Championship · Matchday 17 Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Derby County: Match Preview & Stats
Our picks
Model predictions are published 48 hours before kick-off
To take in the latest form and rest days, the predictions for this match come out on . (If either team plays another match in between, they come out once that match is over.)
See today's ready predictions →Our record
Wolverhampton Wanderers: 4 of 8 right
Derby County: 4 of 7 right
Our result picks in each club's earlier matches on this site.
Match facts
- Competition
- Championship, Matchday 17
- Kick-off
- Venue
- Molineux Stadium, Wolverhampton, West Midlands
- Since last match
- Wolverhampton Wanderers: 3 days (Championship) · Charlton Athletic Derby County: 3 days (Championship) · Southampton
- Next match
- Wolverhampton Wanderers: 3 days (Championship) later Derby County: 3 days (Championship) later
Last starting XI
Wolverhampton Wanderers 4-2-3-1
- 1 Sá
- 38 Tchatchoua
- 34 Djiga
- 7 Krejcí
- 24 Gomes
- 7 André
- 5 Munetsi
- 21 Gomes
- 28 López
- 36 Mané
- 10 Armstrong
Coach: César Peixoto 
at Wrexham, 1-1 · Championship · 7 Nov
Derby County 4-2-3-1
- 1 Zetterström
- 24 Nyambe
- 25 Duffy
- 28 Sanderson
- 14 Robinson
- 27 Travis
- 4 Ozoh
- 10 Brewster
- 8 Clark
- 16 Fuseini
- 9 Morris
Coach: John Eustace 
vs Bolton Wanderers, 3-1 · Championship · 6 Nov
Our predicted line-ups come with our picks, 48 hours before kick-off. Until then: each club's last starting XI.
Injuries and suspensions
Wolverhampton Wanderers
- MF Boubacar TraoréInjured · Late November 2026
- MF Fer LópezInjured · Doubtful
- MF Jean-Ricner BellegardeInjured · Doubtful
- MF Jordan JamesInjured · Late November 2026
- FW Bertrand TraoréInjured · Late November 2026
- FW Raul JiménezInjured · Early January 2027
Derby County
- DF Charlie TaylorInjured · Doubtful
- DF Craig ForsythInjured · Early January 2027
- DF Derry MurkinInjured · Early December 2026
- DF Eiran CashinInjured · Late November 2026
- DF Joe WardInjured · Doubtful
- DF Ryan HedgesInjured · Doubtful
- DF Sondre Klingen LangåsInjured · Early January 2027
- MF Sammie SzmodicsInjured · Doubtful
Players listed as injured, suspended or away with their national team, with their expected return.
Missing Players Impact
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Moderate impact - MF Fer López 12% attack · 6% mins
- MF Jean-Ricner Bellegarde 6% attack · 5% mins
Derby County
High impact - MF Sammie Szmodics 13% attack · 7% mins
- DF Joe Ward 6% attack · 5% mins
Share of team playing time and attacking output over the last 10 matches accounted for by unavailable players.
Tactical Profile & Play Quality (0–100)
Wolverhampton Wanderers Derby County Wolverhampton Wanderers Playing above results (positive regression candidate) Derby County Playing above results (positive regression candidate) OptimaGoal 0–100 performance indices built from the last 10 matches before kick-off.
Game-State Scenarios & Goal Timing
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Derby County
Reaction to scoring or conceding first and goal distribution across the last 15 matches.
Key Attacking Threats
Wolverhampton Wanderers
- 1. FW Adam Armstrong 3G · 0ATeam attack 12.0% Team shots 14.0%
- 2. FW Rafiki Saïd 0G · 1ATeam attack 10.0% Team shots 15.0%
- 3. FW Mateus Mané 0G · 1ATeam attack 7.0% Team shots 8.0%
Derby County
- 1. MF Bobby Clark 2G · 0ATeam attack 15.0% Team shots 17.0%
- 2. FW Carlton Morris 0G · 1ATeam attack 12.0% Team shots 12.0%
- 3. FW Mohammed Fuseini 1G · 2ATeam attack 12.0% Team shots 10.0%
Top available players by share of team attacking production and shot volume over the last 10 matches.
Scoring trends
| Scoring trends | Wolverhampton Wanderers | Derby County |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 6/10 | 8/10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 4/10 | 5/10 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1/10 | 4/10 |
| Both teams scored | 5/10 | 7/10 |
| Clean sheet | 3/10 | 0/10 |
| Failed to score | 2/10 | 3/10 |
| Goals per match (scored / conceded) | 1.2 / 0.9 | 0.9 / 2.0 |
Last 10 matches, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.
Form guide
Wolverhampton Wanderers
- D 1-1 at Wrexham (A) Championship · 7 Nov
- W 2-1 at
Bristol City (A) Championship · 4 Nov - W 3-0 vs
Cardiff City (H) Championship · 31 Oct - W 1-0 vs
Watford (H) Championship · 24 Oct - D 1-1 vs
Portsmouth (H) Championship · 20 Oct
Derby County
- W 3-1 vs Bolton Wanderers (H) Championship · 6 Nov
- L 0-4 vs
Norwich City (H) Championship · 3 Nov - L 1-4 at
Millwall (A) Championship · 31 Oct - D 1-1 at
Sheffield United (A) Championship · 24 Oct - L 0-1 vs
Stoke City (H) Championship · 17 Oct
Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.
When the goals come
Wolverhampton Wanderers
- 1-15 minutes: 4 scored, 1 conceded
- 16-30 minutes: 4 scored, 5 conceded
- 31-45 minutes: 4 scored, 4 conceded
- 46-60 minutes: 4 scored, 3 conceded
- 61-75 minutes: 4 scored, 2 conceded
- 76-90 minutes: 6 scored, 3 conceded
Derby County
- 1-15 minutes: 1 scored, 5 conceded
- 16-30 minutes: 3 scored, 6 conceded
- 31-45 minutes: 2 scored, 7 conceded
- 46-60 minutes: 3 scored, 1 conceded
- 61-75 minutes: 1 scored, 4 conceded
- 76-90 minutes: 4 scored, 7 conceded
Goals in each 15-minute period, Championship this season. Stoppage time counts with its half.
Top scorers
Wolverhampton Wanderers
| Player | G | A |
|---|---|---|
| Fer López | 6 | 3 |
| Adam Armstrong | 4 | 0 |
| Raul Jiménez (2 pens) | 3 | 1 |
| Ladislav Krejcí | 2 | 2 |
| Rodrigo Gomes | 2 | 1 |
Derby County
| Player | G | A |
|---|---|---|
| Bobby Clark | 3 | 2 |
| Sammie Szmodics | 3 | 1 |
| Lars-Jørgen Salvesen | 2 | 0 |
| Carlton Morris | 1 | 2 |
| Mohammed Fuseini | 1 | 2 |
Goals and assists in the Championship this season.
Corners and yellow cards
Wolverhampton Wanderers Derby County - 6.7 Corners won 5.4
- 3.7 Corners conceded 5.3
- 1.9 Yellow cards 2.1
- 2.5 Opponents' yellow cards 1.6
Per match in the Championship this season. Average per club and match: 5.2 corners, 1.9 yellow cards.
Attack and defence ratings
Wolverhampton WanderersDerby County0 to 100 against this season's Championship clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.
Head-to-head
4Wolverhampton Wanderers wins4Derby County wins10 meetings since 2010, results after 90 minutes.
- 11 Apr 2018 · Championship Wolverhampton Wanderers 2-0 Derby County
- 12 Aug 2017 · Championship Derby County 0-2 Wolverhampton Wanderers
- 29 Apr 2017 · Championship Derby County 3-1 Wolverhampton Wanderers
- 5 Nov 2016 · Championship Wolverhampton Wanderers 2-3 Derby County
- 27 Feb 2016 · Championship Wolverhampton Wanderers 2-1 Derby County
Table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Birmingham City | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 28:14 | +14 | 29 |
| 2 |  Middlesbrough | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 30:19 | +11 | 29 |
| 3 | Stoke City | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24:18 | +6 | 29 |
| 4 |  Southampton | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 29:15 | +14 | 28 |
| 5 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 26:18 | +8 | 28 |
| 6 |  West Bromwich Albion | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 23:15 | +8 | 28 |
| 7 |  Swansea City | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 22:18 | +4 | 26 |
| 8 |  Queens Park Rangers | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 24:18 | +6 | 24 |
| 9 |  West Ham United | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 37:23 | +14 | 23 |
| 10 | Sheffield United | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21:19 | +2 | 22 |
| 11 | Portsmouth | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 20:18 | +2 | 22 |
| 12 | Norwich City | 15 | 7 | 0 | 8 | 32:24 | +8 | 21 |
| 13 |  Blackburn Rovers | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 22:23 | -1 | 21 |
| 14 | Cardiff City | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 27:27 | 0 | 18 |
| 15 | Wrexham | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 18:20 | -2 | 18 |
| 16 | Millwall | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 23:27 | -4 | 18 |
| 17 | Bristol City | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16:24 | -8 | 18 |
| 18 | Bolton Wanderers | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20:29 | -9 | 17 |
| 19 |  Charlton Athletic | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13:23 | -10 | 17 |
| 20 | Watford | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13:23 | -10 | 15 |
| 21 |  Lincoln City | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 15:26 | -11 | 15 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 22:31 | -9 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby County | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14:30 | -16 | 10 |
| 24 |  Preston North End | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13:30 | -17 | 8 |
Our table from the results; the two clubs of this match are highlighted. Full table
Season projection
MembersWhere these two clubs are projected to finish in the Championship: average points, likely range and chances.
| Club | Pts | Avg pts | Likely | Title | Promoted | Play-offs | Relegated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wolverhampton Wanderers | 28 | ||||||
| Derby County | 10 |
For members
Every club's chance of every place, from our simulated seasons, updated daily.
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Times are UTC.