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MLS · Matchday 32

Chicago Fire FC vs Orlando City Prediction, Match Preview & Stats

Chicago Fire FC crest Chicago Fire FC
vs
Orlando City crest Orlando City
Soldier Field, Chicago, Illinois

Our picks

Free picks
  • Result Free pick Chicago Fire FC win
    Model probability 23% 72% 81%
  • Double chance Free pick Chicago Fire FC or Orlando City (12)
    Model probability 84% 13% 93%
  • Both teams to score Free pick Yes
    Model probability 94%
  • More corners Free pick Chicago Fire FC
    Model probability 52% 64% 19%
  • Yellow cards Free pick Around the league average(league 3.9)
    Model probability Over 3.5 80%Over 4.5 68%Over 5.5 60%
  • Corners Free pick Around the league average(league 10.0)
    Model probability Over 8.5 74%Over 9.5 36%Over 10.5 26%

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Why this pick?

Our model makes Chicago Fire FC the pick, leaning on a strength rating slightly above Orlando City's and on the advantage of playing at Soldier Field. The obvious counterweight is Orlando's attack, the stronger of the two by our ratings, and they have scored in each of their last five. What holds the call together is the other end of the pitch: Orlando's defence sits at the bottom of our scale, they have conceded 72 goals in 31 matches, and Chicago have won the last three meetings between the two. A clear call, in our view.

Both teams to score: Both teams to score is our call: the goal model likes this matchup, and Orlando's recent games have been open, with shots and big chances conceded clearly above the league average.

Match summary

Soldier Field stages Chicago Fire FC vs Orlando City on Thursday 29 October 2026 in MLS Matchday 32, and our model calls a home win. Our double chance has either side taking it, with no draw.

Form guide

Chicago Fire FC

  • W 3-2 at Atlanta United (A) MLS · 24 Oct
  • L 0-1 at New England Revolution (A) MLS · 17 Oct
  • L 1-3 vs Philadelphia Union (H) MLS · 15 Oct
  • W 2-1 vs New York City FC (H) MLS · 10 Oct
  • W 3-1 vs Vancouver Whitecaps (H) MLS · 7 Oct

Orlando City

  • D 2-2 vs New York City FC (H) MLS · 24 Oct
  • W 4-1 vs DC United (H) MLS · 17 Oct
  • D 3-3 at Toronto FC (A) MLS · 14 Oct
  • W 3-2 vs Columbus Crew (H) MLS · 10 Oct
  • L 2-4 at Philadelphia Union (A) MLS · 26 Sep

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Attack and defence ratings

Chicago Fire FCOrlando City
Attack 76 97 1.8 goals per match this season1.9 goals per match this season
Defence 48 10 1.5 conceded per match this season2.3 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's MLS clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.

1746Elo #176 Elo rating 1728Elo #204

Head-to-head

10Chicago Fire FC wins
8draws
8Orlando City wins

26 meetings since 2010, results after 90 minutes.

  • 19 Aug 2026 · MLS Orlando City 1-2 Chicago Fire FC
  • 23 Oct 2025 · MLS Chicago Fire FC 3-1 Orlando City
  • 31 May 2025 · MLS Orlando City 1-3 Chicago Fire FC
  • 4 May 2025 · MLS Chicago Fire FC 0-0 Orlando City
  • 22 Jun 2024 · MLS Orlando City 4-2 Chicago Fire FC

MLS so far

#Team PWDLGoalsGDPts
4 Chicago Fire FC 31 15610 55:46 +9 51
8 Orlando City 31 12613 60:72 -12 42

Positions in our table of 15 clubs, before kick-off. Full table

Match facts

Competition
MLS, Matchday 32
Kick-off
Venue
Soldier Field, Chicago, Illinois
Since last match
Chicago Fire FC: 4 days (MLS)
Orlando City: 4 days (MLS)
Next match
Chicago Fire FC: 3 days (MLS) later
Orlando City: 2 days (MLS) later

Questions and answers

Chicago Fire FC vs Orlando City prediction: who will win?

Our model picks Chicago Fire FC to win, and it is a clear call. The main reason is our long-run strength ratings of the two sides. Our double chance pick is Chicago Fire FC or Orlando City (no draw).

What time is Chicago Fire FC vs Orlando City and where is it played?

Chicago Fire FC vs Orlando City kicks off at 00:30 UK time (00:30 UTC) on Thursday 29 October 2026 at Soldier Field, Chicago, Illinois. Local time: 20:30 (US Eastern time). It is a MLS match (Matchday 32).

Will both teams score in Chicago Fire FC vs Orlando City?

Yes: our model expects both teams to score, mainly because of our goal model's view of the matchup. We only give this pick when our model's view is clear.

What is the recent form of Chicago Fire FC and Orlando City?

Chicago Fire FC have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches in all competitions, and won their latest match. Orlando City have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches in all competitions, and are unbeaten in 4.

What is the head-to-head record between Chicago Fire FC and Orlando City?

Chicago Fire FC and Orlando City have met 26 times in our records since 2010: Chicago Fire FC won 10, Orlando City won 8 and 8 ended level. Last meeting: 2026-08-19, Orlando City 1-2 Chicago Fire FC.

Who is the referee for Chicago Fire FC vs Orlando City?

The referee is Marcos de Oliveira. In the last 50 matches we have on record, Marcos de Oliveira has averaged 3.3 yellow cards per match.

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Times are UTC.