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MLS · Matchday 32

Austin FC vs Real Salt Lake Prediction, Match Preview & Stats

Austin FC crest Austin FC
vs
Real Salt Lake crest Real Salt Lake
Q2 Stadium, Austin, Texas

Our picks

Free picks
  • Result Free pick Real Salt Lake win
    Model probability 47% 94% 95%
  • Double chance Free pick Austin FC or Real Salt Lake (12)
    Model probability 89% 69% 38%
  • More corners Free pick Real Salt Lake
    Model probability 39% 71% 86%
  • Yellow cards Free pick Around the league average(league 3.9)
    Model probability Over 3.5 99%Over 4.5 61%Over 5.5 43%
  • Corners Free pick Around the league average(league 10.0)
    Model probability Over 8.5 46%Over 9.5 34%Over 10.5 30%

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Why this pick?

Real Salt Lake are our pick, and the reason is straightforward: our model rates them slightly the stronger side, while Austin FC sit clearly below the MLS average. The case against is the trip, with the venue's altitude and the visitors' journey. What answers it is the football — Austin have given up well above the league average in shots and big chances over their last five, and they create little in the box, whereas Real Salt Lake have been above the norm going forward and concede fewer clear openings than most. Form points the same way. The call is a narrow one.

Match summary

Austin FC vs Real Salt Lake comes to Q2 Stadium on Thursday 29 October 2026 for MLS Matchday 32, and our model goes with a Real Salt Lake win, with Austin FC or Real Salt Lake to win (no draw) as the double chance.

Form guide

Austin FC

  • W 2-1 at Sporting Kansas City (A) MLS · 25 Oct
  • L 1-2 vs Vancouver Whitecaps (H) MLS · 18 Oct
  • L 1-3 at Los Angeles FC (A) MLS · 15 Oct
  • L 1-4 vs Nashville SC (H) MLS · 11 Oct
  • D 3-3 vs San Diego FC (H) MLS · 27 Sep

Real Salt Lake

  • W 3-0 vs St. Louis City (H) MLS · 25 Oct
  • W 3-1 at Sporting Kansas City (A) MLS · 18 Oct
  • D 1-1 vs San Jose Earthquakes (H) MLS · 15 Oct
  • L 1-2 at Philadelphia Union (A) MLS · 10 Oct
  • W 3-0 vs New England Revolution (H) MLS · 27 Sep

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Attack and defence ratings

Austin FCReal Salt Lake
Attack 10 34 1.3 goals per match this season1.5 goals per match this season
Defence 45 69 1.8 conceded per match this season1.5 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's MLS clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.

1660Elo #281 Elo rating 1696Elo #242

Head-to-head

3Austin FC wins
3draws
6Real Salt Lake wins

12 meetings since 2010, results after 90 minutes.

  • 15 Mar 2026 · MLS Real Salt Lake 2-1 Austin FC
  • 28 Sep 2025 · MLS Real Salt Lake 3-1 Austin FC
  • 29 May 2025 · MLS Austin FC 1-1 Real Salt Lake
  • 29 Sep 2024 · MLS Austin FC 2-2 Real Salt Lake
  • 2 Jun 2024 · MLS Real Salt Lake 5-1 Austin FC

MLS so far

#Team PWDLGoalsGDPts
10 Real Salt Lake 31 11614 48:48 0 39
14 Austin FC 31 81013 40:57 -17 34

Positions in our table of 15 clubs, before kick-off. Full table

Match facts

Competition
MLS, Matchday 32
Kick-off
Venue
Q2 Stadium, Austin, Texas
Since last match
Austin FC: 3 days (MLS)
Real Salt Lake: 3 days (MLS)
Next match
Austin FC: 2 days (MLS) later
Real Salt Lake: 2 days (MLS) later

Questions and answers

Austin FC vs Real Salt Lake prediction: who will win?

Our model picks Real Salt Lake to win, and it is a narrow call. The main reason is our long-run strength ratings of the two sides. Our double chance pick is Austin FC or Real Salt Lake (no draw).

What time is Austin FC vs Real Salt Lake and where is it played?

Austin FC vs Real Salt Lake kicks off at 00:30 UK time (00:30 UTC) on Thursday 29 October 2026 at Q2 Stadium, Austin, Texas. Local time: 20:30 (US Eastern time). It is a MLS match (Matchday 32).

What is the recent form of Austin FC and Real Salt Lake?

Austin FC have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches in all competitions, and won their latest match. Real Salt Lake have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches in all competitions, and have won their last 2.

What is the head-to-head record between Austin FC and Real Salt Lake?

Austin FC and Real Salt Lake have met 12 times in our records since 2010: Austin FC won 3, Real Salt Lake won 6 and 3 ended level. Last meeting: 2026-03-15, Real Salt Lake 2-1 Austin FC.

Who is the referee for Austin FC vs Real Salt Lake?

The referee is Ricardo Montero. In the last 31 matches we have on record, Ricardo Montero has averaged 4.2 yellow cards per match.

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Times are UTC.