NBA · Regular season

New Orleans Pelicans vs Golden State Warriors: Preview and Stats

Tuesday 17 November 2026, 01:00 UTC Smoothie King Center, New Orleans

Our picks

Our picks for New Orleans Pelicans vs Golden State Warriors come out after the official NBA injury report, at most 48 hours before tip-off, and at the latest Monday 16 November 2026, 22:00 UTC (3 hours before tip-off).

We are waiting for the result of a team's previous game.

Our NBA model track record for this matchup

Our winner picks on these teams

New Orleans Pelicans 9 of 12 right (75%)
Golden State Warriors 9 of 12 right (75%)

Settled NBA winner picks since 22 Oct 2026.

Game details

Stage: NBA, Regular season
Tip-off: Tuesday 17 November 2026, 01:00 UTC
Arena: Smoothie King Center
City: New Orleans
Since last match: New Orleans Pelicans: Denver Nuggets Golden State Warriors: San Antonio Spurs
Next match: New Orleans Pelicans: Detroit Pistons Golden State Warriors: Dallas Mavericks

Missing production & availability impact

Share of last 10 games' offensive creation (PTS + AST) and minutes sidelined.

New Orleans Pelicans

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Golden State Warriors

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Official NBA injury report

New Orleans Pelicans

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Golden State Warriors

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Expected 8-man core rotation

Projected starters and key bench from recent usage and the official injury report.

New Orleans Pelicans

Projected Starters

F Zion Williamson

32.9 MPG 21.6 PPG 5.4 RPG 2.7 APG
G Jeremiah Fears

30.1 MPG 16.8 PPG 5.1 RPG 5.7 APG
F Trey Murphy III

33.1 MPG 17.1 PPG 4.7 RPG 4.0 APG
G Dejounte Murray

31.3 MPG 11.7 PPG 4.6 RPG 3.9 APG
F Saddiq Bey

27.6 MPG 15.2 PPG 3.3 RPG 2.7 APG

Key Bench

F Herbert Jones

24.0 MPG 6.0 PPG 3.3 RPG 1.3 APG
C Derik Queen

21.2 MPG 12.4 PPG 5.9 RPG 2.5 APG
F-C Karlo Matković

19.8 MPG 8.7 PPG 4.3 RPG 1.2 APG

Golden State Warriors

Projected Starters

G Brandin Podziemski

33.6 MPG 17.2 PPG 5.4 RPG 4.3 APG
F Yaxel Lendeborg

31.9 MPG 23.0 PPG 7.3 RPG 3.6 APG
F-C Draymond Green

27.1 MPG 3.1 PPG 5.0 RPG 7.6 APG
G Stephen Curry

26.8 MPG 28.9 PPG 4.1 RPG 4.2 APG
G Moses Moody

31.1 MPG 17.4 PPG 0.0 RPG 0.0 APG

Key Bench

G De'Anthony Melton

22.8 MPG 11.1 PPG 4.8 RPG 2.6 APG
F Jimmy Butler III

29.7 MPG 21.0 PPG 0.0 RPG 0.0 APG
F Georges Niang

21.1 MPG 8.5 PPG 3.2 RPG 1.6 APG

OptimaGoal power & pace ratings

Full NBA power ratings

Neutral-court net point rating and 48-minute tempo rank across all 30 NBA franchises.

New Orleans Pelicans

#24 of 30

Net rating -3.7 30d: -0.3

Pace: -0.7 (#9 of 30)

Golden State Warriors

#10 of 30

Net rating +2.0 30d: +5.0

Pace: -2.3 (#24 of 30)

OptimaGoal tactical & efficiency profile (0–100)

Original 0–100 indices built from each team's last 10 played games before tip-off.

New Orleans Pelicans

Net 28

Shot quality (TS%) 55

3PT volume & accuracy 29

Ball security & passing 24

Rebounding control 40

Defensive disruption 39

ORtg 109.9 · DRtg 117.8 · Net -7.9 · TS 58.5%

Golden State Warriors

Net 83

Shot quality (TS%) 82

3PT volume & accuracy 85

Ball security & passing 33

Rebounding control 60

Defensive disruption 61

ORtg 119.3 · DRtg 107.7 · Net +11.6 · TS 62.4%

New Orleans Pelicans · Record vs point differential W-L record aligned with point differential 4W actual vs 3.6W expected (12 GP)

Golden State Warriors · Record vs point differential W-L record aligned with point differential 8W actual vs 8.6W expected (12 GP)

Halftime splits & clutch profile

Game-state outcomes and half-by-half scoring share over the last 15 games.

New Orleans Pelicans

Win rate when leading at HT 3/5 (60%)

Comeback wins when trailing at HT 2/10 (20%)

Scoring split (1H vs 2H)

1H: 56.9 (47.4%) 2H: 63.3 (52.6%)

Clutch (≤5 pts / OT): 2-3 10+ pt margins: 3-5

Golden State Warriors

Win rate when leading at HT 5/5 (100%)

Comeback wins when trailing at HT 2/8 (25%)

Scoring split (1H vs 2H)

1H: 55.5 (47.2%) 2H: 62.1 (52.8%)

Clutch (≤5 pts / OT): 4-2 10+ pt margins: 5-2

Pace & total-points trends

Scoring environment and threshold hit counts across the last 10 games.

NOP

GSW

Points scored / game 116.4 121.9

Points allowed / game 124.8 110.0

Average game total 241.2 231.9

Average 1st-half total 116.6 109.9

Possessions / 48 min 102.7 101.1

Games with 220+ pts 9/10 9/10

Games with 230+ pts 6/10 5/10

Games with 240+ pts 5/10 3/10

Scored 115+ pts 6/10 8/10

Schedule density & travel spot

Rest days, multi-game compression and current home/road stretch entering tip-off.

New Orleans Pelicans

1 day rest

1 in 4 nights 2 in 6 nights Homestand · Game 2

Golden State Warriors

2 days rest

1 in 4 nights 2 in 6 nights Road trip · Game 2

Primary offensive threats

Available rotation leaders by scoring and shot share over the last 10 games.

New Orleans Pelicans

#1 Zion Williamson F 18.6% pts share

21.6 PPG · 5.4 RPG · 2.7 APG · 0.2 3PM 13.9% FGA
#2 Jeremiah Fears G 14.4% pts share

16.8 PPG · 5.1 RPG · 5.7 APG · 1.2 3PM 16.5% FGA
#3 Trey Murphy III F 14.7% pts share

17.1 PPG · 4.7 RPG · 4.0 APG · 2.4 3PM 13.5% FGA

Golden State Warriors

#1 Stephen Curry G 23.7% pts share

28.9 PPG · 4.1 RPG · 4.2 APG · 4.8 3PM 18.8% FGA
#2 Yaxel Lendeborg F 18.9% pts share

23.0 PPG · 7.3 RPG · 3.6 APG · 2.7 3PM 17.1% FGA
#3 Brandin Podziemski G 14.1% pts share

17.2 PPG · 5.4 RPG · 4.3 APG · 3.0 3PM 14.4% FGA

Last five games

New Orleans Pelicans

L 111-145 vs Brooklyn Nets (H) 12 Nov
L 87-138 at Golden State Warriors (A) 10 Nov
L 123-139 at LA Clippers (A) 9 Nov
L 109-115 vs Minnesota Timberwolves (H) 7 Nov
W 120-113 vs Utah Jazz (H) 5 Nov

Golden State Warriors

L 108-115 at Houston Rockets (A) 12 Nov
W 138-87 vs New Orleans Pelicans (H) 10 Nov
W 126-119 vs Orlando Magic (H) 8 Nov
W 120-100 vs Miami Heat (H) 6 Nov
W 116-113 vs Phoenix Suns (H) 3 Nov

Most recent first, all games of the season, overtime included.

Last 10 head-to-head meetings

NOP · 3W GSW · 7W

Avg total pts: 219.5 NOP avg: 105.5 GSW avg: 114.0 225+ pt games: 4/10 NOP at home: 1-3

9 Nov 2026 GSW 138‑87 NOP
24 Feb 2026 NOP 113‑109 GSW
29 Nov 2025 GSW 104‑96 NOP
16 Nov 2025 NOP 106‑124 GSW
28 Mar 2025 NOP 95‑111 GSW
22 Nov 2024 NOP 108‑112 GSW
30 Oct 2024 GSW 104‑89 NOP
29 Oct 2024 GSW 124‑106 NOP
12 Apr 2024 GSW 109‑114 NOP
10 Jan 2024 GSW 105‑141 NOP

Season profile comparison

NOP

GSW

Record 4-8 8-4

At home 3-4 6-1

On the road 1-4 2-3

Conference 12 of 15, Western Conference 6 of 15, Western Conference

Streak Lost 4 in a row –

Days of rest 1 2

Our team rating #25 of 30 #10 of 30

Pace #9 of 30 #24 of 30

Western Conference standings

Full NBA standings

#	Team	W	L	PCT	GB	Home	Road	L10	Streak
1	Los Angeles Lakers	11	2	.846	–	5-1	6-1	8-2	W7
2	San Antonio Spurs	10	2	.833	0.5	4-2	6-0	10-0	W10
3	Houston Rockets	9	3	.750	1.5	6-1	3-2	7-3	W2
4	Minnesota Timberwolves	9	3	.750	1.5	5-1	4-2	7-3	W5
5	Portland Trail Blazers	8	3	.727	2.0	3-2	5-1	7-3	W2
6	Golden State Warriors	8	4	.667	2.5	6-1	2-3	8-2	L1
7	Oklahoma City Thunder	8	4	.667	2.5	5-0	3-4	6-4	L2
8	Memphis Grizzlies	7	4	.636	3.0	2-4	5-0	6-4	L1
9	Denver Nuggets	6	4	.600	3.5	3-2	3-2	6-4	W1
10	Dallas Mavericks	7	5	.583	3.5	5-2	2-3	6-4	L1
11	Phoenix Suns	5	6	.455	5.0	5-3	0-3	5-5	W2
12	New Orleans Pelicans	4	8	.333	6.5	3-4	1-4	4-6	L4
13	LA Clippers	2	8	.200	7.5	2-3	0-5	2-8	L1
14	Sacramento Kings	1	10	.091	9.0	0-6	1-4	1-9	L4
15	Utah Jazz	1	11	.083	9.5	1-6	0-5	0-10	L10

Solid cut lines mark Top 6 (direct Play-offs) and Top 10 (Play-in Tournament).

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