Charlotte FC vs CF Montréal Prediction, Match Preview & Stats
Our picks
Free picks- Result Free pick
Charlotte FC win Model probability
Charlotte FC 35% Draw 68%
CF Montréal 80% - Double chance Free pick Charlotte FC or draw (1X)Model probability
Charlotte FC / Draw 17% 
Charlotte FC / CF Montréal 95%
Draw / CF Montréal 33% - Both teams to score Free pick YesModel probability 83%
- More corners Free pick
Charlotte FC Model probability
Charlotte FC 62% Level 78%
CF Montréal 98% - Yellow cards Free pick Below the league average(league 3.9)Model probability Over 3.5 91%Over 4.5 49%Over 5.5 22%
- Corners Free pick Around the league average(league 10.0)Model probability Over 8.5 61%Over 9.5 41%Over 10.5 36%
- Over 2.5 goalsModel probability 87%
See exactly how confident our model is
Every probability, plus over/under 2.5 goals. The result percentages are free for everyone 2h before kick-off ·
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All probabilities
Result after 90 minutes
Double chance
1X · Charlotte FC or draw17%
12 · Charlotte FC or CF Montréal95%
X2 · CF Montréal or draw33%
Both teams to score
Yes83%
No90%
Goals over/under 2.5
Over 2.587%
Under 2.596%
Yellow cards
Expected 8.8
Over 3.5 / under91% · 39%
Over 4.5 / under49% · 44%
Over 5.5 / under22% · 82%
Corners
Expected
Charlotte FC 7.2 – 4.8
CF Montréal
Over 8.5 / under61% · 38%
Over 9.5 / under41% · 45%
Over 10.5 / under36% · 60%
More corners
Charlotte FC62%
Level78%
CF Montréal98%
Why this pick?
Our model's result pick rests on three things pointing the same way: it rates Charlotte clearly the stronger of the two over the long run, it likes the way the matchup sets up, and it adds home advantage. The strongest argument on the other side is Charlotte's own attacking play of late, which has not been sharp. Even so, Montréal sit bottom of the table on 25 points with the lowest attacking and defensive ratings in the competition, and Charlotte's chance creation has been better than the league norm, so there should be enough there. The call is moderate rather than clear.
Both teams to score: Charlotte have created more big chances than the league average over their last five, and our goal model sees goals at both ends. Charlotte also give up plenty of shots and big chances, though Montréal's scoring record is the one caveat.
Match summary
Charlotte FC vs CF Montréal is the Matchday 32 fixture in MLS at Bank of America Stadium on Wednesday 28 October 2026, and our model goes for a Charlotte win, with the draw covered by a Charlotte win or draw double chance.
Form guide
Charlotte FC
- L 2-3 at Portland Timbers (A) MLS · 25 Oct
- D 2-2 at Philadelphia Union (A) MLS · 17 Oct
- L 1-3 at Columbus Crew (A) MLS · 14 Oct
- W 3-2 vs FC Dallas (H) MLS · 10 Oct
- L 0-1 vs Chicago Fire FC (H) MLS · 26 Sep
CF Montréal
- L 0-2 vs Nashville SC (H) MLS · 24 Oct
- D 1-1 vs Forge FC (N) Canadian Championship · 21 Oct
- D 1-1 at Seattle Sounders FC (A) MLS · 18 Oct
- L 0-3 vs Atlanta United (H) MLS · 14 Oct
- L 1-2 at Toronto FC (A) MLS · 10 Oct
Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.
Attack and defence ratings
0 to 100 against this season's MLS clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.
Head-to-head
9 meetings since 2010, results after 90 minutes.
- 9 Sep 2026 · MLS CF Montréal 1-2 Charlotte FC
- 27 Sep 2025 · MLS Charlotte FC 1-4 CF Montréal
- 12 Apr 2025 · MLS CF Montréal 0-1 Charlotte FC
- 5 Oct 2024 · MLS Charlotte FC 2-0 CF Montréal
- 14 Sep 2024 · MLS CF Montréal 2-1 Charlotte FC
MLS so far
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 55:48 | +7 | 47 |
| 15 | | 31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 36:62 | -26 | 25 |
Positions in our table of 15 clubs, before kick-off. Full table
Match facts
- Competition
- MLS, Matchday 32
- Kick-off
- Venue
- Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, North Carolina
- Since last match
- Charlotte FC: 3 days (MLS)
CF Montréal: 4 days (MLS) - Next match
- Charlotte FC: 2 days (MLS) later
CF Montréal: 2 days (MLS) later
Questions and answers
Charlotte FC vs CF Montréal prediction: who will win?
Our model picks Charlotte FC to win, and it is a call with a fair margin. The main reason is our goal model's view of the matchup. Our double chance pick is Charlotte FC or draw.
What time is Charlotte FC vs CF Montréal and where is it played?
Charlotte FC vs CF Montréal kicks off at 23:30 UK time (23:30 UTC) on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, North Carolina. Local time: 19:30 (US Eastern time). It is a MLS match (Matchday 32).
Will both teams score in Charlotte FC vs CF Montréal?
Yes: our model expects both teams to score, mainly because of recent attacking play (shots and chances). We only give this pick when our model's view is clear.
What is the recent form of Charlotte FC and CF Montréal?
Charlotte FC have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches in all competitions, and are without a win in 3. CF Montréal have 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches in all competitions, and are without a win in 5.
What is the head-to-head record between Charlotte FC and CF Montréal?
Charlotte FC and CF Montréal have met 9 times in our records since 2010: Charlotte FC won 3, CF Montréal won 5 and 1 ended level. Last meeting: 2026-09-09, CF Montréal 1-2 Charlotte FC.
Who is the referee for Charlotte FC vs CF Montréal?
The referee is Ricardo Fierro. In the last 35 matches we have on record, Ricardo Fierro has averaged 3.3 yellow cards per match.
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Times are UTC.