NBA · Regular season

San Antonio Spurs vs New Orleans Pelicans: Preview and Stats

Sunday 22 November 2026, 01:00 UTC Frost Bank Center, San Antonio

Our picks

Our picks for San Antonio Spurs vs New Orleans Pelicans come out after the official NBA injury report, at most 48 hours before tip-off, and at the latest Saturday 21 November 2026, 22:00 UTC (3 hours before tip-off).

We are waiting for the result of a team's previous game.

Our NBA model track record for this matchup

Our winner picks on these teams

San Antonio Spurs 10 of 12 right (83%)
New Orleans Pelicans 9 of 12 right (75%)

Settled NBA winner picks since 21 Oct 2026.

Game details

Stage: NBA, Regular season
Tip-off: Sunday 22 November 2026, 01:00 UTC
Arena: Frost Bank Center
City: San Antonio
Since last match: San Antonio Spurs: LA Clippers New Orleans Pelicans: Oklahoma City Thunder
Next match: San Antonio Spurs: Sacramento Kings New Orleans Pelicans: Phoenix Suns

Missing production & availability impact

Share of last 10 games' offensive creation (PTS + AST) and minutes sidelined.

San Antonio Spurs

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

New Orleans Pelicans

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Official NBA injury report

San Antonio Spurs

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

New Orleans Pelicans

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Expected 8-man core rotation

Projected starters and key bench from recent usage and the official injury report.

San Antonio Spurs

Projected Starters

G Dylan Harper

31.5 MPG 17.8 PPG 5.5 RPG 5.1 APG
F-C Victor Wembanyama

29.4 MPG 32.6 PPG 11.4 RPG 2.9 APG
G De'Aaron Fox

29.1 MPG 13.7 PPG 4.1 RPG 5.8 APG
G Stephon Castle

28.7 MPG 12.9 PPG 5.3 RPG 5.4 APG
G-F Devin Vassell

29.6 MPG 12.8 PPG 3.9 RPG 3.5 APG

Key Bench

F Julian Champagnie

25.9 MPG 10.9 PPG 4.1 RPG 1.6 APG
F Tobias Harris

34.3 MPG 17.7 PPG 0.0 RPG 0.0 APG
G-F Keldon Johnson

24.9 MPG 7.8 PPG 5.8 RPG 2.5 APG

New Orleans Pelicans

Projected Starters

F Zion Williamson

32.9 MPG 21.6 PPG 5.4 RPG 2.7 APG
G Jeremiah Fears

30.1 MPG 16.8 PPG 5.1 RPG 5.7 APG
F Trey Murphy III

33.1 MPG 17.1 PPG 4.7 RPG 4.0 APG
G Dejounte Murray

31.3 MPG 11.7 PPG 4.6 RPG 3.9 APG
F Saddiq Bey

27.6 MPG 15.2 PPG 3.3 RPG 2.7 APG

Key Bench

F Herbert Jones

24.0 MPG 6.0 PPG 3.3 RPG 1.3 APG
C Derik Queen

21.2 MPG 12.4 PPG 5.9 RPG 2.5 APG
F-C Karlo Matković

19.8 MPG 8.7 PPG 4.3 RPG 1.2 APG

OptimaGoal power & pace ratings

Full NBA power ratings

Neutral-court net point rating and 48-minute tempo rank across all 30 NBA franchises.

San Antonio Spurs

#3 of 30

Net rating +6.9 30d: -1.1

Pace: -2.7 (#27 of 30)

New Orleans Pelicans

#24 of 30

Net rating -3.7 30d: -0.3

Pace: -0.7 (#9 of 30)

OptimaGoal tactical & efficiency profile (0–100)

Original 0–100 indices built from each team's last 10 played games before tip-off.

San Antonio Spurs

Net 91

Shot quality (TS%) 54

3PT volume & accuracy 47

Ball security & passing 72

Rebounding control 66

Defensive disruption 76

ORtg 119.5 · DRtg 104.8 · Net +14.7 · TS 58.4%

New Orleans Pelicans

Net 28

Shot quality (TS%) 55

3PT volume & accuracy 29

Ball security & passing 24

Rebounding control 40

Defensive disruption 39

ORtg 109.9 · DRtg 117.8 · Net -7.9 · TS 58.5%

San Antonio Spurs · Record vs point differential W-L record aligned with point differential 10W actual vs 9.6W expected (12 GP)

New Orleans Pelicans · Record vs point differential W-L record aligned with point differential 4W actual vs 3.6W expected (12 GP)

Halftime splits & clutch profile

Game-state outcomes and half-by-half scoring share over the last 15 games.

San Antonio Spurs

Win rate when leading at HT 7/9 (78%)

Comeback wins when trailing at HT 4/6 (67%)

Scoring split (1H vs 2H)

1H: 61.3 (52.8%) 2H: 54.7 (47.2%)

Clutch (≤5 pts / OT): 4-3 10+ pt margins: 7-1

New Orleans Pelicans

Win rate when leading at HT 3/5 (60%)

Comeback wins when trailing at HT 2/10 (20%)

Scoring split (1H vs 2H)

1H: 56.9 (47.4%) 2H: 63.3 (52.6%)

Clutch (≤5 pts / OT): 2-3 10+ pt margins: 3-5

Pace & total-points trends

Scoring environment and threshold hit counts across the last 10 games.

SAS

NOP

Points scored / game 121.6 116.4

Points allowed / game 106.6 124.8

Average game total 228.2 241.2

Average 1st-half total 119.3 116.6

Possessions / 48 min 100.7 102.7

Games with 220+ pts 8/10 9/10

Games with 230+ pts 4/10 6/10

Games with 240+ pts 1/10 5/10

Scored 115+ pts 9/10 6/10

Schedule density & travel spot

Rest days, multi-game compression and current home/road stretch entering tip-off.

San Antonio Spurs

1 day rest

1 in 4 nights 1 in 6 nights Homestand · Game 1

New Orleans Pelicans

0 days (Back-to-back)

1 in 4 nights 1 in 6 nights Road trip · Game 1

Primary offensive threats

Available rotation leaders by scoring and shot share over the last 10 games.

San Antonio Spurs

#1 Victor Wembanyama F-C 26.8% pts share

32.6 PPG · 11.4 RPG · 2.9 APG · 2.1 3PM 22.7% FGA
#2 Dylan Harper G 14.6% pts share

17.8 PPG · 5.5 RPG · 5.1 APG · 1.3 3PM 14.7% FGA
#3 De'Aaron Fox G 11.3% pts share

13.7 PPG · 4.1 RPG · 5.8 APG · 1.1 3PM 9.9% FGA

New Orleans Pelicans

#1 Zion Williamson F 18.6% pts share

21.6 PPG · 5.4 RPG · 2.7 APG · 0.2 3PM 13.9% FGA
#2 Jeremiah Fears G 14.4% pts share

16.8 PPG · 5.1 RPG · 5.7 APG · 1.2 3PM 16.5% FGA
#3 Trey Murphy III F 14.7% pts share

17.1 PPG · 4.7 RPG · 4.0 APG · 2.4 3PM 13.5% FGA

Last five games

San Antonio Spurs

W 124-119 at Chicago Bulls (A) 12 Nov
W 122-96 at Phoenix Suns (A) 10 Nov
W 125-103 at Portland Trail Blazers (A) 8 Nov
W 124-109 at Sacramento Kings (A) 7 Nov
W 112-111 vs Dallas Mavericks (H) 5 Nov

New Orleans Pelicans

L 111-145 vs Brooklyn Nets (H) 12 Nov
L 87-138 at Golden State Warriors (A) 10 Nov
L 123-139 at LA Clippers (A) 9 Nov
L 109-115 vs Minnesota Timberwolves (H) 7 Nov
W 120-113 vs Utah Jazz (H) 5 Nov

Most recent first, all games of the season, overtime included.

Last 10 head-to-head meetings

SAS · 6W NOP · 4W

Avg total pts: 228.7 SAS avg: 113.9 NOP avg: 114.8 225+ pt games: 6/10 SAS at home: 3-2

25 Jan 2026 SAS 95‑104 NOP
8 Dec 2025 NOP 132‑135 SAS
8 Nov 2025 SAS 126‑119 NOP
24 Oct 2025 NOP 116‑120 (OT) SAS
15 Mar 2025 SAS 119‑115 NOP
25 Feb 2025 NOP 109‑103 SAS
23 Feb 2025 NOP 114‑96 SAS
8 Dec 2024 SAS 121‑116 NOP
5 Apr 2024 NOP 109‑111 SAS
2 Feb 2024 SAS 113‑114 NOP

Season profile comparison

SAS

NOP

Record 10-2 4-8

At home 4-2 3-4

On the road 6-0 1-4

Conference 2 of 15, Western Conference 12 of 15, Western Conference

Streak Won 5 in a row Lost 4 in a row

Days of rest 1 0 (second night of a back-to-back)

Our team rating #3 of 30 #25 of 30

Pace #27 of 30 #9 of 30

Western Conference standings

Full NBA standings

#	Team	W	L	PCT	GB	Home	Road	L10	Streak
1	Los Angeles Lakers	11	2	.846	–	5-1	6-1	8-2	W7
2	San Antonio Spurs	10	2	.833	0.5	4-2	6-0	10-0	W10
3	Houston Rockets	9	3	.750	1.5	6-1	3-2	7-3	W2
4	Minnesota Timberwolves	9	3	.750	1.5	5-1	4-2	7-3	W5
5	Portland Trail Blazers	8	3	.727	2.0	3-2	5-1	7-3	W2
6	Golden State Warriors	8	4	.667	2.5	6-1	2-3	8-2	L1
7	Oklahoma City Thunder	8	4	.667	2.5	5-0	3-4	6-4	L2
8	Memphis Grizzlies	7	4	.636	3.0	2-4	5-0	6-4	L1
9	Denver Nuggets	6	4	.600	3.5	3-2	3-2	6-4	W1
10	Dallas Mavericks	7	5	.583	3.5	5-2	2-3	6-4	L1
11	Phoenix Suns	5	6	.455	5.0	5-3	0-3	5-5	W2
12	New Orleans Pelicans	4	8	.333	6.5	3-4	1-4	4-6	L4
13	LA Clippers	2	8	.200	7.5	2-3	0-5	2-8	L1
14	Sacramento Kings	1	10	.091	9.0	0-6	1-4	1-9	L4
15	Utah Jazz	1	11	.083	9.5	1-6	0-5	0-10	L10

Solid cut lines mark Top 6 (direct Play-offs) and Top 10 (Play-in Tournament).

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