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Liga MX · Matchday 17

Tijuana vs Atlante: Match Preview & Stats

Tijuana crest Tijuana
vs
Atlante crest Atlante
Estadio Caliente, Tijuana

Our picks

Model predictions are published 48 hours before kick-off

To take in the latest form and rest days, the predictions for this match come out on . (If either team plays another match in between, they come out once that match is over.)

See today's ready predictions →

Our record

  • Tijuana: 2 of 5 right
  • Atlante: 1 of 4 right

Our result picks in each club's earlier matches on this site.

Match facts

Competition
Liga MX, Matchday 17
Kick-off
Local time
21:00 (Mexico City time)
Venue
Estadio Caliente, Tijuana
Since last match
Tijuana: 14 days (Liga MX) · Necaxa (1‑0) Atlante: 14 days (Liga MX) · Santos Laguna (0‑2)
Next match
Tijuana: not scheduled yet Atlante: not scheduled yet

Last starting XI

Tijuana 4-1-4-1

  1. 2 Rodriguez
  2. 3 Fernández
  3. 12 Porozo
  4. 6 Gómez
  5. 33 Ortíz
  6. 8 Tona
  7. 11 González
  8. 15 Rivero
  9. 10 Mora
  10. 7 Preciado
  11. 9 El Ghezouani

Coach: Sebastián Abreu at Necaxa, 0-1 · Liga MX · 7 Nov

Atlante 5-3-2

  1. 1 Jiménez
  2. 6 Carrera
  3. 44 Quirós
  4. 3 Sánchez
  5. 29 Portales
  6. 37 Clar
  7. 30 Sarrafiore
  8. 8 Pizzuto
  9. 19 Calzadilla
  10. 11 Moxica
  11. 7 Julio

Coach: Miguel Herrera vs Santos Laguna, 0-2 · Liga MX · 7 Nov

Our predicted line-ups come with our picks, 48 hours before kick-off. Until then: each club's last starting XI.

Injuries and suspensions

Tijuana

No absences reported.

Atlante

  • DF Aaron QuirósSuspended
  • DF Walter PortalesSuspended

Players listed as injured, suspended or away with their national team, with their expected return.

Missing Players Impact

Tijuana

Low impact

Full squad available — no listed absences

Atlante

Moderate impact
Missing attack share 12.0%
Missing minutes share 15.0%
2 players out 2 regular starters out
Key absences:
  • DF Walter Portales 9% attack · 8% mins
  • DF Aaron Quirós 4% attack · 7% mins

Share of team playing time and attacking output over the last 10 matches accounted for by unavailable players.

Tactical Profile & Play Quality (0–100)

Tijuana Atlante
Box & Territory Pressure 39 52
Set-Piece & Corner Threat 72 54
Finishing Efficiency 39 34
Defensive & Goalkeeper Wall 44 25
Underlying Play Power 51 68
Tijuana Balanced (results match underlying play)
Atlante Playing above results (positive regression candidate)

OptimaGoal 0–100 performance indices built from the last 10 matches before kick-off.

Game-State Scenarios & Goal Timing

Tijuana

When scoring first 44% won · 100% unbeaten (9 matches)
When conceding first 0% points rescued · 0% won (4 matches)
1st Half: 55% 2nd Half: 45%
First 15': 14% Last 15' (76-90'): 9%

Atlante

When scoring first 75% won · 100% unbeaten (4 matches)
When conceding first 30% points rescued · 0% won (10 matches)
1st Half: 27% 2nd Half: 73%
First 15': 7% Last 15' (76-90'): 27%

Reaction to scoring or conceding first and goal distribution across the last 15 matches.

Key Attacking Threats

Tijuana

  1. 1. FW Adonis Preciado 3G · 2A
    Team attack 17.0% Team shots 8.0%
  2. 2. MF Ignacio Rivero 3G · 1A
    Team attack 11.0% Team shots 14.0%
  3. 3. FW Mourad El Ghezouani 2G · 0A
    Team attack 10.0% Team shots 12.0%

Atlante

  1. 1. MF Martín Sarrafiore 2G · 1A
    Team attack 20.0% Team shots 20.0%
  2. 2. FW Jhojan Julio 2G · 2A
    Team attack 16.0% Team shots 13.0%
  3. 3. MF Luis Calzadilla 2G · 0A
    Team attack 12.0% Team shots 13.0%

Top available players by share of team attacking production and shot volume over the last 10 matches.

Tijuana Atlante
Over 1.5 goals 7/10 8/10
Over 2.5 goals 5/10 4/10
Over 3.5 goals 5/10 2/10
Both teams scored 7/10 5/10
Clean sheet 1/10 1/10
Failed to score 3/10 4/10
Goals per match (scored / conceded) 1.5 / 1.5 1.0 / 1.8

Last 10 matches, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Form guide

Tijuana

  • L 0-1 at Necaxa (A) Liga MX · 7 Nov
  • D 3-3 at Monterrey (A) Liga MX · 1 Nov
  • D 1-1 at CF América (A) Liga MX · 29 Oct
  • W 4-1 vs Santos Laguna (H) Liga MX · 26 Oct
  • D 2-2 at Toluca (A) Liga MX · 22 Oct

Atlante

  • L 0-2 vs Santos Laguna (H) Liga MX · 7 Nov
  • L 2-4 at Chivas (A) Liga MX · 1 Nov
  • L 0-1 vs Atlético de San Luis (H) Liga MX · 24 Oct
  • W 1-0 at FC Juárez (A) Liga MX · 21 Oct
  • L 1-2 vs Pumas (H) Liga MX · 17 Oct

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

When the goals come

ScoredConceded

Tijuana

Atlante

Goals in each 15-minute period, Liga MX this season. Stoppage time counts with its half.

Top scorers

Tijuana

Player G A
Gilberto Mora (4 pens) 5 1
Ignacio Rivero 4 1
Elias Manoel 4 0
Mourad El Ghezouani (4 pens) 4 0
Adonis Preciado 3 3

Atlante

Player G A
Jhojan Julio (2 pens) 3 4
Luis Calzadilla 3 1
Martín Sarrafiore 3 1
Eugenio Pizzuto 2 0
Luis Puente 2 0

Goals and assists in the Liga MX this season.

Corners and yellow cards

Tijuana Atlante
  • 4.4 Corners won 5.2
  • 7.2 Corners conceded 5.6
  • 1.8 Yellow cards 1.9
  • 2.5 Opponents' yellow cards 1.5

Per match in the Liga MX this season. Average per club and match: 5.5 corners, 1.9 yellow cards.

Attack and defence ratings

TijuanaAtlante
Attack 53 0 1.6 goals per match this season1.0 goals per match this season
Defence 47 12 1.4 conceded per match this season1.6 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Liga MX clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.

1743Elo #179 Elo rating 1591Elo #335

Head-to-head

5Tijuana wins
1draw
0Atlante wins

6 meetings since 2010, results after 90 minutes.

  • 20 Apr 2014 · Liga MX Atlante 1-2 Tijuana
  • 2 Nov 2013 · Liga MX Tijuana 4-1 Atlante
  • 24 Feb 2013 · Liga MX Tijuana 2-0 Atlante
  • 16 Sep 2012 · Liga MX Atlante 1-2 Tijuana
  • 8 Apr 2012 · Liga MX Tijuana 2-1 Atlante

Table

#Team PWDLGoalsGDPts
1 Cruz Azul 16 1024 37:26 +11 32
2 CF América 16 862 38:23 +15 30
3 Chivas 16 862 26:15 +11 30
4 Toluca 16 763 35:21 +14 27
5 Atlas 16 835 27:30 -3 27
6 Santos Laguna 16 817 23:20 +3 25
7 León 16 655 23:21 +2 23
8 Pachuca 16 646 29:20 +9 22
9 Tijuana 16 574 25:22 +3 22
10 Monterrey 15 636 26:25 +1 21
11 Pumas 16 565 24:26 -2 21
12 Querétaro FC 15 627 18:23 -5 20
13 Puebla 16 547 19:23 -4 19
14 Atlético de San Luis 16 547 19:24 -5 19
15 Tigres 16 367 17:25 -8 15
16 Atlante 16 358 16:26 -10 14
17 Necaxa 16 349 17:28 -11 13
18 FC Juárez 16 3211 13:34 -21 11

Our table from the results; the two clubs of this match are highlighted. Full table

Season projection

Members

Where these two clubs are projected to finish in the Liga MX: average points, likely range and chances.

ClubPts Avg ptsLikely 1stLiguilla
Tijuana 22
Atlante 14

For members

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Times are UTC.