Championship · Matchday 16 Burnley vs Blackburn Rovers: Match Preview & Stats
Our picks
Model predictions are published 48 hours before kick-off
To take in the latest form and rest days, the predictions for this match come out on . (If either team plays another match in between, they come out once that match is over.)
See today's ready predictions →Our record
Burnley: 4 of 7 right
Blackburn Rovers: 2 of 7 right
Our result picks in each club's earlier matches on this site.
Match facts
- Competition
- Championship, Matchday 16
- Kick-off
- Venue
- Turf Moor, Burnley
- Since last match
- Burnley: 14 days (Championship) · Cardiff City (5‑4) Blackburn Rovers: 14 days (Championship) · West Ham United (2‑1)
- Next match
- Burnley: 3 days (Championship) later · Birmingham City Blackburn Rovers: 3 days (Championship) later · Watford
Last starting XI
Burnley 4-2-3-1
- 37 Coudert
- 2 Walker
- 18 Ekdal
- 44 Julio
- 23 Pires
- 29 Laurent
- 5 Hatate
- 19 Ramazani
- 23 Edwards
- 34 Banel
- 17 Hountondji
Coach: Fabio Celestini 
at Cardiff City, 4-5 · Championship · 7 Nov
Blackburn Rovers 4-2-3-1
- 22 Tóth
- 27 Beyuku
- 17 Carter
- 15 McLoughlin
- 3 Pickering
- 8 Morsy
- 31 Montgomery
- 11 Fevrier
- 10 Cantwell
- 21 Afolayan
- 9 Guðjohnsen
Coach: Tony Mowbray 
vs West Ham United, 2-1 · Championship · 7 Nov
Our predicted line-ups come with our picks, 48 hours before kick-off. Until then: each club's last starting XI.
Injuries and suspensions
Burnley
- DF Bashir HumphreysInjured · Back in training
- MF Hannibal MejbriInjured · Early January 2027
- FW Armando BrojaInjured · Doubtful
- FW Ashley BarnesInjured · Back in training
- FW Dastan SatpaevInjured · Late November 2026
- – Jordan BeyerInjured · Doubtful
Blackburn Rovers
- DF Lewis MillerInjured · Return unknown
- DF Ryan AlebiosuInjured · Doubtful
- MF Adam ForshawInjured · Late November 2026
- FW Ryoya MorishitaInjured · Late November 2026
Players listed as injured, suspended or away with their national team, with their expected return.
Missing Players Impact
Burnley
Low impact Blackburn Rovers
Moderate impact - FW Ryoya Morishita 5% attack · 4% mins
- DF Ryan Alebiosu 3% attack · 7% mins
Share of team playing time and attacking output over the last 10 matches accounted for by unavailable players.
Tactical Profile & Play Quality (0–100)
Burnley Blackburn Rovers Burnley Balanced (results match underlying play) Blackburn Rovers Results above play quality (running hot) OptimaGoal 0–100 performance indices built from the last 10 matches before kick-off.
Game-State Scenarios & Goal Timing
Burnley
Blackburn Rovers
Reaction to scoring or conceding first and goal distribution across the last 15 matches.
Key Attacking Threats
Burnley
- 1. FW Largie Ramazani 4G · 1ATeam attack 18.0% Team shots 20.0%
- 2. FW Zeki Amdouni 3G · 0ATeam attack 10.0% Team shots 12.0%
- 3. MF Marcus Edwards 2G · 0ATeam attack 10.0% Team shots 10.0%
Blackburn Rovers
- 1. FW Oladapo Afolayan 5G · 1ATeam attack 17.0% Team shots 21.0%
- 2. FW Andri Guðjohnsen 8G · 0ATeam attack 17.0% Team shots 13.0%
- 3. MF Todd Cantwell 1G · 1ATeam attack 14.0% Team shots 10.0%
Top available players by share of team attacking production and shot volume over the last 10 matches.
Scoring trends
| Scoring trends | Burnley | Blackburn Rovers |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 | 9/10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 | 8/10 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 5/10 | 4/10 |
| Both teams scored | 8/10 | 7/10 |
| Clean sheet | 2/10 | 2/10 |
| Failed to score | 1/10 | 1/10 |
| Goals per match (scored / conceded) | 1.6 / 1.9 | 1.6 / 1.6 |
Last 10 matches, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.
Form guide
Burnley
- L 4-5 at Cardiff City (A) Championship · 7 Nov
- D 1-1 at
Queens Park Rangers (A) Championship · 3 Nov - D 0-0 vs
Portsmouth (H) Championship · 31 Oct - L 1-4 at
Lincoln City (A) Championship · 24 Oct - L 1-2 vs
Wolverhampton Wanderers (H) Championship · 16 Oct
Blackburn Rovers
- W 2-1 vs West Ham United (H) Championship · 7 Nov
- L 1-2 vs
Stoke City (H) Championship · 3 Nov - L 0-4 at
Swansea City (A) Championship · 31 Oct - W 2-0 vs
Wrexham (H) Championship · 24 Oct - L 2-3 at
West Bromwich Albion (A) Championship · 17 Oct
Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.
When the goals come
Burnley
- 1-15 minutes: 3 scored, 4 conceded
- 16-30 minutes: 6 scored, 3 conceded
- 31-45 minutes: 4 scored, 4 conceded
- 46-60 minutes: 5 scored, 5 conceded
- 61-75 minutes: 1 scored, 9 conceded
- 76-90 minutes: 3 scored, 6 conceded
Blackburn Rovers
- 1-15 minutes: 3 scored, 4 conceded
- 16-30 minutes: 3 scored, 3 conceded
- 31-45 minutes: 4 scored, 5 conceded
- 46-60 minutes: 8 scored, 4 conceded
- 61-75 minutes: 1 scored, 4 conceded
- 76-90 minutes: 3 scored, 3 conceded
Goals in each 15-minute period, Championship this season. Stoppage time counts with its half.
Top scorers
Burnley
| Player | G | A |
|---|---|---|
| Largie Ramazani | 4 | 1 |
| Zeki Amdouni | 3 | 1 |
| Jacob Bruun Larsen | 2 | 2 |
| Andréas Hountondji | 2 | 0 |
| Marcus Edwards | 2 | 0 |
Blackburn Rovers
| Player | G | A |
|---|---|---|
| Andri Guðjohnsen | 10 | 1 |
| Oladapo Afolayan | 5 | 2 |
| Ryoya Morishita | 2 | 2 |
| Todd Cantwell | 2 | 1 |
| Kristi Montgomery | 1 | 1 |
Goals and assists in the Championship this season.
Corners and yellow cards
Burnley Blackburn Rovers - 4.6 Corners won 5.8
- 4.7 Corners conceded 5.9
- 1.9 Yellow cards 2.3
- 1.7 Opponents' yellow cards 1.7
Per match in the Championship this season. Average per club and match: 5.2 corners, 1.9 yellow cards.
Attack and defence ratings
BurnleyBlackburn Rovers0 to 100 against this season's Championship clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.
Head-to-head
7Burnley wins0Blackburn Rovers wins11 meetings since 2010, results after 90 minutes.
- 4 Jan 2025 · Championship Blackburn Rovers 0-1 Burnley
- 31 Aug 2024 · Championship Burnley 1-1 Blackburn Rovers
- 25 Apr 2023 · Championship Blackburn Rovers 0-1 Burnley
- 13 Nov 2022 · Championship Burnley 3-0 Blackburn Rovers
- 23 Aug 2017 · EFL Cup Blackburn Rovers 0-2 Burnley
Table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Birmingham City | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 28:14 | +14 | 29 |
| 2 |  Middlesbrough | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 30:19 | +11 | 29 |
| 3 | Stoke City | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24:18 | +6 | 29 |
| 4 |  Southampton | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 29:15 | +14 | 28 |
| 5 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 26:18 | +8 | 28 |
| 6 | West Bromwich Albion | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 23:15 | +8 | 28 |
| 7 | Swansea City | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 22:18 | +4 | 26 |
| 8 | Queens Park Rangers | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 24:18 | +6 | 24 |
| 9 | West Ham United | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 37:23 | +14 | 23 |
| 10 |  Sheffield United | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21:19 | +2 | 22 |
| 11 | Portsmouth | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 20:18 | +2 | 22 |
| 12 |  Norwich City | 15 | 7 | 0 | 8 | 32:24 | +8 | 21 |
| 13 | Blackburn Rovers | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 22:23 | -1 | 21 |
| 14 | Cardiff City | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 27:27 | 0 | 18 |
| 15 | Wrexham | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 18:20 | -2 | 18 |
| 16 |  Millwall | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 23:27 | -4 | 18 |
| 17 |  Bristol City | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16:24 | -8 | 18 |
| 18 |  Bolton Wanderers | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20:29 | -9 | 17 |
| 19 |  Charlton Athletic | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13:23 | -10 | 17 |
| 20 |  Watford | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13:23 | -10 | 15 |
| 21 | Lincoln City | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 15:26 | -11 | 15 |
| 22 | Burnley | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 22:31 | -9 | 10 |
| 23 |  Derby County | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14:30 | -16 | 10 |
| 24 |  Preston North End | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13:30 | -17 | 8 |
Our table from the results; the two clubs of this match are highlighted. Full table
Season projection
MembersWhere these two clubs are projected to finish in the Championship: average points, likely range and chances.
| Club | Pts | Avg pts | Likely | Title | Promoted | Play-offs | Relegated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley | 10 | ||||||
| Blackburn Rovers | 21 |
For members
Every club's chance of every place, from our simulated seasons, updated daily.
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Times are UTC.