OptimaGoal
EN
Europa League · League phase, matchday 5

Olympiacos vs Milan: Match Preview & Stats

Olympiacos crest Olympiacos
vs
Milan crest Milan
Stadio Georgios Karaiskákis, Pireás (Piraeus)

Our picks

Model predictions are published 48 hours before kick-off

To take in the latest form and rest days, the predictions for this match come out on . (If either team plays another match in between, they come out once that match is over.)

See today's ready predictions →

Our record

  • Olympiacos: 1 of 3 right
  • Milan: 5 of 9 right

Our result picks in each club's earlier matches on this site.

Match facts

Competition
Europa League, League phase, matchday 5
Kick-off
Venue
Stadio Georgios Karaiskákis, Pireás (Piraeus)
Since last match
Olympiacos: 4 days (Super League 1) · Rennes (0‑0) Milan: 4 days (Serie A) · Frosinone
Next match
Olympiacos: 2 days (Super League 1) later Milan: 4 days (Serie A) later

Last starting XI

Olympiacos 4-2-3-1

  1. 1 Ortega
  2. 2 Saliakas
  3. 45 Retsos
  4. 6 Carmo
  5. 70 Onyemaechi
  6. 32 Hezze
  7. 15 Puerta
  8. 17 Bailey
  9. 8 Sá
  10. 7 Fortounis
  11. 34 González

Coach: Imanol Alguacil at Rennes, 0-0 · Europa League · 4 Nov

Milan 3-4-3

  1. 16 Maignan
  2. 34 Gila
  3. 5 De Winter
  4. 13 Diawara
  5. 19 Moreira
  6. 10 Modrić
  7. 14 Rabiot
  8. 80 Musah
  9. 11 Pulisic
  10. 9 Ramos
  11. 70 Cissè

Coach: Ruben Amorim at Genoa, 2-1 · Serie A · 8 Nov

Our predicted line-ups come with our picks, 48 hours before kick-off. Until then: each club's last starting XI.

Injuries and suspensions

Olympiacos

  • MF Santiago HezzeInjured · Doubtful
  • FW Ayoub El KaabiInjured · Out for the season
  • – Yusuf YaziciInjured · Late January 2027

Milan

  • GK Pietro TerraccianoInjured · Doubtful
  • DF Fikayo TomoriInjured · Doubtful
  • DF Matteo GabbiaInjured · Early January 2027
  • DF Strahinja PavlovićInjured · About 1-2 weeks
  • MF Alexis SaelemaekersInjured · Mid January 2027
  • MF Ruben Loftus-CheekInjured · Doubtful
  • FW Samuel ChukwuezeInjured · Mid January 2027

Players listed as injured, suspended or away with their national team, with their expected return.

Missing Players Impact

Olympiacos

Moderate impact
Missing attack share 7.0%
Missing minutes share 7.0%
3 players out 1 regular starter out
Key absences:
  • MF Santiago Hezze 7% attack · 7% mins

Milan

Moderate impact
Missing attack share 10.0%
Missing minutes share 14.0%
7 players out 2 regular starters out
Key absences:
  • DF Strahinja Pavlović 3% attack · 6% mins

Share of team playing time and attacking output over the last 10 matches accounted for by unavailable players.

Tactical Profile & Play Quality (0–100)

Olympiacos Milan
Box & Territory Pressure 69 41
Set-Piece & Corner Threat 87 32
Finishing Efficiency 15 84
Defensive & Goalkeeper Wall 90 78
Underlying Play Power 78 56
Olympiacos Playing above results (positive regression candidate)
Milan Results above play quality (running hot)

OptimaGoal 0–100 performance indices built from the last 10 matches before kick-off.

Game-State Scenarios & Goal Timing

Olympiacos

When scoring first 83% won · 83% unbeaten (6 matches)
When conceding first 50% points rescued · 50% won (2 matches)
1st Half: 42% 2nd Half: 58%
First 15': 17% Last 15' (76-90'): 33%

Milan

When scoring first 80% won · 100% unbeaten (10 matches)
When conceding first 20% points rescued · 0% won (5 matches)
1st Half: 48% 2nd Half: 52%
First 15': 26% Last 15' (76-90'): 4%

Reaction to scoring or conceding first and goal distribution across the last 15 matches.

Key Attacking Threats

Olympiacos

  1. 1. FW Jota Silva 0G · 0A
    Team attack 14.0% Team shots 24.0%
  2. 2. MF Chiquinho 0G · 1A
    Team attack 12.0% Team shots 4.0%
  3. 3. FW Armando González 1G · 0A
    Team attack 11.0% Team shots 11.0%

Milan

  1. 1. MF Adrien Rabiot 4G · 3A
    Team attack 14.0% Team shots 10.0%
  2. 2. FW Christian Pulisic 4G · 0A
    Team attack 13.0% Team shots 11.0%
  3. 3. MF Alphadjo Cissè 6G · 0A
    Team attack 13.0% Team shots 10.0%

Top available players by share of team attacking production and shot volume over the last 10 matches.

Olympiacos Milan
Over 1.5 goals 5/10 10/10
Over 2.5 goals 3/10 7/10
Over 3.5 goals 2/10 4/10
Both teams scored 3/10 5/10
Clean sheet 7/10 3/10
Failed to score 1/10 2/10
Goals per match (scored / conceded) 1.7 / 0.4 2.0 / 1.4

Last 10 matches, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Form guide

Olympiacos

  • D 1-1 vs PAOK Thessaloniki (H) Super League 1 · 8 Nov
  • D 0-0 at Rennes (A) Europa League · 4 Nov
  • W 3-2 at Kifisia FC (A) Super League 1 · 31 Oct
  • W 5-0 vs Kalamata (H) Super League 1 · 25 Oct
  • W 1-0 vs Sparta Prague (H) Europa League · 22 Oct

Milan

  • W 2-1 at Genoa (A) Serie A · 8 Nov
  • L 0-2 vs Ferencváros (H) Europa League · 5 Nov
  • W 3-1 vs Inter (H) Serie A · 31 Oct
  • L 2-4 vs Bologna (H) Serie A · 28 Oct
  • W 2-0 at Udinese (A) Serie A · 25 Oct

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

When the goals come

ScoredConceded

Olympiacos

Milan

Goals in each 15-minute period, Europa League this season. Stoppage time counts with its half.

Top scorers

Olympiacos

Player G A
Armando González 1 0
Roman Yaremchuk 1 0
Santiago Hezze 1 0

Milan

Player G A
Alphadjo Cissè 3 0
Gonçalo Ramos 1 0

Goals and assists in the Europa League this season.

Corners and yellow cards

Olympiacos Milan
  • 7.8 Corners won 4.5
  • 3.8 Corners conceded 3.5
  • 1.5 Yellow cards 1.8
  • 2.5 Opponents' yellow cards 2.2

Per match in the Europa League this season. Average per club and match: 4.7 corners, 1.9 yellow cards.

Attack and defence ratings

OlympiacosMilan
Attack 31 80 1.0 goals per match this season1.0 goals per match this season
Defence 100 74 0.3 conceded per match this season1.8 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Europa League clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.

1938Elo #50 Elo rating 1967Elo #38

Head-to-head

1Olympiacos wins
0draws
1Milan wins

2 meetings since 2010, results after 90 minutes.

  • 13 Dec 2018 · Europa League Olympiacos 3-1 Milan
  • 4 Oct 2018 · Europa League Milan 3-1 Olympiacos

Table

#Team PWDLGoalsGDPts
1 Benfica 4 400 13:3 +10 12
2 AFC Bournemouth 4 400 11:2 +9 12
3 Ferencváros 4 400 11:3 +8 12
4 Union St.Gilloise 4 310 10:2 +8 10
5 Juventus 4 310 11:4 +7 10
6 Olympiacos 4 310 4:1 +3 10
7 Bayer Leverkusen 4 301 8:1 +7 9
8 Beşiktaş 4 211 11:8 +3 7
9 Dinamo Zagreb 4 211 5:4 +1 7
10 Levski Sofia 4 211 4:3 +1 7
11 Sunderland 4 211 4:4 0 7
12 NEC Nijmegen 4 211 8:9 -1 7
13 Lyon 4 211 6:7 -1 7
14 AZ Alkmaar 4 202 7:4 +3 6
15 Anderlecht 4 202 6:3 +3 6
16 OFI Crete 4 202 5:4 +1 6
17 Rennes 4 130 4:3 +1 6
18 Omonia Nicosia 4 202 6:7 -1 6
19 Torreense 4 202 7:9 -2 6
20 Real Sociedad 4 121 9:4 +5 5
21 Crystal Palace 4 121 9:6 +3 5
22 Hoffenheim 4 112 6:6 0 4
23 Sparta Prague 4 112 6:6 0 4
24 Sturm Graz 4 112 3:6 -3 4
25 NK Celje 4 112 5:9 -4 4
26 Salzburg 4 112 3:8 -5 4
27 Celta Vigo 4 103 4:6 -2 3
28 Jagiellonia Białystok 4 103 4:7 -3 3
29 Milan 4 103 4:7 -3 3
30 Viktoria Plzeň 4 103 3:7 -4 3
31 Marseille 4 103 2:6 -4 3
32 Celtic 4 103 6:11 -5 3
33 Hapoel Beer Sheva 4 013 1:8 -7 1
34 Lillestrøm 4 013 2:10 -8 1
35 Lech Poznań 4 013 2:12 -10 1
36 Ararat Armenia 4 004 4:14 -10 0

Our table from the results; the two clubs of this match are highlighted. Full table

Season projection

Members

Where these two clubs are projected to finish in the Europa League: average points, likely range and chances.

ClubPts Avg ptsLikely Top 8Play-off round Win it
Olympiacos 10
Milan 3

For members

Every club's chance of every place, from our simulated seasons, updated daily.

Become a member

Every Europa League club's projection →

More Europa League matches

All fixtures

Times are UTC.