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NBA · Regular season

Boston Celtics vs Orlando Magic: Preview and Stats

Boston Celtics 10-2
vs
Orlando Magic 4-7
TD Garden, Boston

Our picks

Our picks for Boston Celtics vs Orlando Magic come out after the official NBA injury report, at most 48 hours before tip-off, and at the latest (3 hours before tip-off).

We are waiting for the result of a team's previous game.

Our NBA model track record for this matchup

Our winner picks on these teams

  • Boston Celtics 12 of 12 right (100%)
  • Orlando Magic 4 of 11 right (36%)

Settled NBA winner picks since 20 Oct 2026.

Game details

Stage
NBA, Regular season
Tip-off
Arena
TD Garden
City
Boston
Since last match
Boston Celtics: Dallas Mavericks Orlando Magic: Milwaukee Bucks
Next match
Boston Celtics: Denver Nuggets Orlando Magic: Philadelphia 76ers

Missing production & availability impact

Share of last 10 games' offensive creation (PTS + AST) and minutes sidelined.

Boston Celtics

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Orlando Magic

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Official NBA injury report

Boston Celtics

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Orlando Magic

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Expected 8-man core rotation

Projected starters and key bench from recent usage and the official injury report.

Boston Celtics

Projected Starters
  • G-F Jayson Tatum
    33.2 MPG 26.7 PPG 6.0 RPG 7.1 APG
  • G Derrick White
    28.9 MPG 12.4 PPG 3.0 RPG 4.9 APG
  • F Paul George
    29.5 MPG 20.9 PPG 5.0 RPG 4.1 APG
  • G Payton Pritchard
    26.9 MPG 13.9 PPG 3.5 RPG 3.9 APG
  • C Neemias Queta
    22.6 MPG 9.2 PPG 7.0 RPG 1.9 APG
Key Bench
  • G Baylor Scheierman
    21.9 MPG 6.3 PPG 4.5 RPG 1.7 APG
  • G Devin Carter
    28.7 MPG 14.0 PPG 0.0 RPG 0.0 APG
  • F Sam Hauser
    21.1 MPG 8.0 PPG 3.6 RPG 1.0 APG

Orlando Magic

Projected Starters
  • F Franz Wagner
    37.6 MPG 23.6 PPG 6.6 RPG 8.2 APG
  • G Desmond Bane
    34.8 MPG 18.0 PPG 3.9 RPG 2.4 APG
  • F-C Wendell Carter Jr.
    33.1 MPG 12.8 PPG 9.7 RPG 1.3 APG
  • G Anthony Black
    31.6 MPG 17.8 PPG 6.0 RPG 5.5 APG
  • F Tristan da Silva
    30.8 MPG 15.2 PPG 3.9 RPG 1.5 APG
Key Bench
  • G Jase Richardson
    22.4 MPG 6.3 PPG 1.9 RPG 2.4 APG
  • F Jamal Cain
    20.1 MPG 7.8 PPG 3.4 RPG 0.4 APG
  • G Jevon Carter
    14.7 MPG 4.4 PPG 0.9 RPG 1.7 APG

OptimaGoal power & pace ratings

Full NBA power ratings

Neutral-court net point rating and 48-minute tempo rank across all 30 NBA franchises.

Boston Celtics

#1 of 30
Net rating +7.8 30d: -0.1
Pace: -3.9 (#29 of 30)

Orlando Magic

#21 of 30
Net rating -2.8 30d: -1.9
Pace: -1.6 (#17 of 30)

OptimaGoal tactical & efficiency profile (0–100)

Original 0–100 indices built from each team's last 10 played games before tip-off.

Boston Celtics

Net 89
Shot quality (TS%) 56
3PT volume & accuracy 70
Ball security & passing 35
Rebounding control 58
Defensive disruption 72

ORtg 116.0 · DRtg 102.1 · Net +13.9 · TS 58.7%

Orlando Magic

Net 35
Shot quality (TS%) 37
3PT volume & accuracy 54
Ball security & passing 19
Rebounding control 58
Defensive disruption 42

ORtg 106.0 · DRtg 111.4 · Net -5.4 · TS 56.0%

Boston Celtics · Record vs point differential W-L record aligned with point differential 10W actual vs 9.7W expected (12 GP)
Orlando Magic · Record vs point differential W-L record aligned with point differential 4W actual vs 3.7W expected (11 GP)

Halftime splits & clutch profile

Game-state outcomes and half-by-half scoring share over the last 15 games.

Boston Celtics

Win rate when leading at HT 8/10 (80%)
Comeback wins when trailing at HT 2/5 (40%)
Scoring split (1H vs 2H)
1H: 58.3 (52.7%) 2H: 52.4 (47.3%)
Clutch (≤5 pts / OT): 3-0 10+ pt margins: 6-3

Orlando Magic

Win rate when leading at HT 4/5 (80%)
Comeback wins when trailing at HT 1/10 (10%)
Scoring split (1H vs 2H)
1H: 54.6 (52.2%) 2H: 50.0 (47.8%)
Clutch (≤5 pts / OT): 0-1 10+ pt margins: 1-6

Scoring environment and threshold hit counts across the last 10 games.

BOSORL
Points scored / game 115.1 106.8
Points allowed / game 101.3 112.2
Average game total 216.4 219.0
Average 1st-half total 111.9 111.3
Possessions / 48 min 98.2 99.7
Games with 220+ pts 4/10 5/10
Games with 230+ pts 3/10 3/10
Games with 240+ pts 1/10 1/10
Scored 115+ pts 6/10 3/10

Schedule density & travel spot

Rest days, multi-game compression and current home/road stretch entering tip-off.

Boston Celtics

0 days (Back-to-back)
1 in 4 nights 2 in 6 nights Homestand · Game 1

Orlando Magic

2 days rest
1 in 4 nights 2 in 6 nights Road trip · Game 5

Primary offensive threats

Available rotation leaders by scoring and shot share over the last 10 games.

Boston Celtics

  • #1 Jayson Tatum G-F 23.2% pts share
    26.7 PPG · 6.0 RPG · 7.1 APG · 2.6 3PM 20.9% FGA
  • #2 Paul George F 18.2% pts share
    20.9 PPG · 5.0 RPG · 4.1 APG · 3.4 3PM 18.4% FGA
  • #3 Derrick White G 10.8% pts share
    12.4 PPG · 3.0 RPG · 4.9 APG · 1.6 3PM 11.9% FGA

Orlando Magic

  • #1 Franz Wagner F 22.1% pts share
    23.6 PPG · 6.6 RPG · 8.2 APG · 1.2 3PM 21.6% FGA
  • #2 Anthony Black G 16.7% pts share
    17.8 PPG · 6.0 RPG · 5.5 APG · 2.1 3PM 14.3% FGA
  • #3 Desmond Bane G 16.9% pts share
    18.0 PPG · 3.9 RPG · 2.4 APG · 4.0 3PM 17.2% FGA

Last five games

Boston Celtics

  • W 98-93 at Toronto Raptors (A) 12 Nov
  • W 123-101 at Philadelphia 76ers (A) 11 Nov
  • W 117-97 at Milwaukee Bucks (A) 9 Nov
  • W 119-80 at Charlotte Hornets (A) 7 Nov
  • W 109-102 vs Milwaukee Bucks (H) 5 Nov

Orlando Magic

  • W 123-108 at Utah Jazz (A) 12 Nov
  • W 107-100 at Sacramento Kings (A) 11 Nov
  • L 119-126 at Golden State Warriors (A) 8 Nov
  • L 104-117 at Phoenix Suns (A) 6 Nov
  • L 94-103 vs Washington Wizards (H) 3 Nov

Most recent first, all games of the season, overtime included.

Last 10 head-to-head meetings

BOS · 8W ORL · 2W
Avg total pts: 214.4 BOS avg: 111.2 ORL avg: 103.2 225+ pt games: 2/10 BOS at home: 5-0
  • 1 Nov 2026 ORL 97‑108 BOS
  • 12 Apr 2026 BOS 113‑108 ORL
  • 23 Nov 2025 BOS 138‑129 ORL
  • 9 Nov 2025 ORL 107‑111 BOS
  • 7 Nov 2025 ORL 123‑110 BOS
  • 29 Apr 2025 BOS 120‑89 ORL
  • 27 Apr 2025 ORL 98‑107 BOS
  • 25 Apr 2025 ORL 95‑93 BOS
  • 23 Apr 2025 BOS 109‑100 ORL
  • 20 Apr 2025 BOS 103‑86 ORL

Season profile comparison

BOSORL
Record 10-2 4-7
At home 5-0 0-4
On the road 5-2 4-3
Conference 1 of 15, Eastern Conference 9 of 15, Eastern Conference
Streak Won 5 in a row Won 2 in a row
Days of rest 0 (second night of a back-to-back) 2
Our team rating #1 of 30 #21 of 30
Pace #29 of 30 #17 of 30

Eastern Conference standings

Full NBA standings
# Team W L PCT GB Home Road L10 Streak
1 Boston Celtics 10 2 .833 – 5-0 5-2 9-1 W5
2 Philadelphia 76ers 10 3 .769 0.5 5-2 5-1 7-3 W1
3 Detroit Pistons 8 3 .727 1.5 3-2 5-1 7-3 W2
4 Atlanta Hawks 7 5 .583 3.0 3-3 4-2 5-5 L1
5 New York Knicks 6 5 .545 3.5 4-3 2-2 6-4 L1
6 Cleveland Cavaliers 6 6 .500 4.0 4-2 2-4 5-5 W1
7 Miami Heat 5 6 .455 4.5 1-3 4-3 5-5 W2
8 Toronto Raptors 5 7 .417 5.0 2-3 3-4 3-7 L3
9 Orlando Magic 4 7 .364 5.5 0-4 4-3 4-6 W2
10 Charlotte Hornets 4 8 .333 6.0 3-4 1-4 3-7 L1
11 Indiana Pacers 4 8 .333 6.0 1-4 3-4 3-7 W1
12 Washington Wizards 4 9 .308 6.5 2-3 2-6 2-8 L6
13 Brooklyn Nets 3 8 .273 6.5 1-3 2-5 3-7 W1
14 Chicago Bulls 1 9 .100 8.0 0-4 1-5 1-9 L8
15 Milwaukee Bucks 1 11 .083 9.0 1-6 0-5 1-9 L8

Solid cut lines mark Top 6 (direct Play-offs) and Top 10 (Play-in Tournament).

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