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Ligue 1 · Matchday 11

Lille vs Lyon: Match Preview & Stats

vs
Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Villeneuve d'Ascq

Our picks

Model predictions are published 48 hours before kick-off

To take in the latest form and rest days, the predictions for this match come out on . (If either team plays another match in between, they come out once that match is over.)

See today's ready predictions →

Our record

  • Lille: 2 of 8 right
  • Lyon: 6 of 8 right

Our result picks in each club's earlier matches on this site.

Match facts

Competition
Ligue 1, Matchday 11
Kick-off
Venue
Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Villeneuve d'Ascq
Since last match
Lille: 13 days (Ligue 1) · Rennes (1‑2) Lyon: 13 days (Ligue 1) · Brest (2‑0)
Next match
Lille: 4 days (Champions League) later · Bayern München Lyon: 5 days (Europa League) later · Lillestrøm

Last starting XI

Lille 4-3-3

  1. 23 Özer
  2. 15 Ngoy
  3. 23 Nianzou
  4. 4 Ribeiro
  5. 24 Verdonk
  6. 17 Mukau
  7. 6 Bentaleb
  8. 21 André
  9. 8 Mbappé
  10. 10 Haraldsson
  11. 35 Diaoune

Coach: Davide Ancelotti at Rennes, 2-1 · Ligue 1 · 8 Nov

Lyon 4-3-3

  1. 1 Greif
  2. 13 Athekame
  3. 21 Kluivert
  4. 19 Niakhaté
  5. 3 Tagliafico
  6. 99 Nartey
  7. 6 Tessmann
  8. 8 Tolisso
  9. 26 Boudache
  10. 18 Merah
  11. 11 Nakamura

Coach: Jorge Maciel at Brest, 0-2 · Ligue 1 · 8 Nov

Our predicted line-ups come with our picks, 48 hours before kick-off. Until then: each club's last starting XI.

Injuries and suspensions

Lille

  • DF Tiago SantosInjured · Late June 2027
  • FW Ayase UedaInjured · A few weeks
  • FW Hamza IgamaneInjured · Late November 2026

Lyon

  • DF Steeve KangoInjured · About 1-2 weeks
  • MF Mohamed OuédraogoInjured · Late June 2027
  • MF Tyler MortonInjured · Late November 2026
  • FW Loïs OpendaInjured · Mid November 2026
  • FW Pavel ŠulcInjured · Early January 2027

Players listed as injured, suspended or away with their national team, with their expected return.

Missing Players Impact

Lille

Moderate impact
Missing attack share 10.0%
Missing minutes share 4.0%
3 players out
Key absences:
  • FW Ayase Ueda 6% attack · 3% mins
  • DF Tiago Santos 4% attack · 2% mins

Lyon

Moderate impact
Missing attack share 16.0%
Missing minutes share 10.0%
5 players out 1 regular starter out
Key absences:
  • FW Pavel Šulc 7% attack · 2% mins
  • MF Tyler Morton 3% attack · 4% mins

Share of team playing time and attacking output over the last 10 matches accounted for by unavailable players.

Tactical Profile & Play Quality (0–100)

Lille Lyon
Box & Territory Pressure 42 47
Set-Piece & Corner Threat 40 44
Finishing Efficiency 72 78
Defensive & Goalkeeper Wall 44 44
Underlying Play Power 50 48
Lille Balanced (results match underlying play)
Lyon Balanced (results match underlying play)

OptimaGoal 0–100 performance indices built from the last 10 matches before kick-off.

Game-State Scenarios & Goal Timing

Lille

When scoring first 67% won · 89% unbeaten (9 matches)
When conceding first 20% points rescued · 0% won (5 matches)
1st Half: 61% 2nd Half: 39%
First 15': 22% Last 15' (76-90'): 22%

Lyon

When scoring first 100% won · 100% unbeaten (6 matches)
When conceding first 38% points rescued · 12% won (8 matches)
1st Half: 52% 2nd Half: 48%
First 15': 14% Last 15' (76-90'): 29%

Reaction to scoring or conceding first and goal distribution across the last 15 matches.

Key Attacking Threats

Lille

  1. 1. FW Soriba Diaoune 3G · 2A
    Team attack 13.0% Team shots 11.0%
  2. 2. FW Dilane Bakwa 1G · 1A
    Team attack 11.0% Team shots 12.0%
  3. 3. FW Ethan Mbappé 2G · 0A
    Team attack 9.0% Team shots 8.0%

Lyon

  1. 1. MF Corentin Tolisso 4G · 2A
    Team attack 16.0% Team shots 13.0%
  2. 2. FW Keito Nakamura 1G · 2A
    Team attack 14.0% Team shots 10.0%
  3. 3. FW Ernest Nuamah 4G · 0A
    Team attack 12.0% Team shots 13.0%

Top available players by share of team attacking production and shot volume over the last 10 matches.

Scoring trends Lille Lyon
Over 1.5 goals 7/10 10/10
Over 2.5 goals 4/10 6/10
Over 3.5 goals 1/10 2/10
Both teams scored 5/10 5/10
Clean sheet 4/10 2/10
Failed to score 2/10 3/10
Goals per match (scored / conceded) 1.1 / 1.2 1.5 / 1.4

Last 10 matches, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Form guide

Lille

  • W 2-1 at Rennes (A) Ligue 1 · 8 Nov
  • D 0-0 at Bodø/Glimt (A) Champions League · 3 Nov
  • W 1-0 vs Lens (H) Ligue 1 · 30 Oct
  • D 1-1 at Monaco (A) Ligue 1 · 25 Oct
  • L 2-4 vs Galatasaray (H) Champions League · 21 Oct

Lyon

  • L 0-2 at Brest (A) Ligue 1 · 8 Nov
  • D 1-1 at Real Sociedad (A) Europa League · 5 Nov
  • W 2-0 vs Angers (H) Ligue 1 · 1 Nov
  • L 0-2 at Paris Saint-Germain (A) Ligue 1 · 26 Oct
  • L 0-3 at Hoffenheim (A) Europa League · 22 Oct

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

When the goals come

ScoredConceded

Lille

  • 1-15 minutes: 2 scored, 1 conceded
  • 16-30 minutes: 4 scored, 1 conceded
  • 31-45 minutes: 1 scored, 1 conceded
  • 46-60 minutes: 0 scored, 0 conceded
  • 61-75 minutes: 3 scored, 2 conceded
  • 76-90 minutes: 4 scored, 2 conceded

Lyon

  • 1-15 minutes: 1 scored, 0 conceded
  • 16-30 minutes: 2 scored, 2 conceded
  • 31-45 minutes: 4 scored, 2 conceded
  • 46-60 minutes: 2 scored, 0 conceded
  • 61-75 minutes: 1 scored, 2 conceded
  • 76-90 minutes: 5 scored, 3 conceded

Goals in each 15-minute period, Ligue 1 this season. Stoppage time counts with its half.

Top scorers

Lille

Player G A
Olivier Giroud (1 pen) 3 2
Dilane Bakwa 2 1
Ayase Ueda 2 0
Ethan Mbappé 2 0
Tiago Santos 2 0

Lyon

Player G A
Ernest Nuamah 4 1
Corentin Tolisso 2 3
Zachary Athekame 2 3
Pavel Šulc 1 3
Felix Bacher 1 1

Goals and assists in the Ligue 1 this season.

Corners and yellow cards

Lille Lyon
  • 3.6 Corners won 4.6
  • 4.9 Corners conceded 5.5
  • 1.6 Yellow cards 1.2
  • 1.5 Opponents' yellow cards 1.8

Per match in the Ligue 1 this season. Average per club and match: 4.5 corners, 1.7 yellow cards.

Attack and defence ratings

LilleLyon
Attack 53 76 1.4 goals per match this season1.5 goals per match this season
Defence 94 88 0.7 conceded per match this season0.9 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Ligue 1 clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.

1955Elo #44 Elo rating 1947Elo #47

Head-to-head

11Lille wins
13draws
11Lyon wins

35 meetings since 2010, results after 90 minutes.

  • 1 Feb 2026 · Ligue 1 Lyon 1-0 Lille
  • 11 Jan 2026 · Coupe de France Lille 1-2 Lyon
  • 28 Sep 2025 · Ligue 1 Lille 0-1 Lyon
  • 5 Apr 2025 · Ligue 1 Lyon 2-1 Lille
  • 1 Nov 2024 · Ligue 1 Lille 1-1 Lyon

Table

Ligue 1: Table
#Team PWDLGoalsGDPts
1 Paris Saint-Germain 10 721 22:10 +12 23
2 Lille 10 631 14:7 +7 21
3 Paris FC 10 622 17:10 +7 20
4 Marseille 10 604 22:14 +8 18
5 Lyon 10 523 15:9 +6 17
6 Nice 10 523 15:12 +3 17
7 Monaco 10 442 13:11 +2 16
8 Rennes 10 514 21:21 0 16
9 Brest 10 433 18:12 +6 15
10 Lorient 10 433 9:8 +1 15
11 Lens 10 415 17:15 +2 13
12 Toulouse 10 343 15:14 +1 13
13 Strasbourg 10 316 18:22 -4 10
14 Auxerre 10 316 13:24 -11 10
15 Le Mans 10 154 12:19 -7 8
16 Angers 10 226 9:19 -10 8
17 Troyes 10 226 7:17 -10 8
18 Le Havre 10 028 9:22 -13 2

Our table from the results; the two clubs of this match are highlighted. Full table

Season projection

Members

Where these two clubs are projected to finish in the Ligue 1: average points, likely range and chances.

ClubPts Avg ptsLikely TitleTop 4Rel. play-offRelegated
Lille 21
Lyon 17

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Every club's chance of every place, from our simulated seasons, updated daily.

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Times are UTC.