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UEFA Nations League · League B, Matchday 6

Poland vs Sweden: Match Preview & Stats

Poland crest Poland
vs
Sweden crest Sweden
Tarczyński Arena, Wrocław

Our picks

Model predictions are published 48 hours before kick-off

To take in the latest form and rest days, the predictions for this match come out on . (If either team plays another match in between, they come out once that match is over.)

See today's ready predictions →

Match facts

Competition
UEFA Nations League, League B, Matchday 6
Kick-off
Venue
Tarczyński Arena, Wrocław
Since last match
Poland: 3 days (UEFA Nations League) · Romania Sweden: 3 days (UEFA Nations League) · Bosnia and Herzegovina
Next match
Poland: not scheduled yet Sweden: not scheduled yet

Last starting XI

Poland 4-2-3-1

  1. 1 Bułka
  2. 2 Cash
  3. 5 Bednarek
  4. 14 Kiwior
  5. 19 Frankowski
  6. 10 Zieliński
  7. 16 Nowak
  8. 11 Świderski
  9. 20 Szymański
  10. 21 Zalewski
  11. 9 Żukowski

Coach: Jan Urban at Bosnia and Herzegovina, 0-1 · UEFA Nations League B · 5 Oct

Sweden 4-4-2

  1. 12 Johansson
  2. 2 Beijmo
  3. 4 Smith
  4. 3 Lindelöf
  5. 5 Gudmundsson
  6. 21 Bernhardsson
  7. 7 Bergvall
  8. 16 Karlström
  9. 19 Nanasi
  10. 22 Zeneli
  11. 17 Gyökeres

Coach: Graham Potter at Romania, 1-0 · UEFA Nations League B · 5 Oct

Our predicted line-ups come with our picks, 48 hours before kick-off. Until then: each club's last starting XI.

Injuries and suspensions

Poland

  • DF Przemysław FrankowskiInjured · Doubtful
  • MF Marcel RegułaInjured · Doubtful
  • MF Piotr ZielińskiInjured · Doubtful

Sweden

No absences reported.

Players listed as injured, suspended or away with their national team, with their expected return.

Missing Players Impact

Poland

Moderate impact
Missing attack share 19.0%
Missing minutes share 11.0%
3 players out 1 regular starter out
Key absences:
  • MF Piotr Zieliński 16% attack · 8% mins

Sweden

Low impact

Full squad available — no listed absences

Share of team playing time and attacking output over the last 8 matches accounted for by unavailable players.

Tactical Profile & Play Quality (0–100)

Poland Sweden
Box & Territory Pressure 59 42
Set-Piece & Corner Threat 44 56
Finishing Efficiency 64 87
Defensive & Goalkeeper Wall 69 61
Underlying Play Power 62 53
Poland Balanced (results match underlying play)
Sweden Balanced (results match underlying play)

OptimaGoal 0–100 performance indices built from the last 8 matches before kick-off.

Game-State Scenarios & Goal Timing

Poland

When scoring first 86% won · 100% unbeaten (7 matches)
When conceding first 29% points rescued · 14% won (7 matches)
1st Half: 35% 2nd Half: 65%
First 15': 4% Last 15' (76-90'): 15%

Sweden

When scoring first 86% won · 100% unbeaten (7 matches)
When conceding first 25% points rescued · 0% won (8 matches)
1st Half: 45% 2nd Half: 55%
First 15': 18% Last 15' (76-90'): 18%

Reaction to scoring or conceding first and goal distribution across the last 15 matches.

Key Attacking Threats

Poland

  1. 1. FW Robert Lewandowski 5G · 2A
    Team attack 18.0% Team shots 15.0%
  2. 2. MF Nicola Zalewski 1G · 3A
    Team attack 12.0% Team shots 7.0%
  3. 3. MF Sebastian Szymański 1G · 3A
    Team attack 11.0% Team shots 7.0%

Sweden

  1. 1. FW Viktor Gyökeres 5G · 2A
    Team attack 25.0% Team shots 25.0%
  2. 2. FW Alexander Isak 2G · 3A
    Team attack 13.0% Team shots 12.0%
  3. 3. MF Yasin Ayari 3G · 1A
    Team attack 11.0% Team shots 11.0%

Top available players by share of team attacking production and shot volume over the last 10 matches.

Poland Sweden
Over 1.5 goals 8/10 9/10
Over 2.5 goals 6/10 7/10
Over 3.5 goals 5/10 5/10
Both teams scored 6/10 8/10
Clean sheet 2/10 1/10
Failed to score 3/10 1/10
Goals per match (scored / conceded) 1.7 / 1.5 1.7 / 1.8

Last 10 matches, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Form guide

Poland

  • L 0-1 at Bosnia and Herzegovina (A) UEFA Nations League · 5 Oct
  • W 6-0 vs Romania (H) UEFA Nations League · 2 Oct
  • L 1-3 at Sweden (A) UEFA Nations League · 28 Sep
  • D 0-0 vs Bosnia and Herzegovina (H) UEFA Nations League · 25 Sep
  • D 2-2 vs Nigeria (H) Friendlies · 3 Jun

Sweden

  • W 1-0 at Romania (A) UEFA Nations League · 5 Oct
  • D 1-1 at Bosnia and Herzegovina (A) UEFA Nations League · 2 Oct
  • W 3-1 vs Poland (H) UEFA Nations League · 28 Sep
  • W 2-1 vs Romania (H) UEFA Nations League · 25 Sep
  • L 0-3 vs France (N) World Cup · 30 Jun

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

When the goals come

ScoredConceded

Poland

Sweden

Goals in each 15-minute period, UEFA Nations League this season. Stoppage time counts with its half.

Top scorers

Poland

Player G A
Robert Lewandowski (1 pen) 3 0
Sebastian Szymański 1 1
Jan Bednarek 1 0
Piotr Zieliński 1 0

Sweden

Player G A
Viktor Gyökeres 4 0
Yasin Ayari 1 1
Alexander Isak 1 0
Benjamin Nygren 1 0

Goals and assists in the UEFA Nations League this season.

Corners and yellow cards

Poland Sweden
  • 5.5 Corners won 2.8
  • 2.5 Corners conceded 3.2
  • 2.8 Yellow cards 0.8
  • 3.0 Opponents' yellow cards 3.0

Per match in the UEFA Nations League this season. Average per club and match: 3.7 corners, 2.0 yellow cards.

Attack and defence ratings

PolandSweden
Attack 66 79
Defence 49 43

0 to 100 against this season's UEFA Nations League clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.

1885Elo #27 Elo rating 1903Elo #25

Head-to-head

1Poland wins
0draws
3Sweden wins

4 meetings since 2010, results after 90 minutes.

  • 28 Sep 2026 · UEFA Nations League Sweden 3-1 Poland
  • 31 Mar 2026 · World Cup Qualification UEFA Sweden 3-2 Poland
  • 29 Mar 2022 · World Cup Qualification UEFA Poland 2-0 Sweden
  • 23 Jun 2021 · EURO Sweden 3-2 Poland

Table

League B - Group 4

#Team PWDLGoalsGDPts
1 Sweden 4 310 7:3 +4 10
2 Bosnia and Herzegovina 4 220 6:3 +3 8
3 Poland 4 112 7:4 +3 4
4 Romania 4 004 3:13 -10 0

Our table from the results; the two clubs of this match are highlighted. Full table

More UEFA Nations League matches

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Times are UTC.