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Conference League · League phase, matchday 4

Kairat Almaty vs Mjällby: Match Preview & Stats

Ortalyq stadion, Almati (Almaty)

Our picks

Model predictions are published 48 hours before kick-off

To take in the latest form and rest days, the predictions for this match come out on . (If either team plays another match in between, they come out once that match is over.)

See today's ready predictions →

Our record

  • Kairat Almaty: 1 of 3 right
  • Mjällby: 2 of 3 right

Our result picks in each club's earlier matches on this site.

Match facts

Competition
Conference League, League phase, matchday 4
Kick-off
Venue
Ortalyq stadion, Almati (Almaty)
Since last match
Kairat Almaty: 20 days (Conference League) · Atalanta (1‑1) Mjällby: 5 days (Allsvenskan) · Borac Banja Luka (2‑0)
Next match
Kairat Almaty: 14 days (Conference League) later Mjällby: 2 days (Allsvenskan) later

Last starting XI

Kairat Almaty 5-3-2

  1. 1 Anarbekov
  2. 25 Shirobokov
  3. 14 Martynovich
  4. 4 Kasabulat
  5. 24 Mrynskiy
  6. 3 Mata
  7. 17 Tuyakbayev
  8. 22 Mendonça
  9. 13 Oksanen
  10. 9 Filho
  11. 28 Gual

Coach: Rafael Urazbakhtin at Atalanta, 1-1 · Conference League · 5 Nov

Mjällby 5-3-2

  1. 35 Lundin
  2. 2 Miettinen
  3. 4 Norén
  4. 5 Iqbal
  5. 25 Nielsen
  6. 14 Granath
  7. 22 Gustavsson
  8. 39 Leandersson
  9. 7 Gustafson
  10. 10 Kjær
  11. 18 Bergström

Coach: Andreas Brännström vs Borac Banja Luka, 2-0 · Conference League · 5 Nov

Our predicted line-ups come with our picks, 48 hours before kick-off. Until then: each club's last starting XI.

Injuries and suspensions

Kairat Almaty

  • MF JorginhoInjured · Mid April 2027

Mjällby

No absences reported.

Players listed as injured, suspended or away with their national team, with their expected return.

Missing Players Impact

Kairat Almaty

Low impact
Missing attack share 0.0%
Missing minutes share 0.0%
1 player out

Mjällby

Low impact

Full squad available — no listed absences

Share of team playing time and attacking output over the last 3 matches accounted for by unavailable players.

Game-State Scenarios & Goal Timing

Kairat Almaty

When scoring first 0% won · 100% unbeaten (2 matches)
When conceding first 0% points rescued · 0% won (8 matches)
1st Half: 20% 2nd Half: 80%
First 15': 20% Last 15' (76-90'): 60%

Mjällby

When scoring first 100% won · 100% unbeaten (2 matches)
When conceding first No matches in sample
1st Half: 0% 2nd Half: 100%
First 15': 0% Last 15' (76-90'): 40%

Reaction to scoring or conceding first and goal distribution across the last 15 matches.

Key Attacking Threats

Kairat Almaty

  1. 1. FW Marc Gual 2G · 0A
    Team attack 28.0% Team shots 27.0%
  2. 2. FW Edmilson Filho 0G · 1A
    Team attack 13.0% Team shots 12.0%
  3. 3. FW Ismail Bekbolat 1G · 0A
    Team attack 8.0% Team shots 3.0%

Mjällby

  1. 1. FW Jacob Bergström 2G · 0A
    Team attack 19.0% Team shots 17.0%
  2. 2. MF Villiam Granath 0G · 0A
    Team attack 12.0% Team shots 15.0%
  3. 3. MF Áki Samuelsen 0G · 1A
    Team attack 10.0% Team shots 13.0%

Top available players by share of team attacking production and shot volume over the last 10 matches.

Scoring trends Kairat Almaty Mjällby
Over 1.5 goals 8/10 7/10
Over 2.5 goals 5/10 2/10
Over 3.5 goals 4/10 0/10
Both teams scored 6/10 3/10
Clean sheet 3/10 4/10
Failed to score 1/10 5/10
Goals per match (scored / conceded) 1.6 / 1.5 0.8 / 0.9

Last 10 matches, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Form guide

Kairat Almaty

  • D 1-1 at Atalanta (A) Conference League · 5 Nov
  • D 1-1 vs FC Altai Oskemen (H) Premier League · 31 Oct
  • D 2-2 at Aktobe (A) Premier League · 25 Oct
  • L 1-5 vs Panathinaikos (H) Conference League · 22 Oct
  • W 5-0 vs Irtysh Pavlodar (H) Premier League · 18 Oct

Mjällby

  • D 0-0 at Brommapojkarna (A) Allsvenskan · 8 Nov
  • W 2-0 vs Borac Banja Luka (H) Conference League · 5 Nov
  • D 0-0 vs Kalmar FF (H) Allsvenskan · 2 Nov
  • W 2-1 at Örgryte (A) Allsvenskan · 29 Oct
  • L 0-2 vs Hammarby (H) Allsvenskan · 25 Oct

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

When the goals come

ScoredConceded

Kairat Almaty

  • 1-15 minutes: 1 scored, 2 conceded
  • 16-30 minutes: 0 scored, 1 conceded
  • 31-45 minutes: 0 scored, 0 conceded
  • 46-60 minutes: 1 scored, 2 conceded
  • 61-75 minutes: 0 scored, 1 conceded
  • 76-90 minutes: 1 scored, 1 conceded

Mjällby

  • 1-15 minutes: 0 scored, 0 conceded
  • 16-30 minutes: 0 scored, 0 conceded
  • 31-45 minutes: 0 scored, 0 conceded
  • 46-60 minutes: 2 scored, 1 conceded
  • 61-75 minutes: 1 scored, 0 conceded
  • 76-90 minutes: 2 scored, 0 conceded

Goals in each 15-minute period, Conference League this season. Stoppage time counts with its half.

Top scorers

Kairat Almaty

Player G A
Marc Gual (1 pen) 2 0
Ismail Bekbolat 1 0

Mjällby

Player G A
Jacob Bergström 2 0
Axel Norén 1 0
Mads Enggård 1 0
Tom Pettersson 1 0

Goals and assists in the Conference League this season.

Corners and yellow cards

Kairat Almaty Mjällby
  • 3.3 Corners won 5.7
  • 5.0 Corners conceded 3.7
  • 3.0 Yellow cards 2.0
  • 1.7 Opponents' yellow cards 2.7

Per match in the Conference League this season. Average per club and match: 5.0 corners, 1.9 yellow cards.

Attack and defence ratings

Kairat AlmatyMjällby
Attack 17 14 1.0 goals per match this season1.7 goals per match this season
Defence 26 31 2.3 conceded per match this season0.3 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Conference League clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.

1596Elo #334 Elo rating 1606Elo #324

Head-to-head

Kairat Almaty and Mjällby have not met in our records since 2010.

Table

Conference League: Table
#Team PWDLGoalsGDPts
1 Lugano 3 300 11:4 +7 9
2 Panathinaikos 3 300 9:3 +6 9
3 FC Twente 3 300 8:2 +6 9
4 Monaco 3 300 7:1 +6 9
5 Brighton & Hove Albion 3 210 5:0 +5 7
6 FC København 3 210 7:3 +4 7
7 Brann 3 210 7:3 +4 7
8 Universitatea Craiova 3 210 6:2 +4 7
9 Mjällby 3 210 5:1 +4 7
10 St.Truiden 3 210 4:1 +3 7
11 Ajax 3 201 9:3 +6 6
12 Trabzonspor 3 201 6:3 +3 6
13 Hajduk Split 3 201 3:2 +1 6
14 Freiburg 3 201 4:5 -1 6
15 FK Crvena Zvezda 3 111 6:6 0 4
16 Atalanta 3 111 4:4 0 4
17 Braga 3 111 2:3 -1 4
18 Gent 3 111 1:2 -1 4
19 Thun 3 102 3:3 0 3
20 Riga FC 3 030 3:3 0 3
21 Borac Banja Luka 3 102 3:4 -1 3
22 Lincoln Red Imps FC 3 102 3:6 -3 3
23 Jablonec 3 021 3:4 -1 2
24 AGF 3 021 1:2 -1 2
25 Nordsjælland 3 021 3:5 -2 2
26 Egnatia 3 021 2:4 -2 2
27 Kairat Almaty 3 021 3:7 -4 2
28 CSKA Sofia 3 012 4:6 -2 1
29 Iberia 1999 3 012 2:5 -3 1
30 Pafos FC 3 012 3:7 -4 1
31 Getafe 3 012 3:7 -4 1
32 KuPS 3 012 2:6 -4 1
33 Heart of Midlothian 3 012 2:6 -4 1
34 FC Midtjylland 3 012 2:8 -6 1
35 Inter Club d'Escaldes 3 003 2:7 -5 0
36 FK Kauno Žalgiris 3 003 1:11 -10 0

Our table from the results; the two clubs of this match are highlighted. Full table

Season projection

Members

Where these two clubs are projected to finish in the Conference League: average points, likely range and chances.

ClubPts Avg ptsLikely Top 8Play-off round Win it
Kairat Almaty 2
Mjällby 7

For members

Every club's chance of every place, from our simulated seasons, updated daily.

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Times are UTC.