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NBA · Regular season

Washington Wizards vs Memphis Grizzlies: Preview and Stats

Washington Wizards 4-9
vs
Memphis Grizzlies 7-4
Capital One Arena, Washington

Our picks

Our picks for Washington Wizards vs Memphis Grizzlies come out after the official NBA injury report, at most 48 hours before tip-off, and at the latest (3 hours before tip-off).

We are waiting for the result of a team's previous game.

Our NBA model track record for this matchup

Our winner picks on these teams

  • Washington Wizards 10 of 13 right (77%)
  • Memphis Grizzlies 3 of 11 right (27%)

Settled NBA winner picks since 21 Oct 2026.

Game details

Stage
NBA, Regular season
Tip-off
Arena
Capital One Arena
City
Washington
Since last match
Washington Wizards: Houston Rockets Memphis Grizzlies: Brooklyn Nets
Next match
Washington Wizards: Toronto Raptors Memphis Grizzlies: Cleveland Cavaliers

Missing production & availability impact

Share of last 10 games' offensive creation (PTS + AST) and minutes sidelined.

Washington Wizards

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Memphis Grizzlies

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Official NBA injury report

Washington Wizards

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Memphis Grizzlies

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Expected 8-man core rotation

Projected starters and key bench from recent usage and the official injury report.

Washington Wizards

Projected Starters
  • G Trae Young
    35.9 MPG 18.9 PPG 3.5 RPG 8.0 APG
  • F Kyshawn George
    34.0 MPG 18.5 PPG 4.1 RPG 5.2 APG
  • F AJ Dybantsa
    33.8 MPG 15.0 PPG 6.1 RPG 2.3 APG
  • F-C Anthony Davis
    35.0 MPG 27.5 PPG 11.0 RPG 1.6 APG
  • C Alex Sarr
    28.4 MPG 12.3 PPG 8.2 RPG 1.1 APG
Key Bench
  • G Bilal Coulibaly
    25.8 MPG 5.8 PPG 4.2 RPG 0.9 APG
  • G Tre Johnson
    23.9 MPG 8.3 PPG 2.2 RPG 1.0 APG
  • G Bub Carrington
    18.7 MPG 4.1 PPG 1.7 RPG 2.1 APG

Memphis Grizzlies

Projected Starters
  • F Cameron Boozer
    32.1 MPG 16.8 PPG 9.7 RPG 5.5 APG
  • G-F Ty Jerome
    30.7 MPG 24.1 PPG 3.1 RPG 4.8 APG
  • G Cedric Coward
    28.3 MPG 13.4 PPG 8.9 RPG 2.8 APG
  • F Jaylen Wells
    27.2 MPG 12.0 PPG 2.8 RPG 1.4 APG
  • F Jerami Grant
    23.4 MPG 10.3 PPG 2.2 RPG 2.0 APG
Key Bench
  • C Zach Edey
    20.8 MPG 7.8 PPG 7.6 RPG 1.0 APG
  • G Cam Spencer
    19.8 MPG 9.9 PPG 3.3 RPG 5.1 APG
  • F-C Isaiah Stewart
    18.2 MPG 10.8 PPG 3.1 RPG 0.8 APG

OptimaGoal power & pace ratings

Full NBA power ratings

Neutral-court net point rating and 48-minute tempo rank across all 30 NBA franchises.

Washington Wizards

#26 of 30
Net rating -4.6 30d: -1.2
Pace: -2.1 (#21 of 30)

Memphis Grizzlies

#16 of 30
Net rating -1.1 30d: +3.5
Pace: -1.1 (#12 of 30)

OptimaGoal tactical & efficiency profile (0–100)

Original 0–100 indices built from each team's last 10 played games before tip-off.

Washington Wizards

Net 28
Shot quality (TS%) 33
3PT volume & accuracy 27
Ball security & passing 34
Rebounding control 34
Defensive disruption 57

ORtg 106.0 · DRtg 114.0 · Net -8.0 · TS 55.4%

Memphis Grizzlies

Net 63
Shot quality (TS%) 61
3PT volume & accuracy 68
Ball security & passing 26
Rebounding control 59
Defensive disruption 51

ORtg 114.0 · DRtg 109.6 · Net +4.5 · TS 59.3%

Washington Wizards · Record vs point differential W-L record aligned with point differential 4W actual vs 4.3W expected (13 GP)
Memphis Grizzlies · Record vs point differential W-L record aligned with point differential 7W actual vs 7.4W expected (11 GP)

Halftime splits & clutch profile

Game-state outcomes and half-by-half scoring share over the last 15 games.

Washington Wizards

Win rate when leading at HT 2/3 (67%)
Comeback wins when trailing at HT 2/12 (17%)
Scoring split (1H vs 2H)
1H: 54.4 (49.0%) 2H: 56.5 (51.0%)
Clutch (≤5 pts / OT): 1-1 10+ pt margins: 2-8

Memphis Grizzlies

Win rate when leading at HT 6/8 (75%)
Comeback wins when trailing at HT 0/6 (0%)
Scoring split (1H vs 2H)
1H: 58.7 (50.5%) 2H: 57.6 (49.5%)
Clutch (≤5 pts / OT): 2-3 10+ pt margins: 5-5

Scoring environment and threshold hit counts across the last 10 games.

WASMEM
Points scored / game 107.6 117.4
Points allowed / game 115.7 112.8
Average game total 223.3 230.2
Average 1st-half total 114.5 116.5
Possessions / 48 min 99.5 101.9
Games with 220+ pts 5/10 7/10
Games with 230+ pts 4/10 4/10
Games with 240+ pts 2/10 3/10
Scored 115+ pts 2/10 6/10

Schedule density & travel spot

Rest days, multi-game compression and current home/road stretch entering tip-off.

Washington Wizards

0 days (Back-to-back)
1 in 4 nights 3 in 6 nights Homestand · Game 2

Memphis Grizzlies

1 day rest
1 in 4 nights 2 in 6 nights Road trip · Game 1

Primary offensive threats

Available rotation leaders by scoring and shot share over the last 10 games.

Washington Wizards

  • #1 Trae Young G 17.6% pts share
    18.9 PPG · 3.5 RPG · 8.0 APG · 2.0 3PM 15.7% FGA
  • #2 Anthony Davis F-C 25.6% pts share
    27.5 PPG · 11.0 RPG · 1.6 APG · 1.0 3PM 22.2% FGA
  • #3 Kyshawn George F 17.2% pts share
    18.5 PPG · 4.1 RPG · 5.2 APG · 3.0 3PM 15.7% FGA

Memphis Grizzlies

  • #1 Ty Jerome G-F 20.5% pts share
    24.1 PPG · 3.1 RPG · 4.8 APG · 2.3 3PM 19.8% FGA
  • #2 Cameron Boozer F 14.3% pts share
    16.8 PPG · 9.7 RPG · 5.5 APG · 2.0 3PM 15.5% FGA
  • #3 Cedric Coward G 11.4% pts share
    13.4 PPG · 8.9 RPG · 2.8 APG · 2.4 3PM 12.3% FGA

Last five games

Washington Wizards

  • L 140-144 vs Detroit Pistons (H) 13 Nov
  • L 101-114 at Indiana Pacers (A) 12 Nov
  • L 111-122 at Detroit Pistons (A) 10 Nov
  • L 75-114 at Oklahoma City Thunder (A) 8 Nov
  • L 132-139 at Atlanta Hawks (A) 7 Nov

Memphis Grizzlies

  • L 118-123 vs Denver Nuggets (H) 12 Nov
  • W 118-102 at Toronto Raptors (A) 10 Nov
  • L 97-128 vs Oklahoma City Thunder (H) 7 Nov
  • L 103-107 vs Indiana Pacers (H) 5 Nov
  • L 134-135 vs New Orleans Pelicans (H) 3 Nov

Most recent first, all games of the season, overtime included.

Last 10 head-to-head meetings

WAS · 5W MEM · 5W
Avg total pts: 219.5 WAS avg: 108.1 MEM avg: 111.4 225+ pt games: 4/10 WAS at home: 4-1
  • 28 Dec 2025 WAS 116‑112 MEM
  • 20 Dec 2025 MEM 122‑130 WAS
  • 8 Dec 2024 WAS 112‑140 MEM
  • 8 Nov 2024 MEM 128‑104 WAS
  • 12 Mar 2024 MEM 109‑97 WAS
  • 28 Oct 2023 WAS 113‑106 MEM
  • 13 Nov 2022 WAS 102‑92 MEM
  • 6 Nov 2022 MEM 103‑97 WAS
  • 29 Jan 2022 MEM 115‑95 WAS
  • 5 Nov 2021 WAS 115‑87 MEM

Season profile comparison

WASMEM
Record 4-9 7-4
At home 2-3 2-4
On the road 2-6 5-0
Conference 12 of 15, Eastern Conference 8 of 15, Western Conference
Streak Lost 5 in a row –
Days of rest 0 (second night of a back-to-back) 1
Our team rating #26 of 30 #16 of 30
Pace #22 of 30 #12 of 30

Inter-conference matchup — both conference tables shown with Play-off (#6) and Play-in (#10) cut lines.

Eastern Conference standings

Full NBA standings
# Team W L PCT GB Home Road L10 Streak
1 Boston Celtics 10 2 .833 – 5-0 5-2 9-1 W5
2 Philadelphia 76ers 10 3 .769 0.5 5-2 5-1 7-3 W1
3 Detroit Pistons 8 3 .727 1.5 3-2 5-1 7-3 W2
4 Atlanta Hawks 7 5 .583 3.0 3-3 4-2 5-5 L1
5 New York Knicks 6 5 .545 3.5 4-3 2-2 6-4 L1
6 Cleveland Cavaliers 6 6 .500 4.0 4-2 2-4 5-5 W1
7 Miami Heat 5 6 .455 4.5 1-3 4-3 5-5 W2
8 Toronto Raptors 5 7 .417 5.0 2-3 3-4 3-7 L3
9 Orlando Magic 4 7 .364 5.5 0-4 4-3 4-6 W2
10 Charlotte Hornets 4 8 .333 6.0 3-4 1-4 3-7 L1
11 Indiana Pacers 4 8 .333 6.0 1-4 3-4 3-7 W1
12 Washington Wizards 4 9 .308 6.5 2-3 2-6 2-8 L6
13 Brooklyn Nets 3 8 .273 6.5 1-3 2-5 3-7 W1
14 Chicago Bulls 1 9 .100 8.0 0-4 1-5 1-9 L8
15 Milwaukee Bucks 1 11 .083 9.0 1-6 0-5 1-9 L8

Solid cut lines mark Top 6 (direct Play-offs) and Top 10 (Play-in Tournament).

Western Conference standings

Full NBA standings
# Team W L PCT GB Home Road L10 Streak
1 Los Angeles Lakers 11 2 .846 – 5-1 6-1 8-2 W7
2 San Antonio Spurs 10 2 .833 0.5 4-2 6-0 10-0 W10
3 Houston Rockets 9 3 .750 1.5 6-1 3-2 7-3 W2
4 Minnesota Timberwolves 9 3 .750 1.5 5-1 4-2 7-3 W5
5 Portland Trail Blazers 8 3 .727 2.0 3-2 5-1 7-3 W2
6 Golden State Warriors 8 4 .667 2.5 6-1 2-3 8-2 L1
7 Oklahoma City Thunder 8 4 .667 2.5 5-0 3-4 6-4 L2
8 Memphis Grizzlies 7 4 .636 3.0 2-4 5-0 6-4 L1
9 Denver Nuggets 6 4 .600 3.5 3-2 3-2 6-4 W1
10 Dallas Mavericks 7 5 .583 3.5 5-2 2-3 6-4 L1
11 Phoenix Suns 5 6 .455 5.0 5-3 0-3 5-5 W2
12 New Orleans Pelicans 4 8 .333 6.5 3-4 1-4 4-6 L4
13 LA Clippers 2 8 .200 7.5 2-3 0-5 2-8 L1
14 Sacramento Kings 1 10 .091 9.0 0-6 1-4 1-9 L4
15 Utah Jazz 1 11 .083 9.5 1-6 0-5 0-10 L10

Solid cut lines mark Top 6 (direct Play-offs) and Top 10 (Play-in Tournament).

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