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MLS · Matchday 32

FC Dallas vs Columbus Crew Prediction, Match Preview & Stats

FC Dallas crest FC Dallas
vs
Columbus Crew crest Columbus Crew
Toyota Stadium, Frisco, Texas

Our picks

Free picks
  • Result Free pick FC Dallas win
    Model probability 90% 61% 12%
  • Double chance Free pick FC Dallas or Columbus Crew (12)
    Model probability 40% 42% 85%
  • Both teams to score Free pick Yes
    Model probability 55%
  • More corners Free pick FC Dallas
    Model probability 73% 26% 54%
  • Yellow cards Free pick Around the league average(league 3.9)
    Model probability Over 3.5 79%Over 4.5 66%Over 5.5 19%
  • Corners Free pick Around the league average(league 10.0)
    Model probability Over 8.5 83%Over 9.5 78%Over 10.5 65%

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Why this pick?

Our model leans towards an FC Dallas win, and playing at home is the main reason: they have taken three of their last five at Toyota Stadium, including a 3‑0 against San Jose, and they sit second in the table. The doubt comes from our goal model's reading of the matchup, which does not fully back the home side. What makes up for it is Dallas's recent attacking play, getting into the opposition box more than the league average, against a Columbus team that concedes shots and is only tenth. Even so, this is a moderate call rather than a comfortable one.

Both teams to score: Both teams to score is our call: Columbus have been scoring and conceding regularly and create clearly more big chances than the league average over their last five, while Dallas spend plenty of time in the opposition box.

Match summary

MLS Matchday 32 brings FC Dallas vs Columbus Crew to Toyota Stadium on Thursday 29 October 2026, and our model leans towards an FC Dallas win, with FC Dallas or Columbus Crew to win (no draw) as the double chance.

Form guide

FC Dallas

  • W 3-0 vs San Jose Earthquakes (H) MLS · 25 Oct
  • D 2-2 at Houston Dynamo FC (A) MLS · 18 Oct
  • W 1-0 vs Seattle Sounders FC (H) MLS · 15 Oct
  • L 2-3 at Charlotte FC (A) MLS · 10 Oct
  • W 1-0 vs Los Angeles FC (H) MLS · 27 Sep

Columbus Crew

  • W 4-2 vs Toronto FC (H) MLS · 24 Oct
  • D 0-0 vs St. Louis City (N) US Open Cup · 22 Oct
  • W 2-0 at FC Cincinnati (A) MLS · 18 Oct
  • W 3-1 vs Charlotte FC (H) MLS · 14 Oct
  • L 2-3 at Orlando City (A) MLS · 10 Oct

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Attack and defence ratings

FC DallasColumbus Crew
Attack 69 66 1.9 goals per match this season1.6 goals per match this season
Defence 66 72 1.5 conceded per match this season1.6 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's MLS clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.

1774Elo #146 Elo rating 1746Elo #175

Head-to-head

2FC Dallas wins
6draws
5Columbus Crew wins

13 meetings since 2010, results after 90 minutes.

  • 24 Sep 2023 · MLS FC Dallas 1-1 Columbus Crew
  • 4 Oct 2020 · MLS FC Dallas 2-2 Columbus Crew
  • 16 Mar 2019 · MLS Columbus Crew 1-0 FC Dallas
  • 16 Sep 2018 · MLS FC Dallas 0-0 Columbus Crew
  • 26 Aug 2017 · MLS Columbus Crew 2-1 FC Dallas

MLS so far

#Team PWDLGoalsGDPts
2 FC Dallas 31 1597 58:47 +11 54
10 Columbus Crew 31 11515 50:49 +1 38

Positions in our table of 15 clubs, before kick-off. Full table

Match facts

Competition
MLS, Matchday 32
Kick-off
Venue
Toyota Stadium, Frisco, Texas
Since last match
FC Dallas: 3 days (MLS)
Columbus Crew: 4 days (MLS)
Next match
FC Dallas: 2 days (MLS) later
Columbus Crew: 2 days (MLS) later

Questions and answers

FC Dallas vs Columbus Crew prediction: who will win?

Our model picks FC Dallas to win, and it is a call with a fair margin. The main reason is home advantage. Our double chance pick is FC Dallas or Columbus Crew (no draw).

What time is FC Dallas vs Columbus Crew and where is it played?

FC Dallas vs Columbus Crew kicks off at 00:30 UK time (00:30 UTC) on Thursday 29 October 2026 at Toyota Stadium, Frisco, Texas. Local time: 20:30 (US Eastern time). It is a MLS match (Matchday 32).

Will both teams score in FC Dallas vs Columbus Crew?

Yes: our model expects both teams to score, mainly because of our goal model's view of the matchup. We only give this pick when our model's view is clear.

What is the recent form of FC Dallas and Columbus Crew?

FC Dallas have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches in all competitions, and are unbeaten in 3. Columbus Crew have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches in all competitions, and are unbeaten in 4.

What is the head-to-head record between FC Dallas and Columbus Crew?

FC Dallas and Columbus Crew have met 13 times in our records since 2010: FC Dallas won 2, Columbus Crew won 5 and 6 ended level. Last meeting: 2023-09-24, FC Dallas 1-1 Columbus Crew.

Who is the referee for FC Dallas vs Columbus Crew?

The referee is Sergii Demianchuk. In the last 27 matches we have on record, Sergii Demianchuk has averaged 3.8 yellow cards per match.

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Times are UTC.