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Serie A · Matchday 9

Frosinone vs Lecce Prediction, Match Preview & Stats

Frosinone crest Frosinone
vs
Lecce crest Lecce
Stadio Benito Stirpe, Frosinone

Our picks

Free picks
  • Result Free pick Frosinone win
    Model probability 66% 44% 13%
  • Double chance Free pick Frosinone or draw (1X)
    Model probability 32% 91% 37%
  • More corners Free pick Frosinone
    Model probability 73% 48% 42%
  • Yellow cards Free pick Above the league average(league 3.2)
    Model probability Over 3.5 58%Over 4.5 38%Over 5.5 10%
  • Corners Free pick Around the league average(league 9.5)
    Model probability Over 8.5 98%Over 9.5 70%Over 10.5 61%

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Why this pick?

Our model makes Frosinone the result selection mainly because it rates them a little stronger than Lecce and gives weight to home advantage. The clearest counterpoint is the goal projection for this matchup, which does not fully support the home win. That concern is small beside the two main supports: the slightly stronger strength rating and the home edge at the Stadio Benito Stirpe. Over their last five matches, Frosinone average attacking volume clearly above the league average in shots and touches in the opposition box, though they concede more than average. Lecce's three wins and three draws in six meetings since 2010 keep the call moderate rather than clear-cut.

Match summary

For Frosinone vs Lecce in Serie A on Thursday 29 October 2026, Matchday 9, our result selection is a Frosinone win, with Frosinone win or draw as the double-chance call.

Latest news

All news
FrosinoneLecce

  1. Lecce's Gaspar handed two-match ban

    Serie A's disciplinary ruling has suspended Lecce defender Gaspar for two matches. Allegri has also been fined 10,000 euros.

    AI summary Source: ANSA

  3. Juventus win 2-0 away at Lecce

    Juventus beat Lecce 2-0 in the Italian league. Inter lead the table and are level on points with Lazio.

    AI summary Source: RTP

6 more news items

  2. Juventus beat Lecce 2-0 away

    McKennie and Douglas Luiz scored in the first half as Juventus won 2-0 at Lecce in Serie A.

    AI summary Source: ANSA

  3. Frosinone and Atalanta draw after a 4-4

    Atalanta drew 4-4 with Frosinone. Schmid and Krstovic each scored twice, Ederson added a penalty, while Calò and Elmas scored for the hosts.

    AI summary Source: ANSA

Form guide

Frosinone

  • D 4-4 at Atalanta (A) Serie A · 25 Oct
  • W 4-2 vs Sassuolo (H) Serie A · 16 Oct
  • L 0-3 at Napoli (A) Serie A · 10 Oct
  • W 2-0 vs Como (H) Serie A · 20 Sep
  • D 1-1 at Genoa (A) Serie A · 12 Sep

Lecce

  • L 0-2 vs Juventus (H) Serie A · 25 Oct
  • W 3-0 at Udinese (A) Serie A · 18 Oct
  • L 1-2 vs Bologna (H) Serie A · 11 Oct
  • L 0-3 at Milan (A) Serie A · 20 Sep
  • W 3-2 vs Monza (H) Serie A · 13 Sep

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Attack and defence ratings

FrosinoneLecce
Attack 37 0 2.1 goals per match this season1.1 goals per match this season
Defence 5 26 1.6 conceded per match this season1.8 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Serie A clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.

1805Elo #124 Elo rating 1733Elo #194

Head-to-head

0Frosinone wins
3draws
3Lecce wins

6 meetings since 2010, results after 90 minutes.

  • 3 Mar 2024 · Serie A Frosinone 1-1 Lecce
  • 16 Dec 2023 · Serie A Lecce 2-1 Frosinone
  • 2 Apr 2022 · Serie B Lecce 1-0 Frosinone
  • 20 Nov 2021 · Serie B Frosinone 0-0 Lecce
  • 20 Mar 2021 · Serie B Frosinone 0-3 Lecce

Serie A so far

#Team PWDLGoalsGDPts
6 Frosinone 8 422 17:13 +4 14
12 Lecce 8 305 9:14 -5 9

Positions in our table of 20 clubs, before kick-off. Full table

Match facts

Competition
Serie A, Matchday 9
Kick-off
Venue
Stadio Benito Stirpe, Frosinone
Since last match
Frosinone: 4 days (Serie A)
Lecce: 4 days (Serie A)
Next match
Frosinone: 2 days (Serie A) later
Lecce: 2 days (Serie A) later

Questions and answers

Frosinone vs Lecce prediction: who will win?

Our model picks Frosinone to win, and it is a call with a fair margin. The main reason is our long-run strength ratings of the two sides. Our double chance pick is Frosinone or draw.

What time is Frosinone vs Lecce and where is it played?

Frosinone vs Lecce kicks off at 17:30 UK time (17:30 UTC) on Thursday 29 October 2026 at Stadio Benito Stirpe, Frosinone. It is a Serie A match (Matchday 9).

What is the recent form of Frosinone and Lecce?

Frosinone have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches in all competitions, and drew their latest match. Lecce have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches in all competitions, and lost their latest match.

What is the head-to-head record between Frosinone and Lecce?

Frosinone and Lecce have met 6 times in our records since 2010: Frosinone won 0, Lecce won 3 and 3 ended level. Last meeting: 2024-03-03, Frosinone 1-1 Lecce.

Who is the referee for Frosinone vs Lecce?

The referee is Rosario Abisso. In the last 50 matches we have on record, Rosario Abisso has averaged 4.1 yellow cards per match.

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Times are UTC.