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NBA · Regular season

Sacramento Kings vs Boston Celtics: Preview and Stats

Sacramento Kings 1-10
vs
Boston Celtics 10-2
Golden 1 Center, Sacramento

Our picks

Our picks for Sacramento Kings vs Boston Celtics come out after the official NBA injury report, at most 48 hours before tip-off, and at the latest (3 hours before tip-off).

We are waiting for the result of a team's previous game.

Our NBA model track record for this matchup

Our winner picks on these teams

  • Sacramento Kings 9 of 11 right (82%)
  • Boston Celtics 12 of 12 right (100%)

Settled NBA winner picks since 20 Oct 2026.

Game details

Stage
NBA, Regular season
Tip-off
Arena
Golden 1 Center
City
Sacramento
Since last match
Sacramento Kings: Los Angeles Lakers Boston Celtics: Denver Nuggets
Next match
Sacramento Kings: San Antonio Spurs Boston Celtics: Golden State Warriors

Missing production & availability impact

Share of last 10 games' offensive creation (PTS + AST) and minutes sidelined.

Sacramento Kings

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Boston Celtics

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Official NBA injury report

Sacramento Kings

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Boston Celtics

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Expected 8-man core rotation

Projected starters and key bench from recent usage and the official injury report.

Sacramento Kings

Projected Starters
  • G Darius Acuff Jr.
    37.5 MPG 27.6 PPG 3.9 RPG 7.7 APG
  • F-C Domantas Sabonis
    34.4 MPG 13.8 PPG 12.8 RPG 5.7 APG
  • G Zach LaVine
    32.6 MPG 21.7 PPG 3.2 RPG 2.4 APG
  • G-F De'Andre Hunter
    32.8 MPG 14.1 PPG 4.7 RPG 1.3 APG
  • F Precious Achiuwa
    26.1 MPG 9.9 PPG 6.5 RPG 1.0 APG
Key Bench
  • C Maxime Raynaud
    31.8 MPG 16.3 PPG 0.0 RPG 0.0 APG
  • F Keegan Murray
    24.3 MPG 11.0 PPG 1.7 RPG 1.3 APG
  • G Emanuel Sharp
    18.2 MPG 4.3 PPG 1.5 RPG 0.7 APG

Boston Celtics

Projected Starters
  • G-F Jayson Tatum
    33.2 MPG 26.7 PPG 6.0 RPG 7.1 APG
  • G Derrick White
    28.9 MPG 12.4 PPG 3.0 RPG 4.9 APG
  • F Paul George
    29.5 MPG 20.9 PPG 5.0 RPG 4.1 APG
  • G Payton Pritchard
    26.9 MPG 13.9 PPG 3.5 RPG 3.9 APG
  • C Neemias Queta
    22.6 MPG 9.2 PPG 7.0 RPG 1.9 APG
Key Bench
  • G Baylor Scheierman
    21.9 MPG 6.3 PPG 4.5 RPG 1.7 APG
  • G Devin Carter
    28.7 MPG 14.0 PPG 0.0 RPG 0.0 APG
  • F Sam Hauser
    21.1 MPG 8.0 PPG 3.6 RPG 1.0 APG

OptimaGoal power & pace ratings

Full NBA power ratings

Neutral-court net point rating and 48-minute tempo rank across all 30 NBA franchises.

Sacramento Kings

#28 of 30
Net rating -5.6 30d: +1.4
Pace: -0.4 (#6 of 30)

Boston Celtics

#1 of 30
Net rating +7.8 30d: -0.1
Pace: -3.9 (#29 of 30)

OptimaGoal tactical & efficiency profile (0–100)

Original 0–100 indices built from each team's last 10 played games before tip-off.

Sacramento Kings

Net 19
Shot quality (TS%) 44
3PT volume & accuracy 50
Ball security & passing 16
Rebounding control 43
Defensive disruption 31

ORtg 106.1 · DRtg 117.2 · Net -11.1 · TS 57.0%

Boston Celtics

Net 89
Shot quality (TS%) 56
3PT volume & accuracy 70
Ball security & passing 35
Rebounding control 58
Defensive disruption 72

ORtg 116.0 · DRtg 102.1 · Net +13.9 · TS 58.7%

Sacramento Kings · Record vs point differential Stronger profile than W-L (bounce candidate) 1W actual vs 1.9W expected (11 GP)
Boston Celtics · Record vs point differential W-L record aligned with point differential 10W actual vs 9.7W expected (12 GP)

Halftime splits & clutch profile

Game-state outcomes and half-by-half scoring share over the last 15 games.

Sacramento Kings

Win rate when leading at HT 2/3 (67%)
Comeback wins when trailing at HT 0/12 (0%)
Scoring split (1H vs 2H)
1H: 56.9 (52.1%) 2H: 52.3 (47.9%)
Clutch (≤5 pts / OT): 0-1 10+ pt margins: 1-9

Boston Celtics

Win rate when leading at HT 8/10 (80%)
Comeback wins when trailing at HT 2/5 (40%)
Scoring split (1H vs 2H)
1H: 58.3 (52.7%) 2H: 52.4 (47.3%)
Clutch (≤5 pts / OT): 3-0 10+ pt margins: 6-3

Scoring environment and threshold hit counts across the last 10 games.

SACBOS
Points scored / game 109.5 115.1
Points allowed / game 121.0 101.3
Average game total 230.5 216.4
Average 1st-half total 121.7 111.9
Possessions / 48 min 103.2 98.2
Games with 220+ pts 7/10 4/10
Games with 230+ pts 6/10 3/10
Games with 240+ pts 3/10 1/10
Scored 115+ pts 3/10 6/10

Schedule density & travel spot

Rest days, multi-game compression and current home/road stretch entering tip-off.

Sacramento Kings

0 days (Back-to-back)
1 in 4 nights 1 in 6 nights Homestand · Game 5

Boston Celtics

2 days rest
1 in 4 nights 1 in 6 nights Road trip · Game 5

Primary offensive threats

Available rotation leaders by scoring and shot share over the last 10 games.

Sacramento Kings

  • #1 Darius Acuff Jr. G 25.2% pts share
    27.6 PPG · 3.9 RPG · 7.7 APG · 3.4 3PM 26.3% FGA
  • #2 Zach LaVine G 19.8% pts share
    21.7 PPG · 3.2 RPG · 2.4 APG · 2.8 3PM 16.4% FGA
  • #3 Domantas Sabonis F-C 12.6% pts share
    13.8 PPG · 12.8 RPG · 5.7 APG · 0.2 3PM 10.0% FGA

Boston Celtics

  • #1 Jayson Tatum G-F 23.2% pts share
    26.7 PPG · 6.0 RPG · 7.1 APG · 2.6 3PM 20.9% FGA
  • #2 Paul George F 18.2% pts share
    20.9 PPG · 5.0 RPG · 4.1 APG · 3.4 3PM 18.4% FGA
  • #3 Derrick White G 10.8% pts share
    12.4 PPG · 3.0 RPG · 4.9 APG · 1.6 3PM 11.9% FGA

Last five games

Sacramento Kings

  • L 100-107 vs Orlando Magic (H) 11 Nov
  • L 108-114 vs Miami Heat (H) 9 Nov
  • L 109-124 vs San Antonio Spurs (H) 7 Nov
  • L 103-116 vs Los Angeles Lakers (H) 5 Nov
  • W 115-100 at Dallas Mavericks (A) 3 Nov

Boston Celtics

  • W 98-93 at Toronto Raptors (A) 12 Nov
  • W 123-101 at Philadelphia 76ers (A) 11 Nov
  • W 117-97 at Milwaukee Bucks (A) 9 Nov
  • W 119-80 at Charlotte Hornets (A) 7 Nov
  • W 109-102 vs Milwaukee Bucks (H) 5 Nov

Most recent first, all games of the season, overtime included.

Last 10 head-to-head meetings

SAC · 1W BOS · 9W
Avg total pts: 220.7 SAC avg: 101.2 BOS avg: 119.5 225+ pt games: 4/10 SAC at home: 0-5
  • 30 Jan 2026 BOS 112‑93 SAC
  • 1 Jan 2026 SAC 106‑120 BOS
  • 24 Mar 2025 SAC 95‑113 BOS
  • 10 Jan 2025 BOS 97‑114 SAC
  • 5 Apr 2024 BOS 101‑100 SAC
  • 20 Dec 2023 SAC 119‑144 BOS
  • 21 Mar 2023 SAC 109‑132 BOS
  • 25 Nov 2022 BOS 122‑104 SAC
  • 18 Mar 2022 SAC 97‑126 BOS
  • 25 Jan 2022 BOS 128‑75 SAC

Season profile comparison

SACBOS
Record 1-10 10-2
At home 0-6 5-0
On the road 1-4 5-2
Conference 14 of 15, Western Conference 1 of 15, Eastern Conference
Streak Lost 4 in a row Won 5 in a row
Days of rest 0 (second night of a back-to-back) 2
Our team rating #28 of 30 #1 of 30
Pace #6 of 30 #29 of 30

Inter-conference matchup — both conference tables shown with Play-off (#6) and Play-in (#10) cut lines.

Western Conference standings

Full NBA standings
# Team W L PCT GB Home Road L10 Streak
1 Los Angeles Lakers 11 2 .846 – 5-1 6-1 8-2 W7
2 San Antonio Spurs 10 2 .833 0.5 4-2 6-0 10-0 W10
3 Houston Rockets 9 3 .750 1.5 6-1 3-2 7-3 W2
4 Minnesota Timberwolves 9 3 .750 1.5 5-1 4-2 7-3 W5
5 Portland Trail Blazers 8 3 .727 2.0 3-2 5-1 7-3 W2
6 Golden State Warriors 8 4 .667 2.5 6-1 2-3 8-2 L1
7 Oklahoma City Thunder 8 4 .667 2.5 5-0 3-4 6-4 L2
8 Memphis Grizzlies 7 4 .636 3.0 2-4 5-0 6-4 L1
9 Denver Nuggets 6 4 .600 3.5 3-2 3-2 6-4 W1
10 Dallas Mavericks 7 5 .583 3.5 5-2 2-3 6-4 L1
11 Phoenix Suns 5 6 .455 5.0 5-3 0-3 5-5 W2
12 New Orleans Pelicans 4 8 .333 6.5 3-4 1-4 4-6 L4
13 LA Clippers 2 8 .200 7.5 2-3 0-5 2-8 L1
14 Sacramento Kings 1 10 .091 9.0 0-6 1-4 1-9 L4
15 Utah Jazz 1 11 .083 9.5 1-6 0-5 0-10 L10

Solid cut lines mark Top 6 (direct Play-offs) and Top 10 (Play-in Tournament).

Eastern Conference standings

Full NBA standings
# Team W L PCT GB Home Road L10 Streak
1 Boston Celtics 10 2 .833 – 5-0 5-2 9-1 W5
2 Philadelphia 76ers 10 3 .769 0.5 5-2 5-1 7-3 W1
3 Detroit Pistons 8 3 .727 1.5 3-2 5-1 7-3 W2
4 Atlanta Hawks 7 5 .583 3.0 3-3 4-2 5-5 L1
5 New York Knicks 6 5 .545 3.5 4-3 2-2 6-4 L1
6 Cleveland Cavaliers 6 6 .500 4.0 4-2 2-4 5-5 W1
7 Miami Heat 5 6 .455 4.5 1-3 4-3 5-5 W2
8 Toronto Raptors 5 7 .417 5.0 2-3 3-4 3-7 L3
9 Orlando Magic 4 7 .364 5.5 0-4 4-3 4-6 W2
10 Charlotte Hornets 4 8 .333 6.0 3-4 1-4 3-7 L1
11 Indiana Pacers 4 8 .333 6.0 1-4 3-4 3-7 W1
12 Washington Wizards 4 9 .308 6.5 2-3 2-6 2-8 L6
13 Brooklyn Nets 3 8 .273 6.5 1-3 2-5 3-7 W1
14 Chicago Bulls 1 9 .100 8.0 0-4 1-5 1-9 L8
15 Milwaukee Bucks 1 11 .083 9.0 1-6 0-5 1-9 L8

Solid cut lines mark Top 6 (direct Play-offs) and Top 10 (Play-in Tournament).

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