Premier League · Matchday 11 
Newcastle United vs Arsenal: Match Preview & Stats
Our picks
Model predictions are published 48 hours before kick-off
To take in the latest form and rest days, the predictions for this match come out on . (If either team plays another match in between, they come out once that match is over.)
See today's ready predictions →Our record
Newcastle United: 0 of 5 right
Arsenal: 7 of 8 right
Our result picks in each club's earlier matches on this site.
Match facts
- Competition
- Premier League, Matchday 11
- Kick-off
- Venue
- St. James' Park, Newcastle upon Tyne
- Since last match
- Newcastle United: 14 days (Premier League) · Fulham (1‑1) Arsenal: 14 days (Premier League) · Hull City (1‑0)
- Next match
- Newcastle United: 7 days (Premier League) later Arsenal: 3 days (Champions League) later · Borussia Dortmund
Last starting XI
Newcastle United 4-2-3-1
- 16 Hornícek
- 37 Dedić
- 12 Thiaw
- 5 Burn
- 3 Hall
- 14 Steur
- 6 González
- 23 Murphy
- 9 Wissa
- 11 Barnes
- 10 Osula
Coach: Matthias Jaissle 
at Fulham, 1-1 · Premier League · 7 Nov
Arsenal 4-2-3-1
- 1 Raya
- 12 Timber
- 15 Konsa
- 6 Gabriel
- 5 Calafiori
- 39 Guimarães
- 4 Rice
- 20 Madueke
- 8 Ødegaard
- 17 Tzolis
- 29 Havertz
Coach: Mikel Arteta 
vs Hull City, 1-0 · Premier League · 7 Nov
Our predicted line-ups come with our picks, 48 hours before kick-off. Until then: each club's last starting XI.
Injuries and suspensions
Newcastle United
- GK Ewen JaouenInjured · Early December 2026
- MF JoelintonInjured · Late November 2026
Arsenal
- FW Max DowmanSuspended
- DF Ezri KonsaInjured · A few days
- FW Bukayo SakaInjured · Late November 2026
Players listed as injured, suspended or away with their national team, with their expected return.
Missing Players Impact
Newcastle United
Low impact - MF Joelinton 3% attack · 3% mins
Arsenal
Moderate impact - FW Bukayo Saka 7% attack · 3% mins
- DF Ezri Konsa 3% attack · 8% mins
Share of team playing time and attacking output over the last 9 matches accounted for by unavailable players.
Tactical Profile & Play Quality (0–100)
Newcastle United Arsenal Newcastle United Balanced (results match underlying play) Arsenal Results above play quality (running hot) OptimaGoal 0–100 performance indices built from the last 9 matches before kick-off.
Game-State Scenarios & Goal Timing
Newcastle United
Arsenal
Reaction to scoring or conceding first and goal distribution across the last 15 matches.
Key Attacking Threats
Newcastle United
- 1. FW Harvey Barnes 2G · 2ATeam attack 20.0% Team shots 21.0%
- 2. MF Joseph Willock 1G · 0ATeam attack 10.0% Team shots 15.0%
- 3. FW Jacob Murphy 1G · 1ATeam attack 10.0% Team shots 5.0%
Arsenal
- 1. FW Noni Madueke 2G · 1ATeam attack 13.0% Team shots 13.0%
- 2. MF Declan Rice 1G · 3ATeam attack 10.0% Team shots 8.0%
- 3. MF Martin Ødegaard 1G · 1ATeam attack 10.0% Team shots 10.0%
Top available players by share of team attacking production and shot volume over the last 10 matches.
Scoring trends
| Scoring trends | Newcastle United | Arsenal |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 | 7/10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 5/10 | 5/10 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 | 1/10 |
| Both teams scored | 6/10 | 4/10 |
| Clean sheet | 2/10 | 5/10 |
| Failed to score | 2/10 | 1/10 |
| Goals per match (scored / conceded) | 1.1 / 1.7 | 1.5 / 0.8 |
Last 10 matches, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.
Form guide
Newcastle United
- D 1-1 at Fulham (A) Premier League · 7 Nov
- L 0-1 vs
Everton (H) Premier League · 2 Nov - L 1-3 at Everton (A) EFL Cup · 29 Oct
- W 2-0 at
Crystal Palace (A) Premier League · 25 Oct - L 0-1 vs
Aston Villa (H) Premier League · 17 Oct
Arsenal
- W 1-0 vs Hull City (H) Premier League · 7 Nov
- W 2-1 at
Slavia Prague (A) Champions League · 4 Nov - W 1-0 at
Liverpool (A) Premier League · 1 Nov - D 1-1 at Fleetwood Town (A) EFL Cup · 27 Oct
- W 2-0 vs Everton (H) Premier League · 24 Oct
Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.
When the goals come
Newcastle United
- 1-15 minutes: 3 scored, 2 conceded
- 16-30 minutes: 0 scored, 0 conceded
- 31-45 minutes: 1 scored, 5 conceded
- 46-60 minutes: 3 scored, 4 conceded
- 61-75 minutes: 3 scored, 1 conceded
- 76-90 minutes: 3 scored, 4 conceded
Arsenal
- 1-15 minutes: 2 scored, 1 conceded
- 16-30 minutes: 3 scored, 0 conceded
- 31-45 minutes: 0 scored, 2 conceded
- 46-60 minutes: 4 scored, 2 conceded
- 61-75 minutes: 4 scored, 0 conceded
- 76-90 minutes: 2 scored, 0 conceded
Goals in each 15-minute period, Premier League this season. Stoppage time counts with its half.
Top scorers
Newcastle United
| Player | G | A |
|---|---|---|
| Harvey Barnes | 2 | 2 |
| Anthony Elanga | 2 | 0 |
| Joseph Willock | 2 | 0 |
| Jacob Murphy | 1 | 1 |
| Lewis Hall | 1 | 1 |
Arsenal
| Player | G | A |
|---|---|---|
| Bukayo Saka (1 pen) | 3 | 0 |
| Kai Havertz | 3 | 0 |
| Martin Ødegaard | 3 | 0 |
| Bruno Guimarães | 2 | 0 |
| Riccardo Calafiori | 1 | 2 |
Goals and assists in the Premier League this season.
Corners and yellow cards
Newcastle United Arsenal - 4.3 Corners won 5.6
- 5.2 Corners conceded 4.2
- 2.6 Yellow cards 1.4
- 2.1 Opponents' yellow cards 3.3
Per match in the Premier League this season. Average per club and match: 4.7 corners, 2.0 yellow cards.
Attack and defence ratings
Newcastle UnitedArsenal0 to 100 against this season's Premier League clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.
Head-to-head
7Newcastle United wins23Arsenal wins34 meetings since 2010, results after 90 minutes.
- 25 Apr 2026 · Premier League Arsenal 1-0 Newcastle United
- 28 Sep 2025 · Premier League Newcastle United 1-2 Arsenal
- 18 May 2025 · Premier League Arsenal 1-0 Newcastle United
- 5 Feb 2025 · EFL Cup Newcastle United 2-0 Arsenal
- 7 Jan 2025 · EFL Cup Arsenal 0-2 Newcastle United
Table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 15:5 | +10 | 27 |
| 2 |  Brighton & Hove Albion | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 26:7 | +19 | 22 |
| 3 |  Manchester City | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 21:13 | +8 | 21 |
| 4 | Liverpool | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14:10 | +4 | 18 |
| 5 |  Chelsea | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19:16 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 | Everton | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12:10 | +2 | 16 |
| 7 |  AFC Bournemouth | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16:14 | +2 | 15 |
| 8 |  Brentford | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 16:11 | +5 | 14 |
| 9 |  Leeds United | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 10:8 | +2 | 14 |
| 10 | Aston Villa | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14:17 | -3 | 13 |
| 11 |  Tottenham Hotspur | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 12 |
| 12 | Newcastle United | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 | Hull City | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 11 |
| 14 |  Ipswich Town | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15:20 | -5 | 11 |
| 15 | Fulham | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 10 |
| 16 |  Nottingham Forest | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 9 |
| 17 |  Coventry City | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10:19 | -9 | 9 |
| 18 |  Manchester United | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 14:19 | -5 | 8 |
| 19 |  Sunderland | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8:17 | -9 | 8 |
| 20 | Crystal Palace | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10:24 | -14 | 7 |
Our table from the results; the two clubs of this match are highlighted. Full table
Season projection
MembersWhere these two clubs are projected to finish in the Premier League: average points, likely range and chances.
| Club | Pts | Avg pts | Likely | Title | Top 4 | Relegated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle United | 12 | |||||
| Arsenal | 27 |
For members
Every club's chance of every place, from our simulated seasons, updated daily.
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Times are UTC.