OptimaGoal
EN
UEFA Nations League · League C, Matchday 6

Iceland vs Luxembourg: Match Preview & Stats

Iceland crest Iceland
vs
Luxembourg crest Luxembourg
Laugardalsvöllur, Reykjavík

Our picks

Model predictions are published 48 hours before kick-off

To take in the latest form and rest days, the predictions for this match come out on . (If either team plays another match in between, they come out once that match is over.)

See today's ready predictions →

Match facts

Competition
UEFA Nations League, League C, Matchday 6
Kick-off
Venue
Laugardalsvöllur, Reykjavík
Since last match
Iceland: 2 days (UEFA Nations League) · Bulgaria Luxembourg: 2 days (UEFA Nations League) · Estonia
Next match
Iceland: not scheduled yet Luxembourg: not scheduled yet

Last starting XI

Iceland 4-2-3-1

  1. 12 Valdimarsson
  2. 4 Pálsson
  3. 16 Thórdarson
  4. 23 Magnusson
  5. 3 Grétarsson
  6. 10 Sigurðsson
  7. 8 Jóhannesson
  8. 7 Haraldsson
  9. 22 Guðjohnsen
  10. 18 Anderson
  11. 9 Óskarsson

Coach: Arnar Gunnlaugsson at Estonia, 0-0 · UEFA Nations League C · 6 Oct

Luxembourg 4-2-3-1

  1. 1 Moris
  2. 4 Bohnert
  3. 5 Selimović
  4. 13 Carlson
  5. 14 Veiga
  6. 6 Cruz
  7. 8 Duarte
  8. 15 Natami
  9. 11 Thill
  10. 17 Kadamani
  11. 9 Videira

Coach: Jeff Strasser vs Bulgaria, 0-2 · UEFA Nations League C · 6 Oct

Our predicted line-ups come with our picks, 48 hours before kick-off. Until then: each club's last starting XI.

Injuries and suspensions

Iceland

  • MF Mikael AndersonInjured · Mid November 2026

Luxembourg

No absences reported.

Players listed as injured, suspended or away with their national team, with their expected return.

Missing Players Impact

Iceland

Moderate impact
Missing attack share 4.0%
Missing minutes share 4.0%
1 player out 1 regular starter out
Key absences:
  • MF Mikael Anderson 4% attack · 4% mins

Luxembourg

Low impact

Full squad available — no listed absences

Share of team playing time and attacking output over the last 8 matches accounted for by unavailable players.

Tactical Profile & Play Quality (0–100)

Iceland Luxembourg
Box & Territory Pressure 51 35
Set-Piece & Corner Threat 60 28
Finishing Efficiency 48 32
Defensive & Goalkeeper Wall 90 83
Underlying Play Power 68 38
Iceland Results above play quality (running hot)
Luxembourg Balanced (results match underlying play)

OptimaGoal 0–100 performance indices built from the last 8 matches before kick-off.

Game-State Scenarios & Goal Timing

Iceland

When scoring first 45% won · 64% unbeaten (11 matches)
When conceding first 0% points rescued · 0% won (3 matches)
1st Half: 52% 2nd Half: 48%
First 15': 15% Last 15' (76-90'): 11%

Luxembourg

When scoring first 100% won · 100% unbeaten (2 matches)
When conceding first 23% points rescued · 8% won (13 matches)
1st Half: 27% 2nd Half: 73%
First 15': 0% Last 15' (76-90'): 18%

Reaction to scoring or conceding first and goal distribution across the last 15 matches.

Key Attacking Threats

Iceland

  1. 1. FW Orri Óskarsson 3G · 2A
    Team attack 23.0% Team shots 20.0%
  2. 2. FW Andri Guðjohnsen 2G · 1A
    Team attack 16.0% Team shots 11.0%
  3. 3. MF Hákon Arnar Haraldsson 0G · 2A
    Team attack 10.0% Team shots 8.0%

Luxembourg

  1. 1. FW Vincent Thill 3G · 0A
    Team attack 17.0% Team shots 15.0%
  2. 2. FW Danel Sinani 1G · 1A
    Team attack 16.0% Team shots 16.0%
  3. 3. MF Leandro Barreiro 1G · 1A
    Team attack 10.0% Team shots 4.0%

Top available players by share of team attacking production and shot volume over the last 10 matches.

Iceland Luxembourg
Over 1.5 goals 8/10 6/10
Over 2.5 goals 5/10 3/10
Over 3.5 goals 2/10 0/10
Both teams scored 3/10 1/10
Clean sheet 3/10 3/10
Failed to score 5/10 6/10
Goals per match (scored / conceded) 1.0 / 1.4 0.8 / 1.1

Last 10 matches, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Form guide

Iceland

  • D 0-0 at Estonia (A) UEFA Nations League · 6 Oct
  • W 3-0 vs Bulgaria (H) UEFA Nations League · 3 Oct
  • W 3-0 at Luxembourg (A) UEFA Nations League · 29 Sep
  • D 1-1 vs Estonia (H) UEFA Nations League · 26 Sep
  • L 0-3 at Argentina (A) Friendlies · 10 Jun

Luxembourg

  • L 0-2 vs Bulgaria (H) UEFA Nations League · 6 Oct
  • L 0-1 at Estonia (A) UEFA Nations League · 3 Oct
  • L 0-3 vs Iceland (H) UEFA Nations League · 29 Sep
  • W 2-1 at Bulgaria (A) UEFA Nations League · 26 Sep
  • W 1-0 at Albania (A) Friendlies · 6 Jun

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

When the goals come

ScoredConceded

Iceland

Luxembourg

Goals in each 15-minute period, UEFA Nations League this season. Stoppage time counts with its half.

Top scorers

Iceland

Player G A
Orri Óskarsson 3 2
Andri Guðjohnsen 2 1
Mikael Egill Ellertsson 1 0
Victor Pálsson 1 0

Luxembourg

Player G A
Leandro Barreiro 1 0
Vincent Thill 1 0

Goals and assists in the UEFA Nations League this season.

Corners and yellow cards

Iceland Luxembourg
  • 6.2 Corners won 3.5
  • 2.2 Corners conceded 4.5
  • 2.0 Yellow cards 2.8
  • 2.2 Opponents' yellow cards 3.0

Per match in the UEFA Nations League this season. Average per club and match: 5.0 corners, 2.0 yellow cards.

Attack and defence ratings

IcelandLuxembourg
Attack 64 21
Defence 32 30

0 to 100 against this season's UEFA Nations League clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.

1753Elo #51 Elo rating 1605Elo #78

Head-to-head

1Iceland wins
1draw
1Luxembourg wins

3 meetings since 2010, results after 90 minutes.

  • 29 Sep 2026 · UEFA Nations League Luxembourg 0-3 Iceland
  • 13 Oct 2023 · EURO Qualification Iceland 1-1 Luxembourg
  • 8 Sep 2023 · EURO Qualification Luxembourg 3-1 Iceland

Table

League C - Group 4

#Team PWDLGoalsGDPts
1 Iceland 4 220 7:1 +6 8
2 Estonia 4 130 2:1 +1 6
3 Bulgaria 4 112 3:5 -2 4
4 Luxembourg 4 103 2:7 -5 3

Our table from the results; the two clubs of this match are highlighted. Full table

More UEFA Nations League matches

All fixtures

Times are UTC.