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MLS · Matchday 32

St. Louis City vs Portland Timbers Prediction, Match Preview & Stats

St. Louis City crest St. Louis City
vs
Portland Timbers crest Portland Timbers
Energizer Park, St. Louis, Missouri

Our picks

Free picks
  • Result Free pick St. Louis City win
    Model probability 30% 82% 80%
  • Double chance Free pick St. Louis City or draw (1X)
    Model probability 69% 12% 67%
  • Both teams to score Free pick Yes
    Model probability 71%
  • More corners Free pick St. Louis City
    Model probability 93% 52% 10%
  • Yellow cards Free pick Around the league average(league 3.9)
    Model probability Over 3.5 47%Over 4.5 41%Over 5.5 33%
  • Corners Free pick Around the league average(league 10.0)
    Model probability Over 8.5 84%Over 9.5 77%Over 10.5 54%

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Why this pick?

Our model leans to a home victory, chiefly on a higher long-run rating and the boost of playing at Energizer Park. Portland's recent attacking output is the counterweight: the Timbers are shooting more than the league average and spending more time in the box. What absorbs that is the goal model's reading of the matchup and a Portland defence that has shipped 58 goals with a rating of 21, leaving St. Louis City room in front of goal. The venue's altitude and the visitors' travel count for something too, and the call is a moderate one.

Both teams to score: Our model expects both teams to score, and the goal model's reading of an open matchup does most of the work. The home side have been scoring and conceding of late, while Portland's recent shot and box numbers sit above the league average.

Match summary

St. Louis City vs Portland Timbers opens Matchday 32 of MLS at Energizer Park on Thursday 29 October 2026, and our model backs the home side to win, with a win-or-draw double chance.

Form guide

St. Louis City

  • L 0-3 at Real Salt Lake (A) MLS · 25 Oct
  • D 0-0 vs Columbus Crew (N) US Open Cup · 22 Oct
  • L 2-3 at Minnesota United (A) MLS · 17 Oct
  • D 0-0 vs Vancouver Whitecaps (H) MLS · 15 Oct
  • W 6-2 vs LA Galaxy (H) MLS · 11 Oct

Portland Timbers

  • W 3-2 vs Charlotte FC (H) MLS · 25 Oct
  • D 0-0 vs Colorado Rapids (H) MLS · 18 Oct
  • L 0-2 at LA Galaxy (A) MLS · 15 Oct
  • D 3-3 at Sporting Kansas City (A) MLS · 11 Oct
  • L 1-3 at San Jose Earthquakes (A) MLS · 27 Sep

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Attack and defence ratings

St. Louis CityPortland Timbers
Attack 62 59 1.8 goals per match this season1.7 goals per match this season
Defence 41 21 1.4 conceded per match this season1.9 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's MLS clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.

1749Elo #173 Elo rating 1688Elo #250

Head-to-head

3St. Louis City wins
3draws
2Portland Timbers wins

8 meetings since 2010, results after 90 minutes.

  • 10 Sep 2026 · MLS Portland Timbers 2-2 St. Louis City
  • 13 Jul 2025 · MLS St. Louis City 2-1 Portland Timbers
  • 8 Jun 2025 · MLS Portland Timbers 2-1 St. Louis City
  • 25 Aug 2024 · MLS Portland Timbers 4-4 St. Louis City
  • 10 Aug 2024 · Leagues Cup St. Louis City 3-1 Portland Timbers

MLS so far

#Team PWDLGoalsGDPts
3 St. Louis City 31 1498 56:44 +12 51
11 Portland Timbers 31 10714 54:58 -4 37

Positions in our table of 15 clubs, before kick-off. Full table

Match facts

Competition
MLS, Matchday 32
Kick-off
Venue
Energizer Park, St. Louis, Missouri
Since last match
St. Louis City: 3 days (MLS)
Portland Timbers: 3 days (MLS)
Next match
St. Louis City: 2 days (MLS) later
Portland Timbers: 4 days (MLS) later

Questions and answers

St. Louis City vs Portland Timbers prediction: who will win?

Our model picks St. Louis City to win, and it is a call with a fair margin. The main reason is our long-run strength ratings of the two sides. Our double chance pick is St. Louis City or draw.

What time is St. Louis City vs Portland Timbers and where is it played?

St. Louis City vs Portland Timbers kicks off at 00:30 UK time (00:30 UTC) on Thursday 29 October 2026 at Energizer Park, St. Louis, Missouri. Local time: 20:30 (US Eastern time). It is a MLS match (Matchday 32).

Will both teams score in St. Louis City vs Portland Timbers?

Yes: our model expects both teams to score, mainly because of our goal model's view of the matchup. We only give this pick when our model's view is clear.

What is the recent form of St. Louis City and Portland Timbers?

St. Louis City have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches in all competitions, and are without a win in 4. Portland Timbers have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches in all competitions, and won their latest match.

What is the head-to-head record between St. Louis City and Portland Timbers?

St. Louis City and Portland Timbers have met 8 times in our records since 2010: St. Louis City won 3, Portland Timbers won 2 and 3 ended level. Last meeting: 2026-09-10, Portland Timbers 2-2 St. Louis City.

Who is the referee for St. Louis City vs Portland Timbers?

The referee is Rubiel Vazquez. In the last 50 matches we have on record, Rubiel Vazquez has averaged 3.8 yellow cards per match.

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Times are UTC.