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Europa League · League phase, matchday 5

Celta Vigo vs AFC Bournemouth: Match Preview & Stats

Celta Vigo crest Celta Vigo
vs
AFC Bournemouth crest AFC Bournemouth
Estadio Abanca-Balaídos, Vigo

Our picks

Model predictions are published 48 hours before kick-off

To take in the latest form and rest days, the predictions for this match come out on . (If either team plays another match in between, they come out once that match is over.)

See today's ready predictions →

Our record

  • Celta Vigo: 4 of 8 right
  • AFC Bournemouth: 7 of 8 right

Our result picks in each club's earlier matches on this site.

Match facts

Competition
Europa League, League phase, matchday 5
Kick-off
Venue
Estadio Abanca-Balaídos, Vigo
Since last match
Celta Vigo: 4 days (LaLiga) · Real Madrid AFC Bournemouth: 5 days (Premier League) · Nottingham Forest
Next match
Celta Vigo: 2 days (LaLiga) later AFC Bournemouth: 2 days (Premier League) later

Last starting XI

Celta Vigo 3-4-3

  1. 13 Radu
  2. 20 Rodríguez
  3. 21 Cáceres
  4. 3 Alonso
  5. 17 Rueda
  6. 28 Antañón
  7. 6 Moriba
  8. 5 Carreira
  9. 10 Aspas
  10. 11 Durán
  11. 24 Driouech

Coach: Claudio Giráldez vs Levante, 0-0 · LaLiga · 8 Nov

AFC Bournemouth 4-2-3-1

  1. 1 Petrović
  2. 15 Smith
  3. 14 Hill
  4. 14 Silva
  5. 3 Truffert
  6. 12 Adams
  7. 10 Christie
  8. 37 Rayan
  9. 19 Kluivert
  10. 16 Tavernier
  11. 9 Evanilson

Coach: Marco Rose at Ipswich Town, 2-1 · Premier League · 8 Nov

Our predicted line-ups come with our picks, 48 hours before kick-off. Until then: each club's last starting XI.

Injuries and suspensions

Celta Vigo

  • DF Carl StarfeltInjured · Doubtful
  • DF Álvaro NúñezInjured · Late November 2026
  • MF Ilaix MoribaInjured · Late November 2026
  • MF Jones El-AbdellaouiInjured · Mid January 2027
  • MF Miguel RománInjured · Return unknown
  • FW Borja IglesiasInjured · Late November 2026

AFC Bournemouth

  • DF Juanlu SánchezInjured · Late November 2026
  • DF Julián AraujoInjured · Late November 2026
  • DF Veljko MilosavljevicInjured · Doubtful
  • MF Alex TóthInjured · Early February 2027

Players listed as injured, suspended or away with their national team, with their expected return.

Missing Players Impact

Celta Vigo

Moderate impact
Missing attack share 11.0%
Missing minutes share 12.0%
6 players out 1 regular starter out
Key absences:
  • MF Ilaix Moriba 4% attack · 6% mins
  • MF Miguel Román 4% attack · 2% mins

AFC Bournemouth

Low impact
Missing attack share 0.0%
Missing minutes share 1.0%
4 players out

Share of team playing time and attacking output over the last 10 matches accounted for by unavailable players.

Tactical Profile & Play Quality (0–100)

Celta Vigo AFC Bournemouth
Box & Territory Pressure 49 62
Set-Piece & Corner Threat 34 68
Finishing Efficiency 25 68
Defensive & Goalkeeper Wall 69 44
Underlying Play Power 63 82
Celta Vigo Playing above results (positive regression candidate)
AFC Bournemouth Balanced (results match underlying play)

OptimaGoal 0–100 performance indices built from the last 10 matches before kick-off.

Game-State Scenarios & Goal Timing

Celta Vigo

When scoring first 33% won · 50% unbeaten (6 matches)
When conceding first 40% points rescued · 20% won (5 matches)
1st Half: 43% 2nd Half: 57%
First 15': 14% Last 15' (76-90'): 14%

AFC Bournemouth

When scoring first 70% won · 90% unbeaten (10 matches)
When conceding first 60% points rescued · 20% won (5 matches)
1st Half: 54% 2nd Half: 46%
First 15': 18% Last 15' (76-90'): 21%

Reaction to scoring or conceding first and goal distribution across the last 15 matches.

Key Attacking Threats

Celta Vigo

  1. 1. FW Pablo Durán 3G · 0A
    Team attack 12.0% Team shots 16.0%
  2. 2. FW Hugo Álvarez 1G · 3A
    Team attack 11.0% Team shots 4.0%
  3. 3. FW Ferrán Jutglà 1G · 0A
    Team attack 8.0% Team shots 12.0%

AFC Bournemouth

  1. 1. FW Evanilson 7G · 2A
    Team attack 20.0% Team shots 18.0%
  2. 2. FW Marcus Tavernier 3G · 0A
    Team attack 13.0% Team shots 8.0%
  3. 3. FW Rayan 3G · 0A
    Team attack 12.0% Team shots 14.0%

Top available players by share of team attacking production and shot volume over the last 10 matches.

Celta Vigo AFC Bournemouth
Over 1.5 goals 6/10 9/10
Over 2.5 goals 6/10 7/10
Over 3.5 goals 1/10 2/10
Both teams scored 4/10 3/10
Clean sheet 4/10 6/10
Failed to score 5/10 1/10
Goals per match (scored / conceded) 1.1 / 1.0 2.2 / 0.8

Last 10 matches, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Form guide

Celta Vigo

  • D 0-0 vs Levante (H) LaLiga · 8 Nov
  • L 1-2 vs Union St.Gilloise (H) Europa League · 5 Nov
  • L 0-3 at Rayo Vallecano (A) LaLiga · 31 Oct
  • D 0-0 vs Real Betis (H) LaLiga · 25 Oct
  • W 2-1 at Celtic (A) Europa League · 22 Oct

AFC Bournemouth

  • W 2-1 at Ipswich Town (A) Premier League · 8 Nov
  • W 3-1 at Sparta Prague (A) Europa League · 5 Nov
  • W 2-0 vs Leeds United (H) Premier League · 31 Oct
  • W 3-0 vs Aston Villa (H) EFL Cup · 28 Oct
  • W 3-0 at Manchester United (A) Premier League · 25 Oct

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

When the goals come

ScoredConceded

Celta Vigo

AFC Bournemouth

Goals in each 15-minute period, Europa League this season. Stoppage time counts with its half.

Top scorers

Celta Vigo

Player G A
Hugo Álvarez 1 1
Javi Rodríguez 1 0
Javi Rueda 1 0
Pablo Durán 1 0

AFC Bournemouth

Player G A
Rayan 3 0
Evanilson 2 1
Justin Kluivert (1 pen) 2 0
Amine Adli 1 0
Marcus Tavernier (1 pen) 1 0

Goals and assists in the Europa League this season.

Corners and yellow cards

Celta Vigo AFC Bournemouth
  • 7.5 Corners won 6.5
  • 3.2 Corners conceded 5.0
  • 1.0 Yellow cards 2.5
  • 1.8 Opponents' yellow cards 2.8

Per match in the Europa League this season. Average per club and match: 4.7 corners, 1.9 yellow cards.

Attack and defence ratings

Celta VigoAFC Bournemouth
Attack 60 100 1.0 goals per match this season2.8 goals per match this season
Defence 71 94 1.5 conceded per match this season0.5 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Europa League clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.

1879Elo #67 Elo rating 2097Elo #11

Head-to-head

Celta Vigo and AFC Bournemouth have not met in our records since 2010.

Table

#Team PWDLGoalsGDPts
1 Benfica 4 400 13:3 +10 12
2 AFC Bournemouth 4 400 11:2 +9 12
3 Ferencváros 4 400 11:3 +8 12
4 Union St.Gilloise 4 310 10:2 +8 10
5 Juventus 4 310 11:4 +7 10
6 Olympiacos 4 310 4:1 +3 10
7 Bayer Leverkusen 4 301 8:1 +7 9
8 Beşiktaş 4 211 11:8 +3 7
9 Dinamo Zagreb 4 211 5:4 +1 7
10 Levski Sofia 4 211 4:3 +1 7
11 Sunderland 4 211 4:4 0 7
12 NEC Nijmegen 4 211 8:9 -1 7
13 Lyon 4 211 6:7 -1 7
14 AZ Alkmaar 4 202 7:4 +3 6
15 Anderlecht 4 202 6:3 +3 6
16 OFI Crete 4 202 5:4 +1 6
17 Rennes 4 130 4:3 +1 6
18 Omonia Nicosia 4 202 6:7 -1 6
19 Torreense 4 202 7:9 -2 6
20 Real Sociedad 4 121 9:4 +5 5
21 Crystal Palace 4 121 9:6 +3 5
22 Hoffenheim 4 112 6:6 0 4
23 Sparta Prague 4 112 6:6 0 4
24 Sturm Graz 4 112 3:6 -3 4
25 NK Celje 4 112 5:9 -4 4
26 Salzburg 4 112 3:8 -5 4
27 Celta Vigo 4 103 4:6 -2 3
28 Jagiellonia Białystok 4 103 4:7 -3 3
29 Milan 4 103 4:7 -3 3
30 Viktoria Plzeň 4 103 3:7 -4 3
31 Marseille 4 103 2:6 -4 3
32 Celtic 4 103 6:11 -5 3
33 Hapoel Beer Sheva 4 013 1:8 -7 1
34 Lillestrøm 4 013 2:10 -8 1
35 Lech Poznań 4 013 2:12 -10 1
36 Ararat Armenia 4 004 4:14 -10 0

Our table from the results; the two clubs of this match are highlighted. Full table

Season projection

Members

Where these two clubs are projected to finish in the Europa League: average points, likely range and chances.

ClubPts Avg ptsLikely Top 8Play-off round Win it
Celta Vigo 3
AFC Bournemouth 12

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Every club's chance of every place, from our simulated seasons, updated daily.

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Times are UTC.