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Serie A · Matchday 9

Parma vs Udinese Prediction, Match Preview & Stats

Parma crest Parma
vs
Udinese crest Udinese
Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma

Our picks

Free picks
  • Result Free pick Parma win
    Model probability 45% 71% 15%
  • Double chance Free pick Parma or Udinese (12)
    Model probability 74% 65% 98%
  • More corners Free pick Udinese
    Model probability 86% 64% 56%
  • Yellow cards Free pick Above the league average(league 3.2)
    Model probability Over 3.5 66%Over 4.5 63%Over 5.5 36%
  • Corners Free pick Around the league average(league 9.5)
    Model probability Over 8.5 94%Over 9.5 78%Over 10.5 22%

See exactly how confident our model is

Every probability, plus over/under 2.5 goals. The result percentages are free for everyone 2h before kick-off ·

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Every percentage of our model from 48 hours before kick-off: result, double chance, both teams to score, over/under 2.5 goals, yellow card and corner lines, and our Top 5 picks as soon as they are out. Cancel any time.

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Why this pick?

Home advantage is the main plank of our model's lean towards a Parma win, and Parma also took the most recent meeting between the sides. The strongest argument on the other side is that Udinese still come out slightly stronger on our strength rating, while the big chances Parma have created over their last five matches sit clearly below the Serie A average. What shifts it back is Udinese's defending: they concede big chances at a rate clearly above that benchmark and arrive after five straight defeats. No single point settles it — the model's overall view does, and the call is narrow.

Match summary

Parma vs Udinese is the Serie A Matchday 9 fixture at the Stadio Ennio Tardini on Wednesday 28 October 2026, and our model backs a Parma win with a double chance of Parma or Udinese to win (no draw).

Latest news

All news
ParmaUdinese

  2. Udinese stick with Runjaic as coach

    Udinese have confirmed they are continuing with Runjaic in charge, saying it is not a temporary vote of confidence, though the club has made exploratory enquiries as a precaution.

    AI summary Source: ANSA

  4. Milan win 2-0 away to Udinese

    AC Milan beat Udinese 2-0 in the Italian league, with Gonçalo Ramos in the starting line-up. Inter lead the table.

    AI summary Source: RTP

6 more news items

  5. Lazio beat Parma to move top of the table

    Lazio beat Parma 2-1 in the Italian league, their fourth straight win in the competition, which puts them provisionally alone at the top of the table.

    AI summary Source: RTP

  6. Taylor scores as leaders Lazio beat Parma

    Kenneth Taylor opened the scoring against Parma and Lazio won 2-1. The Rome club stays unbeaten in Serie A with 22 points, three clear of Inter, who have a game in hand.

    AI summary Source: NOS

Form guide

Parma

  • L 1-2 at Lazio (A) Serie A · 24 Oct
  • L 0-3 vs Torino (H) Serie A · 19 Oct
  • L 0-3 at Inter (A) Serie A · 10 Oct
  • W 2-1 vs Genoa (H) Serie A · 20 Sep
  • L 1-2 at Como (A) Serie A · 14 Sep

Udinese

  • L 0-2 vs Milan (H) Serie A · 25 Oct
  • L 0-3 vs Lecce (H) Serie A · 18 Oct
  • L 1-2 at Torino (A) Serie A · 12 Oct
  • L 0-1 vs Cagliari (H) Serie A · 19 Sep
  • L 3-5 at Inter (A) Serie A · 14 Sep

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Attack and defence ratings

ParmaUdinese
Attack 5 32 0.6 goals per match this season1.1 goals per match this season
Defence 42 21 1.9 conceded per match this season2.3 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Serie A clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.

1719Elo #213 Elo rating 1772Elo #149

Head-to-head

9Parma wins
3draws
8Udinese wins

20 meetings since 2010, results after 90 minutes.

  • 18 Apr 2026 · Serie A Udinese 0-1 Parma
  • 29 Nov 2025 · Serie A Parma 0-2 Udinese
  • 1 Mar 2025 · Serie A Udinese 1-0 Parma
  • 16 Sep 2024 · Serie A Parma 2-3 Udinese
  • 21 Feb 2021 · Serie A Parma 2-2 Udinese

Serie A so far

#Team PWDLGoalsGDPts
17 Udinese 8 116 9:18 -9 4
19 Parma 8 116 5:15 -10 4

Positions in our table of 20 clubs, before kick-off. Full table

Match facts

Competition
Serie A, Matchday 9
Kick-off
Venue
Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma
Since last match
Parma: 3 days (Serie A)
Udinese: 2 days (Serie A)
Next match
Parma: 5 days (Serie A) later
Udinese: 2 days (Serie A) later

Questions and answers

Parma vs Udinese prediction: who will win?

Our model picks Parma to win, and it is a narrow call. The main reason is home advantage. Our double chance pick is Parma or Udinese (no draw).

What time is Parma vs Udinese and where is it played?

Parma vs Udinese kicks off at 17:30 UK time (17:30 UTC) on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma. It is a Serie A match (Matchday 9).

What is the recent form of Parma and Udinese?

Parma have 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches in all competitions, and have lost their last 3. Udinese have 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats in their last 5 matches in all competitions, and have lost their last 5.

What is the head-to-head record between Parma and Udinese?

Parma and Udinese have met 20 times in our records since 2010: Parma won 9, Udinese won 8 and 3 ended level. Last meeting: 2026-04-18, Udinese 0-1 Parma.

Who is the referee for Parma vs Udinese?

The referee is Davide Massa. In the last 50 matches we have on record, Davide Massa has averaged 3.8 yellow cards per match.

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Times are UTC.