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UEFA Nations League · League A, Matchday 6

Denmark vs Norway: Match Preview & Stats

Parken, København

Our picks

Model predictions are published 48 hours before kick-off

To take in the latest form and rest days, the predictions for this match come out on . (If either team plays another match in between, they come out once that match is over.)

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Match facts

Competition
UEFA Nations League, League A, Matchday 6
Kick-off
Venue
Parken, København
Since last match
Denmark: 3 days (UEFA Nations League) · Portugal Norway: 3 days (UEFA Nations League) · Wales
Next match
Denmark: not scheduled yet Norway: not scheduled yet

Last starting XI

Denmark 4-4-2

  1. 16 Hermansen
  2. 13 Kristensen
  3. 2 Andersen
  4. 3 Provstgaard
  5. 5 Mæhle
  6. 8 Isaksen
  7. 21 Hjulmand
  8. 23 Højbjerg
  9. 20 Daramy
  10. 9 Højlund
  11. 7 Froholdt

Coach: Brian Riemer at Wales, 1-0 · UEFA Nations League · 4 Oct

Norway 4-3-3

  1. 13 Selvik
  2. 7 Aursnes
  3. 3 Ajer
  4. 4 Østigard
  5. 5 Wolfe
  6. 10 Ødegaard
  7. 8 Berge
  8. 6 Berg
  9. 21 Schjelderup
  10. 9 Haaland
  11. 20 Nusa

Coach: Ståle Solbakken at Portugal, 1-2 · UEFA Nations League · 4 Oct

Our predicted line-ups come with our picks, 48 hours before kick-off. Until then: each club's last starting XI.

Injuries and suspensions

Denmark

No absences reported.

Norway

  • DF Sondre Klingen LangåsInjured · Early January 2027

Players listed as injured, suspended or away with their national team, with their expected return.

Missing Players Impact

Denmark

Low impact

Full squad available — no listed absences

Norway

Low impact
Missing attack share 0.0%
Missing minutes share 1.0%
1 player out

Share of team playing time and attacking output over the last 10 matches accounted for by unavailable players.

Tactical Profile & Play Quality (0–100)

Denmark Norway
Box & Territory Pressure 73 53
Set-Piece & Corner Threat 72 62
Finishing Efficiency 86 78
Defensive & Goalkeeper Wall 28 35
Underlying Play Power 70 56
Denmark Balanced (results match underlying play)
Norway Balanced (results match underlying play)

OptimaGoal 0–100 performance indices built from the last 10 matches before kick-off.

Game-State Scenarios & Goal Timing

Denmark

When scoring first 88% won · 100% unbeaten (8 matches)
When conceding first 20% points rescued · 0% won (5 matches)
1st Half: 35% 2nd Half: 65%
First 15': 6% Last 15' (76-90'): 19%

Norway

When scoring first 73% won · 82% unbeaten (11 matches)
When conceding first 33% points rescued · 33% won (3 matches)
1st Half: 42% 2nd Half: 58%
First 15': 9% Last 15' (76-90'): 28%

Reaction to scoring or conceding first and goal distribution across the last 15 matches.

Key Attacking Threats

Denmark

  1. 1. MF Mikkel Damsgaard 5G · 4A
    Team attack 17.0% Team shots 11.0%
  2. 2. FW Rasmus Højlund 5G · 0A
    Team attack 16.0% Team shots 17.0%
  3. 3. FW Gustav Isaksen 4G · 0A
    Team attack 14.0% Team shots 17.0%

Norway

  1. 1. FW Erling Haaland 10G · 0A
    Team attack 26.0% Team shots 31.0%
  2. 2. MF Martin Ødegaard 0G · 8A
    Team attack 15.0% Team shots 13.0%
  3. 3. FW Andreas Schjelderup 1G · 3A
    Team attack 9.0% Team shots 7.0%

Top available players by share of team attacking production and shot volume over the last 10 matches.

Scoring trends Denmark Norway
Over 1.5 goals 8/10 10/10
Over 2.5 goals 6/10 9/10
Over 3.5 goals 6/10 4/10
Both teams scored 6/10 10/10
Clean sheet 4/10 0/10
Failed to score 1/10 0/10
Goals per match (scored / conceded) 1.9 / 1.5 1.9 / 1.8

Last 10 matches, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Form guide

Denmark

  • W 1-0 at Wales (A) UEFA Nations League · 4 Oct
  • L 2-4 vs Portugal (H) UEFA Nations League · 1 Oct
  • W 2-0 vs Wales (H) UEFA Nations League · 27 Sep
  • L 2-3 at Norway (A) UEFA Nations League · 24 Sep
  • D 0-0 at DR Congo (A) Friendlies · 3 Jun

Norway

  • L 1-2 at Portugal (A) UEFA Nations League · 4 Oct
  • L 1-2 at Wales (A) UEFA Nations League · 1 Oct
  • L 1-2 vs Portugal (H) UEFA Nations League · 27 Sep
  • W 3-2 vs Denmark (H) UEFA Nations League · 24 Sep
  • D 1-1 vs England (N) World Cup · 11 Jul

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

When the goals come

ScoredConceded

Denmark

  • 1-15 minutes: 0 scored, 2 conceded
  • 16-30 minutes: 2 scored, 2 conceded
  • 31-45 minutes: 0 scored, 0 conceded
  • 46-60 minutes: 3 scored, 0 conceded
  • 61-75 minutes: 2 scored, 2 conceded
  • 76-90 minutes: 0 scored, 1 conceded

Norway

  • 1-15 minutes: 2 scored, 0 conceded
  • 16-30 minutes: 1 scored, 2 conceded
  • 31-45 minutes: 1 scored, 2 conceded
  • 46-60 minutes: 1 scored, 3 conceded
  • 61-75 minutes: 1 scored, 0 conceded
  • 76-90 minutes: 0 scored, 1 conceded

Goals in each 15-minute period, UEFA Nations League this season. Stoppage time counts with its half.

Top scorers

Denmark

Player G A
Rasmus Højlund (1 pen) 3 0
Mikkel Damsgaard 2 1
Gustav Isaksen 1 0

Norway

Player G A
Erling Haaland 3 0
Oscar Bobb 2 0
Kristoffer Ajer 1 0

Goals and assists in the UEFA Nations League this season.

Corners and yellow cards

Denmark Norway
  • 3.8 Corners won 4.5
  • 4.5 Corners conceded 4.5
  • 1.5 Yellow cards 1.0
  • 1.5 Opponents' yellow cards 3.5

Per match in the UEFA Nations League this season. Average per club and match: 4.5 corners, 1.8 yellow cards.

Attack and defence ratings

DenmarkNorway
Attack 81 96
Defence 83 79

0 to 100 against this season's UEFA Nations League clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.

2044Elo #11 Elo rating 2023Elo #12

Head-to-head

1Denmark wins
1draw
1Norway wins

3 meetings since 2010, results after 90 minutes.

  • 24 Sep 2026 · UEFA Nations League Norway 3-2 Denmark
  • 6 Sep 2011 · EURO Qualification Denmark 2-0 Norway
  • 26 Mar 2011 · EURO Qualification Norway 1-1 Denmark

Table

League A - Group 4

UEFA Nations League: League A - Group 4
#Team PWDLGoalsGDPts
1 Portugal 4 400 9:4 +5 12
2 Denmark 4 202 7:7 0 6
3 Norway 4 103 6:8 -2 3
4 Wales 4 103 2:5 -3 3

Our table from the results; the two clubs of this match are highlighted. Full table

More UEFA Nations League matches

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Times are UTC.