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Serie A · Matchday 9

Genoa vs Juventus Prediction, Match Preview & Stats

Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris, Genova

Our picks

Free picks
  • Result Free pick Juventus win
    Model probability Genoa 14% Draw 19% Juventus 64%
  • Double chance Free pick Juventus or draw (X2)
    Model probability Genoa / Draw 18% Genoa / Juventus 46% Draw / Juventus 11%
  • More corners Free pick Juventus
    Model probability Genoa 52% Level 35% Juventus 42%
  • Yellow cards Free pick Around the league average(league 3.2)
    Model probability Over 3.5 62%Over 4.5 56%Over 5.5 26%
  • Corners Free pick Around the league average(league 9.5)
    Model probability Over 8.5 93%Over 9.5 16%Over 10.5 13%

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Why this pick?

Juventus are our pick to take the three points, and the main reason is the gap our strength ratings show between the sides: the visitors sit clearly above the Serie A average, Genoa below it. The clearest argument on the other side is simply that Genoa play at home, though our model treats that as a minor consideration. What supports the call is where the hosts' game breaks down — over their last five they have created clearly fewer big chances than the league average — against a Juventus side conceding few shots and even fewer clear openings. The call is a moderate one.

Match summary

Matchday 9 in Serie A brings Genoa vs Juventus to the Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris on Wednesday 28 October 2026, and our model goes with a Juventus win, with Juventus win or draw as the double chance.

Latest news

All news
GenoaJuventus
6 more news items

Form guide

Genoa

  • W 1-0 vs Venezia (H) Serie A · 25 Oct
  • L 0-2 at Roma (A) Serie A · 17 Oct
  • W 2-1 vs Fiorentina (H) Serie A · 10 Oct
  • L 1-2 at Parma (A) Serie A · 20 Sep
  • W 1-0 vs Südtirol (H) Coppa Italia · 15 Sep

Juventus

  • W 2-0 at Lecce (A) Serie A · 25 Oct
  • D 2-2 vs Rennes (H) Europa League · 22 Oct
  • L 0-3 vs Lazio (H) Serie A · 18 Oct
  • W 2-1 at Celta Vigo (A) Europa League · 15 Oct
  • D 1-1 at Cagliari (A) Serie A · 11 Oct

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Attack and defence ratings

GenoaJuventus
Attack 11 84 0.8 goals per match this season1.4 goals per match this season
Defence 53 89 1.6 conceded per match this season1.0 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Serie A clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.

1769Elo #152 Elo rating 1982Elo #32

Head-to-head

4Genoa wins
7draws
21Juventus wins

32 meetings since 2010, results after 90 minutes.

  • 6 Apr 2026 · Serie A Juventus 2-0 Genoa
  • 31 Aug 2025 · Serie A Genoa 0-1 Juventus
  • 29 Mar 2025 · Serie A Juventus 1-0 Genoa
  • 28 Sep 2024 · Serie A Genoa 0-3 Juventus
  • 17 Mar 2024 · Serie A Juventus 0-0 Genoa

Serie A so far

Serie A records before the match
#Team PWDLGoalsGDPts
7 Juventus 8 422 11:8 +3 14
16 Genoa 8 215 6:13 -7 7

Positions in our table of 20 clubs, before kick-off. Full table

Match facts

Competition
Serie A, Matchday 9
Kick-off
Venue
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris, Genova
Since last match
Genoa: 3 days (Serie A)
Juventus: 3 days (Serie A)
Next match
Genoa: 3 days (Serie A) later
Juventus: 4 days (Serie A) later

Questions and answers

Genoa vs Juventus prediction: who will win?

Our model picks Juventus to win, and it is a call with a fair margin. The main reason is our long-run strength ratings of the two sides. Our double chance pick is Juventus or draw.

What time is Genoa vs Juventus and where is it played?

Genoa vs Juventus kicks off at 19:45 UK time (19:45 UTC) on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris, Genova. It is a Serie A match (Matchday 9).

What is the recent form of Genoa and Juventus?

Genoa have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches in all competitions, and won their latest match. Juventus have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches in all competitions, and won their latest match.

What is the head-to-head record between Genoa and Juventus?

Genoa and Juventus have met 32 times in our records since 2010: Genoa won 4, Juventus won 21 and 7 ended level. Last meeting: 2026-04-06, Juventus 2-0 Genoa.

Who is the referee for Genoa vs Juventus?

The referee is Daniele Doveri. In the last 50 matches we have on record, Daniele Doveri has averaged 3.0 yellow cards per match.

More Serie A matches

All fixtures

Times are UTC.