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Europa League · League phase, matchday 5

Dinamo Zagreb vs Bayer Leverkusen: Match Preview & Stats

Dinamo Zagreb crest Dinamo Zagreb
vs
Bayer Leverkusen crest Bayer Leverkusen
Stadion Maksimir, Zagreb

Our picks

Model predictions are published 48 hours before kick-off

To take in the latest form and rest days, the predictions for this match come out on . (If either team plays another match in between, they come out once that match is over.)

See today's ready predictions →

Our record

  • Dinamo Zagreb: 1 of 3 right
  • Bayer Leverkusen: 5 of 8 right

Our result picks in each club's earlier matches on this site.

Match facts

Competition
Europa League, League phase, matchday 5
Kick-off
Venue
Stadion Maksimir, Zagreb
Since last match
Dinamo Zagreb: 4 days (HNL) · Sunderland (0‑2) Bayer Leverkusen: 5 days (Bundesliga) · Paderborn
Next match
Dinamo Zagreb: 2 days (HNL) later Bayer Leverkusen: 3 days (Bundesliga) later

Last starting XI

Dinamo Zagreb 4-1-4-1

  1. 23 Kotarski
  2. 25 Valinčić
  3. 36 Domínguez
  4. 6 Galešić
  5. 3 Goda
  6. 22 Mišić
  7. 21 Lisica
  8. 80 Kačavenda
  9. 10 Stojković
  10. 99 Oršić
  11. 9 Beljo

Coach: Jerko Leko at Sunderland, 2-0 · Europa League · 5 Nov

Bayer Leverkusen 4-2-3-1

  1. 1 Flekken
  2. 6 Quansah
  3. 12 Tapsoba
  4. 2 Medina
  5. 3 Gutiérrez
  6. 6 Fernández
  7. 24 García
  8. 9 Moreira
  9. 10 Tillman
  10. 30 Maza
  11. 14 Schick

Coach: Carles Martínez at 1. FC Köln, 2-1 · Bundesliga · 8 Nov

Our predicted line-ups come with our picks, 48 hours before kick-off. Until then: each club's last starting XI.

Injuries and suspensions

Dinamo Zagreb

  • DF Scott McKennaInjured · A few weeks
  • DF Sergi DomínguezInjured · Doubtful
  • FW Fran TopicInjured · About a week

Bayer Leverkusen

  • DF Guéla DouéInjured · A few weeks
  • MF Martin TerrierInjured · Early December 2026
  • MF Nathan TellaInjured · About a week
  • FW Christian KofaneInjured · Doubtful
  • FW Moussa DiabyInjured · Mid November 2026

Players listed as injured, suspended or away with their national team, with their expected return.

Missing Players Impact

Dinamo Zagreb

Moderate impact
Missing attack share 2.0%
Missing minutes share 12.0%
3 players out 2 regular starters out
Key absences:
  • DF Sergi Domínguez 2% attack · 7% mins

Bayer Leverkusen

Moderate impact
Missing attack share 9.0%
Missing minutes share 6.0%
5 players out 1 regular starter out
Key absences:
  • FW Moussa Diaby 4% attack · 3% mins
  • MF Nathan Tella 3% attack · 2% mins

Share of team playing time and attacking output over the last 9 matches accounted for by unavailable players.

Tactical Profile & Play Quality (0–100)

Dinamo Zagreb Bayer Leverkusen
Box & Territory Pressure 40 70
Set-Piece & Corner Threat 21 58
Finishing Efficiency 26 77
Defensive & Goalkeeper Wall 58 28
Underlying Play Power 58 68
Dinamo Zagreb Balanced (results match underlying play)
Bayer Leverkusen Balanced (results match underlying play)

OptimaGoal 0–100 performance indices built from the last 9 matches before kick-off.

Game-State Scenarios & Goal Timing

Dinamo Zagreb

When scoring first 100% won · 100% unbeaten (4 matches)
When conceding first 25% points rescued · 12% won (8 matches)
1st Half: 56% 2nd Half: 44%
First 15': 11% Last 15' (76-90'): 22%

Bayer Leverkusen

When scoring first 78% won · 89% unbeaten (9 matches)
When conceding first 33% points rescued · 17% won (6 matches)
1st Half: 53% 2nd Half: 47%
First 15': 20% Last 15' (76-90'): 27%

Reaction to scoring or conceding first and goal distribution across the last 15 matches.

Key Attacking Threats

Dinamo Zagreb

  1. 1. FW Dion Drena Beljo 4G · 0A
    Team attack 29.0% Team shots 20.0%
  2. 2. MF Luka Stojković 1G · 1A
    Team attack 21.0% Team shots 27.0%
  3. 3. FW Mislav Oršić 0G · 0A
    Team attack 9.0% Team shots 16.0%

Bayer Leverkusen

  1. 1. FW Patrik Schick 7G · 1A
    Team attack 20.0% Team shots 20.0%
  2. 2. MF Ibrahim Maza 3G · 2A
    Team attack 15.0% Team shots 13.0%
  3. 3. MF Aleix García 1G · 2A
    Team attack 9.0% Team shots 6.0%

Top available players by share of team attacking production and shot volume over the last 10 matches.

Dinamo Zagreb Bayer Leverkusen
Over 1.5 goals 7/10 9/10
Over 2.5 goals 6/10 7/10
Over 3.5 goals 4/10 4/10
Both teams scored 6/10 5/10
Clean sheet 3/10 3/10
Failed to score 2/10 2/10
Goals per match (scored / conceded) 1.9 / 1.2 2.3 / 1.5

Last 10 matches, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Form guide

Dinamo Zagreb

  • W 3-1 at NK Varaždin (A) HNL · 8 Nov
  • W 2-0 at Sunderland (A) Europa League · 5 Nov
  • L 0-1 at Rudeš (A) HNL · 31 Oct
  • W 2-1 vs Rijeka (H) HNL · 27 Oct
  • L 2-4 vs NEC Nijmegen (H) Europa League · 22 Oct

Bayer Leverkusen

  • W 2-1 at 1. FC Köln (A) Bundesliga · 8 Nov
  • L 0-1 vs Marseille (H) Europa League · 5 Nov
  • L 2-4 vs VfB Stuttgart (H) Bundesliga · 31 Oct
  • W 5-2 vs 1. FC Nürnberg (H) DFB Pokal · 28 Oct
  • L 0-3 at Hoffenheim (A) Bundesliga · 25 Oct

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

When the goals come

ScoredConceded

Dinamo Zagreb

Bayer Leverkusen

Goals in each 15-minute period, Europa League this season. Stoppage time counts with its half.

Top scorers

Dinamo Zagreb

Player G A
Dion Drena Beljo (1 pen) 4 0
Luka Stojković 1 1

Bayer Leverkusen

Player G A
Jonas Hofmann 2 0
Patrik Schick (2 pens) 2 0
Malik Tillman 1 1
Facundo Medina 1 0
Ibrahim Maza 1 0

Goals and assists in the Europa League this season.

Corners and yellow cards

Dinamo Zagreb Bayer Leverkusen
  • 4.0 Corners won 6.8
  • 3.8 Corners conceded 3.2
  • 1.2 Yellow cards 1.5
  • 1.8 Opponents' yellow cards 1.2

Per match in the Europa League this season. Average per club and match: 4.7 corners, 1.9 yellow cards.

Attack and defence ratings

Dinamo ZagrebBayer Leverkusen
Attack 63 94 1.3 goals per match this season2.0 goals per match this season
Defence 34 86 1.0 conceded per match this season0.3 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Europa League clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.

1849Elo #88 Elo rating 2013Elo #25

Head-to-head

Dinamo Zagreb and Bayer Leverkusen have not met in our records since 2010.

Table

#Team PWDLGoalsGDPts
1 Benfica 4 400 13:3 +10 12
2 AFC Bournemouth 4 400 11:2 +9 12
3 Ferencváros 4 400 11:3 +8 12
4 Union St.Gilloise 4 310 10:2 +8 10
5 Juventus 4 310 11:4 +7 10
6 Olympiacos 4 310 4:1 +3 10
7 Bayer Leverkusen 4 301 8:1 +7 9
8 Beşiktaş 4 211 11:8 +3 7
9 Dinamo Zagreb 4 211 5:4 +1 7
10 Levski Sofia 4 211 4:3 +1 7
11 Sunderland 4 211 4:4 0 7
12 NEC Nijmegen 4 211 8:9 -1 7
13 Lyon 4 211 6:7 -1 7
14 AZ Alkmaar 4 202 7:4 +3 6
15 Anderlecht 4 202 6:3 +3 6
16 OFI Crete 4 202 5:4 +1 6
17 Rennes 4 130 4:3 +1 6
18 Omonia Nicosia 4 202 6:7 -1 6
19 Torreense 4 202 7:9 -2 6
20 Real Sociedad 4 121 9:4 +5 5
21 Crystal Palace 4 121 9:6 +3 5
22 Hoffenheim 4 112 6:6 0 4
23 Sparta Prague 4 112 6:6 0 4
24 Sturm Graz 4 112 3:6 -3 4
25 NK Celje 4 112 5:9 -4 4
26 Salzburg 4 112 3:8 -5 4
27 Celta Vigo 4 103 4:6 -2 3
28 Jagiellonia Białystok 4 103 4:7 -3 3
29 Milan 4 103 4:7 -3 3
30 Viktoria Plzeň 4 103 3:7 -4 3
31 Marseille 4 103 2:6 -4 3
32 Celtic 4 103 6:11 -5 3
33 Hapoel Beer Sheva 4 013 1:8 -7 1
34 Lillestrøm 4 013 2:10 -8 1
35 Lech Poznań 4 013 2:12 -10 1
36 Ararat Armenia 4 004 4:14 -10 0

Our table from the results; the two clubs of this match are highlighted. Full table

Season projection

Members

Where these two clubs are projected to finish in the Europa League: average points, likely range and chances.

ClubPts Avg ptsLikely Top 8Play-off round Win it
Dinamo Zagreb 7
Bayer Leverkusen 9

For members

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Times are UTC.