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NBA · Regular season

Memphis Grizzlies vs Golden State Warriors: Preview and Stats

Memphis Grizzlies 7-4
vs
Golden State Warriors 8-4
FedExForum, Memphis

Our picks

Our picks for Memphis Grizzlies vs Golden State Warriors come out after the official NBA injury report, at most 48 hours before tip-off, and at the latest (3 hours before tip-off).

We are waiting for the result of a team's previous game.

Our NBA model track record for this matchup

Our winner picks on these teams

  • Memphis Grizzlies 3 of 11 right (27%)
  • Golden State Warriors 9 of 12 right (75%)

Settled NBA winner picks since 22 Oct 2026.

Game details

Stage
NBA, Regular season
Tip-off
Arena
FedExForum
City
Memphis
Since last match
Memphis Grizzlies: Cleveland Cavaliers Golden State Warriors: Dallas Mavericks
Next match
Memphis Grizzlies: Minnesota Timberwolves Golden State Warriors: Boston Celtics

Missing production & availability impact

Share of last 10 games' offensive creation (PTS + AST) and minutes sidelined.

Memphis Grizzlies

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Golden State Warriors

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Official NBA injury report

Memphis Grizzlies

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Golden State Warriors

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Expected 8-man core rotation

Projected starters and key bench from recent usage and the official injury report.

Memphis Grizzlies

Projected Starters
  • F Cameron Boozer
    32.1 MPG 16.8 PPG 9.7 RPG 5.5 APG
  • G-F Ty Jerome
    30.7 MPG 24.1 PPG 3.1 RPG 4.8 APG
  • G Cedric Coward
    28.3 MPG 13.4 PPG 8.9 RPG 2.8 APG
  • F Jaylen Wells
    27.2 MPG 12.0 PPG 2.8 RPG 1.4 APG
  • F Jerami Grant
    23.4 MPG 10.3 PPG 2.2 RPG 2.0 APG
Key Bench
  • C Zach Edey
    20.8 MPG 7.8 PPG 7.6 RPG 1.0 APG
  • G Cam Spencer
    19.8 MPG 9.9 PPG 3.3 RPG 5.1 APG
  • F-C Isaiah Stewart
    18.2 MPG 10.8 PPG 3.1 RPG 0.8 APG

Golden State Warriors

Projected Starters
  • G Brandin Podziemski
    33.6 MPG 17.2 PPG 5.4 RPG 4.3 APG
  • F Yaxel Lendeborg
    31.9 MPG 23.0 PPG 7.3 RPG 3.6 APG
  • F-C Draymond Green
    27.1 MPG 3.1 PPG 5.0 RPG 7.6 APG
  • G Stephen Curry
    26.8 MPG 28.9 PPG 4.1 RPG 4.2 APG
  • G Moses Moody
    31.1 MPG 17.4 PPG 0.0 RPG 0.0 APG
Key Bench
  • G De'Anthony Melton
    22.8 MPG 11.1 PPG 4.8 RPG 2.6 APG
  • F Jimmy Butler III
    29.7 MPG 21.0 PPG 0.0 RPG 0.0 APG
  • F Georges Niang
    21.1 MPG 8.5 PPG 3.2 RPG 1.6 APG

OptimaGoal power & pace ratings

Full NBA power ratings

Neutral-court net point rating and 48-minute tempo rank across all 30 NBA franchises.

Memphis Grizzlies

#16 of 30
Net rating -1.1 30d: +3.5
Pace: -1.1 (#12 of 30)

Golden State Warriors

#10 of 30
Net rating +2.0 30d: +5.0
Pace: -2.3 (#24 of 30)

OptimaGoal tactical & efficiency profile (0–100)

Original 0–100 indices built from each team's last 10 played games before tip-off.

Memphis Grizzlies

Net 63
Shot quality (TS%) 61
3PT volume & accuracy 68
Ball security & passing 26
Rebounding control 59
Defensive disruption 51

ORtg 114.0 · DRtg 109.6 · Net +4.5 · TS 59.3%

Golden State Warriors

Net 83
Shot quality (TS%) 82
3PT volume & accuracy 85
Ball security & passing 33
Rebounding control 60
Defensive disruption 61

ORtg 119.3 · DRtg 107.7 · Net +11.6 · TS 62.4%

Memphis Grizzlies · Record vs point differential W-L record aligned with point differential 7W actual vs 7.4W expected (11 GP)
Golden State Warriors · Record vs point differential W-L record aligned with point differential 8W actual vs 8.6W expected (12 GP)

Halftime splits & clutch profile

Game-state outcomes and half-by-half scoring share over the last 15 games.

Memphis Grizzlies

Win rate when leading at HT 6/8 (75%)
Comeback wins when trailing at HT 0/6 (0%)
Scoring split (1H vs 2H)
1H: 58.7 (50.5%) 2H: 57.6 (49.5%)
Clutch (≤5 pts / OT): 2-3 10+ pt margins: 5-5

Golden State Warriors

Win rate when leading at HT 5/5 (100%)
Comeback wins when trailing at HT 2/8 (25%)
Scoring split (1H vs 2H)
1H: 55.5 (47.2%) 2H: 62.1 (52.8%)
Clutch (≤5 pts / OT): 4-2 10+ pt margins: 5-2

Scoring environment and threshold hit counts across the last 10 games.

MEMGSW
Points scored / game 117.4 121.9
Points allowed / game 112.8 110.0
Average game total 230.2 231.9
Average 1st-half total 116.5 109.9
Possessions / 48 min 101.9 101.1
Games with 220+ pts 7/10 9/10
Games with 230+ pts 4/10 5/10
Games with 240+ pts 3/10 3/10
Scored 115+ pts 6/10 8/10

Schedule density & travel spot

Rest days, multi-game compression and current home/road stretch entering tip-off.

Memphis Grizzlies

0 days (Back-to-back)
1 in 4 nights 1 in 6 nights Homestand · Game 2

Golden State Warriors

0 days (Back-to-back)
1 in 4 nights 1 in 6 nights Road trip · Game 2

Primary offensive threats

Available rotation leaders by scoring and shot share over the last 10 games.

Memphis Grizzlies

  • #1 Ty Jerome G-F 20.5% pts share
    24.1 PPG · 3.1 RPG · 4.8 APG · 2.3 3PM 19.8% FGA
  • #2 Cameron Boozer F 14.3% pts share
    16.8 PPG · 9.7 RPG · 5.5 APG · 2.0 3PM 15.5% FGA
  • #3 Cedric Coward G 11.4% pts share
    13.4 PPG · 8.9 RPG · 2.8 APG · 2.4 3PM 12.3% FGA

Golden State Warriors

  • #1 Stephen Curry G 23.7% pts share
    28.9 PPG · 4.1 RPG · 4.2 APG · 4.8 3PM 18.8% FGA
  • #2 Yaxel Lendeborg F 18.9% pts share
    23.0 PPG · 7.3 RPG · 3.6 APG · 2.7 3PM 17.1% FGA
  • #3 Brandin Podziemski G 14.1% pts share
    17.2 PPG · 5.4 RPG · 4.3 APG · 3.0 3PM 14.4% FGA

Last five games

Memphis Grizzlies

  • L 118-123 vs Denver Nuggets (H) 12 Nov
  • W 118-102 at Toronto Raptors (A) 10 Nov
  • L 97-128 vs Oklahoma City Thunder (H) 7 Nov
  • L 103-107 vs Indiana Pacers (H) 5 Nov
  • L 134-135 vs New Orleans Pelicans (H) 3 Nov

Golden State Warriors

  • L 108-115 at Houston Rockets (A) 12 Nov
  • W 138-87 vs New Orleans Pelicans (H) 10 Nov
  • W 126-119 vs Orlando Magic (H) 8 Nov
  • W 120-100 vs Miami Heat (H) 6 Nov
  • W 116-113 vs Phoenix Suns (H) 3 Nov

Most recent first, all games of the season, overtime included.

Last 10 head-to-head meetings

MEM · 2W GSW · 8W
Avg total pts: 240.1 MEM avg: 118.6 GSW avg: 121.5 225+ pt games: 9/10 MEM at home: 1-2
  • 23 Oct 2026 GSW 108‑111 MEM
  • 25 Feb 2026 MEM 112‑133 GSW
  • 9 Feb 2026 GSW 114‑113 MEM
  • 27 Oct 2025 GSW 131‑118 MEM
  • 15 Apr 2025 GSW 121‑116 MEM
  • 1 Apr 2025 MEM 125‑134 GSW
  • 4 Jan 2025 GSW 121‑113 MEM
  • 19 Dec 2024 MEM 144‑93 GSW
  • 15 Nov 2024 GSW 123‑118 MEM
  • 20 Mar 2024 GSW 137‑116 MEM

Season profile comparison

MEMGSW
Record 7-4 8-4
At home 2-4 6-1
On the road 5-0 2-3
Conference 8 of 15, Western Conference 6 of 15, Western Conference
Streak – –
Days of rest 0 (second night of a back-to-back) 0 (second night of a back-to-back)
Our team rating #16 of 30 #10 of 30
Pace #12 of 30 #24 of 30

Western Conference standings

Full NBA standings
# Team W L PCT GB Home Road L10 Streak
1 Los Angeles Lakers 11 2 .846 – 5-1 6-1 8-2 W7
2 San Antonio Spurs 10 2 .833 0.5 4-2 6-0 10-0 W10
3 Houston Rockets 9 3 .750 1.5 6-1 3-2 7-3 W2
4 Minnesota Timberwolves 9 3 .750 1.5 5-1 4-2 7-3 W5
5 Portland Trail Blazers 8 3 .727 2.0 3-2 5-1 7-3 W2
6 Golden State Warriors 8 4 .667 2.5 6-1 2-3 8-2 L1
7 Oklahoma City Thunder 8 4 .667 2.5 5-0 3-4 6-4 L2
8 Memphis Grizzlies 7 4 .636 3.0 2-4 5-0 6-4 L1
9 Denver Nuggets 6 4 .600 3.5 3-2 3-2 6-4 W1
10 Dallas Mavericks 7 5 .583 3.5 5-2 2-3 6-4 L1
11 Phoenix Suns 5 6 .455 5.0 5-3 0-3 5-5 W2
12 New Orleans Pelicans 4 8 .333 6.5 3-4 1-4 4-6 L4
13 LA Clippers 2 8 .200 7.5 2-3 0-5 2-8 L1
14 Sacramento Kings 1 10 .091 9.0 0-6 1-4 1-9 L4
15 Utah Jazz 1 11 .083 9.5 1-6 0-5 0-10 L10

Solid cut lines mark Top 6 (direct Play-offs) and Top 10 (Play-in Tournament).

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