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Championship · Matchday 17

Stoke City vs Millwall: Match Preview & Stats

Stoke City crest Stoke City
vs
Millwall crest Millwall
bet365 Stadium, Stoke-on-Trent, Staffordshire

Our picks

Model predictions are published 48 hours before kick-off

To take in the latest form and rest days, the predictions for this match come out on . (If either team plays another match in between, they come out once that match is over.)

See today's ready predictions →

Our record

  • Stoke City: 2 of 7 right
  • Millwall: 5 of 7 right

Our result picks in each club's earlier matches on this site.

Match facts

Competition
Championship, Matchday 17
Kick-off
Venue
bet365 Stadium, Stoke-on-Trent, Staffordshire
Since last match
Stoke City: 4 days (Championship) · Birmingham City Millwall: 4 days (Championship) · Queens Park Rangers
Next match
Stoke City: 2 days (Championship) later Millwall: 2 days (Championship) later

Last starting XI

Stoke City 3-4-3

  1. 1 Johansson
  2. 16 Wilmot
  3. 18 Lawal
  4. 5 Graham
  5. 22 Tchamadeu
  6. 27 Soumaré
  7. 8 Galbraith
  8. 2 Johnson
  9. 7 McGlynn
  10. 9 Bozeník
  11. 42 Manhoef

Coach: Mark Robins at Portsmouth, 2-1 · Championship · 7 Nov

Millwall 4-2-3-1

  1. 15 Crocombe
  2. 2 Osei-Tutu
  3. 6 Taylor
  4. 5 Cooper
  5. 3 Sturge
  6. 14 Metcalfe
  7. 49 Mazou-Sacko
  8. 10 Neghli
  9. 25 Cundle
  10. 22 Lisbie
  11. 19 Coburn

Coach: Alex Neil at West Bromwich Albion, 0-3 · Championship · 7 Nov

Our predicted line-ups come with our picks, 48 hours before kick-off. Until then: each club's last starting XI.

Injuries and suspensions

Stoke City

  • DF Aaron CresswellInjured · Doubtful
  • MF Eric BocatInjured · Late November 2026
  • FW Lamine CisséInjured · Late November 2026
  • – Ato AmpahInjured · Mid January 2027

Millwall

  • GK Filip MarschallInjured · Doubtful
  • GK Lukas Bornhøft JensenInjured · Doubtful
  • DF Ryan LeonardInjured · Late November 2026
  • DF Tristan CramaInjured · Late November 2026
  • MF Casper de NorreInjured · Doubtful
  • MF Mathis ServaisInjured · Return unknown

Players listed as injured, suspended or away with their national team, with their expected return.

Missing Players Impact

Stoke City

Moderate impact
Missing attack share 11.0%
Missing minutes share 7.0%
4 players out 2 regular starters out
Key absences:
  • FW Lamine Cissé 7% attack · 4% mins
  • MF Eric Bocat 5% attack · 4% mins

Millwall

Moderate impact
Missing attack share 3.0%
Missing minutes share 7.0%
6 players out 1 regular starter out

Share of team playing time and attacking output over the last 10 matches accounted for by unavailable players.

Tactical Profile & Play Quality (0–100)

Stoke City Millwall
Box & Territory Pressure 34 55
Set-Piece & Corner Threat 62 85
Finishing Efficiency 80 26
Defensive & Goalkeeper Wall 74 15
Underlying Play Power 35 58
Stoke City Results above play quality (running hot)
Millwall Playing above results (positive regression candidate)

OptimaGoal 0–100 performance indices built from the last 10 matches before kick-off.

Game-State Scenarios & Goal Timing

Stoke City

When scoring first 70% won · 80% unbeaten (10 matches)
When conceding first 50% points rescued · 50% won (4 matches)
1st Half: 54% 2nd Half: 46%
First 15': 17% Last 15' (76-90'): 17%

Millwall

When scoring first 56% won · 78% unbeaten (9 matches)
When conceding first 17% points rescued · 0% won (6 matches)
1st Half: 52% 2nd Half: 48%
First 15': 22% Last 15' (76-90'): 30%

Reaction to scoring or conceding first and goal distribution across the last 15 matches.

Key Attacking Threats

Stoke City

  1. 1. FW Jack McGlynn 5G · 2A
    Team attack 18.0% Team shots 13.0%
  2. 2. MF Ethan Galbraith 0G · 4A
    Team attack 13.0% Team shots 10.0%
  3. 3. DF Ben Wilmot 3G · 0A
    Team attack 9.0% Team shots 9.0%

Millwall

  1. 1. FW Lyndon Dykes 2G · 2A
    Team attack 15.0% Team shots 13.0%
  2. 2. FW Camiel Neghli 2G · 2A
    Team attack 14.0% Team shots 12.0%
  3. 3. FW Kyrell Lisbie 3G · 0A
    Team attack 13.0% Team shots 15.0%

Top available players by share of team attacking production and shot volume over the last 10 matches.

Stoke City Millwall
Over 1.5 goals 8/10 8/10
Over 2.5 goals 6/10 8/10
Over 3.5 goals 1/10 5/10
Both teams scored 7/10 6/10
Clean sheet 3/10 1/10
Failed to score 1/10 3/10
Goals per match (scored / conceded) 1.6 / 0.9 1.3 / 1.9

Last 10 matches, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Form guide

Stoke City

  • W 2-1 at Portsmouth (A) Championship · 7 Nov
  • W 2-1 at Blackburn Rovers (A) Championship · 3 Nov
  • W 2-0 vs Preston North End (H) Championship · 31 Oct
  • D 0-0 vs Bristol City (H) Championship · 24 Oct
  • W 1-0 at Derby County (A) Championship · 17 Oct

Millwall

  • L 0-3 at West Bromwich Albion (A) Championship · 7 Nov
  • L 0-3 at Birmingham City (A) Championship · 3 Nov
  • W 4-1 vs Derby County (H) Championship · 31 Oct
  • L 1-2 at Portsmouth (A) Championship · 24 Oct
  • D 2-2 vs Lincoln City (H) Championship · 17 Oct

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

When the goals come

ScoredConceded

Stoke City

Millwall

Goals in each 15-minute period, Championship this season. Stoppage time counts with its half.

Top scorers

Stoke City

Player G A
Jack McGlynn 5 2
Ethan Galbraith 3 4
Ben Wilmot 3 0
Eric Bocat 2 2
Sam Gallagher 2 1

Millwall

Player G A
Lyndon Dykes (1 pen) 4 2
Camiel Neghli 3 3
Kyrell Lisbie 3 0
Taïryk Arconte 3 0
Caleb Taylor 2 2

Goals and assists in the Championship this season.

Corners and yellow cards

Stoke City Millwall
  • 4.5 Corners won 5.3
  • 5.5 Corners conceded 5.9
  • 2.1 Yellow cards 1.9
  • 2.1 Opponents' yellow cards 1.9

Per match in the Championship this season. Average per club and match: 5.2 corners, 1.9 yellow cards.

Attack and defence ratings

Stoke CityMillwall
Attack 17 48 1.6 goals per match this season1.5 goals per match this season
Defence 52 70 1.2 conceded per match this season1.8 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Championship clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.

1668Elo #273 Elo rating 1703Elo #236

Head-to-head

2Stoke City wins
5draws
9Millwall wins

16 meetings since 2010, results after 90 minutes.

  • 21 Apr 2026 · Championship Stoke City 1-3 Millwall
  • 21 Oct 2025 · Championship Millwall 2-0 Stoke City
  • 15 Mar 2025 · Championship Millwall 1-0 Stoke City
  • 9 Nov 2024 · Championship Stoke City 1-1 Millwall
  • 23 Dec 2023 · Championship Stoke City 0-0 Millwall

Table

#Team PWDLGoalsGDPts
1 Birmingham City 15 852 28:14 +14 29
2 Middlesbrough 15 852 30:19 +11 29
3 Stoke City 15 924 24:18 +6 29
4 Southampton 15 843 29:15 +14 28
5 Wolverhampton Wanderers 15 843 26:18 +8 28
6 West Bromwich Albion 15 843 23:15 +8 28
7 Swansea City 15 825 22:18 +4 26
8 Queens Park Rangers 15 663 24:18 +6 24
9 West Ham United 15 654 37:23 +14 23
10 Sheffield United 15 645 21:19 +2 22
11 Portsmouth 15 645 20:18 +2 22
12 Norwich City 15 708 32:24 +8 21
13 Blackburn Rovers 15 636 22:23 -1 21
14 Cardiff City 15 465 27:27 0 18
15 Wrexham 15 465 18:20 -2 18
16 Millwall 15 537 23:27 -4 18
17 Bristol City 15 537 16:24 -8 18
18 Bolton Wanderers 15 528 20:29 -9 17
19 Charlton Athletic 15 456 13:23 -10 17
20 Watford 15 438 13:23 -10 15
21 Lincoln City 15 438 15:26 -11 15
22 Burnley 15 177 22:31 -9 10
23 Derby County 15 249 14:30 -16 10
24 Preston North End 15 2211 13:30 -17 8

Our table from the results; the two clubs of this match are highlighted. Full table

Season projection

Members

Where these two clubs are projected to finish in the Championship: average points, likely range and chances.

ClubPts Avg ptsLikely TitlePromotedPlay-offsRelegated
Stoke City 29
Millwall 18

For members

Every club's chance of every place, from our simulated seasons, updated daily.

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Times are UTC.