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NBA · Regular season

Milwaukee Bucks vs Portland Trail Blazers: Preview and Stats

Milwaukee Bucks 1-11
vs
Portland Trail Blazers 8-3
Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee

Our picks

Our picks for Milwaukee Bucks vs Portland Trail Blazers come out after the official NBA injury report, at most 48 hours before tip-off, and at the latest (3 hours before tip-off).

We are waiting for the result of a team's previous game.

Our NBA model track record for this matchup

Our winner picks on these teams

  • Milwaukee Bucks 10 of 12 right (83%)
  • Portland Trail Blazers 9 of 11 right (82%)

Settled NBA winner picks since 21 Oct 2026.

Game details

Stage
NBA, Regular season
Tip-off
Arena
Fiserv Forum
City
Milwaukee
Since last match
Milwaukee Bucks: Miami Heat Portland Trail Blazers: Minnesota Timberwolves
Next match
Milwaukee Bucks: Philadelphia 76ers Portland Trail Blazers: New York Knicks

Missing production & availability impact

Share of last 10 games' offensive creation (PTS + AST) and minutes sidelined.

Milwaukee Bucks

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Portland Trail Blazers

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Official NBA injury report

Milwaukee Bucks

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Portland Trail Blazers

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Expected 8-man core rotation

Projected starters and key bench from recent usage and the official injury report.

Milwaukee Bucks

Projected Starters
  • G Tyler Herro
    30.9 MPG 20.3 PPG 4.6 RPG 4.1 APG
  • F Kyle Kuzma
    26.7 MPG 11.1 PPG 4.9 RPG 2.4 APG
  • G Jaime Jaquez Jr.
    26.6 MPG 15.2 PPG 5.0 RPG 2.6 APG
  • F-C Myles Turner
    26.2 MPG 5.7 PPG 5.9 RPG 2.9 APG
  • G Brayden Burries
    23.5 MPG 10.1 PPG 5.7 RPG 2.3 APG
Key Bench
  • G Ryan Rollins
    22.3 MPG 10.9 PPG 4.2 RPG 4.0 APG
  • G Cormac Ryan
    26.2 MPG 15.2 PPG 0.0 RPG 0.0 APG
  • G AJ Green
    18.5 MPG 6.1 PPG 1.9 RPG 1.5 APG

Portland Trail Blazers

Projected Starters
  • F Deni Avdija
    33.5 MPG 23.5 PPG 5.7 RPG 6.7 APG
  • G Damian Lillard
    29.7 MPG 19.3 PPG 3.2 RPG 4.0 APG
  • F Toumani Camara
    29.0 MPG 12.6 PPG 3.6 RPG 1.3 APG
  • G Jrue Holiday
    26.7 MPG 13.9 PPG 3.2 RPG 4.2 APG
  • C Donovan Clingan
    25.8 MPG 10.8 PPG 10.8 RPG 1.5 APG
Key Bench
  • G Sidy Cissoko
    22.7 MPG 8.8 PPG 3.5 RPG 1.9 APG
  • G Scoot Henderson
    22.5 MPG 7.7 PPG 2.1 RPG 1.6 APG
  • F-C Robert Williams III
    16.5 MPG 8.2 PPG 6.1 RPG 0.9 APG

OptimaGoal power & pace ratings

Full NBA power ratings

Neutral-court net point rating and 48-minute tempo rank across all 30 NBA franchises.

Milwaukee Bucks

#30 of 30
Net rating -8.1 30d: -2.7
Pace: -2.1 (#22 of 30)

Portland Trail Blazers

#12 of 30
Net rating +1.5 30d: -0.2
Pace: -0.5 (#7 of 30)

OptimaGoal tactical & efficiency profile (0–100)

Original 0–100 indices built from each team's last 10 played games before tip-off.

Milwaukee Bucks

Net 12
Shot quality (TS%) 21
3PT volume & accuracy 50
Ball security & passing 19
Rebounding control 38
Defensive disruption 45

ORtg 103.4 · DRtg 118.9 · Net -15.5 · TS 53.6%

Portland Trail Blazers

Net 61
Shot quality (TS%) 68
3PT volume & accuracy 66
Ball security & passing 26
Rebounding control 52
Defensive disruption 57

ORtg 116.0 · DRtg 112.2 · Net +3.8 · TS 60.4%

Milwaukee Bucks · Record vs point differential W-L record aligned with point differential 1W actual vs 1.7W expected (12 GP)
Portland Trail Blazers · Record vs point differential W-L record aligned with point differential 8W actual vs 7.8W expected (11 GP)

Halftime splits & clutch profile

Game-state outcomes and half-by-half scoring share over the last 15 games.

Milwaukee Bucks

Win rate when leading at HT 1/5 (20%)
Comeback wins when trailing at HT 1/10 (10%)
Scoring split (1H vs 2H)
1H: 51.4 (47.5%) 2H: 56.8 (52.5%)
Clutch (≤5 pts / OT): 0-0 10+ pt margins: 1-11

Portland Trail Blazers

Win rate when leading at HT 4/7 (57%)
Comeback wins when trailing at HT 3/5 (60%)
Scoring split (1H vs 2H)
1H: 59.7 (52.1%) 2H: 54.8 (47.9%)
Clutch (≤5 pts / OT): 1-0 10+ pt margins: 5-5

Scoring environment and threshold hit counts across the last 10 games.

MILPOR
Points scored / game 104.0 119.1
Points allowed / game 119.6 115.2
Average game total 223.6 234.3
Average 1st-half total 106.0 118.6
Possessions / 48 min 100.6 102.7
Games with 220+ pts 5/10 9/10
Games with 230+ pts 4/10 4/10
Games with 240+ pts 2/10 4/10
Scored 115+ pts 1/10 7/10

Schedule density & travel spot

Rest days, multi-game compression and current home/road stretch entering tip-off.

Milwaukee Bucks

0 days (Back-to-back)
1 in 4 nights 1 in 6 nights Homestand · Game 2

Portland Trail Blazers

1 day rest
1 in 4 nights 1 in 6 nights Road trip · Game 1

Primary offensive threats

Available rotation leaders by scoring and shot share over the last 10 games.

Milwaukee Bucks

  • #1 Tyler Herro G 19.5% pts share
    20.3 PPG · 4.6 RPG · 4.1 APG · 2.7 3PM 17.4% FGA
  • #2 Jaime Jaquez Jr. G 14.6% pts share
    15.2 PPG · 5.0 RPG · 2.6 APG · 1.8 3PM 13.8% FGA
  • #3 Ryan Rollins G 10.5% pts share
    10.9 PPG · 4.2 RPG · 4.0 APG · 1.8 3PM 11.3% FGA

Portland Trail Blazers

  • #1 Deni Avdija F 19.7% pts share
    23.5 PPG · 5.7 RPG · 6.7 APG · 1.9 3PM 18.6% FGA
  • #2 Damian Lillard G 16.2% pts share
    19.3 PPG · 3.2 RPG · 4.0 APG · 2.5 3PM 16.3% FGA
  • #3 Jrue Holiday G 11.7% pts share
    13.9 PPG · 3.2 RPG · 4.2 APG · 2.8 3PM 10.7% FGA

Last five games

Milwaukee Bucks

  • L 112-123 vs Los Angeles Lakers (H) 12 Nov
  • L 85-117 at New York Knicks (A) 11 Nov
  • L 97-117 vs Boston Celtics (H) 9 Nov
  • L 107-121 vs Toronto Raptors (H) 7 Nov
  • L 102-109 at Boston Celtics (A) 5 Nov

Portland Trail Blazers

  • W 118-108 vs Oklahoma City Thunder (H) 12 Nov
  • W 123-103 vs Oklahoma City Thunder (H) 11 Nov
  • L 103-125 vs San Antonio Spurs (H) 8 Nov
  • L 118-124 at Los Angeles Lakers (A) 7 Nov
  • W 132-119 at Phoenix Suns (A) 5 Nov

Most recent first, all games of the season, overtime included.

Last 10 head-to-head meetings

MIL · 4W POR · 6W
Avg total pts: 227.5 MIL avg: 113.0 POR avg: 114.5 225+ pt games: 7/10 MIL at home: 2-3
  • 25 Mar 2026 POR 130‑99 MIL
  • 24 Nov 2025 MIL 103‑115 POR
  • 28 Jan 2025 POR 125‑112 MIL
  • 4 Jan 2025 MIL 102‑105 POR
  • 31 Jan 2024 POR 119‑116 MIL
  • 26 Nov 2023 MIL 108‑102 POR
  • 6 Feb 2023 POR 108‑127 MIL
  • 21 Nov 2022 MIL 119‑111 POR
  • 14 Feb 2022 MIL 107‑122 POR
  • 5 Feb 2022 POR 108‑137 MIL

Season profile comparison

MILPOR
Record 1-11 8-3
At home 1-6 3-2
On the road 0-5 5-1
Conference 15 of 15, Eastern Conference 5 of 15, Western Conference
Streak Lost 5 in a row Won 2 in a row
Days of rest 0 (second night of a back-to-back) 1
Our team rating #30 of 30 #12 of 30
Pace #21 of 30 #7 of 30

Inter-conference matchup — both conference tables shown with Play-off (#6) and Play-in (#10) cut lines.

Eastern Conference standings

Full NBA standings
# Team W L PCT GB Home Road L10 Streak
1 Boston Celtics 10 2 .833 – 5-0 5-2 9-1 W5
2 Philadelphia 76ers 10 3 .769 0.5 5-2 5-1 7-3 W1
3 Detroit Pistons 8 3 .727 1.5 3-2 5-1 7-3 W2
4 Atlanta Hawks 7 5 .583 3.0 3-3 4-2 5-5 L1
5 New York Knicks 6 5 .545 3.5 4-3 2-2 6-4 L1
6 Cleveland Cavaliers 6 6 .500 4.0 4-2 2-4 5-5 W1
7 Miami Heat 5 6 .455 4.5 1-3 4-3 5-5 W2
8 Toronto Raptors 5 7 .417 5.0 2-3 3-4 3-7 L3
9 Orlando Magic 4 7 .364 5.5 0-4 4-3 4-6 W2
10 Charlotte Hornets 4 8 .333 6.0 3-4 1-4 3-7 L1
11 Indiana Pacers 4 8 .333 6.0 1-4 3-4 3-7 W1
12 Washington Wizards 4 9 .308 6.5 2-3 2-6 2-8 L6
13 Brooklyn Nets 3 8 .273 6.5 1-3 2-5 3-7 W1
14 Chicago Bulls 1 9 .100 8.0 0-4 1-5 1-9 L8
15 Milwaukee Bucks 1 11 .083 9.0 1-6 0-5 1-9 L8

Solid cut lines mark Top 6 (direct Play-offs) and Top 10 (Play-in Tournament).

Western Conference standings

Full NBA standings
# Team W L PCT GB Home Road L10 Streak
1 Los Angeles Lakers 11 2 .846 – 5-1 6-1 8-2 W7
2 San Antonio Spurs 10 2 .833 0.5 4-2 6-0 10-0 W10
3 Houston Rockets 9 3 .750 1.5 6-1 3-2 7-3 W2
4 Minnesota Timberwolves 9 3 .750 1.5 5-1 4-2 7-3 W5
5 Portland Trail Blazers 8 3 .727 2.0 3-2 5-1 7-3 W2
6 Golden State Warriors 8 4 .667 2.5 6-1 2-3 8-2 L1
7 Oklahoma City Thunder 8 4 .667 2.5 5-0 3-4 6-4 L2
8 Memphis Grizzlies 7 4 .636 3.0 2-4 5-0 6-4 L1
9 Denver Nuggets 6 4 .600 3.5 3-2 3-2 6-4 W1
10 Dallas Mavericks 7 5 .583 3.5 5-2 2-3 6-4 L1
11 Phoenix Suns 5 6 .455 5.0 5-3 0-3 5-5 W2
12 New Orleans Pelicans 4 8 .333 6.5 3-4 1-4 4-6 L4
13 LA Clippers 2 8 .200 7.5 2-3 0-5 2-8 L1
14 Sacramento Kings 1 10 .091 9.0 0-6 1-4 1-9 L4
15 Utah Jazz 1 11 .083 9.5 1-6 0-5 0-10 L10

Solid cut lines mark Top 6 (direct Play-offs) and Top 10 (Play-in Tournament).

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