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NBA · Regular season

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Portland Trail Blazers: Preview and Stats

Minnesota Timberwolves 9-3
vs
Portland Trail Blazers 8-3
Target Center, Minneapolis

Our picks

Our picks for Minnesota Timberwolves vs Portland Trail Blazers come out after the official NBA injury report, at most 48 hours before tip-off, and at the latest (3 hours before tip-off).

We are waiting for the result of a team's previous game.

Our NBA model track record for this matchup

Our winner picks on these teams

  • Minnesota Timberwolves 8 of 12 right (67%)
  • Portland Trail Blazers 9 of 11 right (82%)

Settled NBA winner picks since 21 Oct 2026.

Game details

Stage
NBA, Regular season
Tip-off
Arena
Target Center
City
Minneapolis
Since last match
Minnesota Timberwolves: Chicago Bulls Portland Trail Blazers: Sacramento Kings
Next match
Minnesota Timberwolves: Portland Trail Blazers Portland Trail Blazers: Minnesota Timberwolves

Missing production & availability impact

Share of last 10 games' offensive creation (PTS + AST) and minutes sidelined.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Portland Trail Blazers

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Official NBA injury report

Minnesota Timberwolves

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Portland Trail Blazers

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Expected 8-man core rotation

Projected starters and key bench from recent usage and the official injury report.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Projected Starters
  • F Jaden McDaniels
    33.9 MPG 17.1 PPG 6.2 RPG 3.9 APG
  • G Ayo Dosunmu
    31.6 MPG 18.7 PPG 4.4 RPG 3.2 APG
  • F Jonathan Kuminga
    30.4 MPG 12.6 PPG 5.9 RPG 2.7 APG
  • G LaMelo Ball
    27.9 MPG 19.0 PPG 3.2 RPG 6.4 APG
  • C Rudy Gobert
    28.9 MPG 7.6 PPG 11.4 RPG 1.4 APG
Key Bench
  • G-F Terrence Shannon Jr
    21.6 MPG 10.3 PPG 3.6 RPG 3.3 APG
  • F Trey Lyles
    18.9 MPG 6.2 PPG 4.0 RPG 0.8 APG
  • G Donte DiVincenzo
    24.1 MPG 10.4 PPG 0.0 RPG 0.0 APG

Portland Trail Blazers

Projected Starters
  • F Deni Avdija
    33.5 MPG 23.5 PPG 5.7 RPG 6.7 APG
  • G Damian Lillard
    29.7 MPG 19.3 PPG 3.2 RPG 4.0 APG
  • F Toumani Camara
    29.0 MPG 12.6 PPG 3.6 RPG 1.3 APG
  • G Jrue Holiday
    26.7 MPG 13.9 PPG 3.2 RPG 4.2 APG
  • C Donovan Clingan
    25.8 MPG 10.8 PPG 10.8 RPG 1.5 APG
Key Bench
  • G Sidy Cissoko
    22.7 MPG 8.8 PPG 3.5 RPG 1.9 APG
  • G Scoot Henderson
    22.5 MPG 7.7 PPG 2.1 RPG 1.6 APG
  • F-C Robert Williams III
    16.5 MPG 8.2 PPG 6.1 RPG 0.9 APG

OptimaGoal power & pace ratings

Full NBA power ratings

Neutral-court net point rating and 48-minute tempo rank across all 30 NBA franchises.

Minnesota Timberwolves

#9 of 30
Net rating +3.3 30d: 0.0
Pace: -0.2 (#4 of 30)

Portland Trail Blazers

#12 of 30
Net rating +1.5 30d: -0.2
Pace: -0.5 (#7 of 30)

OptimaGoal tactical & efficiency profile (0–100)

Original 0–100 indices built from each team's last 10 played games before tip-off.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Net 81
Shot quality (TS%) 59
3PT volume & accuracy 58
Ball security & passing 27
Rebounding control 55
Defensive disruption 78

ORtg 114.3 · DRtg 103.4 · Net +11.0 · TS 59.1%

Portland Trail Blazers

Net 61
Shot quality (TS%) 68
3PT volume & accuracy 66
Ball security & passing 26
Rebounding control 52
Defensive disruption 57

ORtg 116.0 · DRtg 112.2 · Net +3.8 · TS 60.4%

Minnesota Timberwolves · Record vs point differential Stronger profile than W-L (bounce candidate) 9W actual vs 10.1W expected (12 GP)
Portland Trail Blazers · Record vs point differential W-L record aligned with point differential 8W actual vs 7.8W expected (11 GP)

Halftime splits & clutch profile

Game-state outcomes and half-by-half scoring share over the last 15 games.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Win rate when leading at HT 9/11 (82%)
Comeback wins when trailing at HT 0/3 (0%)
Scoring split (1H vs 2H)
1H: 58.2 (49.8%) 2H: 58.6 (50.2%)
Clutch (≤5 pts / OT): 1-2 10+ pt margins: 8-3

Portland Trail Blazers

Win rate when leading at HT 4/7 (57%)
Comeback wins when trailing at HT 3/5 (60%)
Scoring split (1H vs 2H)
1H: 59.7 (52.1%) 2H: 54.8 (47.9%)
Clutch (≤5 pts / OT): 1-0 10+ pt margins: 5-5

Scoring environment and threshold hit counts across the last 10 games.

MINPOR
Points scored / game 118.6 119.1
Points allowed / game 107.2 115.2
Average game total 225.8 234.3
Average 1st-half total 111.4 118.6
Possessions / 48 min 102.7 102.7
Games with 220+ pts 7/10 9/10
Games with 230+ pts 3/10 4/10
Games with 240+ pts 1/10 4/10
Scored 115+ pts 7/10 7/10

Schedule density & travel spot

Rest days, multi-game compression and current home/road stretch entering tip-off.

Minnesota Timberwolves

1 day rest
1 in 4 nights 2 in 6 nights Homestand · Game 3

Portland Trail Blazers

2 days rest
1 in 4 nights 2 in 6 nights Road trip · Game 1

Primary offensive threats

Available rotation leaders by scoring and shot share over the last 10 games.

Minnesota Timberwolves

  • #1 LaMelo Ball G 16.0% pts share
    19.0 PPG · 3.2 RPG · 6.4 APG · 3.6 3PM 15.6% FGA
  • #2 Ayo Dosunmu G 15.8% pts share
    18.7 PPG · 4.4 RPG · 3.2 APG · 2.1 3PM 15.3% FGA
  • #3 Jaden McDaniels F 14.4% pts share
    17.1 PPG · 6.2 RPG · 3.9 APG · 1.3 3PM 15.3% FGA

Portland Trail Blazers

  • #1 Deni Avdija F 19.7% pts share
    23.5 PPG · 5.7 RPG · 6.7 APG · 1.9 3PM 18.6% FGA
  • #2 Damian Lillard G 16.2% pts share
    19.3 PPG · 3.2 RPG · 4.0 APG · 2.5 3PM 16.3% FGA
  • #3 Jrue Holiday G 11.7% pts share
    13.9 PPG · 3.2 RPG · 4.2 APG · 2.8 3PM 10.7% FGA

Last five games

Minnesota Timberwolves

  • W 133-94 vs Dallas Mavericks (H) 13 Nov
  • W 115-100 vs Utah Jazz (H) 9 Nov
  • W 115-109 at New Orleans Pelicans (A) 7 Nov
  • W 117-107 at Houston Rockets (A) 5 Nov
  • W 112-100 vs Milwaukee Bucks (H) 3 Nov

Portland Trail Blazers

  • W 118-108 vs Oklahoma City Thunder (H) 12 Nov
  • W 123-103 vs Oklahoma City Thunder (H) 11 Nov
  • L 103-125 vs San Antonio Spurs (H) 8 Nov
  • L 118-124 at Los Angeles Lakers (A) 7 Nov
  • W 132-119 at Phoenix Suns (A) 5 Nov

Most recent first, all games of the season, overtime included.

Last 10 head-to-head meetings

MIN · 7W POR · 3W
Avg total pts: 225.8 MIN avg: 117.3 POR avg: 108.5 225+ pt games: 6/10 MIN at home: 4-1
  • 20 Mar 2026 MIN 104‑108 POR
  • 24 Feb 2026 POR 121‑124 MIN
  • 11 Feb 2026 MIN 133‑109 POR
  • 22 Oct 2025 POR 114‑118 MIN
  • 8 Feb 2025 MIN 114‑98 POR
  • 13 Nov 2024 POR 106‑98 MIN
  • 12 Nov 2024 POR 122‑108 MIN
  • 8 Nov 2024 MIN 127‑102 POR
  • 4 Mar 2024 MIN 119‑114 POR
  • 15 Feb 2024 POR 91‑128 MIN

Season profile comparison

MINPOR
Record 9-3 8-3
At home 5-1 3-2
On the road 4-2 5-1
Conference 4 of 15, Western Conference 5 of 15, Western Conference
Streak Won 5 in a row Won 2 in a row
Days of rest 1 2
Our team rating #9 of 30 #12 of 30
Pace #4 of 30 #7 of 30

Western Conference standings

Full NBA standings
# Team W L PCT GB Home Road L10 Streak
1 Los Angeles Lakers 11 2 .846 – 5-1 6-1 8-2 W7
2 San Antonio Spurs 10 2 .833 0.5 4-2 6-0 10-0 W10
3 Houston Rockets 9 3 .750 1.5 6-1 3-2 7-3 W2
4 Minnesota Timberwolves 9 3 .750 1.5 5-1 4-2 7-3 W5
5 Portland Trail Blazers 8 3 .727 2.0 3-2 5-1 7-3 W2
6 Golden State Warriors 8 4 .667 2.5 6-1 2-3 8-2 L1
7 Oklahoma City Thunder 8 4 .667 2.5 5-0 3-4 6-4 L2
8 Memphis Grizzlies 7 4 .636 3.0 2-4 5-0 6-4 L1
9 Denver Nuggets 6 4 .600 3.5 3-2 3-2 6-4 W1
10 Dallas Mavericks 7 5 .583 3.5 5-2 2-3 6-4 L1
11 Phoenix Suns 5 6 .455 5.0 5-3 0-3 5-5 W2
12 New Orleans Pelicans 4 8 .333 6.5 3-4 1-4 4-6 L4
13 LA Clippers 2 8 .200 7.5 2-3 0-5 2-8 L1
14 Sacramento Kings 1 10 .091 9.0 0-6 1-4 1-9 L4
15 Utah Jazz 1 11 .083 9.5 1-6 0-5 0-10 L10

Solid cut lines mark Top 6 (direct Play-offs) and Top 10 (Play-in Tournament).

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