Ligue 1 · Matchday 11

Troyes vs Le Havre: Match Preview & Stats

Troyes

Le Havre

Friday 20 November 2026, 19:45 UTC Stade de l'Aube, Troyes

Our picks

Model predictions are published 48 hours before kick-off

To take in the latest form and rest days, the predictions for this match come out on Wednesday 18 November 2026, 19:45 UTC. (If either team plays another match in between, they come out once that match is over.)

See today's ready predictions →

Our record

Troyes: 4 of 5 right
Le Havre: 3 of 5 right

Our result picks in each club's earlier matches on this site.

Match facts

Competition: Ligue 1, Matchday 11
Kick-off: Friday 20 November 2026, 19:45 UTC
Venue: Stade de l'Aube, Troyes
Since last match: Troyes: 12 days (Ligue 1) · Paris Saint-Germain (1‑0) Le Havre: 12 days (Ligue 1) · Lorient (0‑2)
Next match: Troyes: 8 days (Ligue 1) later Le Havre: 8 days (Ligue 1) later

Last starting XI

Troyes 4-5-1

40 Konaté
2 Maronnier
6 Monfray
4 Diaz
14 Boura
10 Ifnaou
17 Mille
29 Karim
8 Diop
7 Diawara
20 Ripart

Coach: Stéphane Dumont at Paris Saint-Germain, 0-1 · Ligue 1 · 7 Nov

Le Havre 3-4-2-1

16 Bodart
23 Sasso
5 Touba
27 Koffi
20 Ouziad
26 Ebonog
6 Mwanga
25 Samatta
38 Fofana
17 Mizuta
9 Maja

Coach: Jair Karam vs Lorient, 0-2 · Ligue 1 · 8 Nov

Our predicted line-ups come with our picks, 48 hours before kick-off. Until then: each club's last starting XI.

Injuries and suspensions

Troyes

DF Michel DiazSuspended
DF Anis OuzenadjiInjured · Late November 2026

Le Havre

GK Lionel Mpasi-NzauInjured · Mid November 2026
DF Elias JelertInjured · Mid November 2026
DF Stephan ZagadouInjured · Early January 2027
MF Timothée PembéléInjured · Mid November 2026
FW Felix MambimbiInjured · Late November 2026

Players listed as injured, suspended or away with their national team, with their expected return.

Missing Players Impact

Troyes

Moderate impact

Missing attack share 5.0%

Missing minutes share 13.0%

2 players out 2 regular starters out

Key absences:

DF Michel Diaz 2% attack · 8% mins
DF Anis Ouzenadji 3% attack · 4% mins

Le Havre

Low impact

Missing attack share 1.0%

Missing minutes share 7.0%

5 players out

Share of team playing time and attacking output over the last 10 matches accounted for by unavailable players.

Tactical Profile & Play Quality (0–100)

Troyes Le Havre

Box & Territory Pressure 51 56

Set-Piece & Corner Threat 60 46

Finishing Efficiency 17 15

Defensive & Goalkeeper Wall 45 31

Underlying Play Power 38 40

Troyes Playing above results (positive regression candidate)

Le Havre Playing above results (positive regression candidate)

OptimaGoal 0–100 performance indices built from the last 10 matches before kick-off.

Game-State Scenarios & Goal Timing

Troyes

When scoring first 67% won · 67% unbeaten (3 matches)

When conceding first 0% points rescued · 0% won (5 matches)

1st Half: 71% 2nd Half: 29%

First 15': 14% Last 15' (76-90'): 14%

Le Havre

When scoring first 20% won · 80% unbeaten (5 matches)

When conceding first 11% points rescued · 0% won (9 matches)

1st Half: 35% 2nd Half: 65%

First 15': 18% Last 15' (76-90'): 29%

Reaction to scoring or conceding first and goal distribution across the last 15 matches.

Key Attacking Threats

Troyes

1. MF Antoine Mille 1G · 1A

Team attack 13.0% Team shots 11.0%
2. FW Renaud Ripart 1G · 0A

Team attack 12.0% Team shots 15.0%
3. FW Timothé Nkada 1G · 1A

Team attack 9.0% Team shots 11.0%

Le Havre

1. FW Josh Maja 4G · 0A

Team attack 16.0% Team shots 13.0%
2. FW Mbwana Samatta 2G · 0A

Team attack 15.0% Team shots 22.0%
3. FW Rayan Fofana 2G · 1A

Team attack 11.0% Team shots 10.0%

Top available players by share of team attacking production and shot volume over the last 10 matches.

Scoring trends

Scoring trends	Troyes	Le Havre
Over 1.5 goals	7/10	7/10
Over 2.5 goals	3/10	5/10
Over 3.5 goals	2/10	4/10
Both teams scored	3/10	6/10
Clean sheet	3/10	1/10
Failed to score	6/10	4/10
Goals per match (scored / conceded)	0.7 / 1.7	0.9 / 2.2

Last 10 matches, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Form guide

Troyes

L 0-1 at Paris Saint-Germain (A) Ligue 1 · 7 Nov
W 2-0 vs Le Mans (H) Ligue 1 · 31 Oct
D 0-0 at Toulouse (A) Ligue 1 · 25 Oct
L 1-3 vs Lens (H) Ligue 1 · 17 Oct
L 0-2 vs Marseille (H) Ligue 1 · 11 Oct

Le Havre

L 0-2 vs Lorient (H) Ligue 1 · 8 Nov
L 1-5 vs Paris Saint-Germain (H) Ligue 1 · 30 Oct
L 3-4 at Marseille (A) Ligue 1 · 25 Oct
L 1-3 vs Auxerre (H) Ligue 1 · 18 Oct
L 0-1 at Lille (A) Ligue 1 · 10 Oct

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

When the goals come

ScoredConceded

Troyes

1-15 minutes: 1 scored, 1 conceded
16-30 minutes: 2 scored, 1 conceded
31-45 minutes: 2 scored, 5 conceded
46-60 minutes: 0 scored, 5 conceded
61-75 minutes: 1 scored, 0 conceded
76-90 minutes: 1 scored, 5 conceded

Le Havre

1-15 minutes: 0 scored, 4 conceded
16-30 minutes: 1 scored, 3 conceded
31-45 minutes: 0 scored, 2 conceded
46-60 minutes: 0 scored, 6 conceded
61-75 minutes: 3 scored, 3 conceded
76-90 minutes: 5 scored, 4 conceded

Goals in each 15-minute period, Ligue 1 this season. Stoppage time counts with its half.

Top scorers

Troyes

Player	G	A
Antoine Mille	1	1
Timothé Nkada	1	1
Ismaël Boura	1	0
Jérémy Le Douaron	1	0
Lucas Maronnier	1	0

Le Havre

Player	G	A
Josh Maja (1 pen)	4	0
Rayan Fofana (1 pen)	2	1
Mbwana Samatta	2	0
Lamine N'Diaye	1	0

Goals and assists in the Ligue 1 this season.

Corners and yellow cards

Troyes Le Havre

5.7 Corners won 5.3
2.6 Corners conceded 4.1
1.7 Yellow cards 1.5
2.0 Opponents' yellow cards 1.5

Per match in the Ligue 1 this season. Average per club and match: 4.5 corners, 1.7 yellow cards.

Attack and defence ratings

TroyesLe Havre

Attack 6 12 0.7 goals per match this season0.9 goals per match this season

Defence 12 0 1.7 conceded per match this season2.2 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Ligue 1 clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.

1727Elo #201 Elo rating 1711Elo #226

Head-to-head

6Troyes wins

3draws

7Le Havre wins

16 meetings since 2010, results after 90 minutes.

15 May 2021 · Ligue 2 Le Havre 3-2 Troyes
24 Aug 2020 · Ligue 2 Troyes 2-0 Le Havre
27 Jan 2020 · Ligue 2 Le Havre 1-0 Troyes
9 Aug 2019 · Ligue 2 Troyes 1-2 Le Havre
22 Feb 2019 · Ligue 2 Troyes 2-1 Le Havre

Table

Ligue 1: Table
#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Paris Saint-Germain	10	7	2	1	22:10	+12	23
2	Lille	10	6	3	1	14:7	+7	21
3	Paris FC	10	6	2	2	17:10	+7	20
4	Marseille	10	6	0	4	22:14	+8	18
5	Lyon	10	5	2	3	15:9	+6	17
6	Nice	10	5	2	3	15:12	+3	17
7	Monaco	10	4	4	2	13:11	+2	16
8	Rennes	10	5	1	4	21:21	0	16
9	Brest	10	4	3	3	18:12	+6	15
10	Lorient	10	4	3	3	9:8	+1	15
11	Lens	10	4	1	5	17:15	+2	13
12	Toulouse	10	3	4	3	15:14	+1	13
13	Strasbourg	10	3	1	6	18:22	-4	10
14	Auxerre	10	3	1	6	13:24	-11	10
15	Le Mans	10	1	5	4	12:19	-7	8
16	Angers	10	2	2	6	9:19	-10	8
17	Troyes	10	2	2	6	7:17	-10	8
18	Le Havre	10	0	2	8	9:22	-13	2

Our table from the results; the two clubs of this match are highlighted. Full table

Season projection

Members

Where these two clubs are projected to finish in the Ligue 1: average points, likely range and chances.

Club	Pts	Avg pts	Likely	Title	Top 4	Rel. play-off	Relegated
Troyes	8
Le Havre	2

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Every club's chance of every place, from our simulated seasons, updated daily.

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Times are UTC.