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NBA · Regular season

Dallas Mavericks vs LA Clippers: Preview and Stats

Dallas Mavericks 7-5
vs
LA Clippers 2-8
American Airlines Center, Dallas

Our picks

Our picks for Dallas Mavericks vs LA Clippers come out after the official NBA injury report, at most 48 hours before tip-off, and at the latest (3 hours before tip-off).

We are waiting for the result of a team's previous game.

Our NBA model track record for this matchup

Our winner picks on these teams

  • Dallas Mavericks 8 of 12 right (67%)
  • LA Clippers 7 of 10 right (70%)

Settled NBA winner picks since 22 Oct 2026.

Game details

Stage
NBA, Regular season
Tip-off
Arena
American Airlines Center
City
Dallas
Since last match
Dallas Mavericks: Golden State Warriors LA Clippers: San Antonio Spurs
Next match
Dallas Mavericks: Utah Jazz LA Clippers: Houston Rockets

Missing production & availability impact

Share of last 10 games' offensive creation (PTS + AST) and minutes sidelined.

Dallas Mavericks

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

LA Clippers

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Official NBA injury report

Dallas Mavericks

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

LA Clippers

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Expected 8-man core rotation

Projected starters and key bench from recent usage and the official injury report.

Dallas Mavericks

Projected Starters
  • F Cooper Flagg
    35.4 MPG 25.0 PPG 7.3 RPG 7.1 APG
  • F P.J. Washington
    32.4 MPG 14.1 PPG 7.0 RPG 1.1 APG
  • G Kyrie Irving
    31.6 MPG 22.1 PPG 3.4 RPG 4.8 APG
  • F Zaccharie Risacher
    23.3 MPG 8.5 PPG 4.8 RPG 1.5 APG
  • F-C Daniel Gafford
    22.2 MPG 10.3 PPG 5.8 RPG 1.7 APG
Key Bench
  • F Naji Marshall
    22.7 MPG 10.1 PPG 2.7 RPG 4.0 APG
  • G Walter Clayton Jr.
    18.7 MPG 7.7 PPG 3.2 RPG 3.8 APG
  • F Caleb Martin
    18.8 MPG 4.0 PPG 2.2 RPG 1.8 APG

LA Clippers

Projected Starters
  • G Darius Garland
    32.7 MPG 20.4 PPG 1.8 RPG 6.9 APG
  • G Kris Dunn
    28.6 MPG 8.5 PPG 4.0 RPG 4.3 APG
  • F Derrick Jones Jr.
    29.2 MPG 11.1 PPG 4.9 RPG 1.4 APG
  • F Rui Hachimura
    29.5 MPG 14.4 PPG 5.9 RPG 1.6 APG
  • G Kobe Sanders
    24.3 MPG 9.8 PPG 2.9 RPG 2.7 APG
Key Bench
  • F Brandon Ingram
    31.5 MPG 17.7 PPG 0.0 RPG 0.0 APG
  • C Brook Lopez
    23.4 MPG 13.6 PPG 5.2 RPG 1.0 APG
  • G Keaton Wagler
    23.2 MPG 12.2 PPG 3.5 RPG 3.4 APG

OptimaGoal power & pace ratings

Full NBA power ratings

Neutral-court net point rating and 48-minute tempo rank across all 30 NBA franchises.

Dallas Mavericks

#17 of 30
Net rating -1.4 30d: +3.0
Pace: -0.2 (#5 of 30)

LA Clippers

#23 of 30
Net rating -3.4 30d: -1.3
Pace: -1.3 (#13 of 30)

OptimaGoal tactical & efficiency profile (0–100)

Original 0–100 indices built from each team's last 10 played games before tip-off.

Dallas Mavericks

Net 54
Shot quality (TS%) 43
3PT volume & accuracy 42
Ball security & passing 28
Rebounding control 58
Defensive disruption 59

ORtg 110.0 · DRtg 108.6 · Net +1.4 · TS 56.8%

LA Clippers

Net 34
Shot quality (TS%) 54
3PT volume & accuracy 63
Ball security & passing 12
Rebounding control 42
Defensive disruption 39

ORtg 108.4 · DRtg 114.1 · Net -5.7 · TS 58.4%

Dallas Mavericks · Record vs point differential W-L record aligned with point differential 7W actual vs 6.4W expected (12 GP)
LA Clippers · Record vs point differential Stronger profile than W-L (bounce candidate) 2W actual vs 3.3W expected (10 GP)

Halftime splits & clutch profile

Game-state outcomes and half-by-half scoring share over the last 15 games.

Dallas Mavericks

Win rate when leading at HT 5/5 (100%)
Comeback wins when trailing at HT 2/9 (22%)
Scoring split (1H vs 2H)
1H: 58.0 (50.2%) 2H: 57.6 (49.8%)
Clutch (≤5 pts / OT): 3-2 10+ pt margins: 5-5

LA Clippers

Win rate when leading at HT 4/8 (50%)
Comeback wins when trailing at HT 0/6 (0%)
Scoring split (1H vs 2H)
1H: 56.3 (50.2%) 2H: 55.8 (49.8%)
Clutch (≤5 pts / OT): 1-2 10+ pt margins: 3-6

Scoring environment and threshold hit counts across the last 10 games.

DALLAC
Points scored / game 112.7 112.2
Points allowed / game 111.3 118.1
Average game total 224.0 230.3
Average 1st-half total 114.5 114.3
Possessions / 48 min 102.5 102.4
Games with 220+ pts 7/10 7/10
Games with 230+ pts 1/10 6/10
Games with 240+ pts 1/10 4/10
Scored 115+ pts 4/10 5/10

Schedule density & travel spot

Rest days, multi-game compression and current home/road stretch entering tip-off.

Dallas Mavericks

2 days rest
1 in 4 nights 1 in 6 nights Homestand · Game 1

LA Clippers

1 day rest
1 in 4 nights 1 in 6 nights Road trip · Game 2

Primary offensive threats

Available rotation leaders by scoring and shot share over the last 10 games.

Dallas Mavericks

  • #1 Cooper Flagg F 22.2% pts share
    25.0 PPG · 7.3 RPG · 7.1 APG · 1.3 3PM 21.0% FGA
  • #2 Kyrie Irving G 19.6% pts share
    22.1 PPG · 3.4 RPG · 4.8 APG · 3.2 3PM 19.7% FGA
  • #3 Naji Marshall F 9.0% pts share
    10.1 PPG · 2.7 RPG · 4.0 APG · 0.9 3PM 9.4% FGA

LA Clippers

  • #1 Darius Garland G 18.2% pts share
    20.4 PPG · 1.8 RPG · 6.9 APG · 2.4 3PM 17.9% FGA
  • #2 Brandon Ingram F 15.8% pts share
    17.7 PPG · 0.0 RPG · 0.0 APG · 0.0 3PM
  • #3 Keaton Wagler G 10.9% pts share
    12.2 PPG · 3.5 RPG · 3.4 APG · 1.7 3PM 10.0% FGA

Last five games

Dallas Mavericks

  • L 94-133 at Minnesota Timberwolves (A) 13 Nov
  • W 125-122 vs Indiana Pacers (H) 10 Nov
  • W 130-93 vs Brooklyn Nets (H) 9 Nov
  • W 112-100 vs Utah Jazz (H) 7 Nov
  • L 111-112 at San Antonio Spurs (A) 5 Nov

LA Clippers

  • L 110-133 at Phoenix Suns (A) 11 Nov
  • W 139-123 vs New Orleans Pelicans (H) 9 Nov
  • L 116-117 vs Miami Heat (H) 5 Nov
  • L 118-125 vs Toronto Raptors (H) 3 Nov
  • L 112-124 at Golden State Warriors (A) 2 Nov

Most recent first, all games of the season, overtime included.

Last 10 head-to-head meetings

DAL · 4W LAC · 6W
Avg total pts: 227.0 DAL avg: 111.5 LAC avg: 115.5 225+ pt games: 3/10 DAL at home: 2-3
  • 7 Apr 2026 LAC 116‑103 DAL
  • 21 Mar 2026 DAL 131‑138 (OT) LAC
  • 29 Nov 2025 LAC 110‑114 DAL
  • 14 Nov 2025 DAL 127‑133 (2OT) LAC
  • 5 Apr 2025 LAC 135‑104 DAL
  • 4 Apr 2025 LAC 114‑91 DAL
  • 21 Dec 2024 DAL 113‑97 LAC
  • 19 Dec 2024 DAL 95‑118 LAC
  • 3 May 2024 DAL 114‑101 LAC
  • 1 May 2024 LAC 93‑123 DAL

Season profile comparison

DALLAC
Record 7-5 2-8
At home 5-2 2-3
On the road 2-3 0-5
Conference 10 of 15, Western Conference 13 of 15, Western Conference
Streak – –
Days of rest 2 1
Our team rating #18 of 30 #23 of 30
Pace #5 of 30 #13 of 30

Western Conference standings

Full NBA standings
# Team W L PCT GB Home Road L10 Streak
1 Los Angeles Lakers 11 2 .846 – 5-1 6-1 8-2 W7
2 San Antonio Spurs 10 2 .833 0.5 4-2 6-0 10-0 W10
3 Houston Rockets 9 3 .750 1.5 6-1 3-2 7-3 W2
4 Minnesota Timberwolves 9 3 .750 1.5 5-1 4-2 7-3 W5
5 Portland Trail Blazers 8 3 .727 2.0 3-2 5-1 7-3 W2
6 Golden State Warriors 8 4 .667 2.5 6-1 2-3 8-2 L1
7 Oklahoma City Thunder 8 4 .667 2.5 5-0 3-4 6-4 L2
8 Memphis Grizzlies 7 4 .636 3.0 2-4 5-0 6-4 L1
9 Denver Nuggets 6 4 .600 3.5 3-2 3-2 6-4 W1
10 Dallas Mavericks 7 5 .583 3.5 5-2 2-3 6-4 L1
11 Phoenix Suns 5 6 .455 5.0 5-3 0-3 5-5 W2
12 New Orleans Pelicans 4 8 .333 6.5 3-4 1-4 4-6 L4
13 LA Clippers 2 8 .200 7.5 2-3 0-5 2-8 L1
14 Sacramento Kings 1 10 .091 9.0 0-6 1-4 1-9 L4
15 Utah Jazz 1 11 .083 9.5 1-6 0-5 0-10 L10

Solid cut lines mark Top 6 (direct Play-offs) and Top 10 (Play-in Tournament).

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