Premier League · Matchday 11 
Chelsea vs Leeds United: Match Preview & Stats
Our picks
Model predictions are published 48 hours before kick-off
To take in the latest form and rest days, the predictions for this match come out on . (If either team plays another match in between, they come out once that match is over.)
See today's ready predictions →Our record
Chelsea: 3 of 5 right
Leeds United: 3 of 5 right
Our result picks in each club's earlier matches on this site.
Match facts
- Competition
- Premier League, Matchday 11
- Kick-off
- Venue
- Stamford Bridge, London
- Since last match
- Chelsea: 13 days (Premier League) · Sunderland (1‑0) Leeds United: 14 days (Premier League) · Tottenham Hotspur (1‑0)
- Next match
- Chelsea: 6 days (Premier League) later Leeds United: 7 days (Premier League) later
Last starting XI
Chelsea 4-3-2-1
- 13 Penders
- 14 Palestra
- 3 Fofana
- 6 Colwill
- 29 Chavarría
- 25 Caicedo
- 45 Lavia
- 14 Henderson
- 10 Palmer
- 17 Rogers
- 7 Neto
Coach: Xabi Alonso 
at Sunderland, 0-1 · Premier League · 8 Nov
Leeds United 3-4-2-1
- 13 Trafford
- 24 Justin
- 30 Elvedi
- 5 Muharemović
- 2 Bogle
- 4 Ampadu
- 22 Tanaka
- 3 Gudmundsson
- 8 Longstaff
- 14 Nmecha
- 19 Calvert-Lewin
Coach: Daniel Farke 
vs Tottenham Hotspur, 1-0 · Premier League · 7 Nov
Our predicted line-ups come with our picks, 48 hours before kick-off. Until then: each club's last starting XI.
Injuries and suspensions
Chelsea
- DF Jorrel HatoInjured · Mid November 2026
- DF Maxence LacroixInjured · Early January 2027
- DF Reece JamesInjured · Mid January 2027
- FW Jamie GittensInjured · Back in training
- FW João PedroInjured · Late November 2026
Leeds United
- MF Anton StachInjured · Doubtful
- FW Mateo JosephInjured · Early January 2027
Players listed as injured, suspended or away with their national team, with their expected return.
Missing Players Impact
Chelsea
High impact - FW João Pedro 11% attack · 4% mins
- DF Maxence Lacroix 1% attack · 5% mins
Leeds United
Moderate impact - MF Anton Stach 9% attack · 6% mins
Share of team playing time and attacking output over the last 9 matches accounted for by unavailable players.
Tactical Profile & Play Quality (0–100)
Chelsea Leeds United Chelsea Results above play quality (running hot) Leeds United Balanced (results match underlying play) OptimaGoal 0–100 performance indices built from the last 9 matches before kick-off.
Game-State Scenarios & Goal Timing
Chelsea
Leeds United
Reaction to scoring or conceding first and goal distribution across the last 15 matches.
Key Attacking Threats
Chelsea
- 1. MF Morgan Rogers 4G · 0ATeam attack 17.0% Team shots 17.0%
- 2. MF Cole Palmer 1G · 2ATeam attack 17.0% Team shots 20.0%
- 3. FW Pedro Neto 2G · 1ATeam attack 15.0% Team shots 15.0%
Leeds United
- 1. FW Dominic Calvert-Lewin 4G · 0ATeam attack 19.0% Team shots 15.0%
- 2. MF Jayden Bogle 1G · 0ATeam attack 12.0% Team shots 11.0%
- 3. DF James Justin 1G · 1ATeam attack 9.0% Team shots 8.0%
Top available players by share of team attacking production and shot volume over the last 10 matches.
Scoring trends
| Scoring trends | Chelsea | Leeds United |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 | 7/10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 5/10 | 3/10 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 | 2/10 |
| Both teams scored | 5/10 | 6/10 |
| Clean sheet | 2/10 | 3/10 |
| Failed to score | 3/10 | 3/10 |
| Goals per match (scored / conceded) | 1.9 / 1.5 | 1.2 / 1.4 |
Last 10 matches, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.
Form guide
Chelsea
- L 0-1 at Sunderland (A) Premier League · 8 Nov
- W 2-0 vs
Manchester United (H) Premier League · 31 Oct - D 1-1 at
Liverpool (A) EFL Cup · 28 Oct - L 0-2 vs Tottenham Hotspur (H) Premier League · 24 Oct
- W 2-0 at
Everton (A) Premier League · 17 Oct
Leeds United
- W 1-0 vs Tottenham Hotspur (H) Premier League · 7 Nov
- L 0-2 at
AFC Bournemouth (A) Premier League · 31 Oct - D 0-0 at Sunderland (A) Premier League · 25 Oct
- D 1-1 vs Manchester United (H) Premier League · 18 Oct
- L 1-2 at
Arsenal (A) Premier League · 10 Oct
Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.
When the goals come
Chelsea
- 1-15 minutes: 7 scored, 0 conceded
- 16-30 minutes: 0 scored, 3 conceded
- 31-45 minutes: 2 scored, 3 conceded
- 46-60 minutes: 4 scored, 3 conceded
- 61-75 minutes: 5 scored, 2 conceded
- 76-90 minutes: 1 scored, 5 conceded
Leeds United
- 1-15 minutes: 1 scored, 0 conceded
- 16-30 minutes: 0 scored, 0 conceded
- 31-45 minutes: 3 scored, 3 conceded
- 46-60 minutes: 3 scored, 0 conceded
- 61-75 minutes: 0 scored, 3 conceded
- 76-90 minutes: 3 scored, 2 conceded
Goals in each 15-minute period, Premier League this season. Stoppage time counts with its half.
Top scorers
Chelsea
| Player | G | A |
|---|---|---|
| João Pedro | 5 | 3 |
| Morgan Rogers | 5 | 1 |
| Cole Palmer (1 pen) | 3 | 3 |
| Pedro Neto | 3 | 1 |
| Jordan Henderson | 2 | 1 |
Leeds United
| Player | G | A |
|---|---|---|
| Dominic Calvert-Lewin | 4 | 0 |
| Noah Okafor | 2 | 0 |
| James Justin | 1 | 1 |
| Anton Stach | 1 | 0 |
| Jayden Bogle | 1 | 0 |
Goals and assists in the Premier League this season.
Corners and yellow cards
Chelsea Leeds United - 5.5 Corners won 4.3
- 5.3 Corners conceded 4.1
- 2.0 Yellow cards 1.9
- 3.3 Opponents' yellow cards 2.3
Per match in the Premier League this season. Average per club and match: 4.7 corners, 2.0 yellow cards.
Attack and defence ratings
ChelseaLeeds United0 to 100 against this season's Premier League clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.
Head-to-head
8Chelsea wins2Leeds United wins12 meetings since 2010, results after 90 minutes.
- 9 Sep 2026 · EFL Cup Chelsea 6-3 Leeds United
- 26 Apr 2026 · FA Cup Chelsea 1-0 Leeds United
- 10 Feb 2026 · Premier League Chelsea 2-2 Leeds United
- 3 Dec 2025 · Premier League Leeds United 3-1 Chelsea
- 28 Feb 2024 · FA Cup Chelsea 3-2 Leeds United
Table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 15:5 | +10 | 27 |
| 2 |  Brighton & Hove Albion | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 26:7 | +19 | 22 |
| 3 |  Manchester City | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 21:13 | +8 | 21 |
| 4 | Liverpool | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14:10 | +4 | 18 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19:16 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 | Everton | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12:10 | +2 | 16 |
| 7 | AFC Bournemouth | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16:14 | +2 | 15 |
| 8 |  Brentford | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 16:11 | +5 | 14 |
| 9 | Leeds United | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 10:8 | +2 | 14 |
| 10 |  Aston Villa | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14:17 | -3 | 13 |
| 11 | Tottenham Hotspur | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 12 |
| 12 |  Newcastle United | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 |  Hull City | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 11 |
| 14 |  Ipswich Town | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15:20 | -5 | 11 |
| 15 |  Fulham | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 10 |
| 16 |  Nottingham Forest | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 9 |
| 17 |  Coventry City | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10:19 | -9 | 9 |
| 18 | Manchester United | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 14:19 | -5 | 8 |
| 19 | Sunderland | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8:17 | -9 | 8 |
| 20 |  Crystal Palace | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10:24 | -14 | 7 |
Our table from the results; the two clubs of this match are highlighted. Full table
Season projection
MembersWhere these two clubs are projected to finish in the Premier League: average points, likely range and chances.
| Club | Pts | Avg pts | Likely | Title | Top 4 | Relegated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | 16 | |||||
| Leeds United | 14 |
For members
Every club's chance of every place, from our simulated seasons, updated daily.
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Times are UTC.