Serie A · Matchday 9

Milan vs Bologna Prediction, Match Preview & Stats

Milan

Bologna

Wednesday 28 October 2026, 17:30 UTC Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano

Our picks

Free picks

Result Free pick Milan win

Model probability Milan 76% Draw 94% Bologna 50%
Double chance Free pick Milan or draw (1X)

Model probability Milan / Draw 35% Milan / Bologna 65% Draw / Bologna 40%
More corners Free pick Milan

Model probability Milan 92% Level 83% Bologna 39%
Yellow cards Free pick Above the league average(league 3.2)

Model probability Over 3.5 87%Over 4.5 66%Over 5.5 12%
Corners Free pick Around the league average(league 9.5)

Model probability Over 8.5 58%Over 9.5 55%Over 10.5 41%
Over 2.5 goals

Model probability 71%

See exactly how confident our model is

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Why this pick?

Our model goes with a Milan win, mainly because it rates Milan clearly stronger than Bologna and clearly above the Serie A average, with home advantage at the Meazza adding to that. Little in the data argues the other way, though Bologna won their last away game at Cagliari and Milan have had only two days since losing 3‑0 at Bournemouth. Milan's unbeaten league run, 16 goals in eight games and 21 wins from 31 meetings with Bologna all point the same direction. The call is a moderate one.

Match summary

Milan vs Bologna is the Matchday 9 fixture in Serie A at the Stadio Giuseppe Meazza on Wednesday 28 October 2026, and our model goes with a Milan win, with Milan win or draw as the double chance.

Latest news

All news

MilanBologna

Gonçalo Ramos says he wants Benfica return and rules out rivals

The Milan forward says he still follows Benfica's day-to-day and would not play for their rivals, calling such a move a betrayal.

27 Oct 2026 AI summary Source: Record
Pulisic signs new Milan contract until 2031

The American attacker has extended his deal with Milan and will stay in Italy until 2031.

27 Oct 2026 AI summary Source: Record
Palladino plans Milan rotation for Monza clash

Palladino is set to rotate his Milan side for the match against Monza, with Skorupski favoured over Pessina and Darmian rested as Heggem comes in. Dovbyk and Odgaard compete for a place in attack.

27 Oct 2026 AI summary Source: Corriere dello Sport
Decisive week for Milan's future

The owner will stay close to the team during a key week, with the new stadium and Krosche as new Head of Football on the agenda.

27 Oct 2026 AI summary Source: Corriere dello Sport

6 more news items

Loftus-Cheek suffers thigh flexor injury in Milan's game against Udinese

The Milan midfielder picked up a flexor injury during the match with Udinese and faces a long spell on the sidelines.

26 Oct 2026 AI summary Source: ANSA
Baresi mural in Milan vandalised again

A mural honouring Milan great Baresi has been defaced for a second time. The artwork had been restored on 10 October after earlier vandalism.

26 Oct 2026 AI summary Source: Corriere dello Sport
Pulisic decisive again as Milan lean on him

The American has contributed two goals and two assists in recent Serie A matches and is a fixed point in the side.

26 Oct 2026 AI summary Source: Corriere dello Sport
Jimenez clashes with San Siro crowd before scoring

The former Milan player had a heated exchange with the San Siro crowd and then scored. Vanoli pulled him away at the end of a fiery finale.

26 Oct 2026 AI summary Source: Corriere dello Sport
Amorim happy with Milan effort after win over Udinese

The Milan coach said he was focused on the players available for the next match following the victory against Udinese.

26 Oct 2026 AI summary Source: Record
Milan beat Udinese 2-0 to bounce back

Milan responded to their European defeat with a calm 2-0 win at Udinese and drew level with Roma in third place.

25 Oct 2026 AI summary Source: Record

Form guide

Milan

W 2-0 at Udinese (A) Serie A · 25 Oct
L 0-3 at AFC Bournemouth (A) Europa League · 22 Oct
W 3-2 vs Atalanta (H) Serie A · 18 Oct
W 4-0 at Salzburg (A) Europa League · 15 Oct
D 1-1 at Sassuolo (A) Serie A · 11 Oct

Bologna

W 2-0 at Cagliari (A) Serie A · 24 Oct
L 1-3 vs Inter (H) Serie A · 17 Oct
W 2-1 at Lecce (A) Serie A · 11 Oct
D 1-1 vs Torino (H) Serie A · 19 Sep
L 0-1 at Napoli (A) Serie A · 13 Sep

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Attack and defence ratings

MilanBologna

Attack 74 53 2.0 goals per match this season1.0 goals per match this season

Defence 68 58 0.9 conceded per match this season1.3 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Serie A clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.

1977Elo #35 Elo rating 1877Elo #70

Head-to-head

21Milan wins

7draws

3Bologna wins

31 meetings since 2010, results after 90 minutes.

3 Feb 2026 · Serie A Bologna 0-3 Milan
14 Sep 2025 · Serie A Milan 1-0 Bologna
14 May 2025 · Coppa Italia Milan 0-1 Bologna
9 May 2025 · Serie A Milan 3-1 Bologna
27 Feb 2025 · Serie A Bologna 2-1 Milan

Serie A so far

Serie A records before the match
#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
4	Milan	8	5	3	0	16:7	+9	18
13	Bologna	8	2	2	4	8:10	-2	8

Positions in our table of 20 clubs, before kick-off. Full table

Match facts

Competition: Serie A, Matchday 9
Kick-off: Wednesday 28 October 2026, 17:30 UTC
Venue: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano
Since last match: Milan: 2 days (Serie A)
Bologna: 4 days (Serie A)
Next match: Milan: 3 days (Serie A) later
Bologna: 2 days (Serie A) later

Questions and answers

Milan vs Bologna prediction: who will win?

Our model picks Milan to win, and it is a call with a fair margin. The main reason is our long-run strength ratings of the two sides. Our double chance pick is Milan or draw.

What time is Milan vs Bologna and where is it played?

Milan vs Bologna kicks off at 17:30 UK time (17:30 UTC) on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano. It is a Serie A match (Matchday 9).

What is the recent form of Milan and Bologna?

Milan have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches in all competitions, and won their latest match. Bologna have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches in all competitions, and won their latest match.

What is the head-to-head record between Milan and Bologna?

Milan and Bologna have met 31 times in our records since 2010: Milan won 21, Bologna won 3 and 7 ended level. Last meeting: 2026-02-03, Bologna 0-3 Milan.

Who is the referee for Milan vs Bologna?

The referee is Juan Luca Sacchi. In the last 50 matches we have on record, Juan Luca Sacchi has averaged 3.7 yellow cards per match.