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Premier League · Matchday 11

AFC Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest: Match Preview & Stats

Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth, Dorset

Our picks

Model predictions are published 48 hours before kick-off

To take in the latest form and rest days, the predictions for this match come out on . (If either team plays another match in between, they come out once that match is over.)

See today's ready predictions →

Our record

  • AFC Bournemouth: 7 of 8 right
  • Nottingham Forest: 3 of 5 right

Our result picks in each club's earlier matches on this site.

Match facts

Competition
Premier League, Matchday 11
Kick-off
Venue
Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth, Dorset
Since last match
AFC Bournemouth: 13 days (Premier League) · Ipswich Town (1‑2) Nottingham Forest: 13 days (Premier League) · Manchester City (3‑1)
Next match
AFC Bournemouth: 5 days (Europa League) later · Celta Vigo Nottingham Forest: 6 days (Premier League) later

Last starting XI

AFC Bournemouth 4-2-3-1

  1. 1 Petrović
  2. 15 Smith
  3. 14 Hill
  4. 14 Silva
  5. 3 Truffert
  6. 12 Adams
  7. 10 Christie
  8. 37 Rayan
  9. 19 Kluivert
  10. 16 Tavernier
  11. 9 Evanilson

Coach: Marco Rose at Ipswich Town, 2-1 · Premier League · 8 Nov

Nottingham Forest 3-4-2-1

  1. 26 Sels
  2. 23 Cunha
  3. 31 Milenković
  4. 5 Murillo
  5. 27 Muñoz
  6. 22 Yates
  7. 21 Schlager
  8. 3 Williams
  9. 24 McAtee
  10. 7 Gibbs-White
  11. 19 Delap

Coach: Oliver Glasner vs Manchester City, 3-1 · Premier League · 7 Nov

Our predicted line-ups come with our picks, 48 hours before kick-off. Until then: each club's last starting XI.

Injuries and suspensions

AFC Bournemouth

  • DF Juanlu SánchezInjured · Late November 2026
  • DF Julián AraujoInjured · Late November 2026
  • DF Veljko MilosavljevicInjured · Doubtful
  • MF Alex TóthInjured · Early February 2027

Nottingham Forest

  • DF Nicolò SavonaInjured · Late November 2026
  • MF Nicolás DominguezInjured · Late December 2026

Players listed as injured, suspended or away with their national team, with their expected return.

Missing Players Impact

AFC Bournemouth

Low impact
Missing attack share 0.0%
Missing minutes share 1.0%
4 players out

Nottingham Forest

Low impact
Missing attack share 0.0%
Missing minutes share 2.0%
2 players out

Share of team playing time and attacking output over the last 9 matches accounted for by unavailable players.

Tactical Profile & Play Quality (0–100)

AFC Bournemouth Nottingham Forest
Box & Territory Pressure 62 55
Set-Piece & Corner Threat 68 53
Finishing Efficiency 68 15
Defensive & Goalkeeper Wall 44 32
Underlying Play Power 82 66
AFC Bournemouth Balanced (results match underlying play)
Nottingham Forest Playing above results (positive regression candidate)

OptimaGoal 0–100 performance indices built from the last 9 matches before kick-off.

Game-State Scenarios & Goal Timing

AFC Bournemouth

When scoring first 70% won · 90% unbeaten (10 matches)
When conceding first 60% points rescued · 20% won (5 matches)
1st Half: 54% 2nd Half: 46%
First 15': 18% Last 15' (76-90'): 21%

Nottingham Forest

When scoring first 43% won · 86% unbeaten (7 matches)
When conceding first 14% points rescued · 0% won (7 matches)
1st Half: 50% 2nd Half: 50%
First 15': 31% Last 15' (76-90'): 19%

Reaction to scoring or conceding first and goal distribution across the last 15 matches.

Key Attacking Threats

AFC Bournemouth

  1. 1. FW Evanilson 7G · 2A
    Team attack 20.0% Team shots 18.0%
  2. 2. FW Marcus Tavernier 3G · 0A
    Team attack 13.0% Team shots 8.0%
  3. 3. FW Rayan 3G · 0A
    Team attack 12.0% Team shots 14.0%

Nottingham Forest

  1. 1. MF Morgan Gibbs-White 1G · 3A
    Team attack 17.0% Team shots 9.0%
  2. 2. FW Liam Delap 3G · 0A
    Team attack 15.0% Team shots 18.0%
  3. 3. FW Dan Ndoye 2G · 0A
    Team attack 13.0% Team shots 13.0%

Top available players by share of team attacking production and shot volume over the last 10 matches.

Scoring trends AFC Bournemouth Nottingham Forest
Over 1.5 goals 9/10 7/10
Over 2.5 goals 7/10 4/10
Over 3.5 goals 2/10 3/10
Both teams scored 3/10 5/10
Clean sheet 6/10 1/10
Failed to score 1/10 5/10
Goals per match (scored / conceded) 2.2 / 0.8 0.9 / 1.4

Last 10 matches, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Form guide

AFC Bournemouth

  • W 2-1 at Ipswich Town (A) Premier League · 8 Nov
  • W 3-1 at Sparta Prague (A) Europa League · 5 Nov
  • W 2-0 vs Leeds United (H) Premier League · 31 Oct
  • W 3-0 vs Aston Villa (H) EFL Cup · 28 Oct
  • W 3-0 at Manchester United (A) Premier League · 25 Oct

Nottingham Forest

  • W 3-1 vs Manchester City (H) Premier League · 7 Nov
  • L 0-2 at Brentford (A) Premier League · 31 Oct
  • D 1-1 at Ipswich Town (A) Premier League · 23 Oct
  • L 0-1 vs Arsenal (H) Premier League · 18 Oct
  • L 1-3 at Crystal Palace (A) Premier League · 11 Oct

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

When the goals come

ScoredConceded

AFC Bournemouth

  • 1-15 minutes: 3 scored, 2 conceded
  • 16-30 minutes: 1 scored, 0 conceded
  • 31-45 minutes: 6 scored, 2 conceded
  • 46-60 minutes: 4 scored, 3 conceded
  • 61-75 minutes: 1 scored, 3 conceded
  • 76-90 minutes: 1 scored, 4 conceded

Nottingham Forest

  • 1-15 minutes: 3 scored, 0 conceded
  • 16-30 minutes: 2 scored, 1 conceded
  • 31-45 minutes: 0 scored, 3 conceded
  • 46-60 minutes: 1 scored, 4 conceded
  • 61-75 minutes: 2 scored, 1 conceded
  • 76-90 minutes: 1 scored, 4 conceded

Goals in each 15-minute period, Premier League this season. Stoppage time counts with its half.

Top scorers

AFC Bournemouth

Player G A
Evanilson 5 4
Marcus Tavernier 5 0
Justin Kluivert 1 2
Alex Scott 1 0
Amine Adli 1 0

Nottingham Forest

Player G A
Liam Delap 3 0
Dan Ndoye 2 0
Morgan Gibbs-White (1 pen) 1 3
Igor Jesus 1 0
Jair Cunha 1 0

Goals and assists in the Premier League this season.

Corners and yellow cards

AFC Bournemouth Nottingham Forest
  • 4.8 Corners won 4.5
  • 3.8 Corners conceded 4.4
  • 2.7 Yellow cards 2.4
  • 1.8 Opponents' yellow cards 1.4

Per match in the Premier League this season. Average per club and match: 4.7 corners, 2.0 yellow cards.

Attack and defence ratings

AFC BournemouthNottingham Forest
Attack 68 42 1.6 goals per match this season0.9 goals per match this season
Defence 63 58 1.4 conceded per match this season1.3 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Premier League clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.

2097Elo #11 Elo rating 1992Elo #28

Head-to-head

8AFC Bournemouth wins
6draws
2Nottingham Forest wins

16 meetings since 2010, results after 90 minutes.

  • 24 May 2026 · Premier League Nottingham Forest 1-1 AFC Bournemouth
  • 26 Oct 2025 · Premier League AFC Bournemouth 2-0 Nottingham Forest
  • 25 Jan 2025 · Premier League AFC Bournemouth 5-0 Nottingham Forest
  • 17 Aug 2024 · Premier League Nottingham Forest 1-1 AFC Bournemouth
  • 4 Feb 2024 · Premier League AFC Bournemouth 1-1 Nottingham Forest

Table

Premier League: Table
#Team PWDLGoalsGDPts
1 Arsenal 10 901 15:5 +10 27
2 Brighton & Hove Albion 10 712 26:7 +19 22
3 Manchester City 10 703 21:13 +8 21
4 Liverpool 10 532 14:10 +4 18
5 Chelsea 10 514 19:16 +3 16
6 Everton 10 442 12:10 +2 16
7 AFC Bournemouth 10 433 16:14 +2 15
8 Brentford 10 352 16:11 +5 14
9 Leeds United 10 352 10:8 +2 14
10 Aston Villa 10 343 14:17 -3 13
11 Tottenham Hotspur 10 334 10:11 -1 12
12 Newcastle United 10 334 13:16 -3 12
13 Hull City 10 253 11:11 0 11
14 Ipswich Town 10 325 15:20 -5 11
15 Fulham 10 244 10:12 -2 10
16 Nottingham Forest 10 235 9:13 -4 9
17 Coventry City 10 307 10:19 -9 9
18 Manchester United 10 154 14:19 -5 8
19 Sunderland 10 226 8:17 -9 8
20 Crystal Palace 10 217 10:24 -14 7

Our table from the results; the two clubs of this match are highlighted. Full table

Season projection

Members

Where these two clubs are projected to finish in the Premier League: average points, likely range and chances.

ClubPts Avg ptsLikely TitleTop 4Relegated
AFC Bournemouth 15
Nottingham Forest 9

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Every club's chance of every place, from our simulated seasons, updated daily.

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Times are UTC.