UEFA Nations League · League C, Matchday 6 
Finland vs San Marino: Match Preview & Stats
Our picks
Model predictions are published 48 hours before kick-off
To take in the latest form and rest days, the predictions for this match come out on . (If either team plays another match in between, they come out once that match is over.)
See today's ready predictions →Match facts
- Competition
- UEFA Nations League, League C, Matchday 6
- Kick-off
- Venue
- Bolt Arena, Helsinki
- Since last match
Finland: 2 days (UEFA Nations League) · Albania (2‑0) 
San Marino: 2 days (UEFA Nations League) · Belarus (0‑2)- Next match
- Finland: not scheduled yet San Marino: not scheduled yet
Last starting XI
Finland 4-1-4-1
- 1 Hrádecky
- 3 Ståhl
- 5 Tenho
- 21 Koski
- 17 Mahuta
- 11 Markhiev
- 7 Antman
- 9 Jensen
- 10 Walta
- 18 Keskinen
- 19 Källman
Coach: Jacob Friis 
at Albania, 0-2 · UEFA Nations League C · 12 Nov
San Marino 4-3-1-2
- 1 Colombo
- 2 Benvenuti
- 15 Pasolini
- 4 Fabbri
- 3 Giocondi
- 18 Della Balda
- 8 Capicchioni
- 10 Zannoni
- 21 Lazzari
- 7 Capicchioni
- 9 Nanni
Coach: Roberto Cevoli 
vs Belarus, 0-2 · UEFA Nations League C · 12 Nov
Our predicted line-ups come with our picks, 48 hours before kick-off. Until then: each club's last starting XI.
Injuries and suspensions
Finland
- DF Miro TenhoSuspended · Mid November 2026
San Marino
No absences reported.
Players listed as injured, suspended or away with their national team, with their expected return.
Missing Players Impact
Finland
Moderate impact San Marino
Low impact Full squad available — no listed absences
Share of team playing time and attacking output over the last 6 matches accounted for by unavailable players.
Tactical Profile & Play Quality (0–100)
Finland San Marino Finland Playing above results (positive regression candidate) San Marino Playing above results (positive regression candidate) OptimaGoal 0–100 performance indices built from the last 6 matches before kick-off.
Game-State Scenarios & Goal Timing
Finland
San Marino
Reaction to scoring or conceding first and goal distribution across the last 15 matches.
Key Attacking Threats
Finland
- 1. MF Leo Walta 4G · 1ATeam attack 23.0% Team shots 20.0%
- 2. FW Joel Pohjanpalo 3G · 0ATeam attack 17.0% Team shots 16.0%
- 3. FW Adrian Svanbäck 1G · 2ATeam attack 10.0% Team shots 6.0%
San Marino
- 1. MF Lorenzo Capicchioni 0G · 1ATeam attack 16.0% Team shots 27.0%
- 2. FW Nicola Nanni 0G · 0ATeam attack 14.0% Team shots 18.0%
- 3. MF Lorenzo Lazzari 1G · 0ATeam attack 14.0% Team shots 9.0%
Top available players by share of team attacking production and shot volume over the last 10 matches.
Scoring trends
| Scoring trends | Finland | San Marino |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 | 9/10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 4/10 | 8/10 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2/10 | 3/10 |
| Both teams scored | 3/10 | 5/10 |
| Clean sheet | 3/10 | 1/10 |
| Failed to score | 5/10 | 5/10 |
| Goals per match (scored / conceded) | 1.3 / 1.2 | 0.5 / 3.1 |
Last 10 matches, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.
Form guide
Finland
- L 0-2 at Albania (A) UEFA Nations League · 12 Nov
- L 0-1 vs Belarus (N) UEFA Nations League · 6 Oct
- W 2-1 vs Albania (H) UEFA Nations League · 3 Oct
- D 0-0 vs Belarus (H) UEFA Nations League · 29 Sep
- W 7-0 at San Marino (A) UEFA Nations League · 26 Sep
San Marino
- L 0-2 vs Belarus (H) UEFA Nations League · 12 Nov
- L 1-2 at Albania (A) UEFA Nations League · 6 Oct
- L 0-4 vs Belarus (N) UEFA Nations League · 3 Oct
- L 0-3 vs Albania (H) UEFA Nations League · 29 Sep
- L 0-7 vs Finland (H) UEFA Nations League · 26 Sep
Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.
When the goals come
Finland
- 1-15 minutes: 2 scored, 2 conceded
- 16-30 minutes: 1 scored, 0 conceded
- 31-45 minutes: 1 scored, 1 conceded
- 46-60 minutes: 2 scored, 1 conceded
- 61-75 minutes: 1 scored, 0 conceded
- 76-90 minutes: 2 scored, 0 conceded
San Marino
- 1-15 minutes: 0 scored, 4 conceded
- 16-30 minutes: 0 scored, 3 conceded
- 31-45 minutes: 0 scored, 1 conceded
- 46-60 minutes: 0 scored, 3 conceded
- 61-75 minutes: 1 scored, 3 conceded
- 76-90 minutes: 0 scored, 4 conceded
Goals in each 15-minute period, UEFA Nations League this season. Stoppage time counts with its half.
Top scorers
Finland
| Player | G | A |
|---|---|---|
| Leo Walta | 4 | 1 |
| Joel Pohjanpalo (1 pen) | 3 | 0 |
| Adrian Svanbäck | 1 | 2 |
| Benjamin Källman | 1 | 0 |
San Marino
| Player | G | A |
|---|---|---|
| Lorenzo Lazzari | 1 | 0 |
Goals and assists in the UEFA Nations League this season.
Corners and yellow cards
Finland San Marino - 4.8 Corners won 2.4
- 2.8 Corners conceded 6.4
- 1.6 Yellow cards 2.8
- 2.4 Opponents' yellow cards 1.2
Per match in the UEFA Nations League this season. Average per club and match: 5.0 corners, 2.0 yellow cards.
Attack and defence ratings
FinlandSan Marino0 to 100 against this season's UEFA Nations League clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.
Head-to-head
5Finland wins0San Marino wins5 meetings since 2010, results after 90 minutes.
- 26 Sep 2026 · UEFA Nations League San Marino 0-7 Finland
- 20 Nov 2023 · EURO Qualification San Marino 1-2 Finland
- 19 Jun 2023 · EURO Qualification Finland 6-0 San Marino
- 3 Jun 2011 · EURO Qualification San Marino 0-1 Finland
- 17 Nov 2010 · EURO Qualification Finland 8-0 San Marino
Table
League C - Group 1
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Albania | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10:3 | +7 | 12 |
| 2 | Belarus | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7:2 | +5 | 10 |
| 3 | Finland | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:4 | +5 | 7 |
| 4 | San Marino | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1:18 | -17 | 0 |
Our table from the results; the two clubs of this match are highlighted. Full table
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Times are UTC.