Liga MX · Matchday 17

Puebla vs Atlético de San Luis: Match Preview & Stats

Puebla

Atlético de San Luis

Saturday 21 November 2026, 01:00 UTC Estadio Cuauhtémoc, Puebla

Our picks

Model predictions are published 48 hours before kick-off

To take in the latest form and rest days, the predictions for this match come out on Thursday 19 November 2026, 01:00 UTC. (If either team plays another match in between, they come out once that match is over.)

See today's ready predictions →

Our record

Puebla: 3 of 4 right
Atlético de San Luis: 1 of 4 right

Our result picks in each club's earlier matches on this site.

Match facts

Competition: Liga MX, Matchday 17
Kick-off: Saturday 21 November 2026, 01:00 UTC
Local time: 19:00 (Mexico City time)
Venue: Estadio Cuauhtémoc, Puebla
Since last match: Puebla: 12 days (Liga MX) · Querétaro FC (0‑2) Atlético de San Luis: 14 days (Liga MX) · FC Juárez (0‑1)
Next match: Puebla: not scheduled yet Atlético de San Luis: not scheduled yet

Last starting XI

Puebla 4-4-1-1

28 Gutiérrez
12 Moreno
5 Almada
4 Vargas
15 Villa
26 Velasco
24 Organista
14 Armenta
8 Moreno
10 Tomás
9 Hernández

Coach: Gerardo Espinoza at Querétaro FC, 2-0 · Liga MX · 9 Nov

Atlético de San Luis 3-4-2-1

25 Lajud
3 Bambu
31 Águila
18 Cruz
7 Galdames
21 Macías
10 Salles-Lamonge
17 Duarte
11 Rodríguez
22 Llorente
99 Mora

Coach: Diego Mejía vs FC Juárez, 0-1 · Liga MX · 7 Nov

Our predicted line-ups come with our picks, 48 hours before kick-off. Until then: each club's last starting XI.

Injuries and suspensions

Puebla

DF Eduardo NavarroInjured · Doubtful
MF Sergio SanabriaInjured · Doubtful
FW Heriberto JuradoInjured · Early March 2027

Atlético de San Luis

FW Jesús MedinaInjured · Doubtful
FW João PedroInjured · Mid January 2027

Players listed as injured, suspended or away with their national team, with their expected return.

Missing Players Impact

Puebla

Moderate impact

Missing attack share 3.0%

Missing minutes share 4.0%

3 players out 1 regular starter out

Atlético de San Luis

Low impact

Missing attack share 0.0%

Missing minutes share 0.0%

2 players out

Share of team playing time and attacking output over the last 10 matches accounted for by unavailable players.

Tactical Profile & Play Quality (0–100)

Puebla Atlético de San Luis

Box & Territory Pressure 34 41

Set-Piece & Corner Threat 38 35

Finishing Efficiency 61 62

Defensive & Goalkeeper Wall 51 66

Underlying Play Power 25 45

Puebla Results above play quality (running hot)

Atlético de San Luis Balanced (results match underlying play)

OptimaGoal 0–100 performance indices built from the last 10 matches before kick-off.

Game-State Scenarios & Goal Timing

Puebla

When scoring first 60% won · 80% unbeaten (5 matches)

When conceding first 33% points rescued · 11% won (9 matches)

1st Half: 50% 2nd Half: 50%

First 15': 11% Last 15' (76-90'): 22%

Atlético de San Luis

When scoring first 67% won · 83% unbeaten (6 matches)

When conceding first 38% points rescued · 12% won (8 matches)

1st Half: 35% 2nd Half: 65%

First 15': 6% Last 15' (76-90'): 29%

Reaction to scoring or conceding first and goal distribution across the last 15 matches.

Key Attacking Threats

Puebla

1. MF Omar Moreno 3G · 1A

Team attack 12.0% Team shots 10.0%
2. MF Mathías Tomás 2G · 0A

Team attack 12.0% Team shots 17.0%
3. FW Luifer Hernández 1G · 1A

Team attack 11.0% Team shots 11.0%

Atlético de San Luis

1. MF Sébastien Salles-Lamonge 2G · 2A

Team attack 19.0% Team shots 17.0%
2. MF David Rodríguez 1G · 1A

Team attack 15.0% Team shots 16.0%
3. MF Rafa Llorente 1G · 1A

Team attack 13.0% Team shots 17.0%

Top available players by share of team attacking production and shot volume over the last 10 matches.

Scoring trends

Scoring trends	Puebla	Atlético de San Luis
Over 1.5 goals	6/10	7/10
Over 2.5 goals	3/10	5/10
Over 3.5 goals	2/10	2/10
Both teams scored	5/10	5/10
Clean sheet	3/10	1/10
Failed to score	3/10	4/10
Goals per match (scored / conceded)	1.0 / 1.4	1.1 / 1.4

Last 10 matches, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Form guide

Puebla

W 2-0 at Querétaro FC (A) Liga MX · 9 Nov
L 1-2 vs Pumas (H) Liga MX · 31 Oct
L 3-4 at Atlas (A) Liga MX · 25 Oct
L 1-4 vs Monterrey (H) Liga MX · 22 Oct
D 0-0 at Tijuana (A) Liga MX · 17 Oct

Atlético de San Luis

L 0-1 vs FC Juárez (H) Liga MX · 7 Nov
L 0-1 vs Atlas (H) Liga MX · 31 Oct
W 1-0 at Atlante (A) Liga MX · 24 Oct
W 2-1 vs Querétaro FC (H) Liga MX · 21 Oct
D 1-1 at Toluca (A) Liga MX · 18 Oct

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

When the goals come

ScoredConceded

Puebla

1-15 minutes: 3 scored, 3 conceded
16-30 minutes: 5 scored, 2 conceded
31-45 minutes: 2 scored, 6 conceded
46-60 minutes: 3 scored, 2 conceded
61-75 minutes: 2 scored, 6 conceded
76-90 minutes: 4 scored, 4 conceded

Atlético de San Luis

1-15 minutes: 1 scored, 4 conceded
16-30 minutes: 3 scored, 1 conceded
31-45 minutes: 2 scored, 1 conceded
46-60 minutes: 6 scored, 4 conceded
61-75 minutes: 2 scored, 8 conceded
76-90 minutes: 5 scored, 6 conceded

Goals in each 15-minute period, Liga MX this season. Stoppage time counts with its half.

Top scorers

Puebla

Player	G	A
Eduardo Mustre	3	1
Omar Moreno	3	1
Kevin Velasco (1 pen)	2	1
Facundo Almada	2	0
Mathías Tomás	2	0

Atlético de San Luis

Player	G	A
Rafa Llorente	4	1
Sébastien Salles-Lamonge (2 pens)	3	2
David Rodríguez	3	1
Felipe Mora	2	2
Óscar Macías	2	1

Goals and assists in the Liga MX this season.

Corners and yellow cards

Puebla Atlético de San Luis

4.1 Corners won 3.7
6.8 Corners conceded 5.7
1.1 Yellow cards 1.1
1.0 Opponents' yellow cards 1.5

Per match in the Liga MX this season. Average per club and match: 5.5 corners, 1.9 yellow cards.

Attack and defence ratings

PueblaAtlético de San Luis

Attack 12 47 1.2 goals per match this season1.2 goals per match this season

Defence 0 35 1.4 conceded per match this season1.5 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Liga MX clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.

1597Elo #332 Elo rating 1680Elo #256

Head-to-head

7Puebla wins

2draws

11Atlético de San Luis wins

20 meetings since 2010, results after 90 minutes.

28 Feb 2026 · Liga MX Atlético de San Luis 0-1 Puebla
16 Aug 2025 · Liga MX Puebla 0-2 Atlético de San Luis
18 Jan 2025 · Liga MX Puebla 1-2 Atlético de San Luis
2 Nov 2024 · Liga MX Atlético de San Luis 2-0 Puebla
2 Mar 2024 · Liga MX Atlético de San Luis 4-0 Puebla

Table

Liga MX: Table
#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Cruz Azul	16	10	2	4	37:26	+11	32
2	CF América	16	8	6	2	38:23	+15	30
3	Chivas	16	8	6	2	26:15	+11	30
4	Toluca	16	7	6	3	35:21	+14	27
5	Atlas	16	8	3	5	27:30	-3	27
6	Santos Laguna	16	8	1	7	23:20	+3	25
7	León	16	6	5	5	23:21	+2	23
8	Pachuca	16	6	4	6	29:20	+9	22
9	Tijuana	16	5	7	4	25:22	+3	22
10	Monterrey	15	6	3	6	26:25	+1	21
11	Pumas	16	5	6	5	24:26	-2	21
12	Querétaro FC	15	6	2	7	18:23	-5	20
13	Puebla	16	5	4	7	19:23	-4	19
14	Atlético de San Luis	16	5	4	7	19:24	-5	19
15	Tigres	16	3	6	7	17:25	-8	15
16	Atlante	16	3	5	8	16:26	-10	14
17	Necaxa	16	3	4	9	17:28	-11	13
18	FC Juárez	16	3	2	11	13:34	-21	11

Our table from the results; the two clubs of this match are highlighted. Full table

Season projection

Members

Where these two clubs are projected to finish in the Liga MX: average points, likely range and chances.

Club	Pts	Avg pts	Likely	1st	Liguilla
Puebla	19
Atlético de San Luis	19

For members

Every club's chance of every place, from our simulated seasons, updated daily.

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Times are UTC.