Aston Villa vs Sunderland: Match Preview & Stats
Our picks
Model predictions are published 48 hours before kick-off
To take in the latest form and rest days, the predictions for this match come out on . (If either team plays another match in between, they come out once that match is over.)
See today's ready predictions →Our record
Aston Villa: 3 of 8 right
Sunderland: 3 of 8 right
Our result picks in each club's earlier matches on this site.
Match facts
- Competition
- Premier League, Matchday 11
- Kick-off
- Venue
- Villa Park, Birmingham
- Since last match
Aston Villa: 12 days (Premier League) · Manchester United (4‑4)
Sunderland: 13 days (Premier League) · Chelsea (1‑0)- Next match
Aston Villa: 3 days (Champions League) later · Galatasaray
Sunderland: 5 days (Europa League) later · Jagiellonia Białystok
Last starting XI
Aston Villa 4-2-3-1
- 1 Suzuki
- 4 Harwood-Bellis
- 3 Lindelöf
- 14 Torres
- 22 Maatsen
- 8 Kamara
- 27 Goretzka
- 47 Edward
- 7 McGinn
- 44 Manzambi
- 11 Jackson
Sunderland 4-2-3-1
- 22 Roefs
- 12 Meunier
- 20 Mukiele
- 13 O'Nien
- 17 Reinildo
- 34 Xhaka
- 27 Sadiki
- 32 Hume
- 28 Le Fée
- 7 Talbi
- 9 Brobbey
Our predicted line-ups come with our picks, 48 hours before kick-off. Until then: each club's last starting XI.
Injuries and suspensions
Aston Villa
- DF Matteo RuggeriInjured · Mid December 2026
- MF Amadou OnanaInjured · Mid April 2027
Sunderland
- DF Daniel BallardInjured · Mid December 2026
- MF Granit XhakaInjured · Late November 2026
- MF Habib DiarraInjured · Late November 2026
- FW Brian BrobbeyInjured · Late November 2026
- FW Romaine MundleInjured · Early January 2027
Players listed as injured, suspended or away with their national team, with their expected return.
Missing Players Impact
Aston Villa
Low impact
Sunderland
Moderate impact - FW Brian Brobbey 12% attack · 4% mins
- MF Granit Xhaka 8% attack · 7% mins
Share of team playing time and attacking output over the last 9 matches accounted for by unavailable players.
Tactical Profile & Play Quality (0–100)
OptimaGoal 0–100 performance indices built from the last 9 matches before kick-off.
Game-State Scenarios & Goal Timing
Aston Villa
Sunderland
Reaction to scoring or conceding first and goal distribution across the last 15 matches.
Key Attacking Threats
Aston Villa
- 1. FW Nicolas Jackson 8G · 1ATeam attack 21.0% Team shots 23.0%
- 2. MF Johan Manzambi 3G · 3ATeam attack 14.0% Team shots 16.0%
- 3. FW John McGinn 2G · 3ATeam attack 13.0% Team shots 6.0%
Sunderland
- 1. MF Enzo Le Fée 2G · 1ATeam attack 14.0% Team shots 9.0%
- 2. FW Nilson Angulo 0G · 2ATeam attack 8.0% Team shots 7.0%
- 3. FW Malick Fofana 0G · 0ATeam attack 6.0% Team shots 9.0%
Top available players by share of team attacking production and shot volume over the last 10 matches.
Scoring trends
| Scoring trends | ||
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 | 8/10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 8/10 | 4/10 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 5/10 | 3/10 |
| Both teams scored | 6/10 | 5/10 |
| Clean sheet | 2/10 | 2/10 |
| Failed to score | 2/10 | 4/10 |
| Goals per match (scored / conceded) | 2.2 / 1.7 | 1.1 / 1.8 |
Last 10 matches, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.
Form guide
Aston Villa
- D 4-4 at
Manchester United (A) Premier League · 8 Nov - L 0-3 at
Barcelona (A) Champions League · 3 Nov - D 1-1 vs
Fulham (H) Premier League · 31 Oct - L 0-3 at
AFC Bournemouth (A) EFL Cup · 28 Oct - W 2-1 vs
Manchester City (H) Premier League · 24 Oct
Sunderland
- W 1-0 vs
Chelsea (H) Premier League · 8 Nov - L 0-2 vs
Dinamo Zagreb (H) Europa League · 5 Nov - L 1-3 at
Coventry City (A) Premier League · 31 Oct - W 3-2 vs
Brentford (H) EFL Cup · 28 Oct - D 0-0 vs
Leeds United (H) Premier League · 25 Oct
Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.
When the goals come
Aston Villa
- 1-15 minutes: 4 scored, 2 conceded
- 16-30 minutes: 0 scored, 3 conceded
- 31-45 minutes: 3 scored, 2 conceded
- 46-60 minutes: 3 scored, 3 conceded
- 61-75 minutes: 2 scored, 1 conceded
- 76-90 minutes: 2 scored, 6 conceded
Sunderland
- 1-15 minutes: 1 scored, 2 conceded
- 16-30 minutes: 0 scored, 3 conceded
- 31-45 minutes: 3 scored, 2 conceded
- 46-60 minutes: 1 scored, 6 conceded
- 61-75 minutes: 2 scored, 0 conceded
- 76-90 minutes: 1 scored, 4 conceded
Goals in each 15-minute period, Premier League this season. Stoppage time counts with its half.
Top scorers
Aston Villa
| Player | G | A |
|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Jackson | 6 | 1 |
| John McGinn (1 pen) | 2 | 4 |
| Johan Manzambi | 2 | 3 |
| Alysson Edward | 2 | 0 |
| Emiliano Buendía | 1 | 0 |
Sunderland
| Player | G | A |
|---|---|---|
| Enzo Le Fée (3 pens) | 3 | 1 |
| Brian Brobbey | 3 | 0 |
| Nilson Angulo | 1 | 1 |
| Wilson Isidor | 1 | 0 |
Goals and assists in the Premier League this season.
Corners and yellow cards
- 3.4 Corners won 4.0
- 5.2 Corners conceded 4.0
- 2.0 Yellow cards 1.8
- 3.0 Opponents' yellow cards 1.9
Per match in the Premier League this season. Average per club and match: 4.7 corners, 2.0 yellow cards.
Attack and defence ratings
0 to 100 against this season's Premier League clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.
Head-to-head
16 meetings since 2010, results after 90 minutes.
- 19 Apr 2026 · Premier League Aston Villa
4-3
Sunderland - 21 Sep 2025 · Premier League Sunderland
1-1
Aston Villa - 6 Mar 2018 · Championship Sunderland
0-3
Aston Villa - 21 Nov 2017 · Championship Aston Villa
2-1
Sunderland - 2 Jan 2016 · Premier League Sunderland
3-1
Aston Villa
Table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 15:5 | +10 | 27 |
| 2 | | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 26:7 | +19 | 22 |
| 3 | | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 21:13 | +8 | 21 |
| 4 | | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14:10 | +4 | 18 |
| 5 | | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19:16 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 | | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12:10 | +2 | 16 |
| 7 | | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16:14 | +2 | 15 |
| 8 | | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 16:11 | +5 | 14 |
| 9 | | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 10:8 | +2 | 14 |
| 10 | | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14:17 | -3 | 13 |
| 11 | | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 12 |
| 12 | | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 | | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 11 |
| 14 | | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15:20 | -5 | 11 |
| 15 | | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 10 |
| 16 | | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 9 |
| 17 | | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10:19 | -9 | 9 |
| 18 | | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 14:19 | -5 | 8 |
| 19 | | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8:17 | -9 | 8 |
| 20 | | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10:24 | -14 | 7 |
Our table from the results; the two clubs of this match are highlighted. Full table
Season projection
MembersWhere these two clubs are projected to finish in the Premier League: average points, likely range and chances.
| Club | Pts | Avg pts | Likely | Title | Top 4 | Relegated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | ||||||
| 8 |
For members
Every club's chance of every place, from our simulated seasons, updated daily.
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