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Serie A · Matchday 9

Monza vs Napoli Prediction, Match Preview & Stats

Monza crest Monza
vs
Napoli crest Napoli
U-Power Stadium, Monza

Our picks

Free picks
  • Result Free pick Napoli win
    Model probability 82% 94% 10%
  • Double chance Free pick Napoli or draw (X2)
    Model probability 23% 59% 80%
  • More corners Free pick Napoli
    Model probability 24% 58% 66%
  • Yellow cards Free pick Above the league average(league 3.2)
    Model probability Over 3.5 87%Over 4.5 86%Over 5.5 33%
  • Corners Free pick Above the league average(league 9.5)
    Model probability Over 8.5 89%Over 9.5 60%Over 10.5 53%

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Why this pick?

Our model backs Napoli because it rates them clearly above the Serie A average while Monza sit below it, and the goal model also reads this matchup in Napoli's favour. The main point on the other side is that Monza play at home, which our model treats as a small edge. What carries the call is the gap in quality: Monza's defence sits at the bottom of our scale and has conceded 18 goals in eight games, while Napoli's recent play shows them creating more than the league average and giving up fewer clear chances. Napoli have also won four of the six meetings. It is a moderate call.

Match summary

Serie A's Matchday 9 brings Monza vs Napoli to the U-Power Stadium on Wednesday 28 October 2026, where our model picks a Napoli win, with Napoli win or draw as the double chance.

Latest news

All news
MonzaNapoli

  1. Juric says Allegri has made Monza more offensive

    Monza coach Juric said Allegri has changed a lot and the team is now much more attacking. He added that Monza must be more aggressive against Roma and mentioned Napoli's strong display.

    AI summary Source: ANSA

6 more news items

  4. Allegri banned for two matches after touchline outburst

    Napoli coach Massimiliano Allegri will miss the next two league games on the bench after his angry reaction against AS Roma last weekend. He was also fined 10,000 euros, and Napoli are appealing.

    AI summary Source: HLN

Form guide

Monza

  • L 2-3 at Torino (A) Serie A · 23 Oct
  • W 4-0 vs Cagliari (H) Serie A · 19 Oct
  • L 1-3 at Lazio (A) Serie A · 11 Oct
  • W 2-1 vs Sassuolo (H) Serie A · 18 Sep
  • L 2-3 at Lecce (A) Serie A · 13 Sep

Napoli

  • D 3-3 vs Roma (H) Serie A · 24 Oct
  • W 4-3 vs Bodø/Glimt (H) Champions League · 20 Oct
  • L 0-1 at Venezia (A) Serie A · 17 Oct
  • L 1-3 at Villarreal (A) Champions League · 13 Oct
  • W 3-0 vs Frosinone (H) Serie A · 10 Oct

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Attack and defence ratings

MonzaNapoli
Attack 21 68 1.9 goals per match this season1.6 goals per match this season
Defence 0 79 2.3 conceded per match this season1.3 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Serie A clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.

1734Elo #191 Elo rating 1977Elo #36

Head-to-head

1Monza wins
1draw
4Napoli wins

6 meetings since 2010, results after 90 minutes.

  • 19 Apr 2025 · Serie A Monza 0-1 Napoli
  • 29 Sep 2024 · Serie A Napoli 2-0 Monza
  • 7 Apr 2024 · Serie A Monza 2-4 Napoli
  • 29 Dec 2023 · Serie A Napoli 0-0 Monza
  • 14 May 2023 · Serie A Monza 2-0 Napoli

Serie A so far

#Team PWDLGoalsGDPts
10 Napoli 8 323 13:10 +3 11
15 Monza 8 215 15:18 -3 7

Positions in our table of 20 clubs, before kick-off. Full table

Match facts

Competition
Serie A, Matchday 9
Kick-off
Venue
U-Power Stadium, Monza
Since last match
Monza: 5 days (Serie A)
Napoli: 4 days (Serie A)
Next match
Monza: 2 days (Serie A) later
Napoli: 4 days (Serie A) later

Questions and answers

Monza vs Napoli prediction: who will win?

Our model picks Napoli to win, and it is a call with a fair margin. The main reason is our long-run strength ratings of the two sides. Our double chance pick is Napoli or draw.

What time is Monza vs Napoli and where is it played?

Monza vs Napoli kicks off at 19:45 UK time (19:45 UTC) on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at U-Power Stadium, Monza. It is a Serie A match (Matchday 9).

What is the recent form of Monza and Napoli?

Monza have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches in all competitions, and lost their latest match. Napoli have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches in all competitions, and drew their latest match.

What is the head-to-head record between Monza and Napoli?

Monza and Napoli have met 6 times in our records since 2010: Monza won 1, Napoli won 4 and 1 ended level. Last meeting: 2025-04-19, Monza 0-1 Napoli.

Who is the referee for Monza vs Napoli?

The referee is Giovanni Ayroldi. In the last 50 matches we have on record, Giovanni Ayroldi has averaged 5.1 yellow cards per match.

More Serie A matches

All fixtures

Times are UTC.