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Ligue 1 · Matchday 11

Nice vs Paris Saint-Germain: Match Preview & Stats

Allianz Riviera, Nice

Our picks

Model predictions are published 48 hours before kick-off

To take in the latest form and rest days, the predictions for this match come out on . (If either team plays another match in between, they come out once that match is over.)

See today's ready predictions →

Our record

  • Nice: 3 of 5 right
  • Paris Saint-Germain: 7 of 8 right

Our result picks in each club's earlier matches on this site.

Match facts

Competition
Ligue 1, Matchday 11
Kick-off
Venue
Allianz Riviera, Nice
Since last match
Nice: 13 days (Ligue 1) · Angers (0‑2) Paris Saint-Germain: 13 days (Ligue 1) · Troyes (1‑0)
Next match
Nice: 7 days (Ligue 1) later Paris Saint-Germain: 4 days (Champions League) later · Roma

Last starting XI

Nice 3-4-2-1

  1. 23 Diouf
  2. 36 Seidu
  3. 55 Ndayishimiye
  4. 5 Abdelmonem
  5. 92 Clauss
  6. 39 Coulibaly
  7. 6 Boudaoui
  8. 27 Nkounkou
  9. 10 Diop
  10. 9 Amoura
  11. 11 Wahi

Coach: Olivier Pantaloni at Angers, 2-0 · Ligue 1 · 8 Nov

Paris Saint-Germain 4-3-3

  1. 39 Safonov
  2. 18 Zaïre-Emery
  3. 6 Zabarnyi
  4. 51 Pacho
  5. 21 Hernández
  6. 8 Mayulu
  7. 17 Vítinha
  8. 8 Ruiz
  9. 20 Doué
  10. 7 Torres
  11. 22 Godts

Coach: Luis Enrique vs Troyes, 1-0 · Ligue 1 · 7 Nov

Our predicted line-ups come with our picks, 48 hours before kick-off. Until then: each club's last starting XI.

Injuries and suspensions

Nice

  • DF Antoine MendyInjured · Late May 2027
  • MF Ali AbdiInjured · About 1-2 weeks
  • MF Laurent AbergelInjured · Late April 2027
  • – Moïse BombitoInjured · Late November 2026

Paris Saint-Germain

  • DF MarquinhosInjured · A few weeks
  • DF Nuno MendesInjured · A few weeks
  • FW Khvicha KvaratskheliaInjured · Out for the season
  • FW Maghnes AklioucheInjured · About 1-2 weeks
  • FW Ousmane DembéléInjured · A few weeks

Players listed as injured, suspended or away with their national team, with their expected return.

Missing Players Impact

Nice

Low impact
Missing attack share 1.0%
Missing minutes share 2.0%
4 players out

Paris Saint-Germain

High impact
Missing attack share 24.0%
Missing minutes share 16.0%
5 players out 4 regular starters out
Key absences:
  • FW Maghnes Akliouche 7% attack · 5% mins
  • FW Ousmane Dembélé 8% attack · 2% mins

Share of team playing time and attacking output over the last 10 matches accounted for by unavailable players.

Tactical Profile & Play Quality (0–100)

Nice Paris Saint-Germain
Box & Territory Pressure 47 74
Set-Piece & Corner Threat 36 61
Finishing Efficiency 66 91
Defensive & Goalkeeper Wall 79 81
Underlying Play Power 42 81
Nice Results above play quality (running hot)
Paris Saint-Germain Results above play quality (running hot)

OptimaGoal 0–100 performance indices built from the last 10 matches before kick-off.

Game-State Scenarios & Goal Timing

Nice

When scoring first 60% won · 60% unbeaten (5 matches)
When conceding first 71% points rescued · 29% won (7 matches)
1st Half: 50% 2nd Half: 50%
First 15': 17% Last 15' (76-90'): 28%

Paris Saint-Germain

When scoring first 90% won · 90% unbeaten (10 matches)
When conceding first 100% points rescued · 40% won (5 matches)
1st Half: 40% 2nd Half: 60%
First 15': 14% Last 15' (76-90'): 26%

Reaction to scoring or conceding first and goal distribution across the last 15 matches.

Key Attacking Threats

Nice

  1. 1. FW Elye Wahi 6G · 2A
    Team attack 22.0% Team shots 17.0%
  2. 2. MF Jonathan Clauss 3G · 1A
    Team attack 17.0% Team shots 16.0%
  3. 3. FW Mohamed Amoura 2G · 2A
    Team attack 16.0% Team shots 15.0%

Paris Saint-Germain

  1. 1. FW Désiré Doué 4G · 3A
    Team attack 13.0% Team shots 15.0%
  2. 2. DF Achraf Hakimi 3G · 3A
    Team attack 11.0% Team shots 10.0%
  3. 3. FW Ferrán Torres 2G · 1A
    Team attack 9.0% Team shots 11.0%

Top available players by share of team attacking production and shot volume over the last 10 matches.

Scoring trends Nice Paris Saint-Germain
Over 1.5 goals 8/10 8/10
Over 2.5 goals 6/10 7/10
Over 3.5 goals 1/10 6/10
Both teams scored 6/10 6/10
Clean sheet 2/10 4/10
Failed to score 3/10 0/10
Goals per match (scored / conceded) 1.5 / 1.2 3.1 / 0.8

Last 10 matches, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Form guide

Nice

  • W 2-0 at Angers (A) Ligue 1 · 8 Nov
  • W 5-2 vs Rennes (H) Ligue 1 · 30 Oct
  • W 2-1 at Brest (A) Ligue 1 · 23 Oct
  • L 1-2 at Lyon (A) Ligue 1 · 18 Oct
  • W 2-1 vs Strasbourg (H) Ligue 1 · 11 Oct

Paris Saint-Germain

  • W 1-0 vs Troyes (H) Ligue 1 · 7 Nov
  • W 6-0 at Villarreal (A) Champions League · 3 Nov
  • W 5-1 at Le Havre (A) Ligue 1 · 30 Oct
  • W 2-0 vs Lyon (H) Ligue 1 · 26 Oct
  • W 4-2 vs Barcelona (H) Champions League · 20 Oct

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

When the goals come

ScoredConceded

Nice

  • 1-15 minutes: 2 scored, 3 conceded
  • 16-30 minutes: 2 scored, 1 conceded
  • 31-45 minutes: 4 scored, 3 conceded
  • 46-60 minutes: 1 scored, 2 conceded
  • 61-75 minutes: 3 scored, 1 conceded
  • 76-90 minutes: 3 scored, 2 conceded

Paris Saint-Germain

  • 1-15 minutes: 1 scored, 1 conceded
  • 16-30 minutes: 3 scored, 3 conceded
  • 31-45 minutes: 2 scored, 1 conceded
  • 46-60 minutes: 1 scored, 2 conceded
  • 61-75 minutes: 8 scored, 2 conceded
  • 76-90 minutes: 7 scored, 1 conceded

Goals in each 15-minute period, Ligue 1 this season. Stoppage time counts with its half.

Top scorers

Nice

Player G A
Elye Wahi (2 pens) 6 2
Jonathan Clauss 3 1
Sofiane Diop 2 3
Mohamed Amoura 2 2

Paris Saint-Germain

Player G A
Ferrán Torres 4 1
Achraf Hakimi 3 2
Marquinhos 3 0
Mika Godts 2 2
Senny Mayulu 2 2

Goals and assists in the Ligue 1 this season.

Corners and yellow cards

Nice Paris Saint-Germain
  • 5.5 Corners won 5.5
  • 3.7 Corners conceded 2.3
  • 2.3 Yellow cards 1.0
  • 1.4 Opponents' yellow cards 1.8

Per match in the Ligue 1 this season. Average per club and match: 4.5 corners, 1.7 yellow cards.

Attack and defence ratings

NiceParis Saint-Germain
Attack 35 100 1.5 goals per match this season2.2 goals per match this season
Defence 35 100 1.2 conceded per match this season1.0 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Ligue 1 clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.

1837Elo #99 Elo rating 2194Elo #5

Head-to-head

5Nice wins
7draws
21Paris Saint-Germain wins

33 meetings since 2010, results after 90 minutes.

  • 21 Mar 2026 · Ligue 1 Nice 0-4 Paris Saint-Germain
  • 1 Nov 2025 · Ligue 1 Paris Saint-Germain 1-0 Nice
  • 25 Apr 2025 · Ligue 1 Paris Saint-Germain 1-3 Nice
  • 6 Oct 2024 · Ligue 1 Nice 1-1 Paris Saint-Germain
  • 15 May 2024 · Ligue 1 Nice 1-2 Paris Saint-Germain

Table

Ligue 1: Table
#Team PWDLGoalsGDPts
1 Paris Saint-Germain 10 721 22:10 +12 23
2 Lille 10 631 14:7 +7 21
3 Paris FC 10 622 17:10 +7 20
4 Marseille 10 604 22:14 +8 18
5 Lyon 10 523 15:9 +6 17
6 Nice 10 523 15:12 +3 17
7 Monaco 10 442 13:11 +2 16
8 Rennes 10 514 21:21 0 16
9 Brest 10 433 18:12 +6 15
10 Lorient 10 433 9:8 +1 15
11 Lens 10 415 17:15 +2 13
12 Toulouse 10 343 15:14 +1 13
13 Strasbourg 10 316 18:22 -4 10
14 Auxerre 10 316 13:24 -11 10
15 Le Mans 10 154 12:19 -7 8
16 Angers 10 226 9:19 -10 8
17 Troyes 10 226 7:17 -10 8
18 Le Havre 10 028 9:22 -13 2

Our table from the results; the two clubs of this match are highlighted. Full table

Season projection

Members

Where these two clubs are projected to finish in the Ligue 1: average points, likely range and chances.

ClubPts Avg ptsLikely TitleTop 4Rel. play-offRelegated
Nice 17
Paris Saint-Germain 23

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Every club's chance of every place, from our simulated seasons, updated daily.

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Times are UTC.