
    Team attack 8.0% Team shots 7.0%
  3. 3. FW Malick Fofana 0G · 0A
    Team attack 6.0% Team shots 9.0%

Top available players by share of team attacking production and shot volume over the last 10 matches.

Scoring trends Aston Villa Sunderland
Over 1.5 goals 9/10 8/10
Over 2.5 goals 8/10 4/10
Over 3.5 goals 5/10 3/10
Both teams scored 6/10 5/10
Clean sheet 2/10 2/10
Failed to score 2/10 4/10
Goals per match (scored / conceded) 2.2 / 1.7 1.1 / 1.8

Last 10 matches, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Form guide

Aston Villa

  • D 4-4 at Manchester United (A) Premier League · 8 Nov
  • L 0-3 at Barcelona (A) Champions League · 3 Nov
  • D 1-1 vs Fulham (H) Premier League · 31 Oct
  • L 0-3 at AFC Bournemouth (A) EFL Cup · 28 Oct
  • W 2-1 vs Manchester City (H) Premier League · 24 Oct

Sunderland

  • W 1-0 vs Chelsea (H) Premier League · 8 Nov
  • L 0-2 vs Dinamo Zagreb (H) Europa League · 5 Nov
  • L 1-3 at Coventry City (A) Premier League · 31 Oct
  • W 3-2 vs Brentford (H) EFL Cup · 28 Oct
  • D 0-0 vs Leeds United (H) Premier League · 25 Oct

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

When the goals come

ScoredConceded

Aston Villa

  • 1-15 minutes: 4 scored, 2 conceded
  • 16-30 minutes: 0 scored, 3 conceded
  • 31-45 minutes: 3 scored, 2 conceded
  • 46-60 minutes: 3 scored, 3 conceded
  • 61-75 minutes: 2 scored, 1 conceded
  • 76-90 minutes: 2 scored, 6 conceded

Sunderland

  • 1-15 minutes: 1 scored, 2 conceded
  • 16-30 minutes: 0 scored, 3 conceded
  • 31-45 minutes: 3 scored, 2 conceded
  • 46-60 minutes: 1 scored, 6 conceded
  • 61-75 minutes: 2 scored, 0 conceded
  • 76-90 minutes: 1 scored, 4 conceded

Goals in each 15-minute period, Premier League this season. Stoppage time counts with its half.

Top scorers

Aston Villa

Player G A
Nicolas Jackson 6 1
John McGinn (1 pen) 2 4
Johan Manzambi 2 3
Alysson Edward 2 0
Emiliano Buendía 1 0

Sunderland

Player G A
Enzo Le Fée (3 pens) 3 1
Brian Brobbey 3 0
Nilson Angulo 1 1
Wilson Isidor 1 0

Goals and assists in the Premier League this season.

Corners and yellow cards

Aston Villa Sunderland
  • 3.4 Corners won 4.0
  • 5.2 Corners conceded 4.0
  • 2.0 Yellow cards 1.8
  • 3.0 Opponents' yellow cards 1.9

Per match in the Premier League this season. Average per club and match: 4.7 corners, 2.0 yellow cards.

Attack and defence ratings

Aston VillaSunderland
Attack 74 5 1.4 goals per match this season0.8 goals per match this season
Defence 68 21 1.7 conceded per match this season1.7 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Premier League clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.

2098Elo #10 Elo rating 1893Elo #61

Head-to-head

7Aston Villa wins
6draws
3Sunderland wins

16 meetings since 2010, results after 90 minutes.

  • 19 Apr 2026 · Premier League Aston Villa 4-3 Sunderland
  • 21 Sep 2025 · Premier League Sunderland 1-1 Aston Villa
  • 6 Mar 2018 · Championship Sunderland 0-3 Aston Villa
  • 21 Nov 2017 · Championship Aston Villa 2-1 Sunderland
  • 2 Jan 2016 · Premier League Sunderland 3-1 Aston Villa

Table

Premier League: Table
#Team PWDLGoalsGDPts
1 Arsenal 10 901 15:5 +10 27
2 Brighton & Hove Albion 10 712 26:7 +19 22
3 Manchester City 10 703 21:13 +8 21
4 Liverpool 10 532 14:10 +4 18
5 Chelsea 10 514 19:16 +3 16
6 Everton 10 442 12:10 +2 16
7 AFC Bournemouth 10 433 16:14 +2 15
8 Brentford 10 352 16:11 +5 14
9 Leeds United 10 352 10:8 +2 14
10 Aston Villa 10 343 14:17 -3 13
11 Tottenham Hotspur 10 334 10:11 -1 12
12 Newcastle United 10 334 13:16 -3 12
13 Hull City 10 253 11:11 0 11
14 Ipswich Town 10 325 15:20 -5 11
15 Fulham 10 244 10:12 -2 10
16 Nottingham Forest 10 235 9:13 -4 9
17 Coventry City 10 307 10:19 -9 9
18 Manchester United 10 154 14:19 -5 8
19 Sunderland 10 226 8:17 -9 8
20 Crystal Palace 10 217 10:24 -14 7

Our table from the results; the two clubs of this match are highlighted. Full table

Season projection

Members

Where these two clubs are projected to finish in the Premier League: average points, likely range and chances.

ClubPts Avg ptsLikely TitleTop 4Relegated
Aston Villa 13
Sunderland 8

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Every club's chance of every place, from our simulated seasons, updated daily.

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Times are UTC.