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Championship · Matchday 16

Millwall vs Queens Park Rangers: Match Preview & Stats

Millwall crest Millwall
vs
Queens Park Rangers crest Queens Park Rangers
The Den, London

Our picks

Model predictions are published 48 hours before kick-off

To take in the latest form and rest days, the predictions for this match come out on . (If either team plays another match in between, they come out once that match is over.)

See today's ready predictions →

Our record

  • Millwall: 5 of 7 right
  • Queens Park Rangers: 5 of 7 right

Our result picks in each club's earlier matches on this site.

Match facts

Competition
Championship, Matchday 16
Kick-off
Venue
The Den, London
Since last match
Millwall: 13 days (Championship) · West Bromwich Albion (3‑0) Queens Park Rangers: 13 days (Championship) · Lincoln City (2‑1)
Next match
Millwall: 4 days (Championship) later · Stoke City Queens Park Rangers: 3 days (Championship) later · Norwich City

Last starting XI

Millwall 4-2-3-1

  1. 15 Crocombe
  2. 2 Osei-Tutu
  3. 6 Taylor
  4. 5 Cooper
  5. 3 Sturge
  6. 14 Metcalfe
  7. 49 Mazou-Sacko
  8. 10 Neghli
  9. 25 Cundle
  10. 22 Lisbie
  11. 19 Coburn

Coach: Alex Neil at West Bromwich Albion, 0-3 · Championship · 7 Nov

Queens Park Rangers 4-2-3-1

  1. 1 Charles
  2. 2 Adamson
  3. 3 Dunne
  4. 5 Edwards
  5. 12 Kemper
  6. 40 Varane
  7. 18 Kamara
  8. 17 Poku
  9. 20 Vale
  10. 11 Smyth
  11. 22 Kone

Coach: Julien Stéphan vs Lincoln City, 2-1 · Championship · 7 Nov

Our predicted line-ups come with our picks, 48 hours before kick-off. Until then: each club's last starting XI.

Injuries and suspensions

Millwall

  • GK Filip MarschallInjured · Doubtful
  • GK Lukas Bornhøft JensenInjured · Doubtful
  • DF Ryan LeonardInjured · Late November 2026
  • DF Tristan CramaInjured · Late November 2026
  • MF Casper de NorreInjured · Doubtful
  • MF Mathis ServaisInjured · Return unknown

Queens Park Rangers

  • DF Amadou Salif MbengueInjured · Out for the season
  • DF Tariq LampteyInjured · Late November 2026
  • MF Nicolas MadsenInjured · Late November 2026
  • FW Rumarn BurrellInjured · Late November 2026

Players listed as injured, suspended or away with their national team, with their expected return.

Missing Players Impact

Millwall

Moderate impact
Missing attack share 3.0%
Missing minutes share 7.0%
6 players out 1 regular starter out

Queens Park Rangers

Moderate impact
Missing attack share 12.0%
Missing minutes share 9.0%
4 players out 1 regular starter out
Key absences:
  • MF Nicolas Madsen 9% attack · 4% mins

Share of team playing time and attacking output over the last 10 matches accounted for by unavailable players.

Tactical Profile & Play Quality (0–100)

Millwall Queens Park Rangers
Box & Territory Pressure 55 55
Set-Piece & Corner Threat 85 51
Finishing Efficiency 26 45
Defensive & Goalkeeper Wall 15 29
Underlying Play Power 58 69
Millwall Playing above results (positive regression candidate)
Queens Park Rangers Playing above results (positive regression candidate)

OptimaGoal 0–100 performance indices built from the last 10 matches before kick-off.

Game-State Scenarios & Goal Timing

Millwall

When scoring first 56% won · 78% unbeaten (9 matches)
When conceding first 17% points rescued · 0% won (6 matches)
1st Half: 52% 2nd Half: 48%
First 15': 22% Last 15' (76-90'): 30%

Queens Park Rangers

When scoring first 67% won · 100% unbeaten (6 matches)
When conceding first 57% points rescued · 29% won (7 matches)
1st Half: 58% 2nd Half: 42%
First 15': 17% Last 15' (76-90'): 12%

Reaction to scoring or conceding first and goal distribution across the last 15 matches.

Key Attacking Threats

Millwall

  1. 1. FW Lyndon Dykes 2G · 2A
    Team attack 15.0% Team shots 13.0%
  2. 2. FW Camiel Neghli 2G · 2A
    Team attack 14.0% Team shots 12.0%
  3. 3. FW Kyrell Lisbie 3G · 0A
    Team attack 13.0% Team shots 15.0%

Queens Park Rangers

  1. 1. FW Richard Kone 5G · 1A
    Team attack 12.0% Team shots 8.0%
  2. 2. FW Kwame Poku 1G · 1A
    Team attack 10.0% Team shots 15.0%
  3. 3. FW Paul Smyth 2G · 1A
    Team attack 10.0% Team shots 11.0%

Top available players by share of team attacking production and shot volume over the last 10 matches.

Millwall Queens Park Rangers
Over 1.5 goals 8/10 9/10
Over 2.5 goals 8/10 6/10
Over 3.5 goals 5/10 4/10
Both teams scored 6/10 7/10
Clean sheet 1/10 2/10
Failed to score 3/10 2/10
Goals per match (scored / conceded) 1.3 / 1.9 1.7 / 1.4

Last 10 matches, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Form guide

Millwall

  • L 0-3 at West Bromwich Albion (A) Championship · 7 Nov
  • L 0-3 at Birmingham City (A) Championship · 3 Nov
  • W 4-1 vs Derby County (H) Championship · 31 Oct
  • L 1-2 at Portsmouth (A) Championship · 24 Oct
  • D 2-2 vs Lincoln City (H) Championship · 17 Oct

Queens Park Rangers

  • W 2-1 vs Lincoln City (H) Championship · 7 Nov
  • D 1-1 vs Burnley (H) Championship · 3 Nov
  • L 1-4 at Southampton (A) Championship · 31 Oct
  • W 5-0 vs Swansea City (H) Championship · 24 Oct
  • L 0-3 at Birmingham City (A) Championship · 17 Oct

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

When the goals come

ScoredConceded

Millwall

Queens Park Rangers

Goals in each 15-minute period, Championship this season. Stoppage time counts with its half.

Top scorers

Millwall

Player G A
Lyndon Dykes (1 pen) 4 2
Camiel Neghli 3 3
Kyrell Lisbie 3 0
Taïryk Arconte 3 0
Caleb Taylor 2 2

Queens Park Rangers

Player G A
Richard Kone (1 pen) 5 1
Paul Smyth 3 1
Jimmy Dunne 3 0
Ilias Chair 2 3
Nicolas Madsen (2 pens) 2 1

Goals and assists in the Championship this season.

Corners and yellow cards

Millwall Queens Park Rangers
  • 5.3 Corners won 5.6
  • 5.9 Corners conceded 3.9
  • 1.9 Yellow cards 1.9
  • 1.9 Opponents' yellow cards 1.9

Per match in the Championship this season. Average per club and match: 5.2 corners, 1.9 yellow cards.

Attack and defence ratings

MillwallQueens Park Rangers
Attack 48 61 1.5 goals per match this season1.6 goals per match this season
Defence 70 26 1.8 conceded per match this season1.2 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Championship clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.

1703Elo #236 Elo rating 1677Elo #262

Head-to-head

8Millwall wins
9draws
6Queens Park Rangers wins

23 meetings since 2010, results after 90 minutes.

  • 8 Aug 2026 · EFL Cup Queens Park Rangers 1-1 Millwall
  • 18 Apr 2026 · Championship Millwall 2-0 Queens Park Rangers
  • 18 Oct 2025 · Championship Queens Park Rangers 1-2 Millwall
  • 1 Feb 2025 · Championship Millwall 2-1 Queens Park Rangers
  • 21 Sep 2024 · Championship Queens Park Rangers 1-1 Millwall

Table

#Team PWDLGoalsGDPts
1 Birmingham City 15 852 28:14 +14 29
2 Middlesbrough 15 852 30:19 +11 29
3 Stoke City 15 924 24:18 +6 29
4 Southampton 15 843 29:15 +14 28
5 Wolverhampton Wanderers 15 843 26:18 +8 28
6 West Bromwich Albion 15 843 23:15 +8 28
7 Swansea City 15 825 22:18 +4 26
8 Queens Park Rangers 15 663 24:18 +6 24
9 West Ham United 15 654 37:23 +14 23
10 Sheffield United 15 645 21:19 +2 22
11 Portsmouth 15 645 20:18 +2 22
12 Norwich City 15 708 32:24 +8 21
13 Blackburn Rovers 15 636 22:23 -1 21
14 Cardiff City 15 465 27:27 0 18
15 Wrexham 15 465 18:20 -2 18
16 Millwall 15 537 23:27 -4 18
17 Bristol City 15 537 16:24 -8 18
18 Bolton Wanderers 15 528 20:29 -9 17
19 Charlton Athletic 15 456 13:23 -10 17
20 Watford 15 438 13:23 -10 15
21 Lincoln City 15 438 15:26 -11 15
22 Burnley 15 177 22:31 -9 10
23 Derby County 15 249 14:30 -16 10
24 Preston North End 15 2211 13:30 -17 8

Our table from the results; the two clubs of this match are highlighted. Full table

Season projection

Members

Where these two clubs are projected to finish in the Championship: average points, likely range and chances.

ClubPts Avg ptsLikely TitlePromotedPlay-offsRelegated
Millwall 18
Queens Park Rangers 24

For members

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